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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania elected 19 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 7 seats and Republicans 12.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 2.0 points: Jim Gerlach (Republican) beat Lois Murphy (Democrat), 51.0% to 49.0%, a margin of 2.0 points and 6,371 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 49 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 18. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 628,945 votes and went to the Democrat by 63.3 points. The closest was Indiana, where 956 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Robert A. Brady214,462 (86.3%) Deborah L. Williams33,266 (13.4%) 857 D+72.9
2 Chaka Fattah253,226 (88.0%) Stewart Bolno34,411 (12.0%) D+76.1
3 Steven Porter110,684 (39.9%) Phil English166,580 (60.1%) R+20.2
4 Stevan Drobac, Jr.116,303 (35.9%) Melissa A. Hart204,329 (63.1%) 3,285 R+27.2
5 none John E. Peterson192,852 (88.0%) 26,239 R+88.0
6 Lois Murphy153,977 (49.0%) Jim Gerlach160,348 (51.0%) R+2.0
7 Paul Scoles134,932 (40.3%) Curt Weldon196,556 (58.8%) 3,039 R+18.4
8 Virginia Waters Schrader143,427 (43.3%) Michael G. Fitzpatrick183,229 (55.3%) 4,608 R+12.0
9 Paul I. Politis80,787 (30.5%) Bill Shuster184,320 (69.5%) R+39.1
10 none Don Sherwood191,967 (92.8%) 14,805 R+92.8
11 Paul E. Kanjorski171,147 (94.4%) none 10,105 D+94.4
12 John P. Murtha204,504 (100.0%) none D+100.0
13 Allyson Schwartz171,763 (55.7%) Melissa Brown127,205 (41.3%) 9,156 D+14.5
14 Michael F. Doyle220,139 (100.0%) none D+100.0
15 Joe Driscoll114,646 (39.4%) Charles W. Dent170,634 (58.6%) 5,854 R+19.2
16 Lois K. Herr98,410 (34.5%) Joseph R. Pitts183,620 (64.4%) 3,269 R+29.9
17 Tim Holden172,412 (59.1%) Scott Paterno113,592 (38.9%) 5,782 D+20.2
18 Mark G. Boles117,420 (37.2%) Tim Murphy197,894 (62.8%) R+25.5
19 none Todd Russell Platts224,274 (91.5%) 20,820 R+91.5

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 511,390 81.3% 113,094 18.0% 4,461 628,945 D+63.3
Allegheny 338,548 61.8% 208,327 38.0% 1,229 548,104 D+23.8
Montgomery 201,536 52.8% 173,352 45.4% 7,002 381,890 D+7.4
Bucks 133,285 43.1% 171,305 55.4% 4,357 308,947 R+12.3
Delaware 122,557 45.2% 146,553 54.1% 1,989 271,099 R+8.9
Chester 92,038 41.0% 131,141 58.4% 1,484 224,663 R+17.4
Lancaster 65,365 30.8% 145,137 68.3% 1,995 212,497 R+37.5
Berks 81,905 52.0% 74,469 47.3% 1,039 157,413 D+4.7
Westmoreland 78,419 54.7% 64,932 45.3% 58 143,409 D+9.4
Lehigh 53,451 38.2% 84,027 60.1% 2,437 139,915 R+21.9
York 0 0.0% 123,235 94.0% 7,888 131,123 R+94.0
Northampton 49,949 41.3% 68,267 56.5% 2,671 120,887 R+15.2
Erie 51,461 43.1% 67,897 56.9% 119,358 R+13.8
Dauphin 68,622 57.9% 47,579 40.2% 2,240 118,441 D+17.8
Cumberland 4,665 5.0% 79,308 85.3% 8,994 92,967 R+80.3
Luzerne 67,132 76.6% 16,432 18.7% 4,122 87,686 D+57.8
Washington 53,882 63.3% 31,202 36.7% 85,084 D+26.7
Butler 25,370 30.3% 58,003 69.3% 311 83,684 R+39.0
Beaver 38,374 46.0% 43,922 52.6% 1,135 83,431 R+6.6
Lackawanna 40,935 60.1% 25,166 36.9% 2,037 68,138 D+23.1
Schuylkill 48,237 74.1% 16,147 24.8% 683 65,067 D+49.3
Cambria 54,258 92.3% 4,502 7.7% 58,760 D+84.7
Franklin 15,761 27.5% 41,648 72.5% 57,409 R+45.1
Lebanon 25,189 47.1% 26,321 49.2% 2,006 53,516 R+2.1
Blair 16,195 30.7% 36,570 69.3% 52,765 R+38.6
Mercer 24,275 46.0% 28,395 53.8% 84 52,754 R+7.8
Centre 0 0.0% 41,498 80.1% 10,316 51,814 R+80.1
Lawrence 16,476 38.7% 25,611 60.2% 468 42,555 R+21.5
Adams 0 0.0% 33,264 89.4% 3,938 37,202 R+89.4
Fayette 31,223 85.3% 5,395 14.7% 36,618 D+70.5
Lycoming 0 0.0% 34,856 95.3% 1,710 36,566 R+95.3
Crawford 11,292 31.5% 24,409 68.2% 93 35,794 R+36.6
Indiana 16,418 48.6% 17,374 51.4% 33,792 R+2.8
Somerset 18,357 54.6% 15,288 45.4% 33,645 D+9.1
Monroe 29,523 94.7% 0 0.0% 1,642 31,165 D+94.7
Clearfield 1,336 4.6% 24,470 85.0% 2,970 28,776 R+80.4
Armstrong 18,694 67.5% 9,014 32.5% 27,708 D+34.9
Northumberland 0 0.0% 23,060 93.9% 1,503 24,563 R+93.9
Bradford 0 0.0% 21,069 91.5% 1,962 23,031 R+91.5
Bedford 5,590 25.1% 16,644 74.9% 22,234 R+49.7
Columbia 17,895 83.3% 0 0.0% 3,580 21,475 D+83.3
Venango 823 4.0% 17,416 84.0% 2,493 20,732 R+80.0
Perry 6,250 33.0% 12,494 65.9% 201 18,945 R+33.0
Huntingdon 5,942 33.7% 11,694 66.3% 17,636 R+32.6
Jefferson 0 0.0% 15,725 90.3% 1,694 17,419 R+90.3
Susquehanna 0 0.0% 14,944 87.4% 2,154 17,098 R+87.4
Carbon 15,662 95.7% 0 0.0% 705 16,367 D+95.7
Warren 3,543 21.8% 12,387 76.2% 319 16,249 R+54.4
Wayne 0 0.0% 14,779 95.6% 676 15,455 R+95.6
Clarion 0 0.0% 13,293 87.5% 1,893 15,186 R+87.5
Tioga 0 0.0% 13,577 91.0% 1,335 14,912 R+91.0
Pike 0 0.0% 13,153 95.7% 585 13,738 R+95.7
Union 0 0.0% 11,946 89.1% 1,455 13,401 R+89.1
Snyder 0 0.0% 11,768 91.1% 1,153 12,921 R+91.1
Mifflin 1,142 8.9% 11,298 88.3% 349 12,789 R+79.4
Elk 0 0.0% 10,948 88.0% 1,490 12,438 R+88.0
McKean 0 0.0% 11,754 94.5% 680 12,434 R+94.5
Wyoming 0 0.0% 10,403 88.2% 1,392 11,795 R+88.2
Greene 11,591 100.0% 0 0.0% 11,591 D+100.0
Juniata 2,295 23.7% 7,315 75.4% 91 9,701 R+51.7
Clinton 0 0.0% 8,164 91.5% 758 8,922 R+91.5
Potter 0 0.0% 6,424 93.2% 467 6,891 R+93.2
Montour 0 0.0% 5,597 87.2% 818 6,415 R+87.2
Fulton 1,388 23.0% 4,657 77.0% 6,045 R+54.1
Sullivan 0 0.0% 2,549 90.5% 267 2,816 R+90.5
Forest 0 0.0% 2,026 88.7% 259 2,285 R+88.7
Cameron 0 0.0% 1,883 91.2% 181 2,064 R+91.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 7, R 10 R+2.1
2022 D 9, R 8 R+5.2
2020 D 9, R 9 R+1.3
2018 D 9, R 9 D+10.3
2016 D 5, R 13 R+8.2
2014 D 5, R 13 R+11.0
2012 D 5, R 13 D+1.5
2010 D 7, R 12 R+3.8
2008 D 12, R 7 D+11.9
2006 D 11, R 8 D+12.4
2004 D 7, R 12 R+1.7
2002 D 7, R 12 R+15.4
2000 D 10, R 11 D+1.1
1998 D 11, R 10 R+3.2
1996 D 11, R 10 D+4.3
1994 D 11, R 10 R+10.1
1992 D 11, R 10 R+4.2
1990 D 11, R 12 R+9.1