United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in New Jersey

Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) beat Harry S. Truman (Democrat) in New Jersey in 1948, 50.3% to 45.9%, a margin of 4.4 points and 85,669 votes.

New Jersey voted 8.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

New Jersey changed party: in 1944 it went Democratic, for Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans led in 15 of the 21 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 6. The largest, Essex, cast 343,567 votes and went to the Republican by 3.3 points. The closest was Salem, where 317 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas E. Dewey won Republican 981,124 50.3%
Harry S. Truman Democratic 895,455 45.9%
All other candidates 72,976 3.7%
Total1,949,555

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Essex 155,468 45.3% 166,963 48.6% 21,136 343,567 R+3.3
Hudson 182,979 60.1% 111,113 36.5% 10,561 304,653 D+23.6
Bergen 69,132 31.8% 142,657 65.7% 5,342 217,131 R+33.9
Union 66,759 41.2% 87,402 53.9% 8,019 162,180 R+12.7
Passaic 60,147 46.1% 59,675 45.8% 10,608 130,430 D+0.4
Camden 66,388 54.8% 51,977 42.9% 2,767 121,132 D+11.9
Middlesex 61,634 53.0% 49,810 42.9% 4,766 116,210 D+10.2
Mercer 49,690 55.6% 37,794 42.3% 1,952 89,436 D+13.3
Monmouth 30,507 35.9% 52,908 62.2% 1,618 85,033 R+26.3
Morris 18,864 30.1% 42,558 68.0% 1,152 62,574 R+37.9
Atlantic 25,313 43.6% 31,608 54.4% 1,150 58,071 R+10.8
Burlington 20,801 49.0% 21,183 49.9% 448 42,432 R+0.9
Somerset 14,104 38.3% 22,034 59.8% 724 36,862 R+21.5
Gloucester 15,785 44.1% 19,477 54.5% 503 35,765 R+10.3
Cumberland 15,195 47.0% 16,556 51.2% 562 32,313 R+4.2
Ocean 6,366 26.8% 16,740 70.4% 661 23,767 R+43.6
Warren 9,972 48.1% 10,558 51.0% 186 20,716 R+2.8
Salem 9,278 50.4% 8,961 48.7% 179 18,418 D+1.7
Hunterdon 6,515 37.2% 10,654 60.8% 340 17,509 R+23.6
Cape May 6,031 34.6% 11,227 64.5% 159 17,417 R+29.8
Sussex 4,527 32.5% 9,269 66.5% 143 13,939 R+34.0

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+15.9
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+14.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+17.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.6
2004 John Kerry (D) D+6.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+15.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.8
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+31.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.8
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+30.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.8
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.0
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+20.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+39.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+11.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+20.7
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.7
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+18.6
1900 William McKinley (R) R+14.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+23.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.4
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+5.7
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.0
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.8