United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1876 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1876 presidential election in Texas

Samuel J. Tilden (Democrat) beat Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican) in Texas in 1876, 70.0% to 30.0%, a margin of 40.1 points and 59,955 votes.

Texas voted 37.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.0.

Texas changed party: in 1872 it went third-party.

Democrats led in 130 of the 148 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 18. The largest, Harrison, cast 4,246 votes and went to the Republican by 38.8 points. The closest was Robertson, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Samuel J. Tilden won Democratic 104,755 70.0%
Rutherford B. Hayes Republican 44,800 30.0%
Total149,555

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harrison 1,299 30.6% 2,947 69.4% 4,246 R+38.8
Harris 2,378 58.6% 1,681 41.4% 4,059 D+17.2
Galveston 2,889 73.3% 1,054 26.7% 3,943 D+46.5
Washington 1,682 42.7% 2,256 57.3% 3,938 R+14.6
Dallas 3,029 78.5% 808 20.9% 22 3,859 D+57.6
Grayson 3,078 80.2% 759 19.8% 3,837 D+60.4
Travis 1,947 59.8% 1,309 40.2% 3,256 D+19.6
Smith 1,738 53.7% 1,496 46.3% 3,234 D+7.5
Lamar 2,177 71.5% 867 28.5% 3,044 D+43.0
Fayette 1,515 51.8% 1,408 48.2% 2,923 D+3.7
Robertson 1,459 50.0% 1,460 50.0% 2,919 level
McLennan 2,027 71.0% 826 29.0% 2,853 D+42.1
Rusk 1,630 61.4% 1,023 38.6% 2,653 D+22.9
Collin 2,141 90.3% 231 9.7% 2,372 D+80.5
Colorado 1,026 43.7% 1,322 56.3% 2,348 R+12.6
Anderson 1,216 53.8% 1,043 46.2% 2,259 D+7.7
Navarro 1,677 74.4% 578 25.6% 2,255 D+48.7
Bell 2,065 93.3% 149 6.7% 2,214 D+86.5
Bastrop 1,116 52.8% 998 47.2% 2,114 D+5.6
Brazos 1,132 54.0% 964 46.0% 2,096 D+8.0
Red River 1,223 58.5% 867 41.5% 2,090 D+17.0
Bexar 1,284 62.7% 763 37.3% 2,047 D+25.5
Fannin 1,620 80.3% 395 19.6% 3 2,018 D+60.7
Houston 1,037 52.0% 958 48.0% 1,995 D+4.0
Milam 1,620 84.7% 292 15.3% 1,912 D+69.5
Grimes 705 37.3% 1,184 62.7% 1,889 R+25.4
Austin 1,086 60.0% 725 40.0% 1,811 D+19.9
Ellis 1,784 99.8% 3 0.2% 1,787 D+99.7
Tarrant 1,633 92.2% 138 7.8% 1,771 D+84.4
Limestone 1,499 86.1% 241 13.9% 1,740 D+72.3
Johnson 1,701 98.1% 33 1.9% 1,734 D+96.2
Cass 1,249 72.9% 465 27.1% 1,714 D+45.7
Hunt 1,612 94.5% 94 5.5% 1,706 D+89.0
Marion 652 39.0% 1,019 61.0% 1,671 R+22.0
Hill 1,629 99.8% 4 0.2% 1,633 D+99.5
Hopkins 1,426 87.6% 202 12.4% 1,628 D+75.2
Denton 1,501 95.2% 75 4.8% 1,576 D+90.5
Cherokee 1,101 70.8% 453 29.2% 1,554 D+41.7
Waller 600 39.2% 930 60.8% 1,530 R+21.6
Gonzales 1,129 74.3% 390 25.7% 1,519 D+48.7
Falls 1,236 81.7% 277 18.3% 1,513 D+63.4
Kaufman 1,428 94.7% 77 5.1% 3 1,508 D+89.6
Cooke 1,468 97.6% 36 2.4% 1,504 D+95.2
Lavaca 1,015 73.4% 367 26.6% 1,382 D+46.9
Williamson 1,166 87.1% 172 12.9% 1,338 D+74.3
Nacogdoches 858 65.4% 453 34.6% 1,311 D+30.9
Freestone 1,113 87.6% 149 11.7% 8 1,270 D+75.9
Brazoria 317 25.6% 923 74.4% 1,240 R+48.9
Fort Bend 198 16.0% 1,037 84.0% 1,235 R+67.9
Panola 1,198 97.6% 29 2.4% 1,227 D+95.3
Gregg 691 57.2% 516 42.8% 1,207 D+14.5
Leon 961 83.2% 194 16.8% 1,155 D+66.4
Parker 1,019 93.0% 77 7.0% 1,096 D+85.9
Burleson 652 59.8% 438 40.2% 1,090 D+19.6
Montgomery 576 53.2% 507 46.8% 1,083 D+6.4
Coryell 1,059 99.4% 6 0.6% 1,065 D+98.9
Wood 825 78.6% 224 21.4% 1,049 D+57.3
Guadalupe 597 57.3% 445 42.7% 1,042 D+14.6
Upshur 678 65.1% 364 34.9% 1,042 D+30.1
Cameron 893 87.9% 123 12.1% 1,016 D+75.8
Lee 843 84.5% 155 15.5% 998 D+68.9
De Witt 725 75.8% 232 24.2% 957 D+51.5
Van Zandt 746 82.7% 156 17.3% 902 D+65.4
Erath 892 99.6% 4 0.4% 896 D+99.1
Caldwell 550 63.5% 316 36.5% 866 D+27.0
Henderson 628 73.7% 224 26.3% 852 D+47.4
Bowie 602 76.0% 190 24.0% 792 D+52.0
Bosque 734 93.7% 49 6.3% 783 D+87.5
Nueces 603 78.1% 169 21.9% 772 D+56.2
Shelby 716 94.5% 42 5.5% 758 D+88.9
Camp 383 54.6% 319 45.4% 702 D+9.1
Hays 510 75.6% 165 24.4% 675 D+51.1
Titus 512 80.3% 126 19.7% 638 D+60.5
San Augustine 311 49.4% 318 50.6% 629 R+1.1
Wise 583 95.6% 27 4.4% 610 D+91.1
Madison 518 89.3% 62 10.7% 580 D+78.6
Victoria 382 66.4% 193 33.6% 575 D+32.9
Hood 571 99.5% 3 0.5% 574 D+99.0
Delta 477 88.7% 61 11.3% 538 D+77.3
Brown 525 99.8% 1 0.2% 526 D+99.6
Liberty 346 66.7% 173 33.3% 519 D+33.3
Morris 342 67.1% 168 32.9% 510 D+34.1
Burnet 494 97.8% 11 2.2% 505 D+95.6
San Jacinto 146 29.9% 342 70.1% 488 R+40.2
Lampasas 474 99.0% 5 1.0% 479 D+97.9
Franklin 472 98.7% 6 1.3% 478 D+97.5
Montague 464 98.3% 8 1.7% 472 D+96.6
Hamilton 469 100.0% 0 0.0% 469 D+100.0
Wharton 39 8.8% 404 91.2% 443 R+82.4
Comal 176 39.8% 266 60.2% 442 R+20.4
Goliad 304 73.1% 112 26.9% 416 D+46.2
Walker 397 99.7% 1 0.3% 398 D+99.5
Wilson 300 75.9% 95 24.1% 395 D+51.9
Matagorda 209 55.7% 166 44.3% 375 D+11.5
Tyler 346 92.5% 28 7.5% 374 D+85.0
Jasper 365 100.0% 0 0.0% 365 D+100.0
Jackson 160 46.2% 186 53.8% 346 R+7.5
Sabine 341 100.0% 0 0.0% 341 D+100.0
Rains 304 97.1% 9 2.9% 313 D+94.2
Calhoun 170 55.4% 137 44.6% 307 D+10.7
Blanco 252 83.2% 51 16.8% 303 D+66.3
San Saba 288 99.7% 1 0.3% 289 D+99.3
Trinity 232 80.3% 57 19.7% 289 D+60.6
Webb 244 86.2% 39 13.8% 283 D+72.4
Karnes 277 99.6% 1 0.4% 278 D+99.3
Angelina 233 84.4% 43 15.6% 276 D+68.8
Polk 275 100.0% 0 0.0% 275 D+100.0
Young 252 92.0% 22 8.0% 274 D+83.9
Newton 268 100.0% 0 0.0% 268 D+100.0
Gillespie 133 50.2% 132 49.8% 265 D+0.4
Rockwall 222 91.0% 22 9.0% 244 D+82.0
Comanche 236 100.0% 0 0.0% 236 D+100.0
Jefferson 170 73.9% 60 26.1% 230 D+47.8
Kendall 61 28.5% 153 71.5% 214 R+43.0
Somervell 209 99.1% 2 0.9% 211 D+98.1
Palo Pinto 204 100.0% 0 0.0% 204 D+100.0
Uvalde 184 94.4% 11 5.6% 195 D+88.7
Atascosa 177 91.7% 16 8.3% 193 D+83.4
Clay 170 88.1% 23 11.9% 193 D+76.2
Medina 114 63.3% 66 36.7% 180 D+26.7
El Paso 121 68.4% 56 31.6% 177 D+36.7
Eastland 175 99.4% 0 0.0% 1 176 D+99.4
Refugio 163 93.1% 3 1.7% 9 175 D+91.4
Kinney 144 83.7% 28 16.3% 172 D+67.4
Presidio 128 74.9% 43 25.1% 171 D+49.7
Bee 166 100.0% 0 0.0% 166 D+100.0
Chambers 150 93.2% 11 6.8% 161 D+86.3
Kerr 104 65.0% 56 35.0% 160 D+30.0
Live Oak 156 98.7% 2 1.3% 158 D+97.5
Maverick 81 57.0% 61 43.0% 142 D+14.1
Aransas 127 90.1% 14 9.9% 141 D+80.1
Pecos 122 86.5% 19 13.5% 141 D+73.0
Jack 97 69.3% 43 30.7% 140 D+38.6
Hidalgo 100 74.1% 35 25.9% 135 D+48.1
Shackelford 132 99.2% 1 0.8% 133 D+98.5
Coleman 123 100.0% 0 0.0% 123 D+100.0
McCulloch 121 100.0% 0 0.0% 121 D+100.0
Bandera 115 96.6% 4 3.4% 119 D+93.3
Starr 46 41.4% 65 58.6% 111 R+17.1
Zapata 46 41.8% 64 58.2% 110 R+16.4
Orange 79 73.1% 29 26.9% 108 D+46.3
Mason 71 80.7% 17 19.3% 88 D+61.4
Llano 82 100.0% 0 0.0% 82 D+100.0
Frio 42 85.7% 7 14.3% 49 D+71.4
San Patricio 46 97.9% 1 2.1% 47 D+95.7
Hardin 36 100.0% 0 0.0% 36 D+100.0
Kimble 9 100.0% 0 0.0% 9 D+100.0
Stephens 0 0.0% 2 100.0% 2 R+100.0

Counties as they stood in 1876; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+5.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+15.8
2008 John McCain (R) R+11.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+22.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+21.3
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.9
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+27.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+33.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+26.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+6.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+41.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+54.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+62.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+74.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+76.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+3.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+53.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+35.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+59.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+63.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+51.6
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+49.6
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+32.4
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+37.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+37.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+41.0
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+40.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+40.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+40.1
1872 Third party (other)