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United States · Election results history · 2004 House · Kentucky
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 4th district, decided by 10.5 points: Geoff Davis (Republican) beat Nick Clooney (Democrat), 54.4% to 43.9%, a margin of 10.5 points and 31,106 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 96 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 24. The largest, Jefferson, cast 334,484 votes and went to the Republican by 22.3 points. The closest was Lincoln, where 36 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Billy R. Cartwright85,229 (32.6%) Ed Whitfield175,972 (67.3%) 186 R+34.7
2 Adam Smith87,585 (32.1%) Ron Lewis185,394 (67.9%) R+35.8
3 Tony Miller124,040 (37.8%) Anne M. Northup197,736 (60.3%) 6,378 R+22.5
4 Nick Clooney129,876 (43.9%) Geoff Davis160,982 (54.4%) 5,069 R+10.5
5 none Harold Rogers177,579 (100.0%) R+100.0
6 Ben Chandler175,355 (58.6%) Tom Buford119,716 (40.0%) 4,146 D+18.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 126,714 37.9% 201,407 60.2% 6,363 334,484 R+22.3
Fayette 71,160 59.4% 46,798 39.1% 1,815 119,773 D+20.3
Kenton 27,472 42.3% 36,415 56.0% 1,096 64,983 R+13.8
Boone 15,225 34.7% 27,975 63.8% 673 43,873 R+29.1
Daviess 15,024 38.3% 24,187 61.7% 39,211 R+23.4
Campbell 17,582 45.5% 20,378 52.7% 710 38,670 R+7.2
Warren 11,999 32.7% 24,702 67.3% 36,701 R+34.6
Hardin 9,572 27.7% 25,014 72.3% 34,586 R+44.6
Madison 16,020 55.0% 12,549 43.1% 532 29,101 D+11.9
McCracken 9,653 34.2% 18,547 65.8% 28,200 R+31.5
Bullitt 8,012 30.3% 18,468 69.7% 26,480 R+39.5
Oldham 8,250 31.6% 16,641 63.7% 1,235 26,126 R+32.1
Franklin 16,971 73.2% 5,896 25.4% 332 23,199 D+47.7
Boyd 10,926 52.7% 9,635 46.5% 178 20,739 D+6.2
Pulaski 0 0.0% 20,608 100.0% 20,608 R+100.0
Christian 5,508 28.3% 13,986 71.7% 19,494 R+43.5
Laurel 0 0.0% 18,207 100.0% 18,207 R+100.0
Jessamine 6,879 38.3% 10,894 60.7% 165 17,938 R+22.4
Hopkins 5,598 31.6% 12,113 68.4% 17,711 R+36.8
Henderson 6,698 38.5% 10,680 61.5% 17,378 R+22.9
Scott 9,036 55.7% 7,013 43.2% 186 16,235 D+12.5
Greenup 8,023 51.3% 7,512 48.0% 115 15,650 D+3.3
Nelson 5,296 34.3% 10,138 65.7% 15,434 R+31.4
Graves 5,225 35.0% 9,724 65.0% 14,949 R+30.1
Shelby 4,995 33.6% 9,867 66.4% 14,862 R+32.8
Marshall 5,665 38.5% 9,049 61.5% 14,714 R+23.0
Barren 4,273 29.1% 10,422 70.9% 14,695 R+41.8
Clark 8,955 62.4% 5,179 36.1% 209 14,343 D+26.3
Calloway 4,547 32.1% 9,605 67.9% 14,152 R+35.7
Pike 0 0.0% 13,695 100.0% 13,695 R+100.0
Muhlenberg 5,737 46.8% 6,530 53.2% 12,267 R+6.5
Boyle 6,248 53.0% 5,410 45.9% 123 11,781 D+7.1
Floyd 0 0.0% 11,568 100.0% 11,568 R+100.0
Woodford 7,168 64.5% 3,850 34.6% 102 11,120 D+29.8
Carter 5,936 56.7% 4,454 42.6% 73 10,463 D+14.2
Meade 3,444 33.2% 6,919 66.8% 10,363 R+33.5
Whitley 0 0.0% 10,185 100.0% 10,185 R+100.0
Logan 3,150 32.5% 6,532 67.5% 9,682 R+34.9
Montgomery 6,631 69.4% 2,805 29.4% 119 9,555 D+40.0
Taylor 2,379 24.9% 7,170 75.1% 9,549 R+50.2
Knox 0 0.0% 9,414 100.0% 9,414 R+100.0
Mercer 4,982 53.5% 4,238 45.5% 97 9,317 D+8.0
Grayson 2,340 25.2% 6,946 74.8% 9,286 R+49.6
Ohio 3,192 34.7% 6,005 65.3% 9,197 R+30.6
Anderson 5,047 55.2% 3,966 43.4% 122 9,135 D+11.8
Grant 3,449 40.9% 4,870 57.7% 117 8,436 R+16.8
Lincoln 4,108 49.7% 4,072 49.3% 87 8,267 D+0.4
Breckinridge 2,497 31.2% 5,502 68.8% 7,999 R+37.6
Bourbon 4,979 64.4% 2,675 34.6% 83 7,737 D+29.8
Harlan 0 0.0% 7,561 100.0% 7,561 R+100.0
Bell 0 0.0% 7,391 100.0% 7,391 R+100.0
Harrison 3,592 48.7% 3,712 50.4% 66 7,370 R+1.6
Johnson 0 0.0% 7,243 100.0% 7,243 R+100.0
Perry 0 0.0% 6,770 100.0% 6,770 R+100.0
Russell 1,315 19.4% 5,451 80.6% 6,766 R+61.1
Mason 3,761 55.7% 2,910 43.1% 85 6,756 D+12.6
Marion 2,834 42.0% 3,921 58.0% 6,755 R+16.1
Allen 1,532 23.4% 5,017 76.6% 6,549 R+53.2
Adair 1,389 21.4% 5,116 78.6% 6,505 R+57.3
Spencer 1,783 27.9% 4,609 72.1% 6,392 R+44.2
Simpson 2,113 33.2% 4,261 66.8% 6,374 R+33.7
Letcher 0 0.0% 6,237 100.0% 6,237 R+100.0
Garrard 2,683 43.2% 3,440 55.3% 94 6,217 R+12.2
Hart 2,083 33.8% 4,085 66.2% 6,168 R+32.5
Henry 2,610 43.0% 3,381 55.7% 74 6,065 R+12.7
Caldwell 1,900 32.3% 3,989 67.7% 5,889 R+35.5
Pendleton 2,342 40.0% 3,376 57.6% 140 5,858 R+17.7
Trigg 1,770 30.6% 4,012 69.4% 5,782 R+38.8
Fleming 2,999 52.0% 2,720 47.1% 51 5,770 D+4.8
Larue 1,551 27.3% 4,120 72.7% 5,671 R+45.3
Union 1,980 36.1% 3,500 63.9% 5,480 R+27.7
Casey 974 18.3% 4,347 81.7% 5,321 R+63.4
Estill 2,886 55.1% 2,310 44.1% 40 5,236 D+11.0
Clay 0 0.0% 5,106 100.0% 5,106 R+100.0
Wayne 0 0.0% 5,103 100.0% 5,103 R+100.0
Webster 2,150 42.1% 2,953 57.9% 5,103 R+15.7
Butler 1,106 21.8% 3,960 78.2% 5,066 R+56.3
Edmonson 1,488 29.6% 3,547 70.4% 5,035 R+40.9
Monroe 726 14.7% 4,214 85.3% 4,940 R+70.6
Lewis 1,796 36.4% 3,093 62.8% 40 4,929 R+26.3
Green 1,100 22.5% 3,790 77.5% 4,890 R+55.0
Rockcastle 0 0.0% 4,883 100.0% 4,883 R+100.0
Washington 1,410 30.0% 3,296 70.0% 4,706 R+40.1
Powell 3,237 70.1% 1,316 28.5% 66 4,619 D+41.6
Rowan 0 0.0% 4,498 100.0% 4,498 R+100.0
Owen 1,853 41.9% 2,522 57.0% 52 4,427 R+15.1
Livingston 1,838 41.8% 2,554 58.2% 4,392 R+16.3
McCreary 0 0.0% 4,279 100.0% 4,279 R+100.0
Jackson 0 0.0% 4,215 100.0% 4,215 R+100.0
Todd 1,253 30.2% 2,898 69.8% 4,151 R+39.6
McLean 1,620 39.1% 2,518 60.9% 4,138 R+21.7
Crittenden 1,116 28.7% 2,774 71.3% 3,890 R+42.6
Knott 0 0.0% 3,881 100.0% 3,881 R+100.0
Clinton 706 18.4% 3,121 81.6% 3,827 R+63.1
Leslie 0 0.0% 3,798 100.0% 3,798 R+100.0
Hancock 1,479 39.3% 2,289 60.7% 3,768 R+21.5
Ballard 1,378 36.6% 2,388 63.4% 3,766 R+26.8
Lawrence 0 0.0% 3,761 100.0% 3,761 R+100.0
Bath 2,030 54.7% 1,643 44.3% 38 3,711 D+10.4
Lyon 1,439 39.0% 2,250 61.0% 3,689 R+22.0
Martin 0 0.0% 3,665 100.0% 3,665 R+100.0
Carroll 2,091 57.1% 1,510 41.2% 60 3,661 D+15.9
Trimble 1,743 47.9% 1,802 49.6% 91 3,636 R+1.6
Breathitt 0 0.0% 3,628 100.0% 3,628 R+100.0
Metcalfe 1,299 36.5% 2,260 63.5% 3,559 R+27.0
Bracken 1,693 48.4% 1,755 50.2% 48 3,496 R+1.8
Gallatin 1,366 46.2% 1,560 52.8% 28 2,954 R+6.6
Nicholas 1,550 55.1% 1,240 44.1% 24 2,814 D+11.0
Elliott 2,180 77.6% 589 21.0% 40 2,809 D+56.6
Magoffin 0 0.0% 2,801 100.0% 2,801 R+100.0
Cumberland 611 22.2% 2,136 77.8% 2,747 R+55.5
Carlisle 880 33.0% 1,788 67.0% 2,668 R+34.0
Fulton 987 38.8% 1,557 61.2% 2,544 R+22.4
Morgan 0 0.0% 2,421 100.0% 2,421 R+100.0
Hickman 726 33.5% 1,443 66.5% 2,169 R+33.1
Lee 0 0.0% 2,063 100.0% 2,063 R+100.0
Owsley 0 0.0% 1,453 100.0% 1,453 R+100.0
Menifee 0 0.0% 1,431 100.0% 1,431 R+100.0
Wolfe 0 0.0% 1,280 100.0% 1,280 R+100.0
Robertson 572 55.3% 453 43.8% 9 1,034 D+11.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8