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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Wisconsin

Wisconsin elected 8 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 4 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 12.9 points: Ron Kind (Democrat) beat Dale W. Schultz (Republican), 56.4% to 43.5%, a margin of 12.9 points and 46,990 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 36 of the 72 counties and Republicans in 36. The largest, Milwaukee, cast 464,044 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.6 points. The closest was Columbia, where 127 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Jeffrey Chapman Thomas116,250 (32.7%) Paul Ryan233,372 (65.6%) 6,354 R+32.9
2 Tammy Baldwin251,637 (63.3%) Dave Magnum145,810 (36.7%) 277 D+26.6
3 Ron Kind204,856 (56.4%) Dale W. Schultz157,866 (43.5%) 286 D+12.9
4 Gwen Moore212,382 (69.6%) Gerald H. Boyle85,928 (28.2%) 6,832 D+41.4
5 Bryan Kennedy129,384 (31.8%) F. James Sensenbrenner271,153 (66.6%) 6,754 R+34.8
6 Jef Hall107,209 (30.1%) Thomas E. Petri238,620 (67.0%) 10,166 R+36.9
7 David R. Obey241,306 (85.6%) none 40,446 D+85.6
8 Dottie Le Clair105,513 (29.8%) Mark Green248,070 (70.1%) 142 R+40.3

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Milwaukee 277,669 59.8% 177,432 38.2% 8,943 464,044 D+21.6
Dane 181,033 67.3% 88,003 32.7% 269,036 D+34.6
Waukesha 60,094 27.0% 159,012 71.5% 3,281 222,387 R+44.5
Brown 35,029 29.3% 84,641 70.7% 119,670 R+41.5
Racine 34,993 35.5% 62,413 63.3% 1,238 98,644 R+27.8
Outagamie 27,466 31.9% 58,510 67.9% 158 86,134 R+36.0
Winnebago 27,404 32.0% 55,212 64.5% 3,019 85,635 R+32.5
Rock 35,037 44.6% 41,213 52.4% 2,364 78,614 R+7.9
Kenosha 27,000 37.9% 43,002 60.3% 1,269 71,271 R+22.5
Washington 17,705 25.3% 51,108 73.0% 1,231 70,044 R+47.7
La Crosse 38,949 64.0% 21,906 36.0% 60,855 D+28.0
Sheboygan 19,012 31.3% 40,099 66.0% 1,624 60,735 R+34.7
Marathon 44,401 79.2% 0 0.0% 11,643 56,044 D+79.2
Eau Claire 34,264 63.5% 19,714 36.5% 53,978 D+27.0
Ozaukee 14,706 28.5% 36,157 70.0% 788 51,651 R+41.5
Fond du Lac 12,337 24.0% 37,950 73.7% 1,176 51,463 R+49.8
Walworth 13,995 29.7% 32,094 68.2% 975 47,064 R+38.5
Dodge 12,711 30.0% 28,072 66.3% 1,541 42,324 R+36.3
Manitowoc 14,100 33.5% 27,166 64.5% 856 42,122 R+31.0
Jefferson 17,327 42.7% 22,808 56.2% 464 40,599 R+13.5
St. Croix 20,821 51.6% 19,496 48.4% 40,317 D+3.3
Wood 27,156 83.5% 0 0.0% 5,365 32,521 D+83.5
Portage 26,875 84.1% 0 0.0% 5,077 31,952 D+84.1
Sauk 14,035 47.0% 15,822 53.0% 29,857 R+6.0
Columbia 14,494 49.8% 14,621 50.2% 29,115 R+0.4
Waupaca 7,229 28.2% 18,448 71.8% 25,677 R+43.7
Calumet 6,399 26.3% 17,528 72.1% 388 24,315 R+45.8
Chippewa 20,868 86.0% 0 0.0% 3,384 24,252 D+86.0
Grant 11,083 45.9% 13,073 54.1% 24,156 R+8.2
Dunn 12,853 57.6% 9,480 42.4% 22,333 D+15.1
Marinette 6,596 30.7% 14,869 69.3% 21,465 R+38.5
Douglas 19,063 89.1% 0 0.0% 2,335 21,398 D+89.1
Pierce 11,865 56.6% 9,089 43.4% 20,954 D+13.2
Oconto 5,369 28.0% 13,808 72.0% 19,177 R+44.0
Shawano 5,019 26.2% 14,112 73.8% 19,131 R+47.5
Monroe 10,395 54.4% 8,711 45.6% 19,106 D+8.8
Oneida 11,175 59.2% 6,856 36.3% 856 18,887 D+22.9
Green 9,849 54.8% 8,111 45.2% 17,960 D+9.7
Door 5,175 30.4% 11,860 69.6% 17,035 R+39.2
Barron 13,608 88.2% 0 0.0% 1,823 15,431 D+88.2
Vernon 8,704 60.4% 5,697 39.6% 14,401 D+20.9
Polk 12,868 90.5% 0 0.0% 1,354 14,222 D+90.5
Trempealeau 9,207 67.2% 4,502 32.8% 13,709 D+34.3
Clark 9,420 69.2% 3,457 25.4% 738 13,615 D+43.8
Vilas 3,941 29.1% 9,597 70.9% 13,538 R+41.8
Lincoln 10,859 82.9% 0 0.0% 2,244 13,103 D+82.9
Iowa 5,884 49.3% 6,063 50.7% 11,947 R+1.5
Juneau 4,831 41.6% 6,777 58.4% 11,608 R+16.8
Waushara 3,271 28.2% 7,988 68.8% 345 11,604 R+40.6
Kewaunee 2,910 26.7% 7,991 73.3% 10,901 R+46.6
Adams 3,999 39.3% 5,874 57.7% 302 10,175 R+18.4
Green Lake 2,423 24.7% 7,169 73.1% 211 9,803 R+48.4
Jackson 6,168 65.7% 3,217 34.3% 9,385 D+31.4
Richland 3,674 40.2% 5,476 59.8% 9,150 R+19.7
Langlade 6,239 71.5% 1,905 21.8% 581 8,725 D+49.7
Crawford 5,037 61.1% 3,210 38.9% 8,247 D+22.2
Lafayette 3,443 42.9% 4,581 57.1% 8,024 R+14.2
Marquette 2,571 33.5% 5,031 65.6% 73 7,675 R+32.1
Taylor 6,417 83.8% 0 0.0% 1,244 7,661 D+83.8
Buffalo 4,450 60.5% 2,900 39.5% 7,350 D+21.1
Bayfield 6,370 95.3% 0 0.0% 315 6,685 D+95.3
Ashland 6,008 95.5% 0 0.0% 283 6,291 D+95.5
Washburn 5,555 92.2% 0 0.0% 468 6,023 D+92.2
Burnett 5,514 92.3% 0 0.0% 461 5,975 D+92.3
Price 5,626 94.9% 0 0.0% 302 5,928 D+94.9
Rusk 5,200 91.0% 0 0.0% 515 5,715 D+91.0
Sawyer 4,829 94.5% 0 0.0% 282 5,111 D+94.5
Forest 1,510 33.5% 2,995 66.5% 4,505 R+33.0
Pepin 2,355 60.6% 1,534 39.4% 3,889 D+21.1
Florence 743 28.9% 1,825 71.1% 2,568 R+42.1
Iron 2,459 96.5% 0 0.0% 89 2,548 D+96.5
Menominee 893 58.5% 634 41.5% 1,527 D+17.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Wisconsin in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+3.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+15.4
2020 D 3, R 5 R+2.9
2018 D 3, R 5 D+7.6
2016 D 3, R 5 D+4.0
2014 D 3, R 5 R+5.6
2012 D 3, R 5 D+1.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+10.6
2008 D 5, R 3 D+3.9
2006 D 5, R 3 R+1.8
2004 D 4, R 4 R+0.4
2002 D 4, R 4 R+13.0
2000 D 5, R 4 R+4.9
1998 D 5, R 4 R+7.1
1996 D 5, R 4 R+5.0
1994 D 3, R 6 R+23.7
1992 D 4, R 5 R+2.4
1990 D 4, R 5 R+4.3