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Election 1876 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1876 presidential election in Arkansas

Samuel J. Tilden (Democrat) beat Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican) in Arkansas in 1876, 59.9% to 39.9%, a margin of 20.0 points and 19,437 votes.

Arkansas voted 17.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.0.

Arkansas changed party: in 1872 it went Republican, for Ulysses S. Grant.

Democrats led in 60 of the 73 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 13. The largest, Pulaski, cast 5,453 votes and went to the Republican by 19.7 points. The closest was Ouachita, where 4 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Samuel J. Tilden won Democratic 58,086 59.9%
Rutherford B. Hayes Republican 38,649 39.9%
All other candidates 211 0.2%
Total96,946

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Pulaski 2,169 39.8% 3,245 59.5% 39 5,453 R+19.7
Jefferson 894 22.3% 3,123 77.7% 4,017 R+55.5
Phillips 982 25.5% 2,867 74.5% 3,849 R+49.0
Hempstead 1,567 53.6% 1,355 46.4% 2,922 D+7.3
Washington 1,885 69.8% 817 30.2% 2,702 D+39.5
Sebastian 1,403 60.7% 910 39.3% 2,313 D+21.3
Benton 1,918 83.5% 376 16.4% 4 2,298 D+67.1
Clark 1,357 63.0% 796 37.0% 2,153 D+26.1
Ouachita 1,006 50.1% 1,002 49.9% 2,008 D+0.2
Chicot 488 24.4% 1,512 75.6% 2,000 R+51.2
Columbia 1,275 63.8% 725 36.3% 2,000 D+27.5
White 1,690 87.9% 232 12.1% 1,922 D+75.9
Lonoke 1,194 64.6% 648 35.1% 5 1,847 D+29.6
Union 1,092 59.4% 746 40.6% 1,838 D+18.8
Drew 1,096 60.5% 715 39.5% 1,811 D+21.0
Independence 1,306 75.0% 436 25.0% 1,742 D+49.9
Woodruff 915 54.6% 761 45.4% 1,676 D+9.2
Arkansas 931 55.8% 737 44.2% 1,668 D+11.6
Crawford 957 59.1% 663 40.9% 1,620 D+18.1
Lincoln 672 41.9% 931 58.1% 1,603 R+16.2
Lee 673 42.6% 906 57.4% 1,579 R+14.8
Ashley 907 57.7% 665 42.3% 1,572 D+15.4
Nevada 1,154 74.6% 392 25.4% 1,546 D+49.3
Pope 1,124 74.0% 364 24.0% 31 1,519 D+50.0
Yell 975 66.2% 497 33.8% 1,472 D+32.5
St. Francis 919 62.5% 545 37.0% 7 1,471 D+25.4
Logan 874 61.2% 545 38.2% 8 1,427 D+23.1
Monroe 637 45.7% 758 54.3% 1,395 R+8.7
Franklin 1,111 80.3% 273 19.7% 1,384 D+60.5
Jackson 967 71.9% 378 28.1% 1,345 D+43.8
Crittenden 277 20.7% 1,059 79.3% 1,336 R+58.5
Conway 772 58.1% 556 41.9% 1,328 D+16.3
Miller 659 51.0% 634 49.0% 1,293 D+1.9
Boone 1,008 82.2% 218 17.8% 1,226 D+64.4
Garland 724 59.8% 479 39.6% 8 1,211 D+20.2
Johnson 1,009 84.0% 191 15.9% 1 1,201 D+68.1
Madison 738 61.8% 452 37.9% 4 1,194 D+24.0
Prairie 729 62.6% 421 36.1% 15 1,165 D+26.4
Randolph 995 91.0% 98 9.0% 1,093 D+82.1
Izard 914 85.5% 154 14.4% 1 1,069 D+71.1
Howard 790 78.1% 222 21.9% 1,012 D+56.1
Saline 762 76.7% 231 23.3% 993 D+53.5
Carroll 642 66.2% 324 33.4% 4 970 D+32.8
Lafayette 389 40.1% 581 59.9% 970 R+19.8
Faulkner 754 80.2% 166 17.7% 20 940 D+62.6
Mississippi 590 66.1% 302 33.9% 892 D+32.3
Desha 206 23.4% 675 76.6% 881 R+53.2
Scott 604 73.9% 202 24.7% 11 817 D+49.2
Bradley 574 71.0% 209 25.8% 26 809 D+45.1
Dallas 568 71.1% 231 28.9% 799 D+42.2
Sharp 654 82.3% 141 17.7% 795 D+64.5
Little River 337 44.8% 415 55.2% 752 R+10.4
Calhoun 459 63.0% 270 37.0% 729 D+25.9
Lawrence 723 99.4% 4 0.6% 727 D+98.9
Cross 444 64.3% 247 35.7% 691 D+28.5
Marion 586 87.6% 83 12.4% 669 D+75.2
Sevier 505 80.8% 120 19.2% 625 D+61.6
Newton 268 44.9% 329 55.1% 597 R+10.2
Van Buren 528 89.2% 64 10.8% 592 D+78.4
Searcy 229 39.1% 356 60.9% 585 R+21.7
Greene 570 100.0% 0 0.0% 570 D+100.0
Craighead 483 87.8% 67 12.2% 550 D+75.6
Pike 324 59.9% 217 40.1% 541 D+19.8
Clay 499 95.0% 26 5.0% 525 D+90.1
Hot Spring 387 74.3% 131 25.1% 3 521 D+49.1
Grant 372 81.8% 83 18.2% 455 D+63.5
Baxter 376 84.5% 69 15.5% 445 D+69.0
Polk 363 91.0% 36 9.0% 399 D+82.0
Montgomery 273 69.3% 114 28.9% 7 394 D+40.4
Stone 341 87.0% 45 11.5% 6 392 D+75.5
Fulton 324 85.0% 57 15.0% 381 D+70.1
Perry 172 59.3% 118 40.7% 290 D+18.6
Poinsett 223 83.2% 45 16.8% 268 D+66.4

Counties as they stood in 1876; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arkansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.6
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+27.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.9
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+23.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+19.9
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+9.8
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+5.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+14.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+30.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.1
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.1
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+6.6
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+12.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+40.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.1
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+58.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+63.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+73.1
1928 Al Smith (D) D+20.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+31.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+19.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+37.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+34.6
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+20.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+15.2
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+28.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+48.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+27.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+16.8
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.1
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+17.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+20.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.4