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Election 1984 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1984 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Walter Mondale (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 1984, 53.3% to 46.0%, a margin of 7.4 points and 356,192 votes.

Pennsylvania voted 10.9 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+18.2.

The Republican hold continued from 1980, when Ronald Reagan also won.

Republicans led in 56 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 11. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 772,102 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.3 points. The closest was Mercer, where 447 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 2,584,323 53.3%
Walter Mondale Democratic 2,228,131 46.0%
All other candidates 32,449 0.7%
Total4,844,903

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 501,369 64.9% 267,178 34.6% 3,555 772,102 D+30.3
Allegheny 372,576 56.0% 284,692 42.8% 8,480 665,748 D+13.2
Montgomery 99,741 35.3% 181,426 64.2% 1,499 282,666 R+28.9
Delaware 98,207 37.5% 161,754 61.8% 1,821 261,782 R+24.3
Bucks 74,568 36.2% 130,119 63.3% 1,032 205,719 R+27.0
Westmoreland 79,906 52.4% 71,377 46.8% 1,181 152,464 D+5.6
Chester 38,870 29.6% 92,221 70.1% 440 131,531 R+40.6
Lancaster 31,308 23.9% 99,090 75.6% 618 131,016 R+51.7
Luzerne 58,482 45.2% 69,169 53.5% 1,640 129,291 R+8.3
Berks 37,849 33.5% 74,605 65.9% 691 113,145 R+32.5
Erie 52,471 48.0% 55,860 51.1% 935 109,266 R+3.1
York 33,359 30.5% 75,020 68.7% 868 109,247 R+38.1
Lehigh 41,089 39.7% 61,799 59.7% 649 103,537 R+20.0
Lackawanna 45,851 48.2% 48,132 50.6% 1,202 95,185 R+2.4
Dauphin 33,576 37.9% 54,330 61.3% 752 88,658 R+23.4
Beaver 54,765 62.9% 32,052 36.8% 300 87,117 D+26.1
Washington 50,911 59.2% 34,782 40.5% 244 85,937 D+18.8
Northampton 37,979 45.5% 44,648 53.5% 840 83,467 R+8.0
Cambria 39,865 55.1% 32,173 44.5% 258 72,296 D+10.6
Cumberland 21,374 30.1% 49,282 69.3% 467 71,123 R+39.2
Schuylkill 25,758 40.7% 37,330 59.0% 224 63,312 R+18.3
Butler 24,735 43.7% 31,676 55.9% 215 56,626 R+12.3
Fayette 35,098 62.1% 21,314 37.7% 135 56,547 D+24.4
Mercer 24,658 50.0% 24,211 49.1% 434 49,303 D+0.9
Blair 15,651 34.1% 30,104 65.5% 190 45,945 R+31.5
Centre 16,194 36.6% 27,802 62.8% 240 44,236 R+26.2
Lawrence 23,981 55.3% 19,277 44.4% 128 43,386 D+10.8
Lycoming 13,147 31.4% 28,498 68.0% 250 41,895 R+36.6
Franklin 11,480 29.6% 27,243 70.1% 122 38,845 R+40.6
Lebanon 10,520 27.9% 27,008 71.6% 188 37,716 R+43.7
Northumberland 13,748 38.0% 22,109 61.1% 308 36,165 R+23.1
Indiana 15,791 45.4% 18,845 54.2% 123 34,759 R+8.8
Somerset 13,900 41.5% 19,502 58.2% 89 33,491 R+16.7
Crawford 12,792 38.5% 20,181 60.8% 222 33,195 R+22.3
Clearfield 11,963 38.9% 18,653 60.6% 153 30,769 R+21.7
Armstrong 14,525 51.2% 13,709 48.4% 110 28,344 D+2.9
Monroe 8,193 33.5% 16,109 65.8% 172 24,474 R+32.3
Adams 7,289 30.2% 16,786 69.4% 99 24,174 R+39.3
Venango 9,114 40.1% 13,507 59.4% 104 22,725 R+19.3
Columbia 8,254 36.3% 14,402 63.4% 62 22,718 R+27.1
Bradford 5,474 26.9% 14,808 72.7% 85 20,367 R+45.8
Carbon 8,836 44.9% 10,701 54.4% 131 19,668 R+9.5
Bedford 5,424 29.3% 13,085 70.6% 34 18,543 R+41.3
Jefferson 5,950 34.3% 11,334 65.3% 71 17,355 R+31.0
Warren 6,244 36.3% 10,838 62.9% 139 17,221 R+26.7
McKean 4,818 30.4% 10,963 69.2% 58 15,839 R+38.8
Greene 9,365 59.3% 6,376 40.4% 43 15,784 D+18.9
Clarion 5,407 35.3% 9,836 64.3% 61 15,304 R+28.9
Susquehanna 4,471 29.6% 10,566 70.0% 67 15,104 R+40.4
Huntingdon 4,430 30.2% 10,220 69.6% 41 14,691 R+39.4
Tioga 4,060 27.7% 10,532 71.9% 52 14,644 R+44.2
Mifflin 5,178 36.0% 9,106 63.4% 89 14,373 R+27.3
Elk 5,486 39.2% 8,470 60.5% 51 14,007 R+21.3
Wayne 3,155 23.7% 10,061 75.7% 81 13,297 R+51.9
Perry 3,692 28.2% 9,365 71.4% 56 13,113 R+43.3
Snyder 2,383 20.9% 8,968 78.7% 40 11,391 R+57.8
Clinton 4,525 40.1% 6,678 59.2% 70 11,273 R+19.1
Union 2,747 26.0% 7,792 73.7% 40 10,579 R+47.7
Wyoming 2,518 25.8% 7,230 74.0% 21 9,769 R+48.2
Pike 2,503 28.1% 6,343 71.2% 67 8,913 R+43.1
Juniata 2,624 34.1% 5,059 65.7% 22 7,705 R+31.6
Potter 1,789 25.6% 5,164 73.9% 31 6,984 R+48.3
Montour 2,055 32.9% 4,174 66.8% 19 6,248 R+33.9
Fulton 1,309 28.6% 3,254 71.1% 11 4,574 R+42.5
Cameron 990 32.7% 2,031 67.1% 8 3,029 R+34.4
Sullivan 952 33.0% 1,926 66.7% 11 2,889 R+33.7
Forest 839 36.2% 1,468 63.4% 10 2,317 R+27.1

Counties as they stood in 1984; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4