United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 Senate election results by state and county

Democrats defied midterm history and gained a Senate seat, flipping Pennsylvania and holding every seat they defended to win a 51-49 majority.

34 Senate races were held in 2022, plus 2 special elections. Democrats won 15 and Republicans 19.

The closest were Nevada (D+0.8), Wisconsin (R+1.0) and Georgia (D+2.8). 3 seats changed party: Arizona to the Democrats, Georgia to the Democrats and Pennsylvania to the Democrats.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2022 Senate elections

The party in the White House usually loses ground in a midterm, and with inflation high and Joe Biden's approval low, Republicans expected gains. But the Supreme Court's ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade, along with several weak Republican candidates, changed the race. Republicans narrowly won the House, while Democrats gained a Senate seat. The only seat to change hands was Pennsylvania, where John Fetterman beat Mehmet Oz by 4.9 points. Democrats held all their own seats. In Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto beat Adam Laxalt by 0.8 points, and in Arizona Mark Kelly beat Blake Masters by 4.9 points. In Georgia, Raphael Warnock beat Herschel Walker in a December runoff, giving Democrats 51 seats. Maggie Hassan held New Hampshire easily. Republicans held their targets. Ron Johnson kept Wisconsin by 1 point against Mandela Barnes, J.D. Vance won Ohio by 6.1 points over Tim Ryan, and Ted Budd won North Carolina. Chuck Grassley won an eighth term in Iowa.

Every race

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
Alabama Will Boyd436,746 (30.7%) Katie Britt942,154 (66.3%) 41,791 R+35.6
Alaska Pat Chesbro27,145 (10.4%) Lisa Murkowski113,495 (43.4%) Kelly Tshibaka (Republican) 111,480 (42.6%)
R+33.0
Alaska: First-choice votes shown; Murkowski won the ranked-choice tabulation 136,330 to 117,534.
Arizona flip Mark Kelly1,321,911 (51.4%) Blake Masters1,196,308 (46.5%) 53,714 D+4.9
Arkansas Natalie James277,906 (31.0%) John Boozman590,508 (65.8%) 28,616 R+34.9
California Alex Padilla6,621,621 (61.1%) Mark Meuser4,222,029 (38.9%) D+22.1
California (special) Alex Padilla6,559,308 (60.9%) Mark Meuser4,212,450 (39.1%) D+21.8
Colorado Michael Bennet1,397,170 (55.9%) Joe O'Dea1,031,693 (41.3%) 71,338 D+14.6
Connecticut Richard Blumenthal723,864 (57.5%) Leora Levy535,943 (42.5%) 80 D+14.9
Florida Val Demings3,201,522 (41.1%) Marco Rubio4,474,846 (57.4%) 120,544 R+16.3
Georgia flip Raphael Warnock1,820,633 (51.4%) Herschel Walker1,721,244 (48.6%) D+2.8
Georgia: Decided in the December runoff.
Hawaii Brian Schatz290,894 (71.2%) Bob McDermott106,358 (26.0%) 11,265 D+45.2
Idaho David Roth169,808 (28.7%) Mike Crapo358,539 (60.7%) Scott Cleveland (Independent) 49,917 (8.4%)
R+31.9
Illinois Tammy Duckworth2,329,136 (56.8%) Kathy Salvi1,701,055 (41.5%) 68,705 D+15.3
Indiana Thomas McDermott Jr.704,411 (37.9%) Todd Young1,090,165 (58.6%) 65,275 R+20.7
Iowa Michael Franken533,330 (43.9%) Chuck Grassley681,501 (56.1%) R+12.2
Kansas Mark R Holland372,211 (37.0%) Jerry Moran602,971 (60.0%) 29,766 R+23.0
Kentucky Charles Booker564,231 (38.2%) Rand Paul913,257 (61.8%) R+23.6
Louisiana Gary Chambers246,933 (17.9%) John Kennedy851,568 (61.6%) Luke Mixon (Democratic) 182,887 (13.2%)
R+43.7
Maryland Chris Van Hollen1,317,231 (65.9%) Chris Chaffee682,293 (34.1%) 89 D+31.8
Missouri Trudy Busch Valentine872,694 (42.2%) Eric Schmitt1,146,966 (55.4%) 49,470 R+13.3
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto498,316 (48.8%) Adam Laxalt490,388 (48.0%) 32,146 D+0.8
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan332,193 (53.5%) Donald C Bolduc275,928 (44.5%) 12,390 D+9.1
New York Chuck Schumer3,320,561 (56.7%) Joe Pinion2,501,151 (42.7%) 30,995 D+14.0
North Carolina Cheri Beasley1,783,875 (47.3%) Ted Budd1,905,603 (50.5%) 81,562 R+3.2
North Dakota Katrina Christiansen59,995 (25.0%) John Hoeven135,474 (56.4%) Rick Becker (Independent) 44,406 (18.5%)
R+31.4
Ohio Tim Ryan1,939,489 (46.9%) Jd Vance2,192,114 (53.1%) R+6.1
Oklahoma Madison Horn369,370 (32.1%) James Lankford739,960 (64.3%) 41,402 R+32.2
Oklahoma (special) Kendra Horn405,389 (35.2%) Markwayne Mullin710,643 (61.8%) 34,449 R+26.5
Oregon Ron Wyden1,076,424 (55.9%) Jo Rae Perkins788,985 (41.0%) 60,320 D+14.9
Pennsylvania flip John K Fetterman2,750,317 (51.2%) Mehmet C Oz2,487,091 (46.3%) 129,230 D+4.9
South Carolina Krystle Matthews625,324 (37.0%) Tim Scott1,062,517 (62.9%) 1,787 R+25.9
South Dakota Brian L Bengs91,007 (26.1%) John R Thune242,316 (69.6%) 14,697 R+43.5
Utah none Mike Lee571,974 (53.2%) Evan McMullin (Independent) 459,958 (42.7%)
R+53.2
Vermont Peter Welch196,582 (68.6%) Gerald Malloy80,507 (28.1%) 9,454 D+40.5
Washington Patty Murray1,741,255 (57.3%) Tiffany Smiley1,297,894 (42.7%) D+14.6
Wisconsin Mandela Barnes1,310,467 (49.5%) Ron Johnson1,337,185 (50.5%) 67 R+1.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). How these results were checked.

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