United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 8.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 10.3 points: Thelma D. Drake (Republican) beat David B. Ashe (Democrat), 55.1% to 44.8%, a margin of 10.3 points and 24,766 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 94 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 35. The largest, Fairfax, cast 458,303 votes and went to the Republican by 10.0 points. The closest was Greensville, where 80 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 none Jo Ann Davis225,071 (78.5%) 61,463 R+78.6
2 David B. Ashe108,180 (44.8%) Thelma D. Drake132,946 (55.1%) 254 R+10.3
3 Robert C. Scott159,373 (69.3%) Winsome E. Sears70,194 (30.5%) 325 D+38.8
4 Jonathan R. Menefee100,413 (35.5%) J. Randy Forbes182,444 (64.5%) 170 R+29.0
5 Al C. Weed II98,237 (36.3%) Virgil H. Goode, Jr.172,431 (63.7%) 90 R+27.4
6 none Bob Goodlatte206,560 (96.7%) 7,088 R+96.7
7 none Eric Cantor230,765 (75.5%) 74,893 R+75.5
8 James P. Moran171,986 (59.7%) Lisa Marie Cheney106,231 (36.9%) 9,702 D+22.8
9 Rick Boucher150,039 (59.3%) Kevin R. Triplett98,499 (38.9%) 4,409 D+20.4
10 James R. Socas116,654 (36.1%) Frank R. Wolf205,982 (63.8%) 375 R+27.7
11 Ken Longmyer118,305 (38.3%) Tom Davis186,299 (60.2%) 4,629 R+22.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 202,685 44.2% 248,744 54.3% 6,874 458,303 R+10.0
Virginia Beach city 77,472 44.5% 96,552 55.4% 130 174,154 R+11.0
Chesterfield 19,754 15.2% 93,495 72.0% 16,554 129,803 R+56.8
Henrico 19,723 15.4% 83,334 65.1% 24,970 128,027 R+49.7
Prince William 41,887 34.5% 74,552 61.4% 4,948 121,387 R+26.9
Loudoun 38,052 35.7% 68,202 64.1% 197 106,451 R+28.3
Arlington 56,600 61.8% 31,140 34.0% 3,892 91,632 D+27.8
Chesapeake city 32,380 35.9% 57,858 64.1% 56 90,294 R+28.2
Richmond 36,141 51.2% 26,254 37.2% 8,199 70,594 D+14.0
Norfolk city 40,838 60.8% 26,213 39.0% 123 67,174 D+21.8
Newport News city 23,515 36.1% 35,015 53.8% 6,537 65,067 R+17.7
Roanoke 3,846 5.9% 59,299 91.3% 1,805 64,950 R+85.4
Alexandria city 37,368 62.2% 20,735 34.5% 1,954 60,057 D+27.7
Hampton city 24,955 46.7% 24,874 46.6% 3,606 53,435 D+0.2
Hanover 0 0.0% 37,281 81.8% 8,312 45,593 R+81.8
Stafford 0 0.0% 33,602 78.1% 9,444 43,046 R+78.1
Albemarle 21,297 49.7% 21,535 50.2% 28 42,860 R+0.6
Spotsylvania 0 0.0% 31,931 76.4% 9,840 41,771 R+76.4
Portsmouth city 25,269 65.7% 13,107 34.1% 88 38,464 D+31.6
Suffolk city 12,097 39.2% 18,739 60.7% 17 30,853 R+21.5
Montgomery 19,135 62.0% 11,123 36.1% 584 30,842 D+26.0
Bedford 4,757 16.3% 24,466 83.6% 26 29,249 R+67.4
James City 0 0.0% 22,579 77.9% 6,418 28,997 R+77.9
York 0 0.0% 23,097 81.2% 5,364 28,461 R+81.2
Fauquier 4,455 15.8% 20,731 73.4% 3,075 28,261 R+57.6
Frederick 7,160 25.7% 20,682 74.2% 18 27,860 R+48.5
Pittsylvania 6,698 26.1% 18,917 73.9% 25,615 R+47.7
Franklin 6,766 26.9% 18,346 73.0% 5 25,117 R+46.1
Rockingham 0 0.0% 23,806 95.8% 1,049 24,855 R+95.8
Augusta 0 0.0% 22,217 99.3% 156 22,373 R+99.3
Washington 11,669 52.4% 10,327 46.4% 266 22,262 D+6.0
Henry 7,727 35.2% 13,945 63.6% 249 21,921 R+28.4
Campbell 5,257 24.1% 16,546 75.9% 21,803 R+51.8
Lynchburg city 0 0.0% 17,416 94.3% 1,049 18,465 R+94.3
Danville city 7,628 42.4% 10,349 57.6% 17,977 R+15.1
Tazewell 10,566 62.6% 6,076 36.0% 244 16,886 D+26.6
Gloucester 0 0.0% 13,280 84.6% 2,412 15,692 R+84.6
Isle of Wight 4,754 31.0% 10,544 68.8% 21 15,319 R+37.8
Charlottesville city 10,544 70.7% 4,348 29.1% 28 14,920 D+41.5
Wise 9,194 65.1% 4,814 34.1% 117 14,125 D+31.0
Pulaski 8,388 59.7% 5,438 38.7% 219 14,045 D+21.0
Botetourt 0 0.0% 13,542 97.7% 316 13,858 R+97.7
Halifax 4,270 32.1% 9,044 67.9% 4 13,318 R+35.8
Shenandoah 0 0.0% 12,771 96.2% 505 13,276 R+96.2
Warren 3,874 29.2% 9,389 70.8% 1 13,264 R+41.6
Accomack 5,894 44.7% 7,302 55.3% 3 13,199 R+10.7
Prince George 4,941 38.9% 7,726 60.8% 46 12,713 R+21.9
Manassas city 4,584 36.1% 8,101 63.8% 8 12,693 R+27.7
Smyth 7,150 58.8% 4,874 40.1% 136 12,160 D+18.7
Mecklenburg 4,092 34.0% 7,949 66.0% 12,041 R+32.0
Culpeper 0 0.0% 9,589 79.9% 2,417 12,006 R+79.9
Carroll 5,906 49.9% 5,720 48.4% 200 11,826 D+1.6
Powhatan 2,609 22.2% 9,130 77.7% 6 11,745 R+55.5
Wythe 6,560 57.0% 4,814 41.8% 129 11,503 D+15.2
Russell 7,496 66.1% 3,742 33.0% 103 11,341 D+33.1
Louisa 0 0.0% 8,054 73.3% 2,931 10,985 R+73.3
Petersburg city 7,595 70.1% 3,231 29.8% 1 10,827 D+40.3
Fluvanna 4,012 37.8% 6,610 62.2% 10,622 R+24.5
Dinwiddie 3,344 33.4% 6,661 66.6% 1 10,006 R+33.2
Buchanan 6,999 71.8% 2,711 27.8% 40 9,750 D+44.0
Lee 6,732 69.3% 2,881 29.6% 108 9,721 D+39.6
Scott 5,867 60.6% 3,707 38.3% 103 9,677 D+22.3
Goochland 0 0.0% 7,557 79.6% 1,937 9,494 R+79.6
Winchester city 3,119 34.2% 6,000 65.8% 4 9,123 R+31.6
Caroline 0 0.0% 6,214 70.0% 2,662 8,876 R+70.0
Salem city 0 0.0% 8,683 99.5% 47 8,730 R+99.5
Page 0 0.0% 6,406 73.8% 2,271 8,677 R+73.8
Orange 0 0.0% 6,958 80.4% 1,696 8,654 R+80.4
Harrisonburg city 0 0.0% 7,704 89.3% 920 8,624 R+89.3
Colonial Heights city 1,280 16.4% 6,511 83.5% 4 7,795 R+67.1
Amherst 0 0.0% 7,518 98.1% 143 7,661 R+98.1
Staunton city 0 0.0% 7,272 95.8% 317 7,589 R+95.8
New Kent 3,425 45.3% 4,124 54.6% 8 7,557 R+9.2
King George 0 0.0% 6,042 80.2% 1,495 7,537 R+80.2
Patrick 3,511 46.6% 3,827 50.8% 190 7,528 R+4.2
Dickenson 4,656 63.1% 2,688 36.4% 33 7,377 D+26.7
Giles 4,691 63.8% 2,539 34.5% 122 7,352 D+29.3
Southampton 2,446 34.3% 4,666 65.5% 11 7,123 R+31.2
Nelson 3,300 46.7% 3,758 53.2% 6 7,064 R+6.5
Grayson 3,770 53.6% 3,197 45.4% 69 7,036 D+8.1
Hopewell city 2,369 34.5% 4,499 65.5% 6,868 R+31.0
Prince Edward 2,947 43.0% 3,910 57.0% 1 6,858 R+14.0
Fredericksburg city 0 0.0% 4,519 66.8% 2,241 6,760 R+66.8
Bristol city 3,543 53.1% 3,077 46.1% 48 6,668 D+7.0
Floyd 3,680 55.3% 2,864 43.0% 109 6,653 D+12.3
Brunswick 3,138 48.0% 3,390 51.9% 9 6,537 R+3.9
Waynesboro city 0 0.0% 6,369 98.0% 130 6,499 R+98.0
King William 0 0.0% 5,442 84.2% 1,025 6,467 R+84.2
Greene 2,005 31.0% 4,459 69.0% 6,464 R+38.0
Clarke 2,234 35.0% 4,147 65.0% 1 6,382 R+30.0
Rockbridge 0 0.0% 5,821 91.8% 520 6,341 R+91.8
Appomattox 1,598 25.3% 4,728 74.7% 1 6,327 R+49.5
Poquoson city 0 0.0% 5,513 88.4% 725 6,238 R+88.4
Alleghany 2,474 40.2% 2,835 46.1% 841 6,150 R+5.9
Falls Church city 3,661 61.5% 2,070 34.8% 225 5,956 D+26.7
Northumberland 0 0.0% 4,809 81.2% 1,115 5,924 R+81.2
Buckingham 2,057 36.1% 3,642 63.9% 5,699 R+27.8
Lancaster 0 0.0% 4,546 82.1% 994 5,540 R+82.1
Martinsville city 1,897 34.4% 3,611 65.5% 5 5,513 R+31.1
Northampton 2,956 54.4% 2,468 45.5% 6 5,430 D+9.0
Westmoreland 0 0.0% 4,283 79.4% 1,114 5,397 R+79.4
Nottoway 1,843 35.3% 3,372 64.6% 1 5,216 R+29.3
Amelia 1,391 26.7% 3,810 73.3% 5,201 R+46.5
Lunenburg 1,591 31.5% 3,450 68.3% 7 5,048 R+36.8
Charlotte 1,476 29.6% 3,506 70.4% 1 4,983 R+40.7
Radford city 3,155 65.4% 1,576 32.7% 92 4,823 D+32.7
Madison 0 0.0% 3,478 76.3% 1,079 4,557 R+76.3
Mathews 0 0.0% 3,781 90.0% 421 4,202 R+90.0
Middlesex 0 0.0% 3,610 86.1% 581 4,191 R+86.1
Sussex 1,754 42.0% 2,426 58.0% 4,180 R+16.1
Greensville 1,986 49.0% 2,066 51.0% 1 4,053 R+2.0
Cumberland 1,402 34.9% 2,610 65.1% 4,012 R+30.1
Williamsburg city 0 0.0% 2,627 67.5% 1,264 3,891 R+67.5
Essex 0 0.0% 3,210 83.8% 619 3,829 R+83.8
Rappahannock 0 0.0% 2,332 63.7% 1,331 3,663 R+63.7
Surry 2,097 60.9% 1,345 39.1% 3,442 D+21.8
Charles City 2,176 66.0% 1,121 34.0% 3,297 D+32.0
Manassas Park city 1,266 38.8% 1,995 61.1% 5 3,266 R+22.3
King and Queen 0 0.0% 2,450 82.9% 504 2,954 R+82.9
Bland 1,573 56.6% 1,162 41.8% 46 2,781 D+14.8
Craig 1,557 59.6% 1,012 38.7% 45 2,614 D+20.8
Galax city 1,408 61.1% 882 38.2% 16 2,306 D+22.8
Emporia city 966 45.4% 1,160 54.5% 1 2,127 R+9.1
Covington city 1,154 55.9% 765 37.1% 145 2,064 D+18.8
Bath 0 0.0% 1,573 99.3% 11 1,584 R+99.3
Buena Vista city 0 0.0% 1,558 98.9% 17 1,575 R+98.9
Norton city 1,133 75.4% 356 23.7% 13 1,502 D+51.7
Lexington city 0 0.0% 1,142 84.5% 210 1,352 R+84.5
Highland 0 0.0% 1,324 99.2% 11 1,335 R+99.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8