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United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Tennessee
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Tennessee

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2004, 56.8% to 42.5%, a margin of 14.3 points and 347,898 votes.

Tennessee voted 11.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 78 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 17. The largest, Shelby, cast 375,584 votes and went to the Democrat by 15.5 points. The closest was Clay, where 26 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 1,384,375 56.8%
John Kerry Democratic 1,036,477 42.5%
All other candidates 16,467 0.7%
Total2,437,319

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 215,810 57.5% 157,591 42.0% 2,183 375,584 D+15.5
Davidson 132,362 54.8% 107,618 44.5% 1,695 241,675 D+10.2
Knox 65,921 37.0% 110,653 62.1% 1,601 178,175 R+25.1
Hamilton 57,268 41.8% 78,513 57.4% 1,082 136,863 R+15.5
Rutherford 31,639 37.5% 52,189 61.8% 562 84,390 R+24.4
Williamson 21,719 27.3% 57,409 72.1% 449 79,577 R+44.8
Sullivan 19,626 31.4% 42,526 67.9% 446 62,598 R+36.6
Sumner 21,439 34.6% 40,141 64.8% 329 61,909 R+30.2
Montgomery 20,061 41.0% 28,615 58.4% 299 48,975 R+17.5
Blount 15,042 30.9% 33,240 68.2% 428 48,710 R+37.4
Washington 14,937 33.2% 29,720 66.1% 327 44,984 R+32.9
Wilson 15,256 34.4% 28,896 65.1% 251 44,403 R+30.7
Madison 16,837 43.5% 21,672 56.1% 156 38,665 R+12.5
Bradley 9,426 26.5% 25,942 72.8% 255 35,623 R+46.4
Anderson 12,896 40.7% 18,510 58.4% 276 31,682 R+17.7
Sevier 8,613 27.8% 22,127 71.5% 204 30,944 R+43.7
Maury 12,372 41.2% 17,495 58.3% 159 30,026 R+17.1
Putnam 10,549 39.9% 15,619 59.1% 239 26,407 R+19.2
Robertson 9,863 39.0% 15,329 60.5% 127 25,319 R+21.6
Greene 7,625 31.5% 16,374 67.7% 173 24,172 R+36.2
Cumberland 8,326 35.2% 15,142 64.1% 166 23,634 R+28.8
Roane 8,676 37.3% 14,423 62.0% 165 23,264 R+24.7
Carter 6,390 28.7% 15,763 70.7% 149 22,302 R+42.0
Hamblen 7,426 33.3% 14,733 66.1% 143 22,302 R+32.8
Tipton 7,379 34.0% 14,178 65.4% 120 21,677 R+31.4
Hawkins 6,683 33.0% 13,445 66.5% 102 20,230 R+33.4
Coffee 8,238 40.9% 11,785 58.5% 131 20,154 R+17.6
Loudon 5,706 28.7% 14,041 70.7% 115 19,862 R+42.0
Dickson 8,592 44.6% 10,557 54.7% 134 19,283 R+10.2
Gibson 8,509 44.3% 10,596 55.1% 114 19,219 R+10.9
McMinn 5,889 32.7% 11,978 66.5% 132 17,999 R+33.8
Jefferson 5,469 31.8% 11,617 67.5% 121 17,207 R+35.7
Franklin 7,797 45.7% 9,126 53.5% 147 17,070 R+7.8
Lawrence 6,592 39.6% 9,952 59.8% 107 16,651 R+20.2
Cheatham 5,918 37.7% 9,676 61.6% 103 15,697 R+23.9
Monroe 5,349 34.4% 10,113 65.0% 91 15,553 R+30.6
Fayette 5,692 38.6% 8,960 60.8% 79 14,731 R+22.2
Warren 6,803 47.3% 7,502 52.1% 89 14,394 R+4.9
Campbell 6,163 43.7% 7,859 55.7% 96 14,118 R+12.0
Dyer 5,287 38.3% 8,447 61.2% 75 13,809 R+22.9
Bedford 5,261 38.4% 8,348 61.0% 87 13,696 R+22.5
Obion 5,549 41.0% 7,859 58.1% 127 13,535 R+17.1
Weakley 5,584 41.4% 7,816 57.9% 91 13,491 R+16.5
Lincoln 4,546 36.5% 7,827 62.8% 82 12,455 R+26.3
Cocke 3,932 32.0% 8,290 67.4% 79 12,301 R+35.4
Henry 5,728 47.1% 6,337 52.1% 105 12,170 R+5.0
Carroll 5,070 43.1% 6,603 56.2% 82 11,755 R+13.0
Giles 5,273 45.7% 6,162 53.4% 101 11,536 R+7.7
Marion 5,548 48.3% 5,862 51.0% 82 11,492 R+2.7
Rhea 3,663 33.2% 7,288 66.0% 86 11,037 R+32.8
Marshall 4,722 44.5% 5,825 54.9% 68 10,615 R+10.4
Claiborne 4,033 38.3% 6,447 61.2% 58 10,538 R+22.9
Hardeman 5,683 54.3% 4,702 44.9% 77 10,462 D+9.4
Henderson 3,448 34.2% 6,585 65.2% 63 10,096 R+31.1
Hardin 3,834 38.5% 6,087 61.2% 33 9,954 R+22.6
McNairy 4,101 41.3% 5,787 58.3% 36 9,924 R+17.0
White 4,147 43.7% 5,268 55.5% 79 9,494 R+11.8
Lauderdale 4,473 51.5% 4,164 48.0% 44 8,681 D+3.6
Hickman 4,261 49.1% 4,359 50.3% 51 8,671 R+1.1
Overton 4,518 53.1% 3,941 46.3% 51 8,510 D+6.8
Smith 4,038 51.6% 3,738 47.8% 45 7,821 D+3.8
Humphreys 4,485 57.6% 3,261 41.8% 47 7,793 D+15.7
Scott 3,085 40.5% 4,508 59.1% 33 7,626 R+18.7
Haywood 4,359 57.8% 3,140 41.6% 49 7,548 D+16.1
Grainger 2,569 34.1% 4,905 65.2% 51 7,525 R+31.0
Unicoi 2,372 31.8% 5,026 67.4% 59 7,457 R+35.6
Macon 2,739 36.8% 4,670 62.8% 25 7,434 R+26.0
Morgan 2,924 39.7% 4,401 59.8% 35 7,360 R+20.1
DeKalb 3,445 48.0% 3,685 51.4% 43 7,173 R+3.3
Benton 3,869 54.6% 3,161 44.6% 60 7,090 D+10.0
Union 2,524 37.6% 4,145 61.8% 41 6,710 R+24.2
Fentress 2,371 35.4% 4,293 64.1% 36 6,700 R+28.7
Polk 2,724 40.7% 3,923 58.6% 52 6,699 R+17.9
Johnson 1,810 27.9% 4,632 71.5% 34 6,476 R+43.6
Chester 2,182 34.7% 4,086 64.9% 29 6,297 R+30.2
Wayne 1,951 32.6% 3,998 66.8% 34 5,983 R+34.2
Crockett 2,455 43.0% 3,239 56.7% 21 5,715 R+13.7
Stewart 2,860 51.2% 2,675 47.9% 48 5,583 D+3.3
Cannon 2,510 45.9% 2,923 53.5% 34 5,467 R+7.6
Lewis 2,191 43.4% 2,819 55.8% 43 5,053 R+12.4
Jackson 2,996 59.3% 2,024 40.1% 32 5,052 D+19.2
Sequatchie 1,986 39.9% 2,950 59.2% 46 4,982 R+19.3
Grundy 2,787 56.6% 2,102 42.7% 34 4,923 D+13.9
Decatur 2,268 46.5% 2,566 52.6% 45 4,879 R+6.1
Bledsoe 1,927 40.1% 2,849 59.4% 24 4,800 R+19.2
Meigs 1,595 38.6% 2,499 60.5% 37 4,131 R+21.9
Houston 2,126 59.2% 1,438 40.0% 29 3,593 D+19.1
Clay 1,673 49.9% 1,647 49.1% 32 3,352 D+0.8
Trousdale 1,850 58.0% 1,314 41.2% 26 3,190 D+16.8
Perry 1,579 50.2% 1,520 48.3% 49 3,148 D+1.9
Moore 1,084 39.1% 1,667 60.1% 22 2,773 R+21.0
Pickett 1,033 39.1% 1,600 60.5% 12 2,645 R+21.4
Hancock 776 30.4% 1,756 68.9% 18 2,550 R+38.4
Lake 1,039 43.8% 1,317 55.6% 14 2,370 R+11.7
Van Buren 1,209 51.5% 1,119 47.7% 18 2,346 D+3.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9