United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in North Carolina

North Carolina elected 13 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 10.

The closest was the 13th district, decided by 12.2 points: Ted Budd (Republican) beat Bruce Davis (Democrat), 56.1% to 43.9%, a margin of 12.2 points and 43,394 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 74 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 26. The largest, Wake, cast 513,625 votes and went to the Democrat by 15.6 points. The closest was Gates, where 94 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 G. K. Butterfield240,661 (68.6%) H. Powell Dew Jr.101,567 (29.0%) 8,471 D+39.7
2 John P. McNeil169,082 (43.3%) George Holding221,485 (56.7%) R+13.4
3 Ernest T. Reeves106,170 (32.8%) Walter B. Jones217,531 (67.2%) R+34.4
4 David E. Price279,380 (68.2%) Sue Googe130,161 (31.8%) D+36.4
5 Josh Brannon147,887 (41.6%) Virginia Foxx207,625 (58.4%) R+16.8
6 Pete Glidewell143,167 (40.8%) Mark Walker207,983 (59.2%) R+18.5
7 J. Wesley Casteen135,905 (39.1%) David Rouzer211,801 (60.9%) R+21.8
8 Thomas Mills133,182 (41.2%) Richard Hudson189,863 (58.8%) R+17.6
9 Christian Cano139,041 (41.8%) Robert Pittenger193,452 (58.2%) R+16.4
10 Andy Millard128,919 (36.9%) Patrick T. McHenry220,825 (63.1%) R+26.3
11 Rick Bryson129,103 (35.9%) Mark Meadows230,405 (64.1%) R+28.2
12 Alma S. Adams234,115 (67.0%) Leon Threatt115,185 (33.0%) D+34.1
13 Bruce Davis156,049 (43.9%) Ted Budd199,443 (56.1%) R+12.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 296,935 57.8% 216,690 42.2% 513,625 D+15.6
Mecklenburg 279,110 61.1% 177,589 38.9% 456,699 D+22.2
Guilford 142,903 57.2% 107,029 42.8% 249,932 D+14.4
Forsyth 93,519 53.5% 81,334 46.5% 174,853 D+7.0
Durham 117,631 77.1% 30,977 20.3% 3,956 152,564 D+56.8
Buncombe 75,678 56.2% 58,880 43.8% 134,558 D+12.5
Cumberland 69,656 56.9% 52,868 43.1% 122,524 D+13.7
New Hanover 48,474 45.0% 59,302 55.0% 107,776 R+10.0
Union 32,522 31.8% 69,870 68.2% 102,392 R+36.5
Gaston 30,250 32.3% 63,438 67.7% 93,688 R+35.4
Cabarrus 33,990 37.6% 56,315 62.4% 90,305 R+24.7
Johnston 27,607 33.3% 55,335 66.7% 82,942 R+33.4
Orange 59,838 74.4% 20,576 25.6% 80,414 D+48.8
Iredell 24,646 31.3% 53,976 68.7% 78,622 R+37.3
Pitt 37,755 48.0% 39,727 50.6% 1,104 78,586 R+2.5
Davidson 18,114 24.9% 54,566 75.1% 72,680 R+50.2
Catawba 20,787 29.5% 49,625 70.5% 70,412 R+41.0
Alamance 28,996 41.8% 40,312 58.2% 69,308 R+16.3
Brunswick 22,049 33.3% 44,200 66.7% 66,249 R+33.4
Randolph 12,761 20.4% 49,642 79.6% 62,403 R+59.1
Rowan 19,723 31.8% 42,364 68.2% 62,087 R+36.5
Henderson 19,437 34.1% 37,549 65.9% 56,986 R+31.8
Onslow 15,914 28.8% 39,311 71.2% 55,225 R+42.4
Wayne 20,633 42.7% 27,739 57.3% 48,372 R+14.7
Moore 15,341 32.7% 31,561 67.3% 46,902 R+34.6
Nash 22,925 49.1% 23,810 50.9% 46,735 R+1.9
Craven 15,511 33.7% 30,523 66.3% 46,034 R+32.6
Harnett 17,483 38.8% 27,524 61.2% 45,007 R+22.3
Cleveland 14,713 33.7% 28,898 66.3% 43,611 R+32.5
Rockingham 13,962 34.0% 27,159 66.0% 41,121 R+32.1
Lincoln 9,819 25.2% 29,205 74.8% 39,024 R+49.7
Chatham 20,573 53.1% 18,201 46.9% 38,774 D+6.1
Burke 11,770 31.2% 25,917 68.8% 37,687 R+37.5
Robeson 19,578 52.1% 17,986 47.9% 37,564 D+4.2
Wilson 20,307 54.3% 16,638 44.4% 487 37,432 D+9.8
Carteret 8,287 22.3% 28,820 77.7% 37,107 R+55.3
Caldwell 8,699 24.8% 26,359 75.2% 35,058 R+50.4
Surry 8,602 27.3% 22,941 72.7% 31,543 R+45.5
Wilkes 7,918 25.8% 22,783 74.2% 30,701 R+48.4
Haywood 11,032 36.8% 18,917 63.2% 29,949 R+26.3
Franklin 13,019 43.9% 16,616 56.1% 29,635 R+12.1
Rutherford 8,180 27.8% 21,216 72.2% 29,396 R+44.3
Watauga 14,837 51.0% 14,276 49.0% 29,113 D+1.9
Stanly 7,858 27.1% 21,188 72.9% 29,046 R+45.9
Pender 9,158 34.0% 17,814 66.0% 26,972 R+32.1
Granville 13,239 49.8% 12,477 47.0% 857 26,573 D+2.9
Lenoir 11,498 43.7% 14,822 56.3% 26,320 R+12.6
Sampson 9,874 39.8% 14,907 60.2% 24,781 R+20.3
Halifax 16,509 66.7% 7,907 31.9% 345 24,761 D+34.7
Edgecombe 16,708 68.6% 7,290 29.9% 350 24,348 D+38.7
Lee 10,329 43.4% 13,490 56.6% 23,819 R+13.3
Beaufort 7,486 31.9% 15,979 68.1% 23,465 R+36.2
Columbus 8,628 37.9% 14,110 62.1% 22,738 R+24.1
Stokes 5,901 26.7% 16,197 73.3% 22,098 R+46.6
Davie 4,674 22.0% 16,609 78.0% 21,283 R+56.1
Duplin 8,294 41.5% 11,668 58.5% 19,962 R+16.9
Vance 12,456 64.5% 6,447 33.4% 394 19,297 D+31.1
McDowell 4,945 25.7% 14,266 74.3% 19,211 R+48.5
Dare 6,416 33.6% 12,682 66.4% 19,098 R+32.8
Person 7,542 40.9% 10,893 59.1% 18,435 R+18.2
Jackson 8,462 46.2% 9,868 53.8% 18,330 R+7.7
Richmond 8,358 46.2% 9,720 53.8% 18,078 R+7.5
Alexander 4,367 24.4% 13,498 75.6% 17,865 R+51.1
Transylvania 6,678 38.2% 10,786 61.8% 17,464 R+23.5
Yadkin 3,852 22.2% 13,500 77.8% 17,352 R+55.6
Macon 5,604 32.4% 11,693 67.6% 17,297 R+35.2
Hoke 9,540 55.2% 7,740 44.8% 17,280 D+10.4
Pasquotank 8,187 48.3% 8,747 51.7% 16,934 R+3.3
Bladen 6,827 46.4% 7,885 53.6% 14,712 R+7.2
Cherokee 3,436 25.2% 10,224 74.8% 13,660 R+49.7
Ashe 4,100 30.8% 9,207 69.2% 13,307 R+38.4
Scotland 7,032 54.6% 5,857 45.4% 12,889 D+9.1
Currituck 2,664 21.8% 9,534 78.2% 12,198 R+56.3
Martin 6,391 55.1% 4,996 43.1% 210 11,597 D+12.0
Montgomery 4,280 38.3% 6,895 61.7% 11,175 R+23.4
Madison 4,305 39.4% 6,615 60.6% 10,920 R+21.2
Caswell 4,601 42.9% 6,136 57.1% 10,737 R+14.3
Polk 4,611 43.3% 6,035 56.7% 10,646 R+13.4
Anson 5,726 56.1% 4,485 43.9% 10,211 D+12.2
Hertford 7,074 71.8% 2,658 27.0% 118 9,850 D+44.8
Yancey 3,598 36.9% 6,164 63.1% 9,762 R+26.3
Warren 6,612 68.4% 2,872 29.7% 185 9,669 D+38.7
Northampton 6,365 66.2% 3,128 32.5% 120 9,613 D+33.7
Bertie 6,089 67.3% 2,848 31.5% 108 9,045 D+35.8
Greene 3,173 39.8% 4,797 60.2% 7,970 R+20.4
Avery 1,820 22.9% 6,124 77.1% 7,944 R+54.2
Mitchell 1,641 21.0% 6,189 79.0% 7,830 R+58.1
Chowan 2,757 39.3% 4,261 60.7% 7,018 R+21.4
Pamlico 2,133 31.6% 4,625 68.4% 6,758 R+36.9
Perquimans 2,115 32.5% 4,395 67.5% 6,510 R+35.0
Washington 3,743 62.3% 2,151 35.8% 116 6,010 D+26.5
Swain 2,604 43.8% 3,335 56.2% 5,939 R+12.3
Clay 1,595 27.6% 4,185 72.4% 5,780 R+44.8
Alleghany 1,458 27.7% 3,812 72.3% 5,270 R+44.7
Gates 2,587 49.7% 2,493 47.9% 121 5,201 D+1.8
Jones 1,803 35.7% 3,246 64.3% 5,049 R+28.6
Camden 1,183 24.3% 3,676 75.7% 4,859 R+51.3
Graham 928 23.4% 3,037 76.6% 3,965 R+53.2
Hyde 773 34.1% 1,495 65.9% 2,268 R+31.8
Tyrrell 590 34.8% 1,104 65.2% 1,694 R+30.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 10 R+9.9
2022 D 7, R 7 R+4.3
2020 D 5, R 8 D+0.5
2018 D 3, R 9 R+2.0
2016 D 3, R 10 R+6.6
2014 D 3, R 10 R+11.4
2012 D 4, R 9 D+1.9
2010 D 7, R 6 R+8.9
2008 D 8, R 5 D+9.3
2006 D 7, R 6 D+5.8
2004 D 6, R 7 R+2.1
2002 D 6, R 7 R+10.6
2000 D 5, R 7 R+11.6
1998 D 5, R 7 R+9.8
1996 D 6, R 6 R+8.1
1994 D 4, R 8 R+14.2
1992 D 8, R 4 D+3.1
1990 D 7, R 4 D+7.0