United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

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2020 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2020: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 16.4 points: Andy Barr (Republican) beat Josh Hicks (Democrat), 57.3% to 41.0%, a margin of 16.4 points and 61,954 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 118 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Jefferson, cast 384,214 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.2 points. The closest was Robertson, where 515 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 James Rhodes82,141 (25.0%) James Comer246,329 (75.0%) R+50.0
2 Hank Linderman94,643 (26.3%) Brett Guthrie255,735 (71.0%) 10,021 R+44.7
3 John Yarmuth230,672 (62.7%) Rhonda Palazzo137,425 (37.3%) D+25.3
4 Alexandra Owensby125,881 (32.9%) Thomas Massie256,599 (67.1%) R+34.2
5 Matthew Best47,056 (15.8%) Hal Rogers250,914 (84.2%) R+68.4
6 Josh Hicks154,973 (41.0%) Andy Barr216,927 (57.3%) 6,488 R+16.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 236,738 61.6% 147,476 38.4% 384,214 D+23.2
Fayette 81,409 53.2% 69,158 45.2% 2,549 153,116 D+8.0
Kenton 31,418 38.6% 49,977 61.4% 81,395 R+22.8
Boone 19,981 30.1% 46,327 69.9% 66,308 R+39.7
Warren 17,497 31.8% 36,177 65.7% 1,430 55,104 R+33.9
Daviess 14,833 30.5% 32,382 66.5% 1,463 48,678 R+36.1
Hardin 15,604 32.2% 31,241 64.4% 1,667 48,512 R+32.2
Campbell 18,745 38.8% 29,567 61.2% 48,312 R+22.4
Madison 14,687 33.4% 28,468 64.7% 855 44,010 R+31.3
Bullitt 9,769 23.7% 30,284 73.4% 1,231 41,284 R+49.7
Oldham 13,576 36.2% 23,968 63.8% 37,544 R+27.7
McCracken 10,410 31.4% 22,705 68.6% 33,115 R+37.1
Pulaski 4,179 13.4% 27,107 86.6% 31,286 R+73.3
Scott 9,678 33.4% 18,699 64.6% 565 28,942 R+31.2
Laurel 3,768 13.4% 24,264 86.6% 28,032 R+73.1
Jessamine 7,525 28.7% 18,120 69.2% 542 26,187 R+40.5
Franklin 11,853 45.4% 13,691 52.5% 556 26,100 R+7.0
Pike 3,975 15.9% 20,949 84.1% 24,924 R+68.1
Christian 8,117 34.6% 15,339 65.4% 23,456 R+30.8
Shelby 7,862 33.7% 15,439 66.3% 23,301 R+32.5
Nelson 6,178 27.0% 16,151 70.6% 547 22,876 R+43.6
Boyd 7,286 34.2% 14,047 65.8% 21,333 R+31.7
Hopkins 5,650 26.8% 15,440 73.2% 21,090 R+46.4
Henderson 7,400 36.3% 12,988 63.7% 20,388 R+27.4
Barren 4,074 20.6% 15,268 77.1% 462 19,804 R+56.5
Clark 5,582 30.9% 12,163 67.3% 323 18,068 R+36.4
Greenup 5,018 28.1% 12,842 71.9% 17,860 R+43.8
Marshall 3,964 22.8% 13,442 77.2% 17,406 R+54.5
Calloway 5,341 30.9% 11,944 69.1% 17,285 R+38.2
Graves 3,331 20.0% 13,343 80.0% 16,674 R+60.0
Floyd 3,265 20.1% 12,980 79.9% 16,245 R+59.8
Woodford 5,894 38.7% 9,107 59.8% 240 15,241 R+21.1
Whitley 1,856 12.2% 13,310 87.8% 15,166 R+75.5
Boyle 4,805 33.8% 9,044 63.6% 374 14,223 R+29.8
Muhlenberg 4,045 29.2% 9,803 70.8% 13,848 R+41.6
Meade 3,304 23.9% 10,135 73.2% 407 13,846 R+49.3
Anderson 3,318 25.0% 9,751 73.6% 181 13,250 R+48.6
Knox 1,601 12.2% 11,523 87.8% 13,124 R+75.6
Montgomery 3,534 27.5% 9,105 71.0% 192 12,831 R+43.4
Taylor 2,645 21.6% 9,622 78.4% 12,267 R+56.9
Logan 3,058 25.2% 9,099 74.8% 12,157 R+49.7
Grayson 1,915 16.2% 9,620 81.3% 300 11,835 R+65.1
Mercer 2,661 23.2% 8,461 73.9% 325 11,447 R+50.7
Spencer 2,478 22.0% 8,712 77.3% 82 11,272 R+55.3
Carter 2,754 24.5% 8,506 75.5% 11,260 R+51.1
Grant 2,291 20.8% 8,705 79.2% 10,996 R+58.3
Ohio 2,346 21.5% 8,544 78.5% 10,890 R+56.9
Harlan 1,306 12.0% 9,554 88.0% 10,860 R+75.9
Lincoln 1,937 18.0% 8,829 82.0% 10,766 R+64.0
Perry 1,925 18.5% 8,505 81.5% 10,430 R+63.1
Johnson 1,276 12.6% 8,862 87.4% 10,138 R+74.8
Breckinridge 1,909 19.1% 7,821 78.3% 261 9,991 R+59.2
Rowan 3,323 33.7% 6,549 66.3% 9,872 R+32.7
Bell 1,438 14.6% 8,428 85.4% 9,866 R+70.8
Bourbon 3,013 31.2% 6,463 67.0% 177 9,653 R+35.7
Allen 1,472 16.0% 7,703 84.0% 9,175 R+67.9
Letcher 1,536 17.0% 7,496 83.0% 9,032 R+66.0
Wayne 1,301 14.5% 7,693 85.5% 8,994 R+71.1
Harrison 2,347 26.7% 6,374 72.6% 59 8,780 R+45.9
Russell 1,134 12.9% 7,641 87.1% 8,775 R+74.2
Simpson 2,566 29.8% 6,055 70.2% 8,621 R+40.5
Marion 2,719 31.6% 5,885 68.4% 8,604 R+36.8
Adair 1,202 14.0% 7,373 86.0% 8,575 R+72.0
Garrard 1,593 18.7% 6,713 78.9% 203 8,509 R+60.2
Hart 1,684 20.5% 6,330 77.0% 203 8,217 R+56.5
Henry 2,173 27.2% 5,808 72.8% 7,981 R+45.5
Mason 2,200 28.1% 5,623 71.9% 7,823 R+43.8
Rockcastle 828 10.7% 6,885 89.3% 7,713 R+78.5
Clay 698 9.3% 6,842 90.7% 7,540 R+81.5
Trigg 1,748 24.0% 5,537 76.0% 7,285 R+52.0
Larue 1,208 16.8% 5,760 80.3% 206 7,174 R+63.5
Casey 788 11.2% 6,278 88.8% 7,066 R+77.7
Fleming 1,902 26.9% 5,077 71.9% 80 7,059 R+45.0
Pendleton 1,321 19.3% 5,535 80.7% 6,856 R+61.5
Lawrence 1,177 17.2% 5,658 82.8% 6,835 R+65.6
Estill 1,336 20.5% 5,125 78.5% 70 6,531 R+58.0
Union 1,576 24.6% 4,837 75.4% 6,413 R+50.8
McCreary 589 9.3% 5,772 90.7% 6,361 R+81.5
Caldwell 1,407 22.1% 4,948 77.9% 6,355 R+55.7
Knott 1,261 20.4% 4,919 79.6% 6,180 R+59.2
Butler 818 13.5% 5,137 84.6% 119 6,074 R+71.1
Washington 1,474 24.3% 4,455 73.4% 142 6,071 R+49.1
Edmonson 953 15.7% 4,992 82.3% 117 6,062 R+66.6
Jackson 494 8.2% 5,556 91.8% 6,050 R+83.7
Webster 1,420 24.2% 4,445 75.8% 5,865 R+51.6
Lewis 783 13.5% 5,032 86.5% 5,815 R+73.1
Green 744 13.1% 4,832 84.9% 113 5,689 R+71.9
Bath 1,667 29.7% 3,873 68.9% 79 5,619 R+39.3
Breathitt 1,145 20.5% 4,428 79.5% 5,573 R+58.9
Powell 1,399 25.5% 3,994 72.7% 101 5,494 R+47.2
Morgan 1,010 18.4% 4,475 81.6% 5,485 R+63.2
Magoffin 1,069 19.7% 4,367 80.3% 5,436 R+60.7
Owen 1,105 20.6% 4,267 79.4% 5,372 R+58.9
Monroe 413 7.8% 4,870 92.2% 5,283 R+84.4
Todd 1,212 23.4% 3,967 76.6% 5,179 R+53.2
Livingston 985 19.8% 3,981 80.2% 4,966 R+60.3
Metcalfe 874 17.8% 4,036 82.2% 4,910 R+64.4
Clinton 531 10.9% 4,337 89.1% 4,868 R+78.2
Leslie 360 7.5% 4,434 92.5% 4,794 R+85.0
McLean 1,115 23.7% 3,593 76.3% 4,708 R+52.6
Hancock 1,226 27.2% 3,172 70.3% 112 4,510 R+43.1
Trimble 1,068 25.3% 3,151 74.7% 4,219 R+49.4
Bracken 843 20.1% 3,354 79.9% 4,197 R+59.8
Lyon 1,032 24.6% 3,164 75.4% 4,196 R+50.8
Ballard 811 19.4% 3,369 80.6% 4,180 R+61.2
Crittenden 720 17.2% 3,460 82.8% 4,180 R+65.6
Carroll 1,181 29.1% 2,872 70.9% 4,053 R+41.7
Martin 353 9.0% 3,580 91.0% 3,933 R+82.0
Gallatin 873 22.9% 2,931 77.1% 3,804 R+54.1
Nicholas 985 29.1% 2,345 69.2% 57 3,387 R+40.2
Cumberland 409 12.6% 2,835 87.4% 3,244 R+74.8
Menifee 815 26.5% 2,217 72.1% 44 3,076 R+45.6
Wolfe 914 30.7% 2,012 67.6% 52 2,978 R+36.9
Elliott 794 27.7% 2,070 72.3% 2,864 R+44.6
Carlisle 446 17.1% 2,161 82.9% 2,607 R+65.8
Lee 385 15.2% 2,145 84.8% 2,530 R+69.6
Fulton 753 31.7% 1,623 68.3% 2,376 R+36.6
Hickman 431 19.8% 1,742 80.2% 2,173 R+60.3
Owsley 190 10.3% 1,659 89.7% 1,849 R+79.4
Robertson 299 26.4% 814 71.8% 21 1,134 R+45.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8