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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Arkansas

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Arkansas in 2004, 54.3% to 44.5%, a margin of 9.8 points and 102,945 votes.

Arkansas voted 7.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 54 of the 75 counties and Democrats in 21. The largest, Pulaski, cast 151,758 votes and went to the Democrat by 10.0 points. The closest was Dallas, where 32 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 572,898 54.3%
John Kerry Democratic 469,953 44.5%
All other candidates 12,094 1.1%
Total1,054,945

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Pulaski 82,755 54.5% 67,617 44.6% 1,386 151,758 D+10.0
Benton 20,756 30.5% 46,571 68.4% 794 68,121 R+37.9
Washington 27,597 43.1% 35,726 55.7% 780 64,103 R+12.7
Sebastian 16,479 37.3% 27,303 61.8% 429 44,211 R+24.5
Garland 18,040 44.9% 21,734 54.1% 380 40,154 R+9.2
Saline 14,153 35.9% 24,864 63.1% 359 39,376 R+27.2
Faulkner 14,538 39.6% 21,514 58.6% 634 36,686 R+19.0
Jefferson 19,675 64.5% 10,218 33.5% 600 30,493 D+31.0
Craighead 13,665 45.9% 15,818 53.1% 318 29,801 R+7.2
White 9,129 34.5% 17,001 64.3% 295 26,425 R+29.8
Lonoke 7,454 33.8% 14,398 65.4% 178 22,030 R+31.5
Pope 7,100 34.0% 13,614 65.1% 188 20,902 R+31.2
Crawford 6,764 33.2% 13,391 65.6% 246 20,401 R+32.5
Baxter 7,129 38.5% 11,128 60.1% 273 18,530 R+21.6
Union 7,071 39.7% 10,502 58.9% 259 17,832 R+19.2
Crittenden 8,277 54.1% 6,930 45.3% 93 15,300 D+8.8
Boone 4,640 31.4% 9,793 66.3% 344 14,777 R+34.9
Miller 6,139 41.8% 8,448 57.6% 91 14,678 R+15.7
Mississippi 7,593 53.6% 6,121 43.2% 439 14,153 D+10.4
Greene 6,561 47.0% 7,232 51.9% 154 13,947 R+4.8
Independence 5,443 41.8% 7,430 57.1% 138 13,011 R+15.3
Hot Spring 5,903 48.9% 5,962 49.4% 203 12,068 R+0.5
Cleburne 4,702 39.7% 7,001 59.2% 132 11,835 R+19.4
Ouachita 5,188 48.7% 5,345 50.2% 117 10,650 R+1.5
Carroll 4,161 39.7% 6,184 59.0% 136 10,481 R+19.3
Columbia 4,108 41.5% 5,729 57.8% 72 9,909 R+16.4
St. Francis 5,684 59.3% 3,815 39.8% 89 9,588 D+19.5
Clark 4,985 54.2% 4,127 44.9% 77 9,189 D+9.3
Phillips 5,642 63.6% 3,161 35.6% 65 8,868 D+28.0
Conway 4,259 49.2% 4,293 49.6% 97 8,649 R+0.4
Logan 3,361 39.3% 5,076 59.4% 114 8,551 R+20.1
Ashley 3,881 45.6% 4,567 53.7% 64 8,512 R+8.1
Johnson 3,622 45.0% 4,311 53.6% 111 8,044 R+8.6
Polk 2,473 31.7% 5,192 66.6% 134 7,799 R+34.9
Poinsett 4,069 52.7% 3,555 46.0% 99 7,723 D+6.7
Sharp 3,265 43.7% 4,097 54.8% 108 7,470 R+11.1
Hempstead 3,817 51.2% 3,580 48.0% 55 7,452 D+3.2
Van Buren 3,310 44.9% 3,988 54.1% 76 7,374 R+9.2
Franklin 3,008 41.3% 4,181 57.4% 100 7,289 R+16.1
Cross 3,135 44.3% 3,864 54.6% 75 7,074 R+10.3
Arkansas 3,110 44.8% 3,789 54.5% 47 6,946 R+9.8
Marion 2,602 37.9% 4,127 60.1% 138 6,867 R+22.2
Grant 2,524 37.3% 4,205 62.1% 41 6,770 R+24.8
Randolph 3,412 51.2% 3,158 47.4% 97 6,667 D+3.8
Yell 2,913 43.7% 3,678 55.2% 68 6,659 R+11.5
Lawrence 3,544 53.6% 2,951 44.6% 120 6,615 D+9.0
Madison 2,421 37.9% 3,873 60.7% 90 6,384 R+22.7
Drew 2,952 47.2% 3,262 52.2% 35 6,249 R+5.0
Jackson 3,515 56.5% 2,624 42.2% 80 6,219 D+14.3
Clay 3,264 53.5% 2,759 45.3% 73 6,096 D+8.3
Stone 2,255 40.6% 3,188 57.5% 106 5,549 R+16.8
Izard 2,586 47.1% 2,833 51.6% 74 5,493 R+4.5
Little River 2,677 50.6% 2,575 48.6% 42 5,294 D+1.9
Fulton 2,370 47.8% 2,522 50.9% 63 4,955 R+3.1
Howard 2,166 43.8% 2,736 55.4% 41 4,943 R+11.5
Chicot 2,993 62.9% 1,725 36.3% 39 4,757 D+26.7
Desha 2,851 61.4% 1,729 37.2% 67 4,647 D+24.1
Sevier 2,035 44.2% 2,516 54.7% 50 4,601 R+10.5
Perry 1,921 43.4% 2,435 55.0% 75 4,431 R+11.6
Newton 1,506 34.4% 2,779 63.5% 93 4,378 R+29.1
Bradley 2,206 51.9% 2,011 47.3% 32 4,249 D+4.6
Lincoln 2,149 52.3% 1,921 46.8% 39 4,109 D+5.5
Lee 2,548 62.5% 1,492 36.6% 40 4,080 D+25.9
Scott 1,473 36.5% 2,514 62.3% 51 4,038 R+25.8
Searcy 1,370 34.3% 2,565 64.3% 57 3,992 R+29.9
Montgomery 1,524 38.5% 2,367 59.8% 67 3,958 R+21.3
Monroe 2,049 55.9% 1,586 43.3% 32 3,667 D+12.6
Prairie 1,562 43.1% 2,030 56.0% 32 3,624 R+12.9
Cleveland 1,450 41.5% 2,009 57.5% 37 3,496 R+16.0
Nevada 1,694 48.7% 1,752 50.4% 31 3,477 R+1.7
Dallas 1,667 49.3% 1,699 50.2% 17 3,383 R+0.9
Pike 1,310 38.9% 2,013 59.8% 44 3,367 R+20.9
Lafayette 1,567 49.1% 1,604 50.3% 20 3,191 R+1.2
Woodruff 1,972 65.2% 1,021 33.7% 33 3,026 D+31.4
Calhoun 942 40.9% 1,341 58.2% 20 2,303 R+17.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arkansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.6
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+27.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.9
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+23.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+19.9
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+9.8
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+5.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+14.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+30.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.1
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.1
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+6.6
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+12.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+40.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.1
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+58.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+63.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+73.1
1928 Al Smith (D) D+20.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+31.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+19.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+37.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+34.6
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+20.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+15.2
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+28.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+48.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+27.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+16.8
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.1
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+17.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+20.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.4