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United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Florida
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Florida

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Florida in 2004, 52.1% to 47.1%, a margin of 5.0 points and 380,978 votes.

Florida voted 2.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 56 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 774,726 votes and went to the Democrat by 6.3 points. The closest was Madison, where 141 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 3,964,522 52.1%
John Kerry Democratic 3,583,544 47.1%
All other candidates 61,744 0.8%
Total7,609,810

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 409,732 52.9% 361,095 46.6% 3,899 774,726 D+6.3
Broward 453,873 64.2% 244,674 34.6% 8,325 706,872 D+29.6
Palm Beach 328,687 60.4% 212,688 39.1% 3,247 544,622 D+21.3
Hillsborough 214,132 46.2% 245,576 53.0% 3,514 463,222 R+6.8
Pinellas 225,460 49.5% 225,686 49.6% 4,211 455,357 level
Orange 193,354 49.8% 192,539 49.6% 2,151 388,044 D+0.2
Duval 158,610 41.6% 220,190 57.8% 2,261 381,061 R+16.2
Brevard 110,309 41.6% 153,068 57.7% 2,085 265,462 R+16.1
Lee 93,860 39.0% 144,176 59.9% 2,631 240,667 R+20.9
Volusia 115,519 50.5% 111,924 48.9% 1,496 228,939 D+1.6
Polk 86,009 40.8% 123,559 58.6% 1,262 210,830 R+17.8
Sarasota 88,442 45.2% 104,692 53.5% 2,518 195,652 R+8.3
Pasco 84,749 44.4% 103,230 54.1% 2,937 190,916 R+9.7
Seminole 76,971 41.3% 108,172 58.1% 1,052 186,195 R+16.8
Manatee 61,262 42.7% 81,318 56.6% 1,041 143,621 R+14.0
Escambia 48,329 33.7% 93,566 65.3% 1,383 143,278 R+31.6
Marion 57,271 41.0% 81,283 58.2% 1,123 139,677 R+17.2
Leon 83,873 61.5% 51,615 37.8% 891 136,379 D+23.7
Collier 43,892 34.1% 83,631 65.0% 1,160 128,683 R+30.9
Lake 48,221 38.9% 74,389 60.0% 1,340 123,950 R+21.1
Alachua 62,504 56.1% 47,762 42.9% 1,062 111,328 D+13.2
St. Lucie 51,835 51.8% 47,592 47.6% 636 100,063 D+4.2
Okaloosa 19,368 21.6% 69,693 77.6% 695 89,756 R+56.1
St. Johns 26,399 30.6% 59,196 68.6% 695 86,290 R+38.0
Osceola 38,633 47.0% 43,117 52.5% 454 82,204 R+5.5
Clay 18,971 23.3% 62,078 76.2% 446 81,495 R+52.9
Hernando 37,187 46.2% 42,635 52.9% 725 80,547 R+6.8
Charlotte 34,256 42.9% 44,428 55.7% 1,102 79,786 R+12.7
Bay 21,068 28.1% 53,404 71.2% 552 75,024 R+43.1
Martin 30,208 41.7% 41,362 57.1% 883 72,453 R+15.4
Citrus 29,277 42.1% 39,500 56.9% 690 69,467 R+14.7
Santa Rosa 14,659 21.8% 52,059 77.3% 589 67,307 R+55.6
Indian River 23,956 39.0% 36,938 60.1% 520 61,414 R+21.1
Highlands 15,347 37.0% 25,878 62.4% 271 41,496 R+25.4
Monroe 19,654 49.7% 19,467 49.2% 414 39,535 D+0.5
Flagler 18,578 48.3% 19,633 51.0% 269 38,480 R+2.7
Nassau 8,573 26.2% 23,783 72.6% 387 32,743 R+46.5
Sumter 11,584 36.4% 19,800 62.2% 458 31,842 R+25.8
Putnam 12,412 40.1% 18,311 59.1% 250 30,973 R+19.0
Columbia 8,031 32.1% 16,758 67.1% 202 24,991 R+34.9
Walton 6,213 25.9% 17,555 73.2% 208 23,976 R+47.3
Gadsden 14,629 69.7% 6,253 29.8% 102 20,984 D+39.9
Jackson 7,555 38.1% 12,122 61.2% 130 19,807 R+23.1
Levy 6,074 36.5% 10,410 62.5% 168 16,652 R+26.0
Suwannee 4,522 28.6% 11,153 70.6% 127 15,802 R+42.0
Okeechobee 5,153 42.3% 6,978 57.2% 59 12,190 R+15.0
Wakulla 4,896 41.6% 6,777 57.6% 90 11,763 R+16.0
Bradford 3,244 29.9% 7,557 69.6% 54 10,855 R+39.7
Washington 2,912 28.1% 7,369 71.1% 85 10,366 R+43.0
Baker 2,180 21.9% 7,738 77.7% 37 9,955 R+55.8
Hendry 3,960 40.5% 5,757 58.9% 58 9,775 R+18.4
Desoto 3,913 41.1% 5,524 58.1% 73 9,510 R+16.9
Taylor 3,049 35.5% 5,467 63.7% 65 8,581 R+28.2
Madison 4,050 48.8% 4,191 50.5% 63 8,304 R+1.7
Holmes 1,810 21.8% 6,412 77.3% 78 8,300 R+55.4
Jefferson 4,135 55.3% 3,298 44.1% 45 7,478 D+11.2
Gulf 2,407 33.1% 4,805 66.0% 65 7,277 R+33.0
Hardee 2,149 29.6% 5,049 69.7% 51 7,249 R+40.0
Gilchrist 2,017 28.8% 4,936 70.4% 62 7,015 R+41.6
Dixie 1,960 30.4% 4,434 68.8% 48 6,442 R+38.4
Calhoun 2,116 35.5% 3,782 63.4% 65 5,963 R+27.9
Franklin 2,401 40.5% 3,472 58.5% 58 5,931 R+18.1
Hamilton 2,260 44.5% 2,792 55.0% 27 5,079 R+10.5
Union 1,251 26.8% 3,396 72.6% 28 4,675 R+45.9
Glades 1,718 41.0% 2,443 58.3% 27 4,188 R+17.3
Lafayette 845 25.4% 2,460 74.0% 20 3,325 R+48.6
Liberty 1,070 35.4% 1,927 63.8% 24 3,021 R+28.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0