Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 presidential election in New Jersey
John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in New Jersey in 2004, 52.9% to 46.2%, a margin of 6.7 points and 241,427 votes.
New Jersey voted 9.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.
Democrats led in 12 of the 21 counties and Republicans in 9. The largest, Bergen, cast 400,244 votes and went to the Democrat by 4.5 points. The closest was Salem, where 1,972 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Kerry won | Democratic | 1,911,430 | 52.9% |
| George W. Bush | Republican | 1,670,003 | 46.2% |
| All other candidates | 30,258 | 0.8% | |
| Total | 3,611,691 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen | 207,666 51.9% | 189,833 47.4% | 2,745 | 400,244 | D+4.5 |
| Monmouth | 133,773 44.6% | 163,650 54.6% | 2,516 | 299,939 | R+10.0 |
| Middlesex | 166,628 56.3% | 126,492 42.8% | 2,685 | 295,805 | D+13.6 |
| Essex | 203,681 70.4% | 83,374 28.8% | 2,293 | 289,348 | D+41.6 |
| Ocean | 99,839 39.3% | 152,204 59.9% | 2,263 | 254,306 | R+20.6 |
| Morris | 98,066 41.7% | 135,241 57.5% | 1,847 | 235,154 | R+15.8 |
| Camden | 137,765 62.4% | 81,427 36.9% | 1,741 | 220,933 | D+25.5 |
| Burlington | 110,411 53.1% | 95,936 46.1% | 1,609 | 207,956 | D+7.0 |
| Union | 119,372 58.7% | 82,517 40.6% | 1,498 | 203,387 | D+18.1 |
| Hudson | 127,447 67.3% | 60,646 32.0% | 1,353 | 189,446 | D+35.3 |
| Passaic | 94,962 55.4% | 75,200 43.9% | 1,149 | 171,311 | D+11.5 |
| Mercer | 91,580 61.3% | 56,604 37.9% | 1,326 | 149,510 | D+23.4 |
| Somerset | 66,476 47.4% | 72,508 51.7% | 1,295 | 140,279 | R+4.3 |
| Gloucester | 66,835 52.2% | 60,033 46.9% | 1,096 | 127,964 | D+5.3 |
| Atlantic | 55,746 52.5% | 49,487 46.6% | 864 | 106,097 | D+5.9 |
| Sussex | 23,990 34.6% | 44,506 64.1% | 900 | 69,396 | R+29.6 |
| Hunterdon | 26,050 39.1% | 39,888 59.8% | 742 | 66,680 | R+20.8 |
| Cumberland | 27,875 52.4% | 24,362 45.8% | 948 | 53,185 | D+6.6 |
| Cape May | 21,475 42.3% | 28,832 56.8% | 455 | 50,762 | R+14.5 |
| Warren | 18,044 37.4% | 29,542 61.3% | 622 | 48,208 | R+23.9 |
| Salem | 13,749 46.2% | 15,721 52.8% | 311 | 29,781 | R+6.6 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New Jersey in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+5.9 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+15.9 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+14.1 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+17.8 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+15.6 |
| 2004 | John Kerry (D) | D+6.7 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+15.8 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+17.9 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.4 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+13.6 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+20.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+13.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+2.2 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+24.8 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+2.1 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+31.7 |
| 1960 | John F. Kennedy (D) | D+0.8 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+30.5 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+14.8 |
| 1948 | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | R+4.4 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+1.4 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+3.6 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+20.0 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+1.9 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+20.0 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+34.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+39.2 |
| 1916 | Charles Evans Hughes (R) | R+11.7 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+20.7 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+17.7 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+18.6 |
| 1900 | William McKinley (R) | R+14.2 |
| 1896 | William McKinley (R) | R+23.6 |
| 1892 | Grover Cleveland (D) | D+4.4 |
| 1888 | Grover Cleveland (D) | D+2.4 |
| 1884 | Grover Cleveland (D) | D+1.7 |
| 1880 | Winfield Scott Hancock (D) | D+0.8 |
| 1876 | Samuel J. Tilden (D) | D+5.7 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+9.0 |
| 1868 | Horatio Seymour (D) | D+1.8 |