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United States · Election results history · 2012 president · Kentucky
Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Kentucky

Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2012, 60.5% to 37.8%, a margin of 22.7 points and 407,820 votes.

Kentucky voted 26.6 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Republican hold continued from 2008, when John McCain won.

Republicans led in 116 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Jefferson, cast 339,579 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.1 points. The closest was Elliott, where 60 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mitt Romney won Republican 1,087,190 60.5%
Barack Obama Democratic 679,370 37.8%
All other candidates 30,652 1.7%
Total1,797,212

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 186,181 54.8% 148,423 43.7% 4,975 339,579 D+11.1
Fayette 62,080 49.3% 60,795 48.3% 2,991 125,866 D+1.0
Kenton 24,920 36.8% 41,389 61.1% 1,395 67,704 R+24.3
Boone 15,629 29.8% 35,922 68.4% 960 52,511 R+38.6
Warren 16,805 38.3% 26,384 60.1% 714 43,903 R+21.8
Daviess 16,208 38.5% 25,092 59.6% 787 42,087 R+21.1
Campbell 15,080 37.5% 24,240 60.3% 857 40,177 R+22.8
Hardin 15,214 38.8% 23,357 59.6% 647 39,218 R+20.8
Madison 11,512 34.5% 21,128 63.4% 682 33,322 R+28.9
Bullitt 9,971 31.4% 21,306 67.0% 502 31,779 R+35.7
McCracken 10,062 32.9% 19,979 65.4% 510 30,551 R+32.5
Oldham 9,240 30.9% 20,179 67.5% 465 29,884 R+36.6
Pulaski 4,976 19.1% 20,714 79.7% 313 26,003 R+60.5
Pike 5,646 23.9% 17,590 74.4% 400 23,636 R+50.5
Franklin 11,535 49.4% 11,345 48.6% 457 23,337 D+0.8
Laurel 3,905 17.4% 18,151 81.0% 352 22,408 R+63.6
Christian 8,252 37.6% 13,475 61.4% 228 21,955 R+23.8
Jessamine 6,001 29.1% 14,233 69.0% 399 20,633 R+39.9
Scott 7,532 36.6% 12,679 61.6% 362 20,573 R+25.0
Hopkins 5,789 29.3% 13,681 69.2% 297 19,767 R+39.9
Boyd 7,776 40.8% 10,884 57.1% 389 19,049 R+16.3
Shelby 6,634 35.5% 11,790 63.2% 239 18,663 R+27.6
Henderson 8,091 43.4% 10,296 55.3% 235 18,622 R+11.8
Nelson 7,611 41.1% 10,673 57.6% 249 18,533 R+16.5
Barren 5,400 32.6% 10,922 65.9% 246 16,568 R+33.3
Marshall 5,022 31.9% 10,402 66.2% 295 15,719 R+34.2
Graves 4,547 29.3% 10,699 69.0% 257 15,503 R+39.7
Clark 5,228 33.9% 9,931 64.4% 257 15,416 R+30.5
Greenup 6,027 39.7% 8,855 58.4% 286 15,168 R+18.6
Calloway 5,317 35.3% 9,440 62.6% 315 15,072 R+27.4
Floyd 4,733 31.8% 9,784 65.7% 373 14,890 R+33.9
Whitley 2,683 20.5% 10,232 78.3% 157 13,072 R+57.7
Muhlenberg 4,771 37.5% 7,762 60.9% 206 12,739 R+23.5
Boyle 4,471 36.1% 7,703 62.3% 199 12,373 R+26.1
Woodford 4,883 39.6% 7,219 58.5% 230 12,332 R+18.9
Knox 2,484 22.4% 8,467 76.3% 149 11,100 R+53.9
Taylor 3,285 30.0% 7,551 69.0% 114 10,950 R+39.0
Meade 4,122 37.8% 6,606 60.5% 188 10,916 R+22.8
Harlan 1,830 17.2% 8,652 81.2% 175 10,657 R+64.0
Logan 3,469 33.0% 6,899 65.6% 142 10,510 R+32.6
Anderson 3,315 32.1% 6,822 66.1% 183 10,320 R+34.0
Montgomery 3,701 36.1% 6,398 62.4% 149 10,248 R+26.3
Perry 2,047 20.0% 8,040 78.5% 154 10,241 R+58.5
Mercer 2,966 29.8% 6,820 68.6% 153 9,939 R+38.8
Ohio 2,987 31.0% 6,470 67.1% 189 9,646 R+36.1
Bell 2,224 23.5% 7,127 75.2% 131 9,482 R+51.7
Grayson 2,744 29.6% 6,404 69.1% 123 9,271 R+39.5
Lincoln 2,582 28.2% 6,416 70.1% 154 9,152 R+41.9
Johnson 1,723 19.1% 7,095 78.5% 217 9,035 R+59.5
Carter 3,383 38.0% 5,279 59.3% 246 8,908 R+21.3
Letcher 1,702 19.4% 6,811 77.8% 245 8,758 R+58.3
Grant 2,810 32.6% 5,664 65.8% 134 8,608 R+33.2
Spencer 2,549 30.2% 5,726 67.9% 156 8,431 R+37.7
Breckinridge 2,825 35.4% 5,025 63.1% 119 7,969 R+27.6
Bourbon 3,075 38.8% 4,692 59.2% 156 7,923 R+20.4
Russell 1,445 18.3% 6,346 80.2% 118 7,909 R+62.0
Rowan 3,438 44.9% 4,035 52.6% 192 7,665 R+7.8
Adair 1,660 21.8% 5,841 76.9% 99 7,600 R+55.0
Clay 1,111 15.0% 6,176 83.7% 96 7,383 R+68.6
Marion 3,418 46.7% 3,800 51.9% 100 7,318 R+5.2
Wayne 1,855 25.7% 5,289 73.4% 66 7,210 R+47.6
Harrison 2,471 34.5% 4,556 63.6% 136 7,163 R+29.1
Allen 1,808 25.5% 5,184 73.0% 108 7,100 R+47.5
Simpson 2,650 37.4% 4,355 61.4% 88 7,093 R+24.0
Garrard 1,661 23.5% 5,310 75.0% 106 7,077 R+51.6
Mason 2,592 37.7% 4,197 61.0% 92 6,881 R+23.3
Trigg 2,115 31.4% 4,520 67.0% 107 6,742 R+35.7
Hart 2,283 34.5% 4,257 64.3% 82 6,622 R+29.8
Henry 2,530 38.4% 3,940 59.8% 120 6,590 R+21.4
Rockcastle 1,097 17.6% 5,028 80.9% 91 6,216 R+63.2
Casey 1,086 17.8% 4,904 80.5% 101 6,091 R+62.7
Union 1,942 32.5% 3,955 66.1% 82 5,979 R+33.7
Caldwell 1,852 31.6% 3,904 66.6% 104 5,860 R+35.0
Fleming 1,911 33.1% 3,780 65.4% 91 5,782 R+32.3
Larue 1,733 30.1% 3,911 67.9% 120 5,764 R+37.8
McCreary 1,069 18.7% 4,564 80.0% 74 5,707 R+61.2
Knott 1,420 24.9% 4,130 72.5% 143 5,693 R+47.6
Lawrence 1,520 27.2% 3,995 71.4% 77 5,592 R+44.3
Pendleton 1,859 33.6% 3,556 64.3% 119 5,534 R+30.7
Webster 1,765 32.3% 3,607 65.9% 98 5,470 R+33.7
Washington 1,669 32.0% 3,495 67.0% 55 5,219 R+35.0
Estill 1,356 26.2% 3,749 72.3% 79 5,184 R+46.2
Jackson 612 12.1% 4,365 86.2% 84 5,061 R+74.2
Butler 1,293 25.6% 3,716 73.4% 51 5,060 R+47.9
Breathitt 1,562 31.2% 3,318 66.3% 128 5,008 R+35.1
Leslie 433 8.7% 4,439 89.7% 78 4,950 R+80.9
Magoffin 1,433 29.2% 3,391 69.1% 82 4,906 R+39.9
Green 1,165 24.0% 3,634 74.8% 57 4,856 R+50.8
Lewis 1,342 28.1% 3,326 69.7% 101 4,769 R+41.6
Monroe 936 19.7% 3,762 79.3% 48 4,746 R+59.5
Todd 1,403 29.7% 3,247 68.8% 68 4,718 R+39.1
Edmonson 1,374 29.4% 3,232 69.2% 62 4,668 R+39.8
Owen 1,501 32.9% 2,971 65.2% 85 4,557 R+32.3
Livingston 1,346 29.8% 3,089 68.5% 76 4,511 R+38.6
Powell 1,620 36.2% 2,766 61.7% 95 4,481 R+25.6
Morgan 1,369 30.6% 3,021 67.6% 82 4,472 R+36.9
Clinton 752 17.1% 3,569 81.2% 72 4,393 R+64.1
McLean 1,432 34.1% 2,705 64.4% 63 4,200 R+30.3
Metcalfe 1,425 34.1% 2,676 64.0% 83 4,184 R+29.9
Hancock 1,833 44.3% 2,212 53.5% 89 4,134 R+9.2
Bath 1,770 42.9% 2,275 55.2% 77 4,122 R+12.3
Ballard 1,189 30.5% 2,647 68.0% 59 3,895 R+37.4
Crittenden 960 24.9% 2,839 73.7% 55 3,854 R+48.8
Lyon 1,373 35.8% 2,412 62.8% 54 3,839 R+27.1
Martin 574 15.0% 3,180 83.2% 70 3,824 R+68.1
Carroll 1,629 44.3% 1,999 54.3% 52 3,680 R+10.1
Trimble 1,355 38.2% 2,133 60.2% 55 3,543 R+22.0
Bracken 1,147 35.5% 2,029 62.8% 56 3,232 R+27.3
Gallatin 1,238 40.4% 1,758 57.4% 65 3,061 R+17.0
Cumberland 599 21.0% 2,216 77.6% 39 2,854 R+56.7
Lee 595 22.7% 1,977 75.4% 51 2,623 R+52.7
Carlisle 750 28.6% 1,835 70.1% 34 2,619 R+41.4
Menifee 1,048 40.3% 1,484 57.1% 66 2,598 R+16.8
Nicholas 948 36.7% 1,583 61.3% 50 2,581 R+24.6
Wolfe 976 38.1% 1,542 60.3% 41 2,559 R+22.1
Fulton 1,022 41.2% 1,425 57.4% 34 2,481 R+16.2
Elliott 1,186 49.4% 1,126 46.9% 87 2,399 D+2.5
Hickman 686 32.1% 1,431 66.9% 22 2,139 R+34.8
Owsley 283 17.9% 1,279 80.9% 18 1,580 R+63.0
Robertson 340 36.4% 579 61.9% 16 935 R+25.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4