United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Virginia

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Virginia in 2016, 49.7% to 44.4%, a margin of 5.3 points and 212,030 votes.

Virginia voted 3.2 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Republicans led in 93 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 40. The largest, Fairfax, cast 551,183 votes and went to the Democrat by 35.8 points. The closest was Essex, where 115 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 1,981,473 49.7%
Donald Trump Republican 1,769,443 44.4%
All other candidates 233,715 5.9%
Total3,984,631

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 355,133 64.4% 157,710 28.6% 38,340 551,183 D+35.8
Virginia Beach city 91,032 44.8% 98,224 48.3% 14,006 203,262 R+3.5
Prince William 113,144 57.6% 71,721 36.5% 11,673 196,538 D+21.1
Loudoun 100,795 55.1% 69,949 38.2% 12,353 183,097 D+16.8
Chesterfield 81,074 45.9% 85,045 48.2% 10,342 176,461 R+2.3
Henrico 93,935 57.4% 59,857 36.6% 9,862 163,654 D+20.8
Arlington 92,016 75.8% 20,186 16.6% 9,154 121,356 D+59.2
Chesapeake city 52,627 46.7% 54,047 48.0% 6,031 112,705 R+1.3
Richmond city 81,259 78.5% 15,581 15.1% 6,644 103,484 D+63.5
Norfolk city 57,023 68.4% 21,552 25.8% 4,813 83,388 D+42.5
Alexandria city 57,242 75.5% 13,285 17.5% 5,243 75,770 D+58.0
Newport News city 45,618 60.2% 25,468 33.6% 4,629 75,715 D+26.6
Stafford 27,908 42.3% 33,868 51.4% 4,158 65,934 R+9.0
Hanover 19,382 30.9% 39,630 63.2% 3,741 62,753 R+32.3
Spotsylvania 24,207 38.7% 34,623 55.3% 3,732 62,562 R+16.6
Hampton city 41,312 66.3% 17,902 28.7% 3,142 62,356 D+37.5
Albemarle 33,345 58.8% 19,259 34.0% 4,122 56,726 D+24.8
Roanoke 17,200 33.4% 31,408 61.0% 2,881 51,489 R+27.6
Portsmouth city 28,497 65.9% 12,795 29.6% 1,973 43,265 D+36.3
Suffolk city 23,280 53.8% 18,006 41.6% 1,954 43,240 D+12.2
James City 19,105 44.3% 21,306 49.4% 2,762 43,173 R+5.1
Montgomery 20,021 46.5% 19,459 45.2% 3,551 43,031 D+1.3
Bedford 9,768 23.0% 30,659 72.1% 2,098 42,525 R+49.1
Frederick 11,932 29.5% 26,083 64.5% 2,425 40,440 R+35.0
Roanoke city 22,286 56.5% 14,789 37.5% 2,391 39,466 D+19.0
Rockingham 9,366 25.0% 25,990 69.3% 2,131 37,487 R+44.3
Fauquier 12,971 34.6% 22,127 59.1% 2,369 37,467 R+24.4
Augusta 8,177 22.5% 26,163 72.0% 2,003 36,343 R+49.5
Lynchburg city 14,792 41.5% 17,982 50.4% 2,897 35,671 R+8.9
York 12,999 38.1% 18,837 55.2% 2,282 34,118 R+17.1
Pittsylvania 9,199 29.1% 21,554 68.2% 845 31,598 R+39.1
Campbell 6,664 24.2% 19,551 71.0% 1,320 27,535 R+46.8
Franklin 7,257 26.9% 18,569 68.8% 1,145 26,971 R+41.9
Washington 5,553 21.5% 19,320 74.7% 974 25,847 R+53.3
Henry 8,198 34.0% 15,208 63.1% 700 24,106 R+29.1
Charlottesville city 17,901 79.7% 2,960 13.2% 1,611 22,472 D+66.5
Culpeper 7,759 34.9% 13,349 60.1% 1,110 22,218 R+25.2
Isle of Wight 7,881 37.4% 12,204 57.9% 990 21,075 R+20.5
Shenandoah 5,273 25.7% 14,094 68.7% 1,146 20,513 R+43.0
Gloucester 5,404 27.5% 13,096 66.8% 1,119 19,619 R+39.2
Danville city 11,059 58.4% 7,303 38.5% 590 18,952 D+19.8
Botetourt 4,494 24.0% 13,375 71.4% 870 18,739 R+47.4
Tazewell 2,895 15.6% 15,168 81.7% 503 18,566 R+66.1
Harrisonburg city 10,212 56.8% 6,262 34.8% 1,519 17,993 D+22.0
Warren 5,169 28.8% 11,773 65.6% 1,018 17,960 R+36.8
Louisa 6,212 35.2% 10,528 59.7% 891 17,631 R+24.5
Orange 5,957 34.5% 10,521 60.9% 792 17,270 R+26.4
Halifax 6,897 40.6% 9,704 57.1% 400 17,001 R+16.5
Powhatan 4,060 24.0% 11,885 70.3% 955 16,900 R+46.3
Prince George 6,419 39.7% 9,157 56.6% 608 16,184 R+16.9
Accomack 6,740 42.6% 8,583 54.3% 495 15,818 R+11.7
Manassas city 8,423 54.7% 5,953 38.6% 1,035 15,411 D+16.0
Amherst 5,057 32.8% 9,719 63.1% 620 15,396 R+30.3
Pulaski 4,172 27.5% 10,322 68.1% 673 15,167 R+40.5
Wise 2,701 17.8% 12,086 79.7% 376 15,163 R+61.9
Mecklenburg 6,285 42.1% 8,288 55.5% 372 14,945 R+13.4
Caroline 6,432 43.3% 7,147 48.1% 1,284 14,863 R+4.8
Goochland 4,889 34.8% 8,384 59.7% 764 14,037 R+24.9
Petersburg city 12,021 87.2% 1,451 10.5% 314 13,786 D+76.7
Carroll 2,559 18.7% 10,663 78.0% 446 13,668 R+59.3
Fluvanna 5,760 42.4% 7,025 51.7% 812 13,597 R+9.3
Dinwiddie 5,765 42.5% 7,447 54.9% 363 13,575 R+12.4
Wythe 2,770 20.8% 10,046 75.3% 527 13,343 R+54.5
Smyth 2,665 20.7% 9,750 75.6% 475 12,890 R+55.0
Russell 2,330 19.0% 9,521 77.7% 395 12,246 R+58.7
New Kent 3,546 29.0% 8,118 66.3% 578 12,242 R+37.3
Salem city 4,202 34.4% 7,226 59.1% 797 12,225 R+24.7
King George 4,007 33.2% 7,341 60.9% 711 12,059 R+27.6
Fairfax city 7,367 61.2% 3,702 30.8% 961 12,030 D+30.5
Fredericksburg city 6,707 59.5% 3,744 33.2% 813 11,264 D+26.3
Staunton city 5,333 47.4% 5,133 45.6% 789 11,255 D+1.8
Rockbridge 3,508 32.5% 6,680 61.9% 607 10,795 R+29.4
Page 2,514 23.4% 7,831 72.9% 395 10,740 R+49.5
Winchester city 5,164 48.4% 4,790 44.9% 713 10,667 D+3.5
Scott 1,581 15.7% 8,247 81.7% 272 10,100 R+66.0
Greene 2,924 30.4% 5,945 61.9% 739 9,608 R+31.4
Lee 1,627 17.3% 7,543 80.3% 229 9,399 R+62.9
Buchanan 1,721 18.6% 7,296 78.9% 230 9,247 R+60.3
Waynesboro city 3,764 40.9% 4,801 52.2% 639 9,204 R+11.3
King William 2,760 30.1% 5,975 65.2% 426 9,161 R+35.1
Prince Edward 4,591 50.2% 4,101 44.9% 451 9,143 D+5.4
Hopewell city 4,724 52.4% 3,885 43.1% 399 9,008 D+9.3
Southampton 3,595 40.5% 5,035 56.7% 248 8,878 R+16.2
Westmoreland 3,836 44.7% 4,448 51.9% 290 8,574 R+7.1
Patrick 1,768 20.7% 6,454 75.7% 303 8,525 R+55.0
Colonial Heights city 2,367 28.0% 5,681 67.2% 409 8,457 R+39.2
Nelson 3,689 44.3% 4,154 49.9% 475 8,318 R+5.6
Clarke 3,051 37.1% 4,661 56.8% 501 8,213 R+19.6
Giles 1,950 23.7% 5,910 72.0% 352 8,212 R+48.2
Floyd 2,300 28.6% 5,293 65.7% 458 8,051 R+37.2
Appomattox 2,023 25.3% 5,715 71.3% 273 8,011 R+46.1
Falls Church city 5,819 75.0% 1,324 17.1% 614 7,757 D+57.9
Brunswick 4,481 58.4% 3,046 39.7% 142 7,669 D+18.7
Williamsburg city 5,206 68.3% 1,925 25.2% 495 7,626 D+43.0
Northumberland 2,852 38.6% 4,302 58.2% 244 7,398 R+19.6
Alleghany 2,166 29.6% 4,874 66.5% 285 7,325 R+37.0
Buckingham 3,128 42.9% 3,950 54.1% 217 7,295 R+11.3
Grayson 1,407 19.3% 5,592 76.8% 286 7,285 R+57.4
Poquoson city 1,601 22.3% 5,092 70.9% 484 7,177 R+48.6
Amelia 2,128 30.2% 4,708 66.9% 204 7,040 R+36.6
Bristol city 1,835 26.1% 4,892 69.6% 305 7,032 R+43.5
Madison 2,203 31.6% 4,419 63.3% 357 6,979 R+31.8
Nottoway 2,829 41.9% 3,712 55.0% 203 6,744 R+13.1
Lancaster 2,869 43.2% 3,523 53.0% 253 6,645 R+9.8
Dickenson 1,335 20.7% 4,932 76.6% 173 6,440 R+55.9
Northampton 3,255 52.7% 2,686 43.5% 231 6,172 D+9.2
Radford city 2,925 48.1% 2,638 43.4% 522 6,085 D+4.7
Middlesex 2,108 35.0% 3,670 61.0% 239 6,017 R+26.0
Martinsville city 3,533 59.8% 2,149 36.4% 225 5,907 D+23.4
Charlotte 2,155 37.1% 3,479 59.9% 174 5,808 R+22.8
Lunenburg 2,227 39.9% 3,204 57.4% 155 5,586 R+17.5
Essex 2,542 47.0% 2,657 49.1% 209 5,408 R+2.1
Mathews 1,563 29.4% 3,517 66.2% 231 5,311 R+36.8
Manassas Park city 3,204 61.2% 1,733 33.1% 295 5,232 D+28.1
Sussex 2,879 57.1% 2,055 40.7% 110 5,044 D+16.3
Cumberland 2,036 41.5% 2,697 55.0% 173 4,906 R+13.5
Rappahannock 1,747 39.0% 2,539 56.6% 197 4,483 R+17.7
Greensville 2,558 58.6% 1,737 39.8% 68 4,363 D+18.8
Surry 2,272 53.7% 1,819 43.0% 137 4,228 D+10.7
Charles City 2,496 60.8% 1,476 35.9% 135 4,107 D+24.8
Franklin city 2,519 61.9% 1,421 34.9% 130 4,070 D+27.0
King and Queen 1,468 39.7% 2,099 56.8% 130 3,697 R+17.1
Richmond 1,347 36.8% 2,213 60.4% 101 3,661 R+23.7
Bland 453 14.4% 2,573 82.0% 113 3,139 R+67.5
Craig 541 19.4% 2,140 76.6% 113 2,794 R+57.2
Lexington city 1,514 61.4% 766 31.1% 185 2,465 D+30.3
Buena Vista city 693 28.8% 1,430 59.4% 284 2,407 R+30.6
Covington city 914 38.4% 1,349 56.6% 119 2,382 R+18.3
Galax city 681 28.7% 1,603 67.5% 92 2,376 R+38.8
Emporia city 1,530 64.6% 789 33.3% 48 2,367 D+31.3
Bath 603 26.8% 1,548 68.7% 102 2,253 R+41.9
Norton city 383 26.2% 1,021 69.9% 56 1,460 R+43.7
Highland 371 26.7% 958 68.9% 62 1,391 R+42.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.8
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+5.3
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+3.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+6.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+8.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+8.0
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.0
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+20.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+25.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+37.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.9
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+7.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+17.0
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+6.8
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+25.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.4
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+8.0
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+29.7
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+23.7
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+35.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+48.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+22.2
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+24.8
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+11.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+6.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+21.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+1.0