United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in New Jersey

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in New Jersey in 2016, 55.5% to 41.4%, a margin of 14.1 points and 546,345 votes.

New Jersey voted 12.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Democrats led in 12 of the 21 counties and Republicans in 9. The largest, Bergen, cast 419,296 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.3 points. The closest was Gloucester, where 674 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 2,148,278 55.5%
Donald Trump Republican 1,601,933 41.4%
All other candidates 123,835 3.2%
Total3,874,046

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 231,211 55.1% 175,529 41.9% 12,556 419,296 D+13.3
Middlesex 193,044 59.2% 122,953 37.7% 10,105 326,102 D+21.5
Monmouth 137,181 43.6% 166,723 53.0% 10,473 314,377 R+9.4
Essex 240,837 77.5% 63,176 20.3% 6,921 310,934 D+57.1
Ocean 87,150 31.8% 179,079 65.3% 8,133 274,362 R+33.5
Morris 115,249 46.0% 126,071 50.3% 9,096 250,416 R+4.3
Camden 146,717 64.7% 72,631 32.1% 7,244 226,592 D+32.7
Union 147,414 66.4% 68,114 30.7% 6,447 221,975 D+35.7
Hudson 163,917 74.7% 49,043 22.4% 6,415 219,375 D+52.4
Burlington 121,725 55.6% 89,272 40.8% 7,946 218,943 D+14.8
Passaic 116,759 59.9% 72,902 37.4% 5,141 194,802 D+22.5
Somerset 85,689 54.5% 65,505 41.7% 5,898 157,092 D+12.8
Mercer 104,775 66.9% 46,193 29.5% 5,561 156,529 D+37.4
Gloucester 66,870 47.9% 67,544 48.4% 5,128 139,542 R+0.5
Atlantic 60,924 51.9% 52,690 44.9% 3,677 117,291 D+7.0
Sussex 24,212 32.7% 46,658 62.9% 3,256 74,126 R+30.3
Hunterdon 28,898 40.8% 38,712 54.7% 3,226 70,836 R+13.9
Cumberland 27,771 51.4% 24,453 45.3% 1,780 54,004 D+6.1
Warren 17,281 35.1% 29,858 60.6% 2,097 49,236 R+25.5
Cape May 18,750 38.5% 28,446 58.4% 1,526 48,722 R+19.9
Salem 11,904 40.4% 16,381 55.5% 1,209 29,494 R+15.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+15.9
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+14.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+17.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.6
2004 John Kerry (D) D+6.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+15.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.8
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+31.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.8
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+30.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.8
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.0
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+20.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+39.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+11.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+20.7
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.7
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+18.6
1900 William McKinley (R) R+14.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+23.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.4
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+5.7
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.0
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.8