United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Montana

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Montana in 2020, 56.9% to 40.5%, a margin of 16.4 points and 98,816 votes.

Montana voted 20.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 49 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 7. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 83,821 votes and went to the Republican by 24.0 points. The closest was Roosevelt, where 88 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 343,602 56.9%
Joe Biden Democratic 244,786 40.5%
All other candidates 15,286 2.5%
Total603,674

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 30,679 36.6% 50,772 60.6% 2,370 83,821 R+24.0
Missoula 43,358 60.6% 26,347 36.9% 1,791 71,496 D+23.8
Gallatin 37,044 52.2% 31,695 44.7% 2,239 70,978 D+7.5
Flathead 20,273 33.8% 38,319 63.9% 1,341 59,933 R+30.1
Lewis and Clark 19,740 46.7% 21,407 50.7% 1,113 42,260 R+3.9
Cascade 15,455 38.8% 23,313 58.5% 1,115 39,883 R+19.7
Ravalli 8,762 30.7% 19,112 67.1% 630 28,504 R+36.3
Silver Bow 10,392 55.7% 7,745 41.5% 521 18,658 D+14.2
Lake 6,916 41.6% 9,323 56.1% 387 16,626 R+14.5
Lincoln 2,835 24.1% 8,672 73.8% 241 11,748 R+49.7
Park 5,279 45.7% 6,024 52.1% 261 11,564 R+6.4
Jefferson 2,628 32.2% 5,346 65.6% 181 8,155 R+33.3
Sanders 1,821 23.9% 5,661 74.3% 141 7,623 R+50.4
Hill 2,981 41.5% 3,957 55.1% 244 7,182 R+13.6
Carbon 2,421 34.3% 4,469 63.4% 163 7,053 R+29.0
Fergus 1,496 23.0% 4,869 74.8% 142 6,507 R+51.8
Madison 1,772 29.1% 4,192 68.9% 124 6,088 R+39.8
Custer 1,514 25.8% 4,205 71.8% 141 5,860 R+45.9
Richland 876 15.1% 4,799 82.8% 123 5,798 R+67.7
Stillwater 1,156 20.2% 4,461 77.9% 106 5,723 R+57.7
Beaverhead 1,608 28.4% 3,923 69.3% 130 5,661 R+40.9
Glacier 3,609 64.3% 1,884 33.5% 123 5,616 D+30.7
Deer Lodge 2,562 52.4% 2,186 44.7% 143 4,891 D+7.7
Dawson 962 19.9% 3,757 77.9% 105 4,824 R+57.9
Big Horn 2,490 52.1% 2,207 46.1% 86 4,783 D+5.9
Valley 1,030 24.2% 3,135 73.6% 96 4,261 R+49.4
Broadwater 836 20.4% 3,174 77.4% 89 4,099 R+57.0
Roosevelt 1,909 47.5% 1,997 49.7% 111 4,017 R+2.2
Rosebud 1,199 31.8% 2,486 65.9% 88 3,773 R+34.1
Teton 1,007 27.4% 2,608 70.9% 63 3,678 R+43.5
Powell 752 23.7% 2,355 74.1% 72 3,179 R+50.4
Blaine 1,589 51.0% 1,469 47.1% 59 3,117 D+3.8
Pondera 904 30.2% 2,032 67.8% 61 2,997 R+37.6
Chouteau 991 33.4% 1,892 63.8% 83 2,966 R+30.4
Musselshell 413 14.3% 2,423 84.1% 45 2,881 R+69.8
Mineral 686 26.8% 1,828 71.3% 49 2,563 R+44.6
Sweet Grass 550 22.5% 1,841 75.2% 57 2,448 R+52.7
Phillips 416 17.5% 1,936 81.3% 30 2,382 R+63.8
Toole 467 22.0% 1,596 75.3% 56 2,119 R+53.3
Granite 639 30.4% 1,421 67.5% 45 2,105 R+37.1
Sheridan 574 28.3% 1,403 69.1% 53 2,030 R+40.8
Fallon 172 10.9% 1,375 87.3% 28 1,575 R+76.4
Judith Basin 275 20.5% 1,040 77.4% 29 1,344 R+56.9
Powder River 154 13.6% 970 85.4% 12 1,136 R+71.8
McCone 156 13.8% 956 84.7% 17 1,129 R+70.9
Meagher 258 23.2% 833 75.0% 20 1,111 R+51.8
Liberty 249 23.0% 821 75.8% 13 1,083 R+52.8
Wheatland 225 21.1% 823 77.1% 20 1,068 R+56.0
Daniels 195 19.2% 799 78.8% 20 1,014 R+59.6
Carter 74 8.6% 775 89.7% 15 864 R+81.1
Garfield 41 5.0% 764 94.0% 8 813 R+88.9
Prairie 126 16.9% 604 81.1% 15 745 R+64.2
Wibaux 77 12.9% 516 86.3% 5 598 R+73.4
Golden Valley 78 15.5% 414 82.3% 11 503 R+66.8
Treasure 78 17.0% 373 81.1% 9 460 R+64.1
Petroleum 39 11.2% 298 85.6% 11 348 R+74.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7