United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 2024, 50.2% to 48.5%, a margin of 1.7 points and 120,266 votes.

Pennsylvania voted 0.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 2020 it went Democratic, for Joe Biden.

Republicans led in 58 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Allegheny, cast 720,757 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.3 points. The closest was Bucks, where 180 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 3,543,308 50.2%
Kamala Harris Democratic 3,423,042 48.5%
All other candidates 92,382 1.3%
Total7,058,732

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Allegheny 430,190 59.7% 283,616 39.3% 6,951 720,757 D+20.3
Philadelphia 566,754 78.8% 144,055 20.0% 8,415 719,224 D+58.8
Montgomery 317,305 60.9% 198,326 38.1% 5,458 521,089 D+22.8
Bucks 198,557 49.5% 198,737 49.5% 3,875 401,169 level
Delaware 201,452 61.4% 123,430 37.6% 3,405 328,287 D+23.8
Chester 184,398 56.7% 137,309 42.2% 3,371 325,078 D+14.5
Lancaster 120,195 41.5% 166,274 57.5% 2,890 289,359 R+15.9
York 91,985 36.9% 154,896 62.1% 2,417 249,298 R+25.2
Westmoreland 74,952 35.4% 135,018 63.8% 1,554 211,524 R+28.4
Berks 91,183 43.4% 116,686 55.6% 2,043 209,912 R+12.1
Lehigh 96,378 50.8% 91,214 48.0% 2,285 189,877 D+2.7
Northampton 86,710 48.6% 89,824 50.4% 1,744 178,278 R+1.7
Luzerne 62,544 40.0% 92,451 59.2% 1,210 156,205 R+19.1
Dauphin 78,377 52.4% 69,479 46.4% 1,723 149,579 D+5.9
Cumberland 66,297 44.7% 80,273 54.1% 1,878 148,448 R+9.4
Erie 67,499 49.0% 68,871 50.0% 1,273 137,643 R+1.0
Washington 44,939 36.9% 75,935 62.4% 786 121,660 R+25.5
Butler 40,687 33.5% 79,779 65.7% 1,017 121,483 R+32.2
Lackawanna 59,548 51.1% 56,265 48.2% 818 116,631 D+2.8
Beaver 37,220 39.2% 56,841 59.9% 815 94,876 R+20.7
Monroe 42,034 49.1% 42,679 49.9% 842 85,555 R+0.8
Franklin 23,558 28.1% 59,608 71.0% 747 83,913 R+43.0
Centre 41,145 50.9% 38,832 48.0% 843 80,820 D+2.9
Lebanon 24,750 33.6% 48,286 65.5% 682 73,718 R+31.9
Schuylkill 20,895 28.5% 51,669 70.6% 646 73,210 R+42.0
Cambria 21,190 29.8% 49,412 69.4% 559 71,161 R+39.7
Blair 18,139 27.9% 46,355 71.3% 478 64,972 R+43.4
Fayette 19,560 30.8% 43,636 68.7% 298 63,494 R+37.9
Adams 19,855 32.7% 40,251 66.3% 565 60,671 R+33.6
Lycoming 17,227 28.9% 41,964 70.3% 515 59,706 R+41.4
Mercer 20,158 34.5% 37,764 64.6% 509 58,431 R+30.1
Lawrence 15,450 32.8% 31,349 66.5% 328 47,127 R+33.7
Northumberland 12,871 29.6% 30,242 69.5% 424 43,537 R+39.9
Crawford 12,866 30.0% 29,687 69.2% 334 42,887 R+39.2
Indiana 12,705 30.1% 29,217 69.2% 322 42,244 R+39.1
Somerset 8,601 21.0% 31,995 78.2% 299 40,895 R+57.2
Clearfield 9,653 23.9% 30,483 75.4% 308 40,444 R+51.5
Armstrong 8,558 23.0% 28,298 76.2% 276 37,132 R+53.2
Carbon 11,401 32.2% 23,710 67.0% 296 35,407 R+34.8
Pike 13,140 37.6% 21,539 61.6% 283 34,962 R+24.0
Columbia 11,090 34.0% 21,192 65.0% 305 32,587 R+31.0
Bradford 7,995 25.6% 22,939 73.5% 269 31,203 R+47.9
Wayne 9,156 31.1% 20,073 68.2% 225 29,454 R+37.1
Bedford 4,339 15.4% 23,660 84.0% 171 28,170 R+68.6
Venango 7,629 28.5% 18,884 70.6% 228 26,741 R+42.1
Perry 6,389 24.8% 19,074 74.1% 271 25,734 R+49.3
Huntingdon 5,371 23.2% 17,628 76.1% 165 23,164 R+52.9
Jefferson 4,710 20.4% 18,236 78.8% 191 23,137 R+58.5
Susquehanna 6,097 27.2% 16,115 71.9% 200 22,412 R+44.7
Mifflin 4,738 21.5% 17,185 77.8% 156 22,079 R+56.4
Tioga 5,103 23.6% 16,273 75.4% 219 21,595 R+51.7
Union 8,020 37.8% 12,970 61.2% 205 21,195 R+23.4
Warren 6,216 30.0% 14,346 69.2% 168 20,730 R+39.2
Snyder 5,242 26.2% 14,665 73.2% 138 20,045 R+47.0
Clarion 4,565 23.1% 15,037 76.2% 138 19,740 R+53.0
McKean 5,118 26.0% 14,402 73.1% 169 19,689 R+47.2
Clinton 5,398 29.1% 12,966 70.0% 165 18,529 R+40.8
Greene 4,595 26.7% 12,320 71.5% 327 17,242 R+44.8
Elk 4,486 26.1% 12,544 73.1% 129 17,159 R+47.0
Wyoming 4,683 31.1% 10,223 67.9% 151 15,057 R+36.8
Juniata 2,291 18.9% 9,722 80.3% 95 12,108 R+61.4
Montour 3,864 39.0% 5,944 60.0% 103 9,911 R+21.0
Potter 1,676 18.4% 7,335 80.7% 77 9,088 R+62.3
Fulton 1,103 13.5% 7,040 86.1% 37 8,180 R+72.6
Sullivan 977 26.2% 2,721 73.1% 24 3,722 R+46.9
Forest 724 27.3% 1,902 71.7% 25 2,651 R+44.4
Cameron 538 24.2% 1,654 74.5% 28 2,220 R+50.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4