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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in North Carolina

North Carolina elected 13 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 6 seats and Republicans 7.

The closest was the 11th district, decided by 9.8 points: Charles H. Taylor (Republican) beat Patsy Keever (Democrat), 54.9% to 45.1%, a margin of 9.8 points and 28,521 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 61 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 39. The largest, Wake, cast 336,924 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.0 points. The closest was Wilson, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 G. K. Butterfield137,667 (64.0%) Greg Dority77,508 (36.0%) D+28.0
2 Bob Etheridge145,079 (62.3%) Billy J. Creech87,811 (37.7%) D+24.6
3 Roger A. Eaton71,227 (29.3%) Walter B. Jones171,863 (70.7%) R+41.4
4 David E. Price217,441 (64.1%) Todd A. Batchelor121,717 (35.9%) 76 D+28.2
5 Jim A. Harrell, Jr.117,271 (41.2%) Virginia Foxx167,546 (58.8%) R+17.7
6 William W. Jordan76,153 (26.9%) Howard Coble207,470 (73.1%) R+46.3
7 Mike McIntyre180,382 (73.2%) Ken Plonk66,084 (26.8%) D+46.4
8 Beth Troutman100,101 (44.5%) Robert C. (Robin) Hayes125,070 (55.5%) R+11.1
9 Jack Flynn89,318 (29.8%) Sue Wilkins Myrick210,783 (70.2%) R+40.5
10 Anne N. Fischer88,233 (35.9%) Patrick McHenry157,884 (64.1%) R+28.3
11 Patsy Keever131,188 (45.1%) Charles H. Taylor159,709 (54.9%) R+9.8
12 Melvin L. Watt154,908 (66.8%) Ada M. Fisher76,898 (33.2%) D+33.7
13 Brad Miller160,896 (58.8%) Virginia Johnson112,788 (41.2%) D+17.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 190,345 56.5% 146,567 43.5% 12 336,924 D+13.0
Mecklenburg 149,935 47.6% 164,934 52.4% 314,869 R+4.8
Guilford 94,997 48.6% 100,355 51.4% 195,352 R+2.7
Forsyth 70,872 51.7% 66,252 48.3% 137,124 D+3.4
Durham 82,279 75.8% 26,310 24.2% 26 108,615 D+51.5
Buncombe 52,741 52.3% 48,150 47.7% 100,891 D+4.6
Cumberland 55,550 59.4% 37,942 40.6% 93,492 D+18.8
New Hanover 54,667 70.6% 22,792 29.4% 77,459 D+41.2
Gaston 16,670 26.3% 46,602 73.7% 63,272 R+47.3
Orange 46,436 73.9% 16,363 26.0% 32 62,831 D+47.9
Cabarrus 18,962 32.0% 40,238 68.0% 59,200 R+35.9
Union 14,962 25.5% 43,753 74.5% 58,715 R+49.0
Davidson 17,944 30.9% 40,047 69.1% 57,991 R+38.1
Catawba 19,953 35.8% 35,799 64.2% 55,752 R+28.4
Iredell 19,436 35.3% 35,588 64.7% 55,024 R+29.4
Johnston 25,710 47.7% 28,152 52.3% 53,862 R+4.5
Alamance 19,333 36.5% 33,634 63.5% 52,967 R+27.0
Pitt 22,598 44.1% 28,698 55.9% 51,296 R+11.9
Randolph 10,863 21.2% 40,281 78.8% 51,144 R+57.5
Rowan 19,837 39.5% 30,380 60.5% 50,217 R+21.0
Henderson 15,627 37.9% 25,626 62.1% 41,253 R+24.2
Wayne 15,197 38.4% 24,361 61.6% 39,558 R+23.2
Nash 19,627 52.5% 17,782 47.5% 37,409 D+4.9
Brunswick 25,358 68.6% 11,629 31.4% 36,987 D+37.1
Rockingham 18,039 49.3% 18,518 50.7% 36,557 R+1.3
Craven 12,987 35.5% 23,564 64.5% 36,551 R+28.9
Onslow 9,893 27.3% 26,344 72.7% 36,237 R+45.4
Moore 12,307 34.3% 23,580 65.7% 35,887 R+31.4
Cleveland 14,818 41.4% 20,960 58.6% 35,778 R+17.2
Robeson 30,501 88.0% 4,154 12.0% 34,655 D+76.0
Harnett 19,416 60.1% 12,900 39.9% 32,316 D+20.2
Burke 12,749 40.4% 18,793 59.6% 31,542 R+19.2
Caldwell 10,661 34.9% 19,845 65.1% 30,506 R+30.1
Wilson 14,531 50.0% 14,534 50.0% 29,065 level
Lincoln 10,193 35.3% 18,671 64.7% 28,864 R+29.4
Wilkes 11,316 41.3% 16,074 58.7% 27,390 R+17.4
Haywood 11,822 44.9% 14,514 55.1% 26,336 R+10.2
Surry 12,009 48.0% 13,023 52.0% 25,032 R+4.1
Stanly 7,329 29.3% 17,694 70.7% 25,023 R+41.4
Chatham 15,656 62.8% 9,285 37.2% 6 24,947 D+25.5
Carteret 6,243 25.3% 18,421 74.7% 24,664 R+49.4
Rutherford 9,067 38.3% 14,593 61.7% 23,660 R+23.4
Watauga 10,655 45.4% 12,827 54.6% 23,482 R+9.2
Lenoir 9,644 43.8% 12,384 56.2% 22,028 R+12.4
Sampson 13,419 60.9% 8,603 39.1% 22,022 D+21.9
Columbus 17,368 83.3% 3,480 16.7% 20,848 D+66.6
Franklin 12,778 61.5% 7,986 38.5% 20,764 D+23.1
Edgecombe 14,185 68.9% 6,395 31.1% 20,580 D+37.9
Stokes 7,663 39.1% 11,949 60.9% 19,612 R+21.9
Halifax 12,856 66.8% 6,400 33.2% 19,256 D+33.5
Beaufort 6,735 35.0% 12,506 65.0% 19,241 R+30.0
Lee 11,835 62.1% 7,215 37.9% 19,050 D+24.3
Granville 10,470 58.8% 7,351 41.2% 17,821 D+17.5
Pender 11,623 70.3% 4,905 29.7% 16,528 D+40.6
Davie 5,189 31.5% 11,280 68.5% 16,469 R+37.0
Duplin 9,430 58.5% 6,681 41.5% 16,111 D+17.1
Richmond 7,638 48.0% 8,276 52.0% 15,914 R+4.0
McDowell 5,437 34.2% 10,449 65.8% 15,886 R+31.5
Yadkin 6,791 43.2% 8,913 56.8% 15,704 R+13.5
Alexander 5,316 34.4% 10,129 65.6% 15,445 R+31.2
Dare 6,147 40.0% 9,230 60.0% 15,377 R+20.0
Transylvania 6,834 44.5% 8,517 55.5% 15,351 R+11.0
Vance 10,136 68.8% 4,593 31.2% 14,729 D+37.6
Person 8,399 57.2% 6,291 42.8% 14,690 D+14.3
Macon 5,710 39.2% 8,843 60.8% 14,553 R+21.5
Jackson 7,128 50.2% 7,079 49.8% 14,207 D+0.3
Pasquotank 7,537 57.9% 5,478 42.1% 13,015 D+15.8
Ashe 4,271 36.0% 7,583 64.0% 11,854 R+27.9
Bladen 9,762 83.3% 1,963 16.7% 11,725 D+66.5
Hoke 5,640 52.2% 5,161 47.8% 10,801 D+4.4
Cherokee 3,839 35.7% 6,914 64.3% 10,753 R+28.6
Martin 5,938 58.1% 4,283 41.9% 10,221 D+16.2
Montgomery 4,328 43.2% 5,699 56.8% 10,027 R+13.7
Scotland 5,113 51.3% 4,847 48.7% 9,960 D+2.7
Yancey 4,457 47.0% 5,026 53.0% 9,483 R+6.0
Madison 4,236 46.0% 4,967 54.0% 9,203 R+7.9
Polk 3,981 43.4% 5,198 56.6% 9,179 R+13.3
Anson 5,137 56.2% 4,005 43.8% 9,142 D+12.4
Caswell 5,737 63.0% 3,374 37.0% 9,111 D+25.9
Currituck 2,685 30.9% 6,004 69.1% 8,689 R+38.2
Northampton 6,177 72.9% 2,301 27.1% 8,478 D+45.7
Warren 5,385 69.2% 2,402 30.8% 7,787 D+38.3
Hertford 5,400 71.4% 2,158 28.6% 7,558 D+42.9
Bertie 5,302 70.4% 2,233 29.6% 7,535 D+40.7
Mitchell 1,975 26.4% 5,511 73.6% 7,486 R+47.2
Avery 1,839 25.4% 5,406 74.6% 7,245 R+49.2
Greene 3,212 51.6% 3,013 48.4% 6,225 D+3.2
Pamlico 2,060 34.7% 3,880 65.3% 5,940 R+30.6
Washington 3,467 64.6% 1,899 35.4% 5,366 D+29.2
Swain 2,417 48.0% 2,621 52.0% 5,038 R+4.0
Clay 1,815 37.5% 3,021 62.5% 4,836 R+24.9
Perquimans 2,246 46.9% 2,538 53.1% 4,784 R+6.1
Chowan 2,466 53.2% 2,173 46.8% 4,639 D+6.3
Alleghany 2,183 47.4% 2,423 52.6% 4,606 R+5.2
Jones 2,039 46.0% 2,396 54.0% 4,435 R+8.0
Gates 2,392 60.4% 1,567 39.6% 3,959 D+20.8
Graham 1,248 33.1% 2,527 66.9% 3,775 R+33.9
Camden 1,316 35.5% 2,389 64.5% 3,705 R+29.0
Hyde 801 37.7% 1,323 62.3% 2,124 R+24.6
Tyrrell 641 42.6% 864 57.4% 1,505 R+14.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 10 R+9.9
2022 D 7, R 7 R+4.3
2020 D 5, R 8 D+0.5
2018 D 3, R 9 R+2.0
2016 D 3, R 10 R+6.6
2014 D 3, R 10 R+11.4
2012 D 4, R 9 D+1.9
2010 D 7, R 6 R+8.9
2008 D 8, R 5 D+9.3
2006 D 7, R 6 D+5.8
2004 D 6, R 7 R+2.1
2002 D 6, R 7 R+10.6
2000 D 5, R 7 R+11.6
1998 D 5, R 7 R+9.8
1996 D 6, R 6 R+8.1
1994 D 4, R 8 R+14.2
1992 D 8, R 4 D+3.1
1990 D 7, R 4 D+7.0