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Election 1912 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1912 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Theodore Roosevelt (Progressive) beat Woodrow Wilson (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 1912, 36.5% to 32.5%, a margin of 4.0 points and 49,257 votes.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 1908 it went Republican, for William Howard Taft.

other candidates led in 48 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 19. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 251,690 votes and went to the other candidates by 0.6 points. The closest was Fayette, where 2 votes separated the top two.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Theodore Roosevelt won Progressive 444,894 36.5%
Woodrow Wilson Democratic 395,637 32.5%
William Howard Taft Republican 273,360 22.4%
All other candidates 103,845 8.5%
Total1,217,736

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 66,308 26.3% 91,944 36.5% 93,438 251,690 Others
Allegheny 31,417 24.9% 23,822 18.8% 71,147 126,386 Others
Luzerne 13,461 32.6% 4,970 12.0% 22,907 41,338 Others
Berks 16,430 47.5% 3,032 8.8% 15,098 34,560 D+38.8
Lancaster 8,574 25.0% 12,668 37.0% 13,040 34,282 Others
Montgomery 11,894 35.4% 8,978 26.7% 12,760 33,632 Others
Lackawanna 12,423 37.8% 3,799 11.6% 16,661 32,883 Others
Schuylkill 11,812 36.8% 3,557 11.1% 16,706 32,075 Others
York 14,979 49.6% 5,251 17.4% 9,965 30,195 D+32.2
Westmoreland 9,262 31.6% 4,299 14.7% 15,764 29,325 Others
Dauphin 7,470 28.9% 6,012 23.3% 12,337 25,819 Others
Delaware 6,001 25.8% 8,418 36.2% 8,819 23,238 Others
Lehigh 10,834 48.6% 2,722 12.2% 8,755 22,311 D+36.4
Northampton 10,325 47.5% 3,893 17.9% 7,518 21,736 D+29.6
Cambria 7,282 33.5% 3,252 15.0% 11,191 21,725 Others
Chester 6,901 34.9% 5,708 28.8% 7,177 19,786 Others
Northumberland 6,802 35.5% 2,371 12.4% 9,971 19,144 Others
Fayette 7,363 39.0% 4,168 22.1% 7,361 18,892 D+16.9
Washington 5,563 29.8% 4,297 23.0% 8,837 18,697 Others
Erie 5,633 30.6% 4,958 26.9% 7,817 18,408 Others
Blair 4,108 23.8% 3,138 18.2% 10,030 17,276 Others
Bucks 6,773 39.8% 5,452 32.0% 4,812 17,037 D+7.8
Lycoming 6,039 40.7% 1,631 11.0% 7,157 14,827 Others
Clearfield 4,670 36.2% 1,523 11.8% 6,707 12,900 Others
Mercer 4,039 31.8% 1,873 14.7% 6,806 12,718 Others
Beaver 3,037 24.1% 2,759 21.9% 6,806 12,602 Others
Crawford 3,908 32.2% 2,497 20.6% 5,742 12,147 Others
Cumberland 5,023 42.9% 2,566 21.9% 4,123 11,712 D+21.0
Franklin 4,505 39.1% 2,710 23.5% 4,308 11,523 D+15.6
Butler 4,022 35.9% 1,273 11.4% 5,920 11,215 Others
Bradford 2,960 27.0% 2,034 18.6% 5,963 10,957 Others
Lebanon 2,972 28.1% 2,378 22.5% 5,230 10,580 Others
Armstrong 3,027 30.1% 1,904 18.9% 5,139 10,070 Others
Lawrence 1,976 20.1% 2,128 21.6% 5,741 9,845 Others
Somerset 2,164 22.6% 1,428 14.9% 5,996 9,588 Others
Venango 2,507 27.6% 1,660 18.3% 4,925 9,092 Others
Carbon 3,652 40.9% 1,246 13.9% 4,036 8,934 Others
Columbia 4,905 55.1% 889 10.0% 3,116 8,910 D+45.1
Jefferson 2,510 29.1% 1,608 18.6% 4,504 8,622 Others
Indiana 1,593 18.7% 1,720 20.2% 5,197 8,510 Others
Tioga 1,901 22.5% 1,895 22.4% 4,662 8,458 Others
McKean 2,362 29.5% 1,345 16.8% 4,294 8,001 Others
Centre 3,445 43.5% 1,507 19.0% 2,974 7,926 D+24.5
Susquehanna 2,588 35.0% 1,988 26.9% 2,822 7,398 Others
Bedford 2,694 36.7% 1,140 15.5% 3,510 7,344 Others
Warren 1,686 23.2% 1,564 21.5% 4,008 7,258 Others
Adams 3,682 51.1% 819 11.4% 2,709 7,210 D+39.7
Huntingdon 1,538 24.4% 903 14.3% 3,859 6,300 Others
Clarion 3,079 49.2% 916 14.6% 2,267 6,262 D+34.5
Greene 3,551 58.7% 1,150 19.0% 1,351 6,052 D+39.7
Clinton 2,200 36.5% 1,214 20.1% 2,621 6,035 Others
Elk 2,057 35.8% 603 10.5% 3,082 5,742 Others
Wayne 1,924 35.9% 659 12.3% 2,777 5,360 Others
Perry 1,941 40.0% 1,140 23.5% 1,774 4,855 D+16.5
Potter 1,445 30.9% 850 18.2% 2,384 4,679 Others
Monroe 3,107 67.5% 536 11.6% 961 4,604 D+55.8
Mifflin 1,400 31.3% 654 14.6% 2,426 4,480 Others
Wyoming 1,505 42.6% 480 13.6% 1,548 3,533 Others
Union 1,126 32.5% 470 13.6% 1,869 3,465 Others
Snyder 991 29.8% 626 18.8% 1,713 3,330 Others
Juniata 1,148 40.9% 374 13.3% 1,284 2,806 Others
Montour 1,492 53.2% 308 11.0% 1,005 2,805 D+42.2
Fulton 1,080 52.2% 317 15.3% 670 2,067 D+36.9
Sullivan 912 44.1% 547 26.5% 608 2,067 D+17.7
Pike 995 59.8% 191 11.5% 477 1,663 D+48.3
Forest 373 23.9% 240 15.4% 947 1,560 Others
Cameron 291 22.6% 388 30.1% 610 1,289 Others

Counties as they stood in 1912; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4