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Closest results
Election 1896 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1896 presidential election in Kentucky

William McKinley (Republican) beat William Jennings Bryan (Democrat) in Kentucky in 1896, 48.93% to 48.86%, a margin of 0.06 points and 277 votes.

Kentucky voted 4.3 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+4.3.

Kentucky changed party: in 1892 it went Democratic, for Grover Cleveland.

Democrats led in 65 of the 119 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 54. The largest, Jefferson, cast 47,272 votes and went to the Republican by 26.2 points. The closest was Crittenden, where 2 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
William McKinley won Republican 218,171 48.9%
William Jennings Bryan Democratic 217,894 48.9%
All other candidates 9,863 2.2%
Total445,928

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 16,707 35.3% 29,107 61.6% 1,458 47,272 R+26.2
Kenton 7,008 52.6% 6,165 46.3% 149 13,322 D+6.3
Campbell 4,304 41.9% 5,821 56.7% 138 10,263 R+14.8
Fayette 3,938 42.5% 5,143 55.5% 179 9,260 R+13.0
Daviess 4,952 59.5% 3,105 37.3% 271 8,328 D+22.2
Christian 3,145 40.2% 4,525 57.9% 149 7,819 R+17.6
Henderson 4,004 58.3% 2,750 40.0% 113 6,867 D+18.3
Warren 3,716 54.4% 2,866 42.0% 248 6,830 D+12.4
Graves 4,699 72.6% 1,628 25.1% 147 6,474 D+47.4
Hopkins 3,470 57.3% 2,490 41.1% 92 6,052 D+16.2
Madison 2,756 46.0% 3,100 51.7% 141 5,997 R+5.7
Logan 3,266 55.3% 2,484 42.1% 152 5,902 D+13.2
Pulaski 2,099 35.8% 3,668 62.5% 104 5,871 R+26.7
Ohio 2,679 48.6% 2,653 48.2% 177 5,509 D+0.5
McCracken 2,955 55.1% 2,284 42.6% 120 5,359 D+12.5
Mason 2,698 50.5% 2,575 48.2% 74 5,347 D+2.3
Barren 3,006 57.8% 2,092 40.3% 99 5,197 D+17.6
Bourbon 2,210 45.2% 2,578 52.8% 98 4,886 R+7.5
Hardin 2,848 58.4% 1,885 38.7% 140 4,873 D+19.8
Franklin 2,465 51.9% 2,175 45.8% 112 4,752 D+6.1
Shelby 2,524 53.4% 2,029 42.9% 174 4,727 D+10.5
Breckinridge 2,202 48.2% 2,274 49.8% 94 4,570 R+1.6
Owen 3,373 74.3% 1,086 23.9% 78 4,537 D+50.4
Union 3,183 70.2% 1,249 27.6% 101 4,533 D+42.7
Harrison 2,690 59.4% 1,705 37.7% 132 4,527 D+21.8
Scott 2,237 49.9% 2,111 47.1% 133 4,481 D+2.8
Clark 2,055 48.7% 2,032 48.2% 131 4,218 D+0.5
Carter 1,665 39.9% 2,440 58.5% 69 4,174 R+18.6
Pike 1,900 46.6% 2,141 52.6% 32 4,073 R+5.9
Whitley 862 21.2% 3,130 77.0% 72 4,064 R+55.8
Fleming 2,013 49.9% 1,935 48.0% 86 4,034 D+1.9
Hart 1,951 48.4% 1,999 49.6% 81 4,031 R+1.2
Muhlenberg 1,700 42.3% 2,217 55.2% 99 4,016 R+12.9
Webster 2,471 61.9% 1,484 37.2% 39 3,994 D+24.7
Henry 2,115 53.4% 1,711 43.2% 131 3,957 D+10.2
Grayson 2,002 51.0% 1,874 47.7% 50 3,926 D+3.3
Lewis 1,433 37.4% 2,348 61.3% 50 3,831 R+23.9
Lawrence 1,820 47.6% 1,966 51.4% 40 3,826 R+3.8
Nelson 2,223 59.4% 1,446 38.7% 71 3,740 D+20.8
Mercer 1,745 47.8% 1,765 48.3% 142 3,652 R+0.5
Lincoln 1,628 44.7% 1,833 50.3% 185 3,646 R+5.6
Todd 1,707 46.9% 1,793 49.3% 140 3,640 R+2.4
Pendleton 1,939 54.0% 1,585 44.1% 69 3,593 D+9.9
Marion 1,873 53.5% 1,575 45.0% 50 3,498 D+8.5
Bath 1,791 52.2% 1,579 46.0% 64 3,434 D+6.2
Boyd 1,241 36.4% 2,087 61.3% 79 3,407 R+24.8
Grant 1,852 55.4% 1,417 42.4% 72 3,341 D+13.0
Woodford 1,546 47.0% 1,665 50.6% 77 3,288 R+3.6
Greenup 1,369 42.3% 1,802 55.7% 67 3,238 R+13.4
Calloway 2,572 79.7% 561 17.4% 94 3,227 D+62.3
Washington 1,536 48.3% 1,573 49.5% 68 3,177 R+1.2
Crittenden 1,576 49.7% 1,574 49.6% 24 3,174 D+0.1
Boone 2,317 73.6% 781 24.8% 48 3,146 D+48.8
Montgomery 1,624 51.8% 1,484 47.3% 28 3,136 D+4.5
Knox 833 26.8% 2,237 71.9% 40 3,110 R+45.1
Caldwell 1,530 49.2% 1,544 49.7% 35 3,109 R+0.5
Nicholas 1,878 60.4% 1,159 37.3% 72 3,109 D+23.1
Butler 1,139 36.7% 1,907 61.5% 55 3,101 R+24.8
Allen 1,460 47.1% 1,595 51.5% 45 3,100 R+4.4
Bracken 1,762 57.8% 1,226 40.2% 61 3,049 D+17.6
Adair 1,345 44.6% 1,612 53.4% 62 3,019 R+8.8
Boyle 1,206 40.2% 1,687 56.3% 106 2,999 R+16.0
Trigg 1,633 54.8% 1,295 43.4% 53 2,981 D+11.3
Laurel 969 32.5% 1,921 64.5% 89 2,979 R+32.0
Jessamine 1,428 49.5% 1,343 46.5% 115 2,886 D+2.9
Garrard 1,171 40.8% 1,595 55.6% 102 2,868 R+14.8
Johnson 975 34.8% 1,794 64.1% 31 2,800 R+29.3
Casey 1,061 38.4% 1,643 59.5% 59 2,763 R+21.1
Hickman 1,928 70.4% 727 26.5% 85 2,740 D+43.8
Wayne 1,190 45.0% 1,413 53.4% 41 2,644 R+8.4
Morgan 1,642 63.6% 910 35.3% 28 2,580 D+28.4
Marshall 1,926 75.3% 568 22.2% 63 2,557 D+53.1
Green 1,142 44.7% 1,389 54.4% 24 2,555 R+9.7
Bell 615 24.1% 1,900 74.5% 34 2,549 R+50.4
Carroll 1,778 70.6% 685 27.2% 56 2,519 D+43.4
Simpson 1,531 60.8% 888 35.3% 99 2,518 D+25.5
Anderson 1,286 51.5% 1,151 46.1% 62 2,499 D+5.4
Floyd 1,410 56.7% 1,057 42.5% 20 2,487 D+14.2
Clay 707 28.7% 1,725 70.0% 33 2,465 R+41.3
Monroe 794 32.6% 1,613 66.2% 31 2,438 R+33.6
McLean 1,389 57.9% 935 39.0% 75 2,399 D+18.9
Rockcastle 846 35.8% 1,480 62.6% 37 2,363 R+26.8
Meade 1,519 64.9% 781 33.3% 42 2,342 D+31.5
Larue 1,324 57.5% 955 41.5% 23 2,302 D+16.0
Livingston 1,346 59.3% 872 38.4% 52 2,270 D+20.9
Taylor 1,166 51.8% 1,050 46.6% 37 2,253 D+5.1
Ballard 1,670 75.6% 495 22.4% 44 2,209 D+53.2
Hancock 1,080 50.6% 1,026 48.1% 28 2,134 D+2.5
Metcalfe 908 42.7% 1,153 54.2% 66 2,127 R+11.5
Fulton 1,414 67.3% 603 28.7% 84 2,101 D+38.6
Estill 929 44.3% 1,153 55.0% 13 2,095 R+10.7
Carlisle 1,624 77.8% 390 18.7% 74 2,088 D+59.1
Bullitt 1,168 57.0% 799 39.0% 81 2,048 D+18.0
Magoffin 833 41.7% 1,148 57.5% 17 1,998 R+15.8
Breathitt 1,204 60.4% 776 38.9% 14 1,994 D+21.5
Elliott 1,294 68.5% 577 30.6% 17 1,888 D+38.0
Edmonson 863 47.0% 952 51.9% 20 1,835 R+4.9
Cumberland 621 34.6% 1,154 64.3% 21 1,796 R+29.7
Lyon 969 54.4% 763 42.8% 49 1,781 D+11.6
Trimble 1,267 72.5% 418 23.9% 62 1,747 D+48.6
Jackson 189 10.9% 1,517 87.8% 22 1,728 R+76.9
Oldham 946 55.4% 691 40.5% 70 1,707 D+14.9
Russell 612 35.9% 1,038 61.0% 53 1,703 R+25.0
Spencer 969 60.5% 596 37.2% 36 1,601 D+23.3
Wolfe 981 61.7% 583 36.7% 25 1,589 D+25.0
Lee 587 39.4% 881 59.1% 23 1,491 R+19.7
Rowan 650 44.9% 767 53.0% 30 1,447 R+8.1
Harlan 216 15.1% 1,189 83.1% 25 1,430 R+68.0
Clinton 360 26.0% 1,004 72.4% 22 1,386 R+46.5
Gallatin 933 69.4% 396 29.4% 16 1,345 D+39.9
Powell 688 51.3% 625 46.6% 28 1,341 D+4.7
Letcher 388 31.8% 813 66.6% 20 1,221 R+34.8
Knott 795 65.9% 404 33.5% 7 1,206 D+32.4
Owsley 197 16.5% 983 82.1% 17 1,197 R+65.7
Perry 340 28.4% 824 68.8% 33 1,197 R+40.4
Robertson 666 58.6% 449 39.5% 22 1,137 D+19.1
Menifee 636 63.0% 359 35.6% 14 1,009 D+27.5
Leslie 81 8.1% 913 91.4% 5 999 R+83.3
Martin 227 23.5% 730 75.7% 7 964 R+52.2

Counties as they stood in 1896; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4