United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Texas

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Texas in 2020, 52.1% to 46.5%, a margin of 5.6 points and 631,221 votes.

Texas voted 10.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 232 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 22. The largest, Harris, cast 1,640,692 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.3 points. The closest was Culberson, where 23 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 5,890,347 52.1%
Joe Biden Democratic 5,259,126 46.5%
All other candidates 165,583 1.5%
Total11,315,056

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 918,124 56.0% 700,574 42.7% 21,994 1,640,692 D+13.3
Dallas 598,716 65.1% 307,198 33.4% 13,306 919,220 D+31.7
Tarrant 411,608 49.3% 409,925 49.1% 13,393 834,926 D+0.2
Bexar 448,436 58.3% 308,596 40.1% 12,072 769,104 D+18.2
Travis 435,958 71.4% 161,435 26.4% 13,157 610,550 D+45.0
Collin 230,877 46.9% 252,237 51.3% 8,931 492,045 R+4.3
Denton 188,574 45.2% 222,251 53.2% 6,783 417,608 R+8.1
Fort Bend 195,554 54.6% 157,777 44.0% 5,063 358,394 D+10.5
Williamson 143,792 49.6% 139,693 48.1% 6,678 290,163 D+1.4
Montgomery 74,394 27.4% 193,385 71.2% 3,784 271,563 R+43.8
El Paso 178,126 66.8% 84,331 31.6% 4,191 266,648 D+35.2
Hidalgo 128,198 58.0% 90,527 41.0% 2,158 220,883 D+17.1
Galveston 58,862 37.9% 93,893 60.4% 2,575 155,330 R+22.6
Brazoria 62,247 40.2% 90,427 58.3% 2,323 154,997 R+18.2
Bell 57,029 44.6% 67,932 53.2% 2,784 127,745 R+8.5
Nueces 60,921 47.8% 64,608 50.7% 2,009 127,538 R+2.9
Lubbock 40,017 33.1% 78,858 65.3% 1,939 120,814 R+32.1
Cameron 64,062 56.0% 49,030 42.9% 1,231 114,323 D+13.1
Hays 59,423 54.4% 47,586 43.6% 2,187 109,196 D+10.8
Smith 29,614 29.6% 69,079 69.0% 1,380 100,073 R+39.4
McLennan 36,688 37.5% 59,542 60.8% 1,641 97,871 R+23.4
Jefferson 46,064 48.6% 47,571 50.2% 1,115 94,750 R+1.6
Comal 24,837 27.9% 62,753 70.6% 1,326 88,916 R+42.6
Ellis 27,572 32.2% 56,731 66.2% 1,407 85,710 R+34.0
Brazos 35,347 41.6% 47,524 55.9% 2,182 85,053 R+14.3
Guadalupe 28,805 37.0% 47,553 61.2% 1,399 77,757 R+24.1
Parker 13,018 17.1% 62,047 81.5% 1,066 76,131 R+64.4
Johnson 16,458 22.9% 54,617 75.9% 927 72,002 R+53.0
Webb 41,843 61.1% 25,905 37.8% 787 68,535 D+23.3
Randall 12,803 19.8% 50,793 78.5% 1,076 64,672 R+58.7
Grayson 14,505 24.3% 44,158 74.1% 908 59,571 R+49.8
Midland 12,328 20.9% 45,618 77.5% 902 58,848 R+56.6
Kaufman 18,395 32.5% 37,609 66.4% 673 56,677 R+33.9
Taylor 14,587 26.4% 39,545 71.6% 1,098 55,230 R+45.2
Rockwall 16,428 30.4% 36,741 68.0% 891 54,060 R+37.6
Gregg 14,793 30.8% 32,490 67.7% 693 47,976 R+36.9
Wichita 13,161 28.6% 32,066 69.7% 810 46,037 R+41.1
Tom Green 12,239 27.1% 32,311 71.5% 658 45,208 R+44.4
Ector 11,366 25.5% 32,695 73.3% 527 44,588 R+47.8
Hunt 8,905 23.1% 29,161 75.6% 528 38,594 R+52.5
Bowie 10,747 28.0% 27,115 70.8% 453 38,315 R+42.7
Bastrop 15,474 42.1% 20,516 55.8% 772 36,762 R+13.7
Henderson 7,061 19.4% 28,910 79.5% 397 36,368 R+60.1
Orange 6,358 17.7% 29,183 81.1% 452 35,993 R+63.4
Angelina 9,143 26.4% 25,071 72.4% 416 34,630 R+46.0
Victoria 10,380 30.3% 23,357 68.2% 488 34,225 R+37.9
Potter 9,920 29.8% 22,821 68.5% 596 33,337 R+38.7
Hood 5,701 17.4% 26,672 81.2% 455 32,828 R+63.9
Wise 4,973 15.4% 27,034 83.5% 361 32,368 R+68.2
Harrison 7,910 26.6% 21,466 72.2% 343 29,719 R+45.6
Liberty 5,788 19.7% 23,317 79.4% 247 29,352 R+59.7
Kerr 6,525 23.5% 20,881 75.3% 341 27,747 R+51.7
Hardin 3,481 12.6% 23,856 86.3% 303 27,640 R+73.7
Nacogdoches 8,999 33.6% 17,377 64.9% 407 26,783 R+31.3
Kendall 6,027 22.7% 20,095 75.7% 414 26,536 R+53.0
Van Zandt 3,516 13.5% 22,269 85.7% 209 25,994 R+72.1
San Patricio 8,992 34.7% 16,525 63.8% 387 25,904 R+29.1
Wilson 6,349 25.4% 18,460 73.8% 220 25,029 R+48.4
Burnet 5,642 22.8% 18,777 75.9% 312 24,731 R+53.1
Polk 5,387 22.3% 18,573 76.8% 225 24,185 R+54.5
Walker 7,884 33.3% 15,374 65.0% 399 23,657 R+31.7
Coryell 7,564 32.1% 15,438 65.6% 532 23,534 R+33.5
Wood 3,508 15.4% 19,046 83.6% 221 22,775 R+68.2
Waller 8,193 36.0% 14,261 62.7% 283 22,737 R+26.7
Medina 6,775 29.9% 15,645 69.0% 242 22,662 R+39.1
Chambers 4,001 18.5% 17,353 80.1% 301 21,655 R+61.7
Lamar 4,458 20.8% 16,759 78.2% 224 21,441 R+57.4
Rusk 4,630 21.6% 16,537 77.3% 233 21,400 R+55.6
Cherokee 4,210 21.6% 15,102 77.4% 197 19,509 R+55.8
Anderson 3,955 20.6% 15,111 78.6% 162 19,228 R+58.0
Navarro 5,103 26.6% 13,807 72.1% 250 19,160 R+45.4
Cooke 3,210 16.9% 15,597 82.1% 190 18,997 R+65.2
Upshur 2,878 15.2% 15,810 83.7% 206 18,894 R+68.4
Atascosa 5,876 32.4% 12,039 66.4% 217 18,132 R+34.0
Starr 9,148 52.0% 8,258 47.0% 176 17,582 D+5.1
Washington 4,261 24.4% 12,959 74.3% 229 17,449 R+49.8
Erath 2,916 17.3% 13,684 81.1% 276 16,876 R+63.8
Wharton 4,694 28.0% 11,925 71.1% 156 16,775 R+43.1
Brown 2,107 13.2% 13,697 85.8% 164 15,968 R+72.6
Hopkins 3,046 19.1% 12,719 79.8% 176 15,941 R+60.7
Gillespie 3,177 20.0% 12,514 78.9% 160 15,851 R+58.9
Jasper 2,954 18.9% 12,543 80.3% 131 15,628 R+61.4
Maverick 8,326 54.3% 6,881 44.9% 133 15,340 D+9.4
Val Verde 6,770 44.3% 8,284 54.2% 217 15,271 R+9.9
Fannin 2,655 17.7% 12,173 81.1% 181 15,009 R+63.4
Caldwell 6,658 44.6% 8,015 53.6% 269 14,942 R+9.1
Hill 2,860 19.2% 11,926 79.9% 146 14,932 R+60.7
Austin 2,951 20.3% 11,447 78.7% 156 14,554 R+58.4
Cass 2,795 20.1% 11,035 79.2% 99 13,929 R+59.2
Matagorda 3,734 27.2% 9,848 71.7% 150 13,732 R+44.5
Jim Wells 6,119 44.7% 7,454 54.5% 110 13,683 R+9.8
Fayette 2,661 20.5% 10,171 78.4% 148 12,980 R+57.9
Bandera 2,504 19.7% 10,054 79.1% 153 12,711 R+59.4
Llano 2,465 19.5% 10,079 79.6% 116 12,660 R+60.1
San Jacinto 2,337 18.5% 10,162 80.4% 143 12,642 R+61.9
Palo Pinto 2,178 17.4% 10,178 81.5% 135 12,491 R+64.0
Grimes 2,834 22.8% 9,436 76.0% 149 12,419 R+53.2
Aransas 2,916 23.7% 9,238 75.2% 134 12,288 R+51.4
Panola 2,057 18.0% 9,327 81.4% 75 11,459 R+63.4
Kleberg 5,380 48.5% 5,575 50.2% 142 11,097 R+1.8
Milam 2,496 23.6% 7,982 75.5% 98 10,576 R+51.9
Titus 2,856 27.1% 7,571 71.8% 115 10,542 R+44.7
Lampasas 2,142 20.6% 8,078 77.8% 169 10,389 R+57.1
Uvalde 4,073 39.4% 6,174 59.7% 97 10,344 R+20.3
Howard 2,069 20.2% 8,053 78.7% 117 10,239 R+58.4
Lavaca 1,333 13.1% 8,804 86.3% 68 10,205 R+73.2
Shelby 2,068 20.5% 7,974 79.1% 44 10,086 R+58.6
Colorado 2,420 24.3% 7,473 74.9% 82 9,975 R+50.7
Montague 1,097 11.2% 8,615 87.6% 120 9,832 R+76.5
Tyler 1,403 14.5% 8,194 84.7% 77 9,674 R+70.2
Hale 2,279 23.8% 7,177 74.9% 130 9,586 R+51.1
Houston 2,314 24.5% 7,061 74.7% 74 9,449 R+50.2
Bee 3,288 34.9% 6,006 63.8% 126 9,420 R+28.9
Bosque 1,561 17.1% 7,470 81.7% 110 9,141 R+64.6
Limestone 2,213 24.3% 6,789 74.6% 93 9,095 R+50.3
Hutchinson 964 11.0% 7,676 87.4% 139 8,779 R+76.5
Freestone 1,635 18.8% 6,991 80.2% 93 8,719 R+61.4
Leon 1,072 12.3% 7,523 86.6% 90 8,685 R+74.3
Burleson 1,789 20.8% 6,745 78.3% 79 8,613 R+57.5
Eastland 983 11.9% 7,237 87.3% 73 8,293 R+75.4
Young 1,034 12.6% 7,109 86.3% 94 8,237 R+73.8
Dewitt 1,494 18.4% 6,567 80.9% 57 8,118 R+62.5
Robertson 2,374 29.3% 5,648 69.6% 90 8,112 R+40.4
Hockley 1,482 18.3% 6,536 80.7% 84 8,102 R+62.4
Lee 1,750 21.6% 6,256 77.2% 95 8,101 R+55.6
Calhoun 2,148 27.3% 5,641 71.7% 78 7,867 R+44.4
Gray 829 10.7% 6,840 87.9% 113 7,782 R+77.2
Gonzales 1,949 25.5% 5,629 73.6% 72 7,650 R+48.1
Blanco 1,912 25.6% 5,446 73.0% 105 7,463 R+47.4
Trinity 1,324 19.1% 5,581 80.4% 36 6,941 R+61.3
Callahan 734 10.7% 6,013 88.0% 86 6,833 R+77.3
Jones 999 14.8% 5,661 83.9% 88 6,748 R+69.1
Jackson 1,033 16.3% 5,231 82.4% 87 6,351 R+66.1
Falls 1,899 31.0% 4,178 68.1% 57 6,134 R+37.2
Newton 1,173 19.2% 4,883 80.1% 39 6,095 R+60.9
Comanche 853 14.0% 5,178 85.1% 56 6,087 R+71.1
Rains 843 13.9% 5,159 85.2% 55 6,057 R+71.3
Gaines 577 9.6% 5,356 89.3% 64 5,997 R+79.7
Scurry 818 13.9% 4,982 84.9% 68 5,868 R+71.0
Andrews 850 14.5% 4,945 84.3% 70 5,865 R+69.8
Red River 1,246 21.4% 4,518 77.7% 49 5,813 R+56.3
Clay 614 10.7% 5,069 88.1% 69 5,752 R+77.5
Willacy 3,110 55.6% 2,443 43.7% 41 5,594 D+11.9
Morris 1,663 30.0% 3,841 69.2% 46 5,550 R+39.2
Moore 1,062 19.3% 4,358 79.1% 87 5,507 R+59.9
Sabine 669 12.2% 4,784 87.1% 38 5,491 R+74.9
Nolan 1,162 21.7% 4,130 77.0% 74 5,366 R+55.3
Madison 1,088 20.5% 4,169 78.7% 41 5,298 R+58.2
Frio 2,422 45.9% 2,822 53.5% 32 5,276 R+7.6
Karnes 1,234 23.5% 3,968 75.5% 51 5,253 R+52.0
Live Oak 820 16.2% 4,201 83.1% 37 5,058 R+66.8
Camp 1,394 27.6% 3,624 71.7% 38 5,056 R+44.1
Duval 2,575 51.0% 2,443 48.3% 35 5,053 D+2.6
Franklin 804 16.1% 4,161 83.1% 44 5,009 R+67.0
Somervell 767 15.5% 4,097 82.8% 83 4,947 R+67.3
Marion 1,339 27.5% 3,471 71.3% 55 4,865 R+43.8
Brewster 2,258 46.8% 2,461 51.0% 103 4,822 R+4.2
Archer 446 9.3% 4,302 89.6% 51 4,799 R+80.4
Pecos 1,382 29.6% 3,215 68.8% 78 4,675 R+39.2
Deaf Smith 1,264 27.4% 3,295 71.5% 52 4,611 R+44.0
Wilbarger 956 21.1% 3,524 77.9% 44 4,524 R+56.8
Lamb 840 19.0% 3,521 79.7% 57 4,418 R+60.7
Runnels 552 12.5% 3,807 86.3% 50 4,409 R+73.8
Zavala 2,864 65.4% 1,490 34.0% 28 4,382 D+31.4
Hamilton 639 14.7% 3,610 82.8% 112 4,361 R+68.1
Coleman 451 10.9% 3,642 88.2% 37 4,130 R+77.3
Ward 764 18.9% 3,241 80.1% 39 4,044 R+61.3
San Augustine 980 24.5% 3,009 75.1% 15 4,004 R+50.7
Goliad 877 22.0% 3,086 77.2% 32 3,995 R+55.3
Zapata 1,826 47.1% 2,033 52.4% 19 3,878 R+5.3
Stephens 397 10.4% 3,385 89.0% 23 3,805 R+78.5
Dawson 808 21.3% 2,951 77.9% 30 3,789 R+56.6
Jack 331 8.7% 3,419 90.4% 33 3,783 R+81.6
Reeves 1,395 37.8% 2,254 61.1% 42 3,691 R+23.3
Dimmit 2,265 61.8% 1,385 37.8% 18 3,668 D+24.0
Terry 757 21.0% 2,812 77.9% 43 3,612 R+56.9
McCulloch 490 14.3% 2,904 84.5% 43 3,437 R+70.2
Refugio 1,108 32.9% 2,211 65.7% 48 3,367 R+32.8
Ochiltree 302 9.6% 2,812 89.0% 45 3,159 R+79.5
Carson 298 9.5% 2,784 89.2% 40 3,122 R+79.6
Parmer 488 18.4% 2,134 80.6% 27 2,649 R+62.1
Yoakum 419 15.9% 2,172 82.5% 42 2,633 R+66.6
San Saba 287 11.0% 2,308 88.7% 7 2,602 R+77.7
Delta 404 15.6% 2,163 83.4% 28 2,595 R+67.8
Mitchell 397 15.4% 2,171 84.1% 13 2,581 R+68.7
Mills 271 10.8% 2,217 88.5% 17 2,505 R+77.7
Brooks 1,470 59.2% 998 40.2% 16 2,484 D+19.0
Mason 457 18.5% 1,991 80.5% 25 2,473 R+62.0
La Salle 1,051 43.7% 1,334 55.5% 19 2,404 R+11.8
Swisher 478 20.3% 1,846 78.3% 33 2,357 R+58.0
Wheeler 168 7.2% 2,159 92.4% 10 2,337 R+85.2
Lynn 429 18.7% 1,855 80.7% 14 2,298 R+62.1
Kimble 284 12.4% 1,987 86.7% 21 2,292 R+74.3
Childress 310 13.6% 1,942 85.1% 30 2,282 R+71.5
Presidio 1,463 65.9% 721 32.5% 35 2,219 D+33.4
Haskell 353 15.9% 1,840 83.1% 21 2,214 R+67.2
Martin 289 13.3% 1,862 86.0% 15 2,166 R+72.6
Winkler 358 16.8% 1,752 82.4% 15 2,125 R+65.6
Castro 466 22.4% 1,602 76.9% 14 2,082 R+54.6
Hartley 195 9.4% 1,868 89.9% 15 2,078 R+80.5
Hansford 166 8.1% 1,849 90.3% 32 2,047 R+82.2
Floyd 438 21.5% 1,584 77.6% 18 2,040 R+56.2
Jim Hogg 1,197 58.8% 833 40.9% 6 2,036 D+17.9
Real 320 16.1% 1,643 82.9% 19 1,982 R+66.8
Crosby 527 27.0% 1,396 71.5% 30 1,953 R+44.5
Bailey 409 22.0% 1,435 77.1% 17 1,861 R+55.1
Fisher 352 19.3% 1,448 79.3% 26 1,826 R+60.0
Coke 178 10.0% 1,586 89.2% 15 1,779 R+79.1
Hemphill 206 12.0% 1,486 86.4% 28 1,720 R+74.4
Baylor 183 10.7% 1,495 87.8% 25 1,703 R+77.0
Garza 231 14.0% 1,413 85.5% 9 1,653 R+71.5
Donley 198 12.0% 1,438 87.3% 12 1,648 R+75.2
Shackelford 130 8.0% 1,484 91.1% 15 1,629 R+83.1
Dallam 197 12.2% 1,389 86.3% 23 1,609 R+74.1
Kinney 446 27.8% 1,144 71.3% 14 1,604 R+43.5
Hardeman 241 15.2% 1,330 84.1% 10 1,581 R+68.9
Crockett 344 21.8% 1,221 77.5% 10 1,575 R+55.7
Sutton 322 20.7% 1,221 78.4% 15 1,558 R+57.7
Crane 242 16.0% 1,250 82.9% 16 1,508 R+66.8
Knox 265 18.2% 1,180 81.0% 11 1,456 R+62.8
Upton 169 12.4% 1,170 86.1% 20 1,359 R+73.7
Lipscomb 131 9.7% 1,205 89.1% 17 1,353 R+79.4
Jeff Davis 501 38.4% 784 60.1% 20 1,305 R+21.7
Concho 197 15.5% 1,058 83.4% 13 1,268 R+67.9
Collingsworth 155 12.7% 1,049 86.1% 15 1,219 R+73.3
Hall 168 14.4% 995 85.1% 6 1,169 R+70.7
Hudspeth 371 31.8% 779 66.8% 16 1,166 R+35.0
Schleicher 211 18.2% 940 81.2% 7 1,158 R+63.0
Reagan 172 15.3% 942 83.8% 10 1,124 R+68.5
Armstrong 75 6.7% 1,035 93.0% 3 1,113 R+86.3
Edwards 168 15.7% 894 83.8% 5 1,067 R+68.0
Menard 197 19.2% 823 80.1% 8 1,028 R+60.9
Oldham 81 8.0% 917 90.7% 13 1,011 R+82.7
Cochran 177 17.7% 809 80.9% 14 1,000 R+63.2
Sherman 91 9.2% 886 89.3% 15 992 R+80.1
Dickens 130 13.2% 853 86.3% 5 988 R+73.2
Irion 120 13.4% 764 85.5% 10 894 R+72.0
Throckmorton 82 9.2% 806 90.2% 6 894 R+81.0
Culberson 438 50.7% 415 48.0% 11 864 D+2.7
Stonewall 116 15.8% 615 83.6% 5 736 R+67.8
Briscoe 78 10.8% 639 88.1% 8 725 R+77.4
Cottle 113 17.1% 540 81.6% 9 662 R+64.5
Glasscock 39 6.0% 612 93.6% 3 654 R+87.6
Motley 46 7.1% 604 92.6% 2 652 R+85.6
Sterling 51 8.0% 584 91.3% 5 640 R+83.3
Foard 99 18.0% 445 80.8% 7 551 R+62.8
Roberts 17 3.1% 529 96.2% 4 550 R+93.1
McMullen 53 10.3% 460 89.1% 3 516 R+78.9
Kent 47 10.2% 408 88.9% 4 459 R+78.6
Terrell 119 26.0% 334 72.9% 5 458 R+46.9
Borden 16 3.8% 398 95.4% 3 417 R+91.6
Kenedy 65 33.3% 127 65.1% 3 195 R+31.8
King 8 5.0% 151 95.0% 159 R+89.9
Loving 4 6.1% 60 90.9% 2 66 R+84.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+5.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+15.8
2008 John McCain (R) R+11.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+22.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+21.3
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.9
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+27.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+33.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+26.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+6.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+41.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+54.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+62.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+74.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+76.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+3.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+53.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+35.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+59.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+63.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+51.6
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+49.6
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+32.4
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+37.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+37.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+41.0
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+40.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+40.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+40.1
1872 Third party (other)