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United States · Election results history · 2016 House · Kentucky
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 22.2 points: Andy Barr (Republican) beat Nancy Jo Kemper (Democrat), 61.1% to 38.9%, a margin of 22.2 points and 73,371 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 85 of the 120 counties and other candidates in 34 and Democrats in 1. The largest, Jefferson, cast 347,338 votes and went to the Democrat by 24.5 points. The closest was Hickman, where 2 votes separated the top two.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Samuel L. Gaskins81,710 (27.3%) James R. Comer216,959 (72.6%) 332 R+45.2
2 none Brett Guthrie251,825 (100.0%) R+100.0
3 John A. Yarmuth212,401 (63.5%) Harold Bratcher122,093 (36.5%) D+27.0
4 Calvin Sidle94,065 (28.7%) Thomas Massie233,922 (71.3%) R+42.6
5 none Harold Rogers221,242 (100.0%) R+100.0
6 Nancy Jo Kemper128,728 (38.9%) Andy Barr202,099 (61.1%) R+22.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 216,023 62.2% 130,991 37.7% 324 347,338 D+24.5
Elliott 0 0.0% 216,959 100.0% 216,959 R+100.0
Fayette 66,798 49.1% 69,180 50.9% 135,978 R+1.8
Kenton 22,178 31.5% 48,340 68.5% 70,518 R+37.1
Boone 13,420 23.8% 42,986 76.2% 56,406 R+52.4
Campbell 13,283 32.0% 28,234 68.0% 41,517 R+36.0
Warren 0 0.0% 38,923 100.0% 38,923 R+100.0
Madison 11,912 32.1% 25,178 67.9% 37,090 R+35.8
Daviess 0 0.0% 34,918 100.0% 34,918 R+100.0
Hardin 0 0.0% 33,576 100.0% 33,576 R+100.0
Oldham 9,129 28.4% 23,067 71.6% 32,196 R+43.3
Bullitt 0 0.0% 28,297 100.0% 28,297 R+100.0
Scott 7,556 31.4% 16,471 68.6% 24,027 R+37.1
Pulaski 0 0.0% 24,016 100.0% 24,016 R+100.0
Franklin 10,737 45.3% 12,984 54.7% 23,721 R+9.5
Jessamine 4,551 20.9% 17,257 79.1% 21,808 R+58.3
Laurel 0 0.0% 20,690 100.0% 20,690 R+100.0
Shelby 5,930 29.9% 13,907 70.1% 19,837 R+40.2
Pike 0 0.0% 19,623 100.0% 19,623 R+100.0
Boyd 5,726 30.5% 13,069 69.5% 18,795 R+39.1
Clark 4,684 29.1% 11,385 70.9% 16,069 R+41.7
Greenup 5,014 32.0% 10,633 68.0% 15,647 R+35.9
Nelson 0 0.0% 15,009 100.0% 15,009 R+100.0
Barren 0 0.0% 14,322 100.0% 14,322 R+100.0
Woodford 4,873 36.0% 8,650 64.0% 13,523 R+27.9
Floyd 0 0.0% 12,051 100.0% 12,051 R+100.0
Whitley 0 0.0% 11,875 100.0% 11,875 R+100.0
Anderson 2,877 25.4% 8,471 74.6% 11,348 R+49.3
Montgomery 3,214 28.5% 8,056 71.5% 11,270 R+43.0
Knox 0 0.0% 9,758 100.0% 9,758 R+100.0
Meade 0 0.0% 9,531 100.0% 9,531 R+100.0
Grant 1,907 20.3% 7,466 79.7% 9,373 R+59.3
Boyle 0 0.0% 9,329 100.0% 9,329 R+100.0
Spencer 1,552 17.6% 7,260 82.4% 8,812 R+64.8
Bourbon 2,682 30.8% 6,033 69.2% 8,715 R+38.5
Harlan 0 0.0% 8,630 100.0% 8,630 R+100.0
Grayson 0 0.0% 8,434 100.0% 8,434 R+100.0
Perry 0 0.0% 8,117 100.0% 8,117 R+100.0
Bell 0 0.0% 7,930 100.0% 7,930 R+100.0
Johnson 0 0.0% 7,770 100.0% 7,770 R+100.0
Mercer 0 0.0% 7,742 100.0% 7,742 R+100.0
Lincoln 0 0.0% 7,734 100.0% 7,734 R+100.0
Carter 0 0.0% 7,728 100.0% 7,728 R+100.0
Harrison 2,162 28.9% 5,331 71.1% 7,493 R+42.3
Mason 1,877 26.9% 5,091 73.1% 6,968 R+46.1
Henry 1,962 28.5% 4,932 71.5% 6,894 R+43.1
Breckinridge 0 0.0% 6,820 100.0% 6,820 R+100.0
Letcher 0 0.0% 6,754 100.0% 6,754 R+100.0
Rowan 0 0.0% 6,452 100.0% 6,452 R+100.0
Wayne 0 0.0% 6,281 100.0% 6,281 R+100.0
Fleming 1,468 24.0% 4,658 76.0% 6,126 R+52.1
Garrard 0 0.0% 5,994 100.0% 5,994 R+100.0
Pendleton 1,262 22.1% 4,455 77.9% 5,717 R+55.9
Rockcastle 0 0.0% 5,669 100.0% 5,669 R+100.0
Hart 0 0.0% 5,500 100.0% 5,500 R+100.0
Estill 1,125 20.6% 4,341 79.4% 5,466 R+58.8
Clay 0 0.0% 5,465 100.0% 5,465 R+100.0
Larue 0 0.0% 5,213 100.0% 5,213 R+100.0
Lewis 887 17.6% 4,161 82.4% 5,048 R+64.9
McCreary 0 0.0% 4,979 100.0% 4,979 R+100.0
Lawrence 0 0.0% 4,847 100.0% 4,847 R+100.0
Powell 1,349 27.9% 3,486 72.1% 4,835 R+44.2
Owen 1,174 24.6% 3,599 75.4% 4,773 R+50.8
Butler 0 0.0% 4,718 100.0% 4,718 R+100.0
Jackson 0 0.0% 4,616 100.0% 4,616 R+100.0
Bath 1,397 31.2% 3,087 68.8% 4,484 R+37.7
Edmonson 0 0.0% 4,384 100.0% 4,384 R+100.0
Green 0 0.0% 4,132 100.0% 4,132 R+100.0
Washington 0 0.0% 4,070 100.0% 4,070 R+100.0
Breathitt 0 0.0% 3,920 100.0% 3,920 R+100.0
Knott 0 0.0% 3,813 100.0% 3,813 R+100.0
Leslie 0 0.0% 3,704 100.0% 3,704 R+100.0
Carroll 1,227 33.5% 2,439 66.5% 3,666 R+33.1
Magoffin 0 0.0% 3,586 100.0% 3,586 R+100.0
Trimble 1,051 29.5% 2,515 70.5% 3,566 R+41.1
Morgan 0 0.0% 3,486 100.0% 3,486 R+100.0
Bracken 775 22.7% 2,641 77.3% 3,416 R+54.6
Martin 0 0.0% 3,338 100.0% 3,338 R+100.0
Gallatin 847 26.2% 2,386 73.8% 3,233 R+47.6
Hancock 0 0.0% 3,163 100.0% 3,163 R+100.0
Nicholas 772 27.5% 2,033 72.5% 2,805 R+45.0
Menifee 756 28.2% 1,926 71.8% 2,682 R+43.6
Wolfe 792 31.1% 1,758 68.9% 2,550 R+37.9
Lee 0 0.0% 2,139 100.0% 2,139 R+100.0
Owsley 0 0.0% 1,402 100.0% 1,402 R+100.0
Robertson 261 26.5% 724 73.5% 985 R+47.0
McCracken 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 34 34 Others
Christian 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 24 24 Others
Hopkins 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 22 22 Others
Henderson 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 21 21 Others
Graves 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 18 18 Others
Marshall 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 18 18 Others
Calloway 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 17 17 Others
Muhlenberg 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 14 14 Others
Logan 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 12 12 Others
Taylor 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 12 12 Others
Ohio 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 11 11 Others
Adair 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 9 9 Others
Allen 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 9 9 Others
Russell 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 9 9 Others
Marion 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 8 8 Others
Simpson 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 8 8 Others
Casey 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 7 7 Others
Trigg 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 7 7 Others
Union 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 7 7 Others
Caldwell 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 6 6 Others
Webster 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 6 6 Others
Clinton 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
Livingston 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
McLean 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
Metcalfe 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
Monroe 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
Todd 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 5 Others
Ballard 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 4 4 Others
Crittenden 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 4 4 Others
Lyon 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 4 4 Others
Carlisle 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 3 3 Others
Cumberland 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 3 3 Others
Fulton 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 3 3 Others
Hickman 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 2 2 Others

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8