United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Tennessee

Tennessee elected 9 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 7.

The closest was the 5th district, decided by 25.1 points: Jim Cooper (Democrat) beat Stacy Ries Snyder (Republican), 62.6% to 37.4%, a margin of 25.1 points and 68,678 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 92 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Shelby, cast 330,044 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.6 points. The closest was Haywood, where 119 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Alan Bohms39,024 (15.4%) David P. Roe198,293 (78.4%) 15,708 R+63.0
2 Stuart Starr68,401 (24.4%) John J. Duncan Jr.212,455 (75.6%) R+51.3
3 Melody Shekari76,727 (28.8%) Charles J. "Chuck" Fleischmann176,613 (66.4%) 12,666 R+37.6
4 Steven Reynolds89,141 (35.0%) Scott Desjarlais165,796 (65.0%) R+30.1
5 Jim Cooper171,111 (62.6%) Stacy Ries Snyder102,433 (37.4%) D+25.1
6 David W. Kent61,995 (21.8%) Diane Black202,234 (71.1%) 20,261 R+49.3
7 Tharon Chandler65,226 (23.5%) Marsha Blackburn200,407 (72.2%) 11,880 R+48.7
8 Rickey Hobson70,925 (25.1%) David Kustoff194,386 (68.8%) 17,422 R+43.7
9 Steve Cohen171,631 (78.7%) Wayne Alberson41,123 (18.9%) 5,203 D+59.9

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 199,535 60.5% 121,525 36.8% 8,984 330,044 D+23.6
Davidson 160,553 65.7% 83,908 34.3% 244,461 D+31.4
Knox 49,828 28.4% 125,664 71.6% 175,492 R+43.2
Hamilton 52,052 37.2% 82,317 58.9% 5,380 139,749 R+21.7
Williamson 23,302 22.6% 76,015 73.6% 3,964 103,281 R+51.0
Rutherford 41,899 41.9% 58,131 58.1% 100,030 R+16.2
Sumner 15,452 22.4% 48,613 70.3% 5,045 69,110 R+48.0
Sullivan 9,607 15.9% 47,799 78.9% 3,204 60,610 R+63.0
Wilson 13,063 23.5% 38,395 69.2% 4,030 55,488 R+45.7
Montgomery 17,288 31.5% 34,743 63.3% 2,847 54,878 R+31.8
Blount 9,329 18.7% 40,490 81.3% 49,819 R+62.5
Washington 9,839 20.6% 34,923 73.1% 3,043 47,805 R+52.5
Madison 11,565 32.0% 20,703 57.3% 3,832 36,100 R+25.3
Bradley 8,740 24.4% 26,483 74.1% 530 35,753 R+49.6
Sevier 4,839 14.4% 26,704 79.3% 2,135 33,678 R+64.9
Maury 10,516 32.4% 21,533 66.4% 386 32,435 R+34.0
Anderson 7,810 27.8% 18,682 66.5% 1,617 28,109 R+38.7
Putnam 6,068 23.4% 18,237 70.3% 1,647 25,952 R+46.9
Robertson 5,388 21.0% 18,037 70.2% 2,282 25,707 R+49.2
Cumberland 4,551 18.4% 18,605 75.1% 1,615 24,771 R+56.7
Loudon 3,923 17.3% 18,694 82.7% 22,617 R+65.3
Greene 2,967 13.3% 17,914 80.4% 1,402 22,283 R+67.1
Tipton 4,473 20.3% 16,393 74.4% 1,182 22,048 R+54.1
Roane 4,066 20.0% 14,953 73.4% 1,346 20,365 R+53.5
Carter 2,443 12.2% 15,972 79.8% 1,588 20,003 R+67.6
Hawkins 2,695 13.8% 15,584 79.7% 1,280 19,559 R+65.9
Hamblen 3,037 15.6% 15,397 79.1% 1,038 19,472 R+63.5
Coffee 4,349 22.9% 13,312 70.2% 1,305 18,966 R+47.3
Fayette 4,901 26.6% 12,835 69.7% 676 18,412 R+43.1
Gibson 4,049 22.5% 12,565 69.7% 1,401 18,015 R+47.3
Jefferson 2,997 16.7% 14,736 82.0% 230 17,963 R+65.4
McMinn 3,001 16.9% 13,690 76.9% 1,118 17,809 R+60.0
Dickson 6,413 36.1% 11,346 63.9% 17,759 R+27.8
Monroe 2,975 18.4% 12,405 76.6% 824 16,204 R+58.2
Cheatham 4,918 31.7% 10,310 66.5% 277 15,505 R+34.8
Franklin 4,670 30.7% 10,548 69.3% 15,218 R+38.6
Lawrence 2,483 17.8% 10,787 77.1% 714 13,984 R+59.4
Bedford 3,923 28.6% 9,778 71.4% 13,701 R+42.7
Dyer 2,185 17.7% 9,291 75.2% 886 12,362 R+57.5
Lincoln 2,598 21.1% 9,700 78.9% 12,298 R+57.7
Warren 4,598 38.9% 7,225 61.1% 11,823 R+22.2
Weakley 2,550 22.2% 7,915 69.0% 1,012 11,477 R+46.7
Henry 2,460 21.5% 7,212 63.0% 1,772 11,444 R+41.5
Obion 2,261 20.4% 7,982 72.0% 846 11,089 R+51.6
Cocke 1,342 12.2% 8,891 80.9% 753 10,986 R+68.7
Campbell 1,824 16.6% 8,605 78.4% 544 10,973 R+61.8
Marion 3,147 30.2% 7,258 69.8% 10,405 R+39.5
Marshall 3,744 36.4% 6,535 63.6% 10,279 R+27.2
Giles 2,343 23.1% 7,352 72.6% 432 10,127 R+49.5
Rhea 2,625 26.7% 7,205 73.3% 9,830 R+46.6
Claiborne 1,485 15.2% 8,309 84.8% 9,794 R+69.7
McNairy 1,709 17.8% 7,510 78.0% 406 9,625 R+60.3
Henderson 1,441 15.0% 7,782 81.1% 372 9,595 R+66.1
Carroll 1,836 19.3% 6,981 73.2% 720 9,537 R+53.9
White 1,801 19.2% 6,932 73.8% 664 9,397 R+54.6
Hardin 1,432 15.3% 7,602 81.0% 349 9,383 R+65.8
Hardeman 2,742 34.3% 5,016 62.8% 229 7,987 R+28.5
Hickman 1,556 21.2% 5,409 73.8% 360 7,325 R+52.6
Overton 1,696 23.2% 5,184 70.9% 430 7,310 R+47.7
Grainger 955 13.1% 6,325 86.9% 7,280 R+73.8
Lauderdale 2,263 31.4% 4,548 63.1% 396 7,207 R+31.7
Smith 1,569 22.6% 4,887 70.5% 478 6,934 R+47.9
Unicoi 912 13.3% 5,451 79.3% 514 6,877 R+66.0
Macon 1,037 15.1% 5,358 78.1% 469 6,864 R+63.0
Polk 1,450 21.5% 4,923 73.1% 361 6,734 R+51.6
Humphreys 1,722 25.8% 4,646 69.7% 301 6,669 R+43.8
Fentress 988 15.1% 5,176 79.2% 369 6,533 R+64.1
Haywood 3,034 47.5% 2,915 45.6% 440 6,389 D+1.9
Johnson 734 11.8% 5,075 81.8% 393 6,202 R+70.0
DeKalb 1,353 21.9% 4,388 71.2% 426 6,167 R+49.2
Chester 937 15.4% 4,920 80.8% 235 6,092 R+65.4
Morgan 980 16.4% 4,683 78.2% 324 5,987 R+61.9
Benton 1,483 24.9% 4,267 71.6% 213 5,963 R+46.7
Scott 731 12.5% 4,795 81.9% 329 5,855 R+69.4
Union 797 14.7% 4,341 79.9% 293 5,431 R+65.3
Wayne 536 10.2% 4,565 86.5% 178 5,279 R+76.3
Sequatchie 1,349 26.5% 3,740 73.5% 5,089 R+47.0
Stewart 1,104 22.5% 3,564 72.7% 237 4,905 R+50.2
Cannon 1,006 20.5% 3,450 70.5% 441 4,897 R+49.9
Crockett 976 20.1% 3,583 73.8% 293 4,852 R+53.7
Bledsoe 1,256 28.9% 3,095 71.1% 4,351 R+42.3
Decatur 796 18.9% 3,252 77.2% 164 4,212 R+58.3
Lewis 778 18.5% 3,162 75.4% 256 4,196 R+56.8
Grundy 1,292 31.0% 2,876 69.0% 4,168 R+38.0
Jackson 970 24.1% 2,769 68.9% 282 4,021 R+44.7
Meigs 1,136 29.8% 2,682 70.2% 3,818 R+40.5
Houston 824 28.3% 1,985 68.2% 101 2,910 R+39.9
Trousdale 799 28.0% 1,864 65.3% 192 2,855 R+37.3
Moore 670 24.9% 2,025 75.1% 2,695 R+50.3
Clay 559 21.2% 1,923 72.9% 156 2,638 R+51.7
Perry 442 17.7% 1,912 76.6% 143 2,497 R+58.9
Pickett 529 21.3% 1,814 73.2% 136 2,479 R+51.8
Van Buren 674 31.0% 1,480 68.2% 17 2,171 R+37.1
Hancock 199 10.1% 1,637 83.4% 128 1,964 R+73.2
Lake 459 27.3% 1,042 62.1% 178 1,679 R+34.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 8 R+31.0
2022 D 1, R 8 R+30.3
2020 D 2, R 7 R+20.4
2018 D 2, R 7 R+20.1
2016 D 2, R 7 R+28.4
2014 D 2, R 7 R+29.2
2012 D 2, R 7 R+25.1
2010 D 2, R 7 R+26.5
2008 D 5, R 4 D+9.5
2006 D 5, R 4 D+3.6
2004 D 5, R 4 R+5.8
2002 D 5, R 4 R+4.1
2000 D 4, R 5 R+9.3
1998 D 4, R 5 R+6.3
1996 D 4, R 5 R+1.8
1994 D 4, R 5 R+11.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+8.4
1990 D 6, R 3 D+11.3