United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Montana

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Montana in 2016, 56.2% to 35.7%, a margin of 20.4 points and 101,531 votes.

Montana voted 22.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 50 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 69,108 votes and went to the Republican by 27.1 points. The closest was Blaine, where 66 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 279,240 56.2%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 177,709 35.7%
Gary Johnson Libertarian 28,037 5.6%
All other candidates 12,161 2.4%
Total497,147

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 22,171 32.1% 40,920 59.2% 6,017 69,108 R+27.1
Missoula 31,543 53.3% 22,250 37.6% 5,410 59,203 D+15.7
Gallatin 24,246 45.1% 23,802 44.2% 5,771 53,819 D+0.8
Flathead 13,293 28.5% 30,240 64.9% 3,038 46,571 R+36.4
Cascade 12,175 35.2% 19,632 56.8% 2,764 34,571 R+21.6
Lewis and Clark 14,478 42.0% 16,895 49.0% 3,105 34,478 R+7.0
Ravalli 6,223 27.6% 14,810 65.7% 1,523 22,556 R+38.1
Silver Bow 8,619 52.4% 6,376 38.8% 1,457 16,452 D+13.6
Lake 4,776 36.2% 7,530 57.1% 875 13,181 R+20.9
Park 3,595 38.4% 4,980 53.2% 784 9,359 R+14.8
Lincoln 2,041 21.9% 6,729 72.1% 560 9,330 R+50.2
Jefferson 1,998 29.8% 4,177 62.2% 539 6,714 R+32.5
Hill 2,371 36.8% 3,478 54.0% 596 6,445 R+17.2
Carbon 1,828 30.5% 3,748 62.6% 415 5,991 R+32.0
Sanders 1,218 20.5% 4,286 72.0% 449 5,953 R+51.5
Fergus 1,202 20.6% 4,269 73.1% 369 5,840 R+52.5
Custer 1,176 22.7% 3,657 70.5% 352 5,185 R+47.8
Glacier 3,121 61.5% 1,620 31.9% 334 5,075 D+29.6
Stillwater 908 18.6% 3,661 75.1% 304 4,873 R+56.5
Richland 671 13.8% 3,908 80.2% 292 4,871 R+66.5
Beaverhead 1,143 23.6% 3,353 69.1% 353 4,849 R+45.6
Madison 1,180 24.7% 3,297 69.0% 301 4,778 R+44.3
Dawson 787 18.0% 3,320 75.9% 267 4,374 R+57.9
Big Horn 2,094 49.4% 1,853 43.7% 290 4,237 D+5.7
Deer Lodge 2,058 48.9% 1,763 41.9% 385 4,206 D+7.0
Valley 886 22.8% 2,698 69.3% 310 3,894 R+46.5
Roosevelt 1,560 42.7% 1,797 49.2% 295 3,652 R+6.5
Rosebud 987 28.6% 2,253 65.2% 213 3,453 R+36.7
Teton 808 25.3% 2,170 68.1% 210 3,188 R+42.7
Broadwater 573 18.3% 2,348 74.9% 212 3,133 R+56.7
Powell 551 19.7% 2,029 72.6% 214 2,794 R+52.9
Pondera 738 27.1% 1,799 66.1% 186 2,723 R+39.0
Blaine 1,202 44.8% 1,268 47.2% 214 2,684 R+2.5
Chouteau 732 28.1% 1,679 64.5% 192 2,603 R+36.4
Musselshell 332 13.6% 1,967 80.6% 142 2,441 R+67.0
Phillips 318 14.6% 1,723 79.4% 130 2,171 R+64.7
Sweet Grass 402 19.1% 1,595 75.7% 110 2,107 R+56.6
Toole 402 19.7% 1,497 73.5% 138 2,037 R+53.8
Mineral 519 25.8% 1,330 66.1% 163 2,012 R+40.3
Sheridan 477 26.0% 1,241 67.6% 117 1,835 R+41.6
Granite 472 26.6% 1,192 67.1% 113 1,777 R+40.5
Fallon 154 10.4% 1,279 86.2% 51 1,484 R+75.8
Judith Basin 235 19.5% 872 72.2% 101 1,208 R+52.7
McCone 154 14.5% 862 81.3% 44 1,060 R+66.8
Powder River 127 12.1% 884 84.0% 42 1,053 R+71.9
Meagher 193 19.8% 729 74.6% 55 977 R+54.9
Daniels 168 17.5% 730 75.9% 64 962 R+58.4
Liberty 206 21.4% 698 72.6% 57 961 R+51.2
Wheatland 179 18.9% 702 74.2% 65 946 R+55.3
Carter 70 8.9% 678 86.3% 38 786 R+77.4
Garfield 34 4.7% 653 90.9% 31 718 R+86.2
Prairie 100 14.5% 556 80.7% 33 689 R+66.2
Wibaux 55 10.2% 463 85.6% 23 541 R+75.4
Golden Valley 71 15.0% 365 77.0% 38 474 R+62.0
Treasure 59 13.3% 351 79.2% 33 443 R+65.9
Petroleum 30 9.3% 278 86.3% 14 322 R+77.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7