United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2024 House · Pennsylvania
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania elected 17 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 7 seats and Republicans 10.

The closest was the 7th district, decided by 1.0 point: Ryan Mackenzie (Republican) beat Susan Wild (Democrat), 50.5% to 49.5%, a margin of 1.0 point and 4,062 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 57 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 10. The largest, Allegheny, cast 703,552 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.8 points. The closest was Northampton, where 1,079 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Ashley Ehasz202,042 (43.6%) Brian Fitzpatrick261,390 (56.4%) R+12.8
2 Brendan Boyle193,691 (71.5%) Haroon Bashir77,355 (28.5%) D+42.9
3 Dwight Evans338,674 (100.0%) none D+100.0
4 Madeleine Dean269,066 (59.1%) David Winkler186,457 (40.9%) D+18.1
5 Mary Gay Scanlon267,754 (65.3%) Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin142,355 (34.7%) D+30.6
6 Chrissy Houlahan235,625 (56.2%) Neil Young Jr.183,638 (43.8%) D+12.4
7 Susan Wild199,626 (49.5%) Ryan Mackenzie203,688 (50.5%) R+1.0
8 Matt Cartwright189,411 (49.2%) Rob Bresnahan195,663 (50.8%) R+1.6
9 Amanda Waldman115,523 (29.5%) Dan Meuser276,212 (70.5%) R+41.0
10 Janelle Stelson200,434 (49.4%) Scott Perry205,567 (50.6%) R+1.3
11 Jim Atkinson149,641 (37.1%) Lloyd Smucker253,672 (62.9%) R+25.8
12 Summer Lee234,802 (56.4%) James Hayes181,426 (43.6%) D+12.8
13 Beth Farnham104,823 (25.8%) John Joyce301,460 (74.2%) R+48.4
14 Christopher Dziados134,755 (33.4%) Guy Reschenthaler268,380 (66.6%) R+33.2
15 Zacheray Womer111,408 (28.5%) Glenn Thompson279,027 (71.5%) R+42.9
16 Preston Nouri146,709 (36.3%) Mike Kelly256,923 (63.7%) R+27.3
17 Chris Deluzio242,838 (53.9%) Rob Mercuri207,900 (46.1%) D+7.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Allegheny 414,371 58.9% 289,181 41.1% 703,552 D+17.8
Philadelphia 553,550 86.7% 84,797 13.3% 638,347 D+73.4
Montgomery 311,470 61.4% 196,058 38.6% 507,528 D+22.7
Bucks 170,470 43.4% 222,693 56.6% 393,163 R+13.3
Delaware 203,876 62.9% 120,100 37.1% 323,976 D+25.9
Chester 184,156 57.0% 139,164 43.0% 323,320 D+13.9
Lancaster 112,467 39.7% 170,624 60.3% 283,091 R+20.5
York 92,445 37.9% 151,593 62.1% 244,038 R+24.2
Westmoreland 70,840 34.5% 134,259 65.5% 205,099 R+30.9
Berks 92,355 45.7% 109,826 54.3% 202,181 R+8.6
Lehigh 98,017 52.3% 89,350 47.7% 187,367 D+4.6
Northampton 87,589 50.3% 86,510 49.7% 174,099 D+0.6
Luzerne 66,287 43.1% 87,463 56.9% 153,750 R+13.8
Dauphin 80,272 54.5% 66,986 45.5% 147,258 D+9.0
Cumberland 68,344 46.6% 78,335 53.4% 146,679 R+6.8
Erie 62,766 47.5% 69,490 52.5% 132,256 R+5.1
Butler 36,777 30.7% 83,045 69.3% 119,822 R+38.6
Washington 43,371 37.0% 73,710 63.0% 117,081 R+25.9
Lackawanna 64,779 56.0% 50,835 44.0% 115,614 D+12.1
Beaver 40,415 42.9% 53,878 57.1% 94,293 R+14.3
Monroe 43,594 52.1% 40,028 47.9% 83,622 D+4.3
Franklin 22,096 26.8% 60,205 73.2% 82,301 R+46.3
Centre 38,307 48.2% 41,234 51.8% 79,541 R+3.7
Lebanon 23,416 32.4% 48,854 67.6% 72,270 R+35.2
Schuylkill 20,206 28.0% 52,039 72.0% 72,245 R+44.1
Cambria 20,586 29.4% 49,416 70.6% 70,002 R+41.2
Blair 16,731 26.0% 47,627 74.0% 64,358 R+48.0
Adams 18,815 31.5% 40,997 68.5% 59,812 R+37.1
Lycoming 16,301 27.7% 42,470 72.3% 58,771 R+44.5
Mercer 18,721 32.4% 38,981 67.6% 57,702 R+35.1
Fayette 18,142 32.2% 38,200 67.8% 56,342 R+35.6
Lawrence 14,612 31.5% 31,819 68.5% 46,431 R+37.1
Northumberland 12,170 28.3% 30,779 71.7% 42,949 R+43.3
Indiana 12,623 30.4% 28,851 69.6% 41,474 R+39.1
Somerset 8,633 21.4% 31,625 78.6% 40,258 R+57.1
Clearfield 8,622 21.6% 31,266 78.4% 39,888 R+56.8
Crawford 11,167 29.9% 26,223 70.1% 37,390 R+40.3
Armstrong 8,297 23.1% 27,657 76.9% 35,954 R+53.8
Pike 13,773 39.9% 20,727 60.1% 34,500 R+20.2
Carbon 11,614 33.7% 22,813 66.3% 34,427 R+32.5
Columbia 10,294 32.0% 21,880 68.0% 32,174 R+36.0
Bradford 7,441 24.3% 23,218 75.7% 30,659 R+51.5
Wayne 9,841 33.8% 19,261 66.2% 29,102 R+32.4
Bedford 4,029 14.7% 23,381 85.3% 27,410 R+70.6
Venango 6,908 26.4% 19,236 73.6% 26,144 R+47.2
Perry 6,035 23.9% 19,169 76.1% 25,204 R+52.1
Huntingdon 5,052 22.1% 17,848 77.9% 22,900 R+55.9
Jefferson 4,138 18.3% 18,514 81.7% 22,652 R+63.5
Susquehanna 5,783 26.2% 16,262 73.8% 22,045 R+47.5
Mifflin 4,524 20.9% 17,132 79.1% 21,656 R+58.2
Tioga 4,546 21.5% 16,631 78.5% 21,177 R+57.1
Union 7,455 35.7% 13,406 64.3% 20,861 R+28.5
Warren 5,501 27.1% 14,813 72.9% 20,314 R+45.8
Snyder 4,969 25.3% 14,685 74.7% 19,654 R+49.4
McKean 4,420 22.7% 15,019 77.3% 19,439 R+54.5
Clarion 4,002 21.1% 14,997 78.9% 18,999 R+57.9
Clinton 5,028 27.5% 13,269 72.5% 18,297 R+45.0
Elk 3,912 23.0% 13,101 77.0% 17,013 R+54.0
Greene 4,834 28.6% 12,081 71.4% 16,915 R+42.8
Wyoming 4,379 29.6% 10,409 70.4% 14,788 R+40.8
Juniata 2,242 18.9% 9,644 81.1% 11,886 R+62.3
Montour 3,424 34.9% 6,379 65.1% 9,803 R+30.1
Potter 1,468 16.3% 7,525 83.7% 8,993 R+67.4
Fulton 1,040 12.9% 7,021 87.1% 8,061 R+74.2
Sullivan 899 24.9% 2,714 75.1% 3,613 R+50.2
Forest 647 24.6% 1,986 75.4% 2,633 R+50.9
Cameron 453 21.0% 1,703 79.0% 2,156 R+58.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 7, R 10 R+2.1
2022 D 9, R 8 R+5.2
2020 D 9, R 9 R+1.3
2018 D 9, R 9 D+10.3
2016 D 5, R 13 R+8.2
2014 D 5, R 13 R+11.0
2012 D 5, R 13 D+1.5
2010 D 7, R 12 R+3.8
2008 D 12, R 7 D+11.9
2006 D 11, R 8 D+12.4
2004 D 7, R 12 R+1.7
2002 D 7, R 12 R+15.4
2000 D 10, R 11 D+1.1
1998 D 11, R 10 R+3.2
1996 D 11, R 10 D+4.3
1994 D 11, R 10 R+10.1
1992 D 11, R 10 R+4.2
1990 D 11, R 12 R+9.1