United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election results by state and county

Donald Trump won the presidency with 304 electoral votes by narrowly carrying Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, even though Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote.

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton in 2016, winning 304 electoral votes to 227, with 7 going to other candidates. Hillary Clinton carried 21 states and Donald Trump 30. Across the states, the Democratic and Republican vote came to 65,853,516 and 62,984,825 (D+2.1 of all votes cast).

The closest states were Michigan (R+0.2), New Hampshire (D+0.4) and Pennsylvania (R+0.7). 6 states changed party from 2012: Florida to the Republicans, Iowa to the Republicans, Michigan to the Republicans, Ohio to the Republicans, Pennsylvania to the Republicans and Wisconsin to the Republicans.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2016 presidential election

Obama was barred from a third term. Democrats nominated Hillary Clinton, the former secretary of state, senator and first lady, after a primary contest against Bernie Sanders. Republicans chose Donald Trump, a New York real estate developer and television personality with no experience in office, who beat a large primary field on promises to restrict immigration, renegotiate trade deals and "drain the swamp." The FBI's handling of Clinton's private email server hung over the final days of the race. Clinton won the popular vote by about 2 points, but Trump won 30 states. He flipped six states Obama had carried in 2012: Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The last three had voted Democratic for president in every election since 1988 and were decided by under a point each: Michigan by 0.2, Pennsylvania by 0.7 and Wisconsin by 0.8. Trump also took one electoral vote from Maine's northern district. Clinton held New Hampshire by 0.4. State polls, especially in the upper Midwest, underestimated Trump's support among white voters without college degrees. Seven electors broke from their pledges, the most in over a century, leaving the count at 304 to 227.

Every state

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin EV
Alabama Hillary Clinton729,547 (34.4%) Donald Trump1,318,255 (62.1%) 75,570 R+27.7 9
Alaska Hillary Clinton116,454 (36.6%) Donald Trump163,387 (51.3%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 18,725 (5.9%)
R+14.7 3
Arizona Hillary Clinton1,161,167 (45.1%) Donald Trump1,252,401 (48.7%) 159,597 R+3.6 11
Arkansas Hillary Clinton380,494 (33.7%) Donald Trump684,872 (60.6%) 65,310 R+26.9 6
California Hillary Clinton8,753,788 (61.7%) Donald Trump4,483,810 (31.6%) 943,997 D+30.1 55
Colorado Hillary Clinton1,338,870 (48.2%) Donald Trump1,202,484 (43.3%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 144,121 (5.2%)
D+4.9 9
Connecticut Hillary Clinton897,572 (54.6%) Donald Trump673,215 (40.9%) 74,133 D+13.6 7
Delaware Hillary Clinton235,603 (53.1%) Donald Trump185,127 (41.7%) 23,084 D+11.4 3
District of Columbia Hillary Clinton282,830 (90.9%) Donald Trump12,723 (4.1%) 15,715 D+86.8 3
Florida flip Hillary Clinton4,504,975 (47.8%) Donald Trump4,617,886 (49.0%) 297,178 R+1.2 29
Georgia Hillary Clinton1,877,963 (45.6%) Donald Trump2,089,104 (50.8%) 147,665 R+5.1 16
Hawaii Hillary Clinton266,891 (62.2%) Donald Trump128,847 (30.0%) 33,199 D+32.2 4
Idaho Hillary Clinton189,765 (27.5%) Donald Trump409,055 (59.3%) Evan McMullin (Independent) 46,476 (6.7%)
R+31.8 4
Illinois Hillary Clinton3,090,729 (55.8%) Donald Trump2,146,015 (38.8%) 299,680 D+17.1 20
Indiana Hillary Clinton1,033,126 (37.8%) Donald Trump1,557,286 (56.9%) 144,546 R+19.2 11
Iowa flip Hillary Clinton653,669 (41.7%) Donald Trump800,983 (51.1%) 111,379 R+9.4 6
Kansas Hillary Clinton427,005 (36.1%) Donald Trump671,018 (56.7%) 86,379 R+20.6 6
Kentucky Hillary Clinton628,854 (32.7%) Donald Trump1,202,971 (62.5%) 92,324 R+29.8 8
Louisiana Hillary Clinton780,154 (38.4%) Donald Trump1,178,638 (58.1%) 70,240 R+19.6 8
Maine Hillary Clinton357,735 (47.8%) Donald Trump335,593 (44.9%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 38,105 (5.1%)
D+3.0 4
Maryland Hillary Clinton1,677,928 (60.3%) Donald Trump943,169 (33.9%) 160,349 D+26.4 10
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton1,995,196 (60.0%) Donald Trump1,090,893 (32.8%) 238,957 D+27.2 11
Michigan flip Hillary Clinton2,268,839 (47.3%) Donald Trump2,279,543 (47.5%) 250,902 R+0.2 16
Minnesota Hillary Clinton1,367,716 (46.4%) Donald Trump1,322,951 (44.9%) 254,146 D+1.5 10
Mississippi Hillary Clinton485,131 (40.1%) Donald Trump700,714 (57.9%) 23,512 R+17.8 6
Missouri Hillary Clinton1,071,068 (38.1%) Donald Trump1,594,511 (56.8%) 143,026 R+18.6 10
Montana Hillary Clinton177,709 (35.7%) Donald Trump279,240 (56.2%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 28,037 (5.6%)
R+20.4 3
Nebraska Hillary Clinton284,494 (33.7%) Donald Trump495,961 (58.7%) 63,772 R+25.1 5
Nevada Hillary Clinton539,260 (47.9%) Donald Trump512,058 (45.5%) 74,067 D+2.4 6
New Hampshire Hillary Clinton348,526 (46.8%) Donald Trump345,790 (46.5%) 49,980 D+0.4 4
New Jersey Hillary Clinton2,148,278 (55.5%) Donald Trump1,601,933 (41.4%) 123,835 D+14.1 14
New Mexico Hillary Clinton385,234 (48.3%) Donald Trump319,667 (40.0%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 74,541 (9.3%)
D+8.2 5
New York Hillary Clinton4,556,124 (59.0%) Donald Trump2,819,534 (36.5%) 345,795 D+22.5 29
North Carolina Hillary Clinton2,189,316 (46.2%) Donald Trump2,362,631 (49.8%) 189,617 R+3.7 15
North Dakota Hillary Clinton93,758 (27.2%) Donald Trump216,794 (63.0%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 21,434 (6.2%)
R+35.7 3
Ohio flip Hillary Clinton2,394,164 (43.6%) Donald Trump2,841,005 (51.7%) 261,318 R+8.1 18
Oklahoma Hillary Clinton420,375 (28.9%) Donald Trump949,136 (65.3%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 83,481 (5.7%)
R+36.4 7
Oregon Hillary Clinton1,002,106 (50.1%) Donald Trump782,403 (39.1%) 216,827 D+11.0 7
Pennsylvania flip Hillary Clinton2,926,441 (47.5%) Donald Trump2,970,733 (48.2%) 268,304 R+0.7 20
Rhode Island Hillary Clinton252,525 (54.4%) Donald Trump180,543 (38.9%) 31,076 D+15.5 4
South Carolina Hillary Clinton855,373 (40.7%) Donald Trump1,155,389 (54.9%) 92,265 R+14.3 9
South Dakota Hillary Clinton117,458 (31.7%) Donald Trump227,721 (61.5%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 20,850 (5.6%)
R+29.8 3
Tennessee Hillary Clinton870,695 (34.7%) Donald Trump1,522,925 (60.7%) 114,407 R+26.0 11
Texas Hillary Clinton3,877,868 (43.2%) Donald Trump4,685,047 (52.2%) 406,311 R+9.0 38
Utah Hillary Clinton310,676 (27.5%) Donald Trump515,231 (45.5%) Evan McMullin (Independent) 243,690 (21.5%)
R+18.1 6
Vermont Hillary Clinton178,573 (56.7%) Donald Trump95,369 (30.3%) Bernie Sanders (Independent) 18,218 (5.8%)
D+26.4 3
Virginia Hillary Clinton1,981,473 (49.7%) Donald Trump1,769,443 (44.4%) 233,715 D+5.3 13
Washington Hillary Clinton1,742,718 (52.5%) Donald Trump1,221,747 (36.8%) 352,554 D+15.7 12
West Virginia Hillary Clinton188,794 (26.4%) Donald Trump489,371 (68.5%) 36,258 R+42.1 5
Wisconsin flip Hillary Clinton1,382,536 (46.5%) Donald Trump1,405,284 (47.2%) 188,330 R+0.8 10
Wyoming Hillary Clinton55,973 (21.9%) Donald Trump174,419 (68.2%) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 13,287 (5.2%)
R+46.3 3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). Maine and Nebraska are shown whole, without their district votes. How these results were checked.

Every election since 1868 → · The 2028 election map →