Election 2004 Results
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2004 presidential election results by state and county
George W. Bush won re-election over John Kerry, 286 electoral votes to 251, with Ohio deciding the outcome in a campaign dominated by Iraq and terrorism.
George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry in 2004, winning 286 electoral votes to 251, with 1 going to other candidates. John Kerry carried 20 states and George W. Bush 31. Across the states, the Democratic and Republican vote came to 59,028,448 and 62,040,606 (R+2.5 of all votes cast).
The closest states were Wisconsin (D+0.4), Iowa (R+0.7) and New Mexico (R+0.8). 3 states changed party from 2000: Iowa to the Republicans, New Hampshire to the Democrats and New Mexico to the Republicans.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
About the 2004 presidential election
Bush's first term was defined by the September 11 attacks, the war in Afghanistan and the 2003 invasion of Iraq, which became more divisive as the occupation dragged on and no weapons of mass destruction were found. Democrats nominated John Kerry, a senator from Massachusetts and Vietnam veteran. His war record was attacked by a group of veterans in the "Swift Boat" advertisements, and Republicans portrayed him as indecisive. Bush won about 51 percent of the popular vote, the first popular-vote majority for any presidential candidate since 1988. The map barely moved from 2000. Only three states changed hands: Bush took Iowa by 0.7 points and New Mexico by 0.8, while Kerry won New Hampshire by 1.4. Ohio, which Bush held by 2.1 points, was the decisive state, and Kerry conceded the morning after the election once it was clear he could not overtake Bush's lead there. Kerry held Wisconsin by 0.4. The count was 286 for Bush and 251 for Kerry, with one Minnesota elector casting a vote for Kerry's running mate, John Edwards. Republicans also gained seats in both houses of Congress.
Every state
| State | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | John Kerry | 693,933 (36.8%) | George W. Bush | 1,176,394 (62.5%) | 13,088 | R+25.6 | 9 |
| Alaska | John Kerry | 111,025 (35.5%) | George W. Bush | 190,889 (61.1%) | 10,684 | R+25.6 | 3 |
| Arizona | John Kerry | 893,524 (44.4%) | George W. Bush | 1,104,294 (54.9%) | 14,767 | R+10.5 | 10 |
| Arkansas | John Kerry | 469,953 (44.5%) | George W. Bush | 572,898 (54.3%) | 12,094 | R+9.8 | 6 |
| California | John Kerry | 6,745,485 (54.3%) | George W. Bush | 5,509,826 (44.4%) | 166,042 | D+10.0 | 55 |
| Colorado | John Kerry | 1,001,732 (47.0%) | George W. Bush | 1,101,255 (51.7%) | 26,643 | R+4.7 | 9 |
| Connecticut | John Kerry | 857,488 (54.3%) | George W. Bush | 693,826 (43.9%) | 27,455 | D+10.4 | 7 |
| Delaware | John Kerry | 200,152 (53.3%) | George W. Bush | 171,660 (45.8%) | 3,378 | D+7.6 | 3 |
| District of Columbia | John Kerry | 202,970 (89.2%) | George W. Bush | 21,256 (9.3%) | 3,360 | D+79.8 | 3 |
| Florida | John Kerry | 3,583,544 (47.1%) | George W. Bush | 3,964,522 (52.1%) | 61,744 | R+5.0 | 27 |
| Georgia | John Kerry | 1,366,149 (41.4%) | George W. Bush | 1,914,254 (58.0%) | 21,472 | R+16.6 | 15 |
| Hawaii | John Kerry | 231,708 (54.0%) | George W. Bush | 194,191 (45.3%) | 3,114 | D+8.7 | 4 |
| Idaho | John Kerry | 181,098 (30.3%) | George W. Bush | 409,235 (68.4%) | 8,043 | R+38.1 | 4 |
| Illinois | John Kerry | 2,891,550 (54.8%) | George W. Bush | 2,345,946 (44.5%) | 36,826 | D+10.3 | 21 |
| Indiana | John Kerry | 969,011 (39.3%) | George W. Bush | 1,479,438 (59.9%) | 19,553 | R+20.7 | 11 |
| Iowa flip | John Kerry | 741,898 (49.2%) | George W. Bush | 751,957 (49.9%) | 13,053 | R+0.7 | 7 |
| Kansas | John Kerry | 434,993 (36.6%) | George W. Bush | 736,456 (62.0%) | 16,307 | R+25.4 | 6 |
| Kentucky | John Kerry | 712,733 (39.7%) | George W. Bush | 1,069,439 (59.5%) | 13,710 | R+19.9 | 8 |
| Louisiana | John Kerry | 820,299 (42.2%) | George W. Bush | 1,102,169 (56.7%) | 20,638 | R+14.5 | 9 |
| Maine | John Kerry | 396,842 (53.6%) | George W. Bush | 330,201 (44.6%) | 13,709 | D+9.0 | 4 |
| Maryland | John Kerry | 1,334,534 (56.0%) | George W. Bush | 1,024,703 (43.0%) | 25,001 | D+13.0 | 10 |
| Massachusetts | John Kerry | 1,803,800 (61.9%) | George W. Bush | 1,071,109 (36.8%) | 37,479 | D+25.2 | 12 |
| Michigan | John Kerry | 2,479,183 (51.2%) | George W. Bush | 2,313,746 (47.8%) | 46,323 | D+3.4 | 17 |
| Minnesota | John Kerry | 1,445,014 (51.1%) | George W. Bush | 1,346,695 (47.6%) | 36,678 | D+3.5 | 10 |
| Mississippi | John Kerry | 458,094 (39.8%) | George W. Bush | 684,981 (59.5%) | 9,070 | R+19.7 | 6 |
| Missouri | John Kerry | 1,259,171 (46.1%) | George W. Bush | 1,455,713 (53.3%) | 16,480 | R+7.2 | 11 |
| Montana | John Kerry | 173,710 (38.6%) | George W. Bush | 266,063 (59.1%) | 10,661 | R+20.5 | 3 |
| Nebraska | John Kerry | 254,328 (32.7%) | George W. Bush | 512,814 (65.9%) | 11,044 | R+33.2 | 5 |
| Nevada | John Kerry | 397,190 (47.9%) | George W. Bush | 418,690 (50.5%) | 13,707 | R+2.6 | 5 |
| New Hampshire flip | John Kerry | 340,511 (50.2%) | George W. Bush | 331,237 (48.8%) | 6,539 | D+1.4 | 4 |
| New Jersey | John Kerry | 1,911,430 (52.9%) | George W. Bush | 1,670,003 (46.2%) | 30,258 | D+6.7 | 15 |
| New Mexico flip | John Kerry | 370,942 (49.0%) | George W. Bush | 376,930 (49.8%) | 8,432 | R+0.8 | 5 |
| New York | John Kerry | 4,314,280 (58.4%) | George W. Bush | 2,962,567 (40.1%) | 114,189 | D+18.3 | 31 |
| North Carolina | John Kerry | 1,525,849 (43.6%) | George W. Bush | 1,961,166 (56.0%) | 13,992 | R+12.4 | 15 |
| North Dakota | John Kerry | 111,052 (35.5%) | George W. Bush | 196,651 (62.9%) | 5,130 | R+27.4 | 3 |
| Ohio | John Kerry | 2,741,165 (48.7%) | George W. Bush | 2,859,764 (50.8%) | 26,974 | R+2.1 | 20 |
| Oklahoma | John Kerry | 503,966 (34.4%) | George W. Bush | 959,792 (65.6%) | R+31.1 | 7 | |
| Oregon | John Kerry | 943,163 (51.3%) | George W. Bush | 866,831 (47.2%) | 26,788 | D+4.2 | 7 |
| Pennsylvania | John Kerry | 2,938,095 (50.9%) | George W. Bush | 2,793,847 (48.4%) | 37,648 | D+2.5 | 21 |
| Rhode Island | John Kerry | 259,760 (59.4%) | George W. Bush | 169,046 (38.7%) | 8,328 | D+20.8 | 4 |
| South Carolina | John Kerry | 661,669 (40.9%) | George W. Bush | 937,974 (58.0%) | 18,057 | R+17.1 | 8 |
| South Dakota | John Kerry | 149,244 (38.4%) | George W. Bush | 232,584 (59.9%) | 6,387 | R+21.5 | 3 |
| Tennessee | John Kerry | 1,036,477 (42.5%) | George W. Bush | 1,384,375 (56.8%) | 16,467 | R+14.3 | 11 |
| Texas | John Kerry | 2,832,704 (38.2%) | George W. Bush | 4,526,917 (61.1%) | 51,128 | R+22.9 | 34 |
| Utah | John Kerry | 241,199 (26.0%) | George W. Bush | 663,742 (71.5%) | 22,903 | R+45.5 | 5 |
| Vermont | John Kerry | 184,067 (58.9%) | George W. Bush | 121,180 (38.8%) | 7,062 | D+20.1 | 3 |
| Virginia | John Kerry | 1,454,742 (45.5%) | George W. Bush | 1,716,959 (53.7%) | 23,714 | R+8.2 | 13 |
| Washington | John Kerry | 1,510,201 (52.8%) | George W. Bush | 1,304,894 (45.6%) | 43,989 | D+7.2 | 11 |
| West Virginia | John Kerry | 326,541 (43.2%) | George W. Bush | 423,778 (56.1%) | 5,473 | R+12.9 | 5 |
| Wisconsin | John Kerry | 1,489,504 (49.7%) | George W. Bush | 1,478,120 (49.3%) | 29,383 | D+0.4 | 10 |
| Wyoming | John Kerry | 70,776 (29.0%) | George W. Bush | 167,629 (68.7%) | 5,456 | R+39.7 | 3 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). Maine and Nebraska are shown whole, without their district votes. How these results were checked.