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United States · Election results history · 2016 president · Kentucky
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Kentucky

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2016, 62.5% to 32.7%, a margin of 29.8 points and 574,117 votes.

Kentucky voted 31.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 118 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Jefferson, cast 353,099 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.3 points. The closest was Robertson, where 537 votes separated the two parties.

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If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,202,971 62.5%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 628,854 32.7%
All other candidates 92,324 4.8%
Total1,924,149

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 190,836 54.0% 143,768 40.7% 18,495 353,099 D+13.3
Fayette 69,778 51.2% 56,894 41.7% 9,643 136,315 D+9.5
Kenton 24,214 33.6% 42,958 59.7% 4,826 71,998 R+26.0
Boone 15,026 26.1% 39,082 67.8% 3,510 57,618 R+41.8
Warren 16,966 35.0% 28,673 59.2% 2,815 48,454 R+24.2
Daviess 14,163 30.9% 28,907 63.1% 2,737 45,807 R+32.2
Hardin 13,944 32.3% 26,971 62.5% 2,241 43,156 R+30.2
Campbell 14,658 34.5% 25,050 58.9% 2,802 42,510 R+24.4
Madison 11,793 31.6% 23,431 62.7% 2,147 37,371 R+31.1
Bullitt 8,255 22.9% 26,210 72.7% 1,604 36,069 R+49.8
Oldham 10,268 31.3% 20,469 62.3% 2,116 32,853 R+31.1
McCracken 9,134 29.2% 20,774 66.4% 1,399 31,307 R+37.2
Pulaski 4,208 15.0% 22,902 81.7% 931 28,041 R+66.7
Laurel 3,440 13.9% 20,592 82.9% 801 24,833 R+69.1
Pike 4,280 17.4% 19,747 80.1% 638 24,665 R+62.7
Scott 7,715 31.9% 15,052 62.2% 1,433 24,200 R+30.3
Franklin 10,717 44.9% 11,819 49.5% 1,329 23,865 R+4.6
Jessamine 6,144 26.3% 15,474 66.3% 1,708 23,326 R+40.0
Christian 7,188 32.5% 14,108 63.9% 787 22,083 R+31.3
Nelson 6,434 30.9% 13,431 64.6% 937 20,802 R+33.6
Shelby 6,276 30.5% 13,196 64.1% 1,108 20,580 R+33.6
Boyd 6,021 29.4% 13,591 66.4% 842 20,454 R+37.0
Hopkins 4,310 21.2% 15,277 75.1% 758 20,345 R+53.9
Henderson 6,707 34.0% 12,159 61.7% 844 19,710 R+27.7
Barren 4,275 23.1% 13,483 72.9% 730 18,488 R+49.8
Marshall 3,672 22.0% 12,322 73.8% 704 16,698 R+51.8
Graves 3,308 19.9% 12,671 76.3% 627 16,606 R+56.4
Floyd 4,015 24.3% 11,993 72.5% 532 16,540 R+48.2
Greenup 4,146 25.5% 11,546 70.9% 585 16,277 R+45.5
Clark 4,706 29.0% 10,710 66.1% 789 16,205 R+37.1
Calloway 4,749 29.6% 10,367 64.6% 933 16,049 R+35.0
Whitley 2,067 15.0% 11,312 82.1% 395 13,774 R+67.1
Woodford 4,958 36.6% 7,697 56.7% 908 13,563 R+20.2
Muhlenberg 3,272 25.1% 9,393 71.9% 395 13,060 R+46.9
Boyle 4,281 33.1% 8,040 62.1% 625 12,946 R+29.0
Meade 3,026 24.7% 8,660 70.8% 545 12,231 R+46.1
Knox 1,761 14.7% 9,885 82.3% 366 12,012 R+67.6
Montgomery 3,158 27.6% 7,856 68.6% 438 11,452 R+41.0
Anderson 2,634 23.1% 8,242 72.2% 546 11,422 R+49.1
Taylor 2,553 22.6% 8,320 73.6% 433 11,306 R+51.0
Logan 2,755 25.3% 7,778 71.4% 366 10,899 R+46.1
Harlan 1,372 12.8% 9,129 84.9% 256 10,757 R+72.1
Mercer 2,395 22.6% 7,740 73.1% 450 10,585 R+50.5
Grayson 1,959 18.5% 8,219 77.7% 398 10,576 R+59.2
Perry 2,136 20.2% 8,158 77.2% 278 10,572 R+57.0
Ohio 2,080 20.0% 7,942 76.4% 376 10,398 R+56.4
Carter 2,276 22.1% 7,587 73.8% 415 10,278 R+51.7
Bell 1,720 17.7% 7,764 79.9% 234 9,718 R+62.2
Johnson 1,250 13.1% 8,043 84.0% 279 9,572 R+71.0
Lincoln 1,865 19.5% 7,338 76.7% 358 9,561 R+57.2
Grant 1,910 20.0% 7,268 76.0% 381 9,559 R+56.1
Spencer 1,921 20.2% 7,196 75.6% 398 9,515 R+55.4
Letcher 1,542 16.9% 7,293 79.8% 299 9,134 R+63.0
Rowan 3,295 37.2% 5,174 58.5% 379 8,848 R+21.2
Bourbon 2,791 31.7% 5,569 63.3% 443 8,803 R+31.6
Breckinridge 1,960 22.3% 6,484 73.9% 330 8,774 R+51.6
Adair 1,323 16.1% 6,637 80.6% 273 8,233 R+64.5
Russell 1,093 13.4% 6,863 84.0% 218 8,174 R+70.6
Marion 2,679 33.0% 5,122 63.1% 310 8,111 R+30.1
Allen 1,349 16.7% 6,466 79.9% 281 8,096 R+63.2
Wayne 1,431 17.9% 6,371 79.7% 190 7,992 R+61.8
Harrison 2,031 26.1% 5,435 69.8% 315 7,781 R+43.7
Garrard 1,453 19.1% 5,904 77.4% 266 7,623 R+58.4
Simpson 2,144 28.5% 5,077 67.4% 310 7,531 R+38.9
Hart 1,730 23.8% 5,320 73.2% 214 7,264 R+49.4
Mason 1,970 27.3% 4,944 68.5% 305 7,219 R+41.2
Henry 1,828 25.6% 4,944 69.2% 377 7,149 R+43.6
Clay 752 11.1% 5,861 86.6% 154 6,767 R+75.5
Trigg 1,587 23.5% 4,931 73.0% 233 6,751 R+49.5
Rockcastle 915 13.7% 5,609 83.8% 167 6,691 R+70.2
Casey 767 11.9% 5,482 85.1% 190 6,439 R+73.2
Larue 1,278 20.1% 4,799 75.4% 290 6,367 R+55.3
Fleming 1,348 21.5% 4,722 75.4% 190 6,260 R+53.9
Union 1,331 21.4% 4,701 75.7% 179 6,211 R+54.3
Lawrence 1,045 17.3% 4,816 79.7% 181 6,042 R+62.4
Pendleton 1,164 19.4% 4,604 76.6% 239 6,007 R+57.3
Caldwell 1,260 21.1% 4,507 75.4% 208 5,975 R+54.3
Webster 1,240 21.4% 4,397 75.7% 168 5,805 R+54.4
McCreary 664 11.5% 5,012 86.8% 100 5,776 R+75.3
Knott 1,245 21.6% 4,357 75.6% 161 5,763 R+54.0
Breathitt 1,537 26.8% 3,991 69.6% 210 5,738 R+42.8
Washington 1,420 25.2% 4,013 71.2% 203 5,636 R+46.0
Butler 947 17.0% 4,428 79.4% 201 5,576 R+62.4
Estill 1,108 20.0% 4,236 76.4% 201 5,545 R+56.4
Jackson 482 8.8% 4,889 88.9% 130 5,501 R+80.1
Green 832 15.6% 4,372 82.0% 129 5,333 R+66.4
Lewis 785 14.8% 4,363 82.4% 150 5,298 R+67.5
Edmonson 979 18.7% 4,135 78.9% 130 5,244 R+60.2
Magoffin 1,172 22.9% 3,824 74.7% 120 5,116 R+51.8
Owen 1,062 21.2% 3,745 74.9% 194 5,001 R+53.6
Monroe 601 12.0% 4,278 85.7% 112 4,991 R+73.7
Powell 1,272 25.7% 3,513 70.9% 172 4,957 R+45.2
Todd 1,042 21.8% 3,612 75.6% 125 4,779 R+53.8
Morgan 1,006 21.1% 3,628 76.0% 141 4,775 R+54.9
Livingston 887 19.1% 3,570 76.9% 188 4,645 R+57.8
Metcalfe 976 21.1% 3,491 75.6% 153 4,620 R+54.4
Bath 1,361 29.7% 3,082 67.2% 144 4,587 R+37.5
McLean 988 21.6% 3,381 74.0% 197 4,566 R+52.4
Leslie 400 8.9% 4,015 89.4% 77 4,492 R+80.5
Clinton 547 12.3% 3,809 85.4% 106 4,462 R+73.1
Hancock 1,244 29.0% 2,788 64.9% 263 4,295 R+35.9
Ballard 816 19.9% 3,161 77.1% 124 4,101 R+57.2
Crittenden 617 15.3% 3,290 81.5% 130 4,037 R+66.2
Lyon 1,045 26.4% 2,789 70.4% 128 3,962 R+44.0
Martin 363 9.2% 3,503 88.6% 87 3,953 R+79.4
Carroll 1,106 28.7% 2,588 67.1% 161 3,855 R+38.4
Trimble 879 23.1% 2,771 73.0% 148 3,798 R+49.8
Bracken 705 20.0% 2,711 76.9% 111 3,527 R+56.9
Gallatin 749 22.4% 2,443 73.2% 146 3,338 R+50.7
Cumberland 459 15.0% 2,502 81.6% 105 3,066 R+66.6
Elliott 740 25.9% 2,000 70.1% 115 2,855 R+44.1
Nicholas 787 27.7% 1,957 68.9% 97 2,841 R+41.2
Menifee 700 25.2% 2,010 72.3% 69 2,779 R+47.1
Lee 444 16.6% 2,151 80.7% 72 2,667 R+64.0
Wolfe 753 28.6% 1,804 68.5% 78 2,635 R+39.9
Carlisle 432 16.6% 2,094 80.5% 75 2,601 R+63.9
Fulton 774 32.5% 1,549 65.0% 59 2,382 R+32.5
Hickman 449 20.8% 1,657 76.8% 51 2,157 R+56.0
Owsley 256 14.6% 1,474 83.8% 29 1,759 R+69.2
Robertson 222 21.9% 759 74.9% 32 1,013 R+53.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4