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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) beat Harry S. Truman (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 1948, 50.9% to 46.9%, a margin of 4.0 points and 149,771 votes.

Pennsylvania voted 8.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 1944 it went Democratic, for Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans led in 54 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 13. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 885,297 votes and went to the Democrat by 0.8 points. The closest was Columbia, where 50 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas E. Dewey won Republican 1,902,197 50.9%
Harry S. Truman Democratic 1,752,426 46.9%
All other candidates 80,525 2.2%
Total3,735,148

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 432,699 48.9% 425,962 48.1% 26,636 885,297 D+0.8
Allegheny 326,303 54.9% 253,272 42.6% 14,931 594,506 D+12.3
Delaware 57,156 37.3% 93,412 60.9% 2,747 153,315 R+23.6
Luzerne 61,869 45.6% 71,674 52.9% 2,068 135,611 R+7.2
Montgomery 41,112 32.0% 85,576 66.5% 1,938 128,626 R+34.6
Lackawanna 64,495 57.7% 46,283 41.4% 971 111,749 D+16.3
Westmoreland 61,901 58.0% 41,709 39.0% 3,204 106,814 D+18.9
Berks 43,075 52.7% 35,608 43.6% 3,043 81,726 D+9.1
Dauphin 27,729 36.8% 46,861 62.2% 796 75,386 R+25.4
Washington 46,327 61.6% 26,860 35.7% 1,979 75,166 D+25.9
Schuylkill 28,194 38.4% 44,176 60.1% 1,122 73,492 R+21.7
Cambria 41,533 59.0% 27,725 39.4% 1,164 70,422 D+19.6
York 33,321 48.5% 32,494 47.3% 2,863 68,678 D+1.2
Lancaster 21,308 31.1% 46,306 67.6% 885 68,499 R+36.5
Erie 28,159 44.5% 33,806 53.5% 1,280 63,245 R+8.9
Northampton 33,209 54.0% 27,030 43.9% 1,265 61,504 D+10.0
Lehigh 26,826 44.7% 32,202 53.7% 994 60,022 R+9.0
Fayette 34,971 62.0% 20,401 36.2% 995 56,367 D+25.8
Beaver 26,629 52.3% 22,324 43.8% 1,983 50,936 D+8.5
Bucks 16,655 35.4% 29,411 62.5% 1,018 47,084 R+27.1
Chester 14,670 33.0% 29,258 65.8% 550 44,478 R+32.8
Northumberland 16,478 40.7% 23,535 58.1% 472 40,485 R+17.4
Blair 14,050 38.1% 22,382 60.7% 454 36,886 R+22.6
Mercer 16,108 44.9% 18,916 52.7% 862 35,886 R+7.8
Lycoming 13,692 40.9% 19,118 57.2% 626 33,436 R+16.2
Lawrence 14,632 44.9% 17,186 52.7% 781 32,599 R+7.8
Cumberland 11,421 38.5% 18,028 60.7% 246 29,695 R+22.2
Butler 9,818 35.4% 17,449 62.9% 457 27,724 R+27.5
Lebanon 9,418 37.3% 15,553 61.6% 270 25,241 R+24.3
Clearfield 11,347 48.0% 11,810 49.9% 487 23,644 R+2.0
Crawford 9,174 39.3% 14,161 60.7% 23,335 R+21.4
Somerset 8,727 38.0% 13,910 60.5% 341 22,978 R+22.6
Armstrong 9,900 45.2% 11,712 53.5% 300 21,912 R+8.3
Indiana 8,543 40.3% 12,640 59.7% 21,183 R+19.3
Franklin 7,352 37.4% 12,151 61.8% 161 19,664 R+24.4
Carbon 9,438 48.2% 9,744 49.8% 396 19,578 R+1.6
Columbia 9,367 49.9% 9,417 50.1% 18,784 R+0.3
Venango 5,144 29.3% 11,920 68.0% 472 17,536 R+38.6
Centre 6,515 38.5% 10,416 61.5% 16,931 R+23.0
Bradford 4,421 27.0% 11,783 72.0% 163 16,367 R+45.0
Jefferson 5,632 36.8% 9,395 61.4% 268 15,295 R+24.6
McKean 4,785 31.3% 10,218 66.9% 269 15,272 R+35.6
Adams 5,409 40.0% 7,988 59.1% 112 13,509 R+19.1
Tioga 2,986 23.0% 10,016 77.0% 13,002 R+54.1
Greene 8,015 62.0% 4,717 36.5% 202 12,934 D+25.5
Warren 4,103 32.0% 8,378 65.4% 333 12,814 R+33.4
Monroe 5,913 47.0% 6,674 53.0% 12,587 R+6.0
Clarion 4,984 42.1% 6,866 57.9% 11,850 R+15.9
Susquehanna 3,621 30.9% 7,945 67.8% 150 11,716 R+36.9
Clinton 5,013 47.2% 5,618 52.8% 10,631 R+5.7
Mifflin 4,762 45.3% 5,666 53.8% 95 10,523 R+8.6
Elk 5,363 51.0% 5,148 49.0% 10,511 D+2.0
Huntingdon 3,304 32.2% 6,943 67.8% 10,247 R+35.5
Wayne 2,284 22.9% 7,708 77.1% 9,992 R+54.3
Bedford 3,851 39.0% 6,028 61.0% 9,879 R+22.0
Perry 2,596 32.3% 5,444 67.7% 8,040 R+35.4
Snyder 1,490 22.3% 5,181 77.7% 6,671 R+55.3
Union 1,442 21.9% 5,058 76.8% 87 6,587 R+54.9
Wyoming 1,674 27.3% 4,332 70.7% 121 6,127 R+43.4
Juniata 2,299 42.1% 3,121 57.2% 39 5,459 R+15.1
Potter 1,729 32.0% 3,672 68.0% 5,401 R+36.0
Montour 1,964 42.1% 2,690 57.6% 16 4,670 R+15.5
Pike 1,208 29.5% 2,893 70.5% 4,101 R+41.1
Fulton 1,684 48.5% 1,760 50.6% 31 3,475 R+2.2
Sullivan 1,084 37.9% 1,752 61.2% 26 2,862 R+23.3
Cameron 858 34.8% 1,596 64.7% 11 2,465 R+29.9
Forest 687 35.4% 1,209 62.3% 45 1,941 R+26.9

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4