Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 presidential election in Nevada
George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Nevada in 2004, 50.5% to 47.9%, a margin of 2.6 points and 21,500 votes.
Nevada voted 0.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.
The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.
Republicans led in 16 of the 17 counties and Democrats in 1. The largest, Clark, cast 545,397 votes and went to the Democrat by 4.8 points. The closest was Esmeralda, where 268 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| George W. Bush won | Republican | 418,690 | 50.5% |
| John Kerry | Democratic | 397,190 | 47.9% |
| All other candidates | 13,707 | 1.7% | |
| Total | 829,587 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark | 281,767 51.7% | 255,337 46.8% | 8,293 | 545,397 | D+4.8 |
| Washoe | 74,841 47.0% | 81,545 51.3% | 2,693 | 159,079 | R+4.2 |
| Douglas | 8,275 34.6% | 15,192 63.6% | 431 | 23,898 | R+28.9 |
| Carson City | 9,441 40.9% | 13,171 57.0% | 494 | 23,106 | R+16.1 |
| Lyon | 5,637 32.9% | 11,136 64.9% | 378 | 17,151 | R+32.1 |
| Elko | 3,050 19.9% | 11,938 78.0% | 321 | 15,309 | R+58.1 |
| Nye | 5,616 38.7% | 8,487 58.5% | 407 | 14,510 | R+19.8 |
| Churchill | 2,705 26.4% | 7,335 71.7% | 197 | 10,237 | R+45.2 |
| Humboldt | 1,361 25.4% | 3,896 72.6% | 110 | 5,367 | R+47.2 |
| White Pine | 1,082 28.5% | 2,604 68.5% | 116 | 3,802 | R+40.0 |
| Mineral | 931 40.0% | 1,336 57.4% | 60 | 2,327 | R+17.4 |
| Storey | 871 40.2% | 1,253 57.8% | 44 | 2,168 | R+17.6 |
| Lander | 414 20.2% | 1,602 78.0% | 37 | 2,053 | R+57.9 |
| Lincoln | 418 20.4% | 1,579 77.1% | 50 | 2,047 | R+56.7 |
| Pershing | 538 28.1% | 1,341 70.0% | 38 | 1,917 | R+41.9 |
| Eureka | 144 19.5% | 571 77.4% | 23 | 738 | R+57.9 |
| Esmeralda | 99 20.6% | 367 76.3% | 15 | 481 | R+55.7 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Nevada in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+2.4 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+6.7 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+12.5 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+2.6 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+3.5 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+1.0 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.6 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+20.9 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+33.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+35.6 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+4.4 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+27.4 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+8.2 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+17.2 |
| 1960 | John F. Kennedy (D) | D+2.3 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+15.9 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+22.9 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+3.1 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+9.2 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+20.2 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+45.6 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+38.8 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+13.1 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+19.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+20.7 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+17.0 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+23.8 |
| 1908 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+1.8 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+23.8 |
| 1900 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+24.5 |
| 1896 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+62.3 |
| 1892 | Third party (other) | |
| 1888 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+15.8 |
| 1884 | James G. Blaine (R) | R+12.5 |
| 1880 | Winfield Scott Hancock (D) | D+4.8 |
| 1876 | Rutherford B. Hayes (R) | R+5.5 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+14.9 |
| 1868 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+10.8 |