United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Ohio
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Ohio

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Ohio in 2004, 50.8% to 48.7%, a margin of 2.1 points and 118,599 votes.

Ohio voted 0.4 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 72 of the 88 counties and Democrats in 16. The largest, Cuyahoga, cast 673,766 votes and went to the Democrat by 33.7 points. The closest was Harrison, where 494 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 2,859,764 50.8%
John Kerry Democratic 2,741,165 48.7%
All other candidates 26,974 0.5%
Total5,627,903

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Cuyahoga 448,486 66.6% 221,606 32.9% 3,674 673,766 D+33.7
Franklin 285,800 54.4% 237,252 45.1% 2,772 525,824 D+9.2
Hamilton 199,499 47.1% 222,404 52.5% 1,731 423,634 R+5.4
Montgomery 142,977 50.6% 138,361 49.0% 1,215 282,553 D+1.6
Summit 156,578 56.7% 118,553 42.9% 1,173 276,304 D+13.8
Lucas 132,536 60.2% 87,106 39.6% 547 220,189 D+20.6
Stark 95,338 50.6% 92,211 48.9% 907 188,456 D+1.7
Butler 56,234 33.7% 109,866 65.9% 702 166,802 R+32.2
Lorain 78,965 56.1% 61,196 43.5% 569 140,730 D+12.6
Mahoning 83,069 62.6% 48,712 36.7% 950 132,731 D+25.9
Lake 59,049 48.5% 62,193 51.1% 581 121,823 R+2.6
Trumbull 66,673 61.7% 40,976 37.9% 495 108,144 D+23.8
Warren 26,043 27.6% 68,035 72.1% 341 94,419 R+44.5
Clermont 25,885 29.1% 62,946 70.7% 211 89,042 R+41.6
Medina 36,264 42.7% 48,183 56.8% 420 84,867 R+14.0
Delaware 27,048 33.6% 53,142 66.1% 265 80,455 R+32.4
Licking 30,051 37.8% 49,014 61.7% 351 79,416 R+23.9
Greene 30,530 38.5% 48,377 61.0% 365 79,272 R+22.5
Portage 40,674 53.1% 35,583 46.4% 389 76,646 D+6.6
Clark 33,534 48.7% 34,938 50.8% 331 68,803 R+2.0
Fairfield 24,774 36.5% 42,697 62.9% 384 67,855 R+26.4
Wood 29,401 46.4% 33,592 53.0% 353 63,346 R+6.6
Richland 24,645 39.8% 36,892 59.6% 330 61,867 R+19.8
Wayne 19,786 38.2% 31,879 61.5% 183 51,848 R+23.3
Miami 17,611 34.0% 34,005 65.7% 164 51,780 R+31.7
Geauga 19,840 39.4% 30,358 60.2% 221 50,419 R+20.9
Columbiana 23,426 47.4% 25,754 52.1% 283 49,463 R+4.7
Allen 16,483 33.5% 32,585 66.1% 206 49,274 R+32.7
Ashtabula 24,061 53.0% 21,039 46.3% 309 45,409 D+6.7
Tuscarawas 18,854 43.9% 23,825 55.5% 225 42,904 R+11.6
Erie 21,408 53.4% 18,601 46.4% 67 40,076 D+7.0
Muskingum 16,421 42.3% 22,251 57.3% 191 38,863 R+15.0
Jefferson 19,019 52.3% 17,184 47.3% 163 36,366 D+5.0
Hancock 10,343 29.0% 25,101 70.5% 162 35,606 R+41.4
Scioto 16,823 47.8% 18,257 51.9% 117 35,197 R+4.1
Belmont 17,574 52.7% 15,589 46.8% 157 33,320 D+6.0
Ross 13,977 44.1% 17,229 54.4% 463 31,669 R+10.3
Washington 12,475 41.4% 17,480 58.1% 146 30,101 R+16.6
Athens 18,997 63.2% 10,847 36.1% 200 30,044 D+27.1
Marion 11,930 40.8% 17,171 58.7% 157 29,258 R+17.9
Sandusky 12,653 43.7% 16,198 55.9% 104 28,955 R+12.2
Lawrence 12,111 43.7% 15,457 55.8% 138 27,706 R+12.1
Knox 9,828 36.3% 17,081 63.1% 157 27,066 R+26.8
Seneca 10,958 40.6% 15,885 58.9% 148 26,991 R+18.3
Darke 7,849 29.8% 18,307 69.6% 161 26,317 R+39.7
Huron 10,585 41.4% 14,834 58.0% 173 25,592 R+16.6
Ashland 8,555 34.3% 16,171 64.9% 194 24,920 R+30.6
Ottawa 11,114 47.8% 12,075 51.9% 68 23,257 R+4.1
Auglaize 5,904 25.6% 17,012 73.9% 115 23,031 R+48.2
Shelby 6,534 28.6% 16,204 70.9% 116 22,854 R+42.3
Pickaway 8,578 37.5% 14,160 62.0% 112 22,850 R+24.4
Union 6,665 29.5% 15,869 70.1% 96 22,630 R+40.7
Fulton 8,224 37.5% 13,639 62.1% 90 21,953 R+24.7
Crawford 7,773 35.7% 13,885 63.7% 143 21,801 R+28.0
Logan 6,825 31.9% 14,471 67.6% 102 21,398 R+35.7
Preble 7,274 34.4% 13,733 65.0% 119 21,126 R+30.6
Mercer 5,117 24.5% 15,649 74.9% 122 20,888 R+50.4
Brown 7,140 35.9% 12,647 63.6% 105 19,892 R+27.7
Putnam 4,392 23.3% 14,370 76.2% 87 18,849 R+52.9
Champaign 6,967 37.1% 11,718 62.4% 90 18,775 R+25.3
Williams 6,481 34.8% 12,040 64.6% 118 18,639 R+29.8
Defiance 6,975 37.7% 11,393 61.5% 144 18,512 R+23.9
Highland 6,194 33.5% 12,212 66.1% 76 18,482 R+32.6
Clinton 5,417 29.4% 12,938 70.3% 59 18,414 R+40.8
Guernsey 7,768 43.5% 9,961 55.8% 111 17,840 R+12.3
Madison 6,200 35.6% 11,120 63.9% 78 17,398 R+28.3
Morrow 5,775 35.4% 10,475 64.1% 79 16,329 R+28.8
Coshocton 6,878 42.3% 9,277 57.1% 87 16,242 R+14.8
Perry 7,257 47.8% 7,855 51.7% 76 15,188 R+3.9
Henry 5,110 33.8% 9,901 65.6% 92 15,103 R+31.7
Van Wert 4,094 27.6% 10,678 72.0% 54 14,826 R+44.4
Jackson 5,699 39.8% 8,585 59.9% 49 14,333 R+20.1
Carroll 6,298 44.6% 7,695 54.5% 117 14,110 R+9.9
Gallia 5,364 38.3% 8,577 61.3% 51 13,992 R+23.0
Hardin 4,889 36.5% 8,436 63.0% 60 13,385 R+26.5
Hocking 6,173 46.8% 6,935 52.6% 88 13,196 R+5.8
Pike 5,989 47.6% 6,519 51.8% 67 12,575 R+4.2
Adams 4,280 35.7% 7,653 63.8% 66 11,999 R+28.1
Fayette 4,334 36.9% 7,375 62.7% 47 11,756 R+25.9
Holmes 2,695 24.0% 8,466 75.5% 57 11,218 R+51.4
Wyandot 3,707 33.6% 7,256 65.7% 81 11,044 R+32.1
Meigs 4,437 41.2% 6,273 58.2% 61 10,771 R+17.0
Paulding 3,610 36.5% 6,205 62.8% 64 9,879 R+26.3
Harrison 3,780 46.6% 4,274 52.7% 55 8,109 R+6.1
Monroe 4,243 54.9% 3,424 44.3% 62 7,729 D+10.6
Morgan 2,873 42.9% 3,757 56.1% 70 6,700 R+13.2
Noble 2,654 40.6% 3,841 58.7% 45 6,540 R+18.1
Vinton 2,651 44.7% 3,251 54.8% 28 5,930 R+10.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Ohio in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+11.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.0
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+8.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+3.0
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+4.6
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+2.1
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.8
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+10.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+10.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+0.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+21.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+25.9
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.6
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.5
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+0.2
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+0.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+30.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.6
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+19.9
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+7.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+14.1
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+6.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+25.4
1900 William McKinley (R) R+6.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+5.0
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+0.1
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+4.1
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.7
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+1.1
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+8.0