Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 US House elections in California
California elected 53 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 33 seats and Republicans 20.
The closest was the 20th district, decided by 6.8 points: Jim Costa (Democrat) beat Roy Ashburn (Republican), 53.4% to 46.6%, a margin of 6.8 points and 7,774 votes.
In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 36 of the 58 counties and Democrats in 22. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 2,746,844 votes and went to the Democrat by 37.6 points. The closest was Alpine, where 35 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thompson | 189,366 (66.9%) | Lawrence R. Wiesner | 79,970 (28.3%) | 13,635 | D+38.7 |
| 2 | Mike Johnson | 90,310 (33.1%) | Wally Herger | 182,119 (66.9%) | R+33.7 | |
| 3 | Gabe Castillo | 100,025 (34.8%) | Dan Lungren | 177,738 (61.9%) | 9,310 | R+27.1 |
| 4 | David I. Winters | 117,443 (34.6%) | John T. Doolittle | 221,926 (65.4%) | R+30.8 | |
| 5 | Robert T. Matsui | 138,004 (71.4%) | Mike Dugas | 45,120 (23.3%) | 10,263 | D+48.0 |
| 6 | Lynn C. Woolsey | 226,423 (72.6%) | Paul L. Erickson | 85,244 (27.4%) | D+45.3 | |
| 7 | George Miller | 166,831 (76.1%) | Charles Hargrave | 52,446 (23.9%) | D+52.2 | |
| 8 | Nancy Pelosi | 224,017 (82.9%) | Jennifer Depalma | 31,074 (11.5%) | 14,973 | D+71.4 |
| 9 | Barbara Lee | 215,630 (84.5%) | Claudia Bermudez | 31,278 (12.3%) | 8,131 | D+72.3 |
| 10 | Ellen O. Tauscher | 182,750 (65.7%) | Jeff Ketelson | 95,349 (34.3%) | D+31.4 | |
| 11 | Gerald (Jerry) M. McNerney | 103,587 (38.8%) | Richard W. Pombo | 163,582 (61.2%) | R+22.5 | |
| 12 | Tom Lantos | 171,852 (68.0%) | Mike Garza | 52,593 (20.8%) | 28,154 | D+47.2 |
| 13 | Fortney Pete Stark | 144,605 (71.6%) | George I. Bruno | 48,439 (24.0%) | 8,877 | D+47.6 |
| 14 | Anna G. Eshoo | 182,712 (69.8%) | Chris Haugen | 69,564 (26.6%) | 9,612 | D+43.2 |
| 15 | Michael M. Honda | 154,385 (72.0%) | Raymond L. Chukwu | 59,953 (28.0%) | D+44.1 | |
| 16 | Zoe Lofgren | 129,222 (70.9%) | Douglas Adams McNea | 47,992 (26.3%) | 5,067 | D+44.6 |
| 17 | Sam Farr | 148,958 (66.7%) | Mark Risley | 65,117 (29.2%) | 9,150 | D+37.6 |
| 18 | Dennis A. Cardoza | 103,732 (67.5%) | Charles F. Pringle, Sr. | 49,973 (32.5%) | D+35.0 | |
| 19 | James Lex Bufford | 64,047 (27.2%) | George Radanovich | 155,354 (66.0%) | 15,863 | R+38.8 |
| 20 | Jim Costa | 61,005 (53.4%) | Roy Ashburn | 53,231 (46.6%) | D+6.8 | |
| 21 | Fred B. Davis | 51,594 (26.8%) | Devin Nunes | 140,721 (73.2%) | R+46.3 | |
| 22 | none | William M. Thomas | 209,384 (100.0%) | R+100.0 | ||
| 23 | Lois Capps | 153,980 (63.0%) | Don Regan | 83,926 (34.4%) | 6,391 | D+28.7 |
| 24 | Brett Wagner | 96,397 (33.9%) | Elton Gallegly | 178,660 (62.8%) | 9,321 | R+28.9 |
| 25 | Fred "Tim" Willoughby | 80,395 (35.6%) | Howard P. "Buck" McKeon | 145,575 (64.4%) | R+28.8 | |
| 26 | Cynthia M. Matthews | 107,522 (42.8%) | David Dreier | 134,596 (53.6%) | 9,089 | R+10.8 |
| 27 | Brad Sherman | 125,296 (62.3%) | Robert M. Levy | 66,946 (33.3%) | 8,956 | D+29.0 |
| 28 | Howard L. Berman | 115,303 (71.0%) | David Hernandez | 37,868 (23.3%) | 9,339 | D+47.7 |
| 29 | Adam B. Schiff | 133,670 (64.6%) | Harry Frank Scolinos | 62,871 (30.4%) | 10,291 | D+34.2 |
| 30 | Henry A. Waxman | 216,682 (71.2%) | Victor Elizalde | 87,465 (28.8%) | D+42.5 | |
| 31 | Xavier Becerra | 89,363 (80.2%) | Luis Vega | 22,048 (19.8%) | D+60.4 | |
| 32 | Hilda L. Solis | 119,144 (85.0%) | none | 21,002 | D+85.0 | |
| 33 | Diane E. Watson | 166,801 (88.6%) | none | 21,513 | D+88.6 | |
| 34 | Lucille Roybal-Allard | 82,282 (74.5%) | Wayne Miller | 28,175 (25.5%) | D+49.0 | |
| 35 | Maxine Waters | 125,949 (80.5%) | Ross Moen | 23,591 (15.1%) | 6,867 | D+65.4 |
| 36 | Jane Harman | 151,208 (62.0%) | Paul Whitehead | 81,666 (33.5%) | 11,170 | D+28.5 |
| 37 | Juanita Millender-McDonald | 118,823 (75.1%) | Vernon Van | 31,960 (20.2%) | 7,535 | D+54.9 |
| 38 | Grace F. Napolitano | 116,851 (100.0%) | none | D+100.0 | ||
| 39 | Linda T. Sanchez | 100,132 (60.7%) | Tim Escobar | 64,832 (39.3%) | D+21.4 | |
| 40 | J. Tilman Williams | 69,684 (32.1%) | Edward R. Royce | 147,617 (67.9%) | R+35.9 | |
| 41 | none | Jerry Lewis | 181,605 (82.9%) | 37,332 | R+83.0 | |
| 42 | Lewis Myers | 78,393 (31.9%) | Gary G. Miller | 167,632 (68.1%) | R+36.3 | |
| 43 | Joe Baca | 86,830 (66.4%) | Ed Laning | 44,004 (33.6%) | D+32.7 | |
| 44 | Louis Vandenberg | 78,796 (35.0%) | Ken Calvert | 138,768 (61.6%) | 7,559 | R+26.6 |
| 45 | Richard J. Meyer | 76,967 (33.4%) | Mary Bono | 153,523 (66.6%) | R+33.2 | |
| 46 | Jim Brandt | 90,129 (32.6%) | Dana Rohrabacher | 171,318 (61.9%) | 15,243 | R+29.3 |
| 47 | Loretta Sanchez | 65,684 (60.4%) | Alexandria A. "Alex" Coronado | 43,099 (39.6%) | D+20.8 | |
| 48 | John Graham | 93,525 (32.2%) | Christopher Cox | 189,004 (65.0%) | 8,343 | R+32.8 |
| 49 | Mike Byron | 79,057 (34.9%) | Darrell E. Issa | 141,658 (62.6%) | 5,751 | R+27.6 |
| 50 | Francine P. Busby | 105,590 (36.5%) | Randy "Duke" Cunningham | 169,025 (58.4%) | 14,713 | R+21.9 |
| 51 | Bob Filner | 111,441 (61.6%) | Michael Giorgino | 63,526 (35.1%) | 5,912 | D+26.5 |
| 52 | Brian S. Keliher | 74,857 (27.6%) | Duncan Hunter | 187,799 (69.2%) | 8,782 | R+41.6 |
| 53 | Susan A. Davis | 146,449 (66.1%) | Darin Hunzeker | 63,897 (28.9%) | 11,090 | D+37.3 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 1,836,147 66.8% | 804,320 29.3% | 106,377 | 2,746,844 | D+37.6 |
| San Diego | 465,966 43.7% | 557,554 52.3% | 42,873 | 1,066,393 | R+8.6 |
| Orange | 345,533 34.0% | 648,525 63.9% | 21,146 | 1,015,204 | R+29.8 |
| Santa Clara | 393,575 70.3% | 155,738 27.8% | 10,424 | 559,737 | D+42.5 |
| Riverside | 174,677 32.6% | 343,428 64.1% | 17,831 | 535,936 | R+31.5 |
| Alameda | 399,806 75.5% | 112,716 21.3% | 17,008 | 529,530 | D+54.2 |
| San Bernardino | 159,700 33.0% | 292,898 60.5% | 31,358 | 483,956 | R+27.5 |
| Sacramento | 228,111 50.8% | 203,281 45.3% | 17,783 | 449,175 | D+5.5 |
| Contra Costa | 268,193 67.5% | 129,398 32.5% | 397,591 | D+34.9 | |
| San Francisco | 266,289 80.6% | 39,988 12.1% | 23,954 | 330,231 | D+68.5 |
| Ventura | 121,542 40.4% | 169,130 56.3% | 9,878 | 300,550 | R+15.8 |
| San Mateo | 186,185 68.9% | 62,722 23.2% | 21,468 | 270,375 | D+45.7 |
| Fresno | 79,526 34.4% | 145,580 62.9% | 6,284 | 231,390 | R+28.5 |
| Sonoma | 151,541 70.4% | 62,382 29.0% | 1,481 | 215,404 | D+41.4 |
| San Joaquin | 77,136 42.2% | 105,668 57.8% | 182,804 | R+15.6 | |
| Kern | 18,105 10.1% | 162,007 89.9% | 180,112 | R+79.9 | |
| Santa Barbara | 91,094 55.7% | 68,350 41.8% | 4,134 | 163,578 | D+13.9 |
| Placer | 48,969 33.4% | 97,518 66.6% | 146,487 | R+33.1 | |
| Solano | 92,013 65.7% | 47,767 34.1% | 206 | 139,986 | D+31.6 |
| Stanislaus | 60,683 43.5% | 73,820 52.9% | 4,924 | 139,427 | R+9.4 |
| Marin | 96,872 74.9% | 32,446 25.1% | 129,318 | D+49.8 | |
| Monterey | 76,670 62.4% | 42,447 34.5% | 3,762 | 122,879 | D+27.9 |
| Santa Cruz | 84,748 71.7% | 26,663 22.6% | 6,781 | 118,192 | D+49.1 |
| San Luis Obispo | 37,741 34.8% | 69,014 63.6% | 1,700 | 108,455 | R+28.8 |
| Tulare | 24,720 25.8% | 71,055 74.2% | 95,775 | R+48.4 | |
| Butte | 38,902 41.7% | 54,358 58.3% | 93,260 | R+16.6 | |
| El Dorado | 28,468 34.1% | 55,070 65.9% | 83,538 | R+31.8 | |
| Shasta | 20,857 27.5% | 54,858 72.5% | 75,715 | R+44.9 | |
| Yolo | 42,987 62.3% | 22,888 33.2% | 3,118 | 68,993 | D+29.1 |
| Humboldt | 43,081 67.3% | 17,164 26.8% | 3,754 | 63,999 | D+40.5 |
| Napa | 38,329 69.7% | 14,959 27.2% | 1,667 | 54,955 | D+42.5 |
| Merced | 35,650 66.1% | 18,262 33.9% | 53,912 | D+32.3 | |
| Nevada | 21,682 42.2% | 29,695 57.8% | 51,377 | R+15.6 | |
| Madera | 10,205 26.9% | 25,718 67.9% | 1,953 | 37,876 | R+41.0 |
| Mendocino | 25,452 68.5% | 9,180 24.7% | 2,535 | 37,167 | D+43.8 |
| Imperial | 19,295 57.2% | 13,563 40.2% | 902 | 33,760 | D+17.0 |
| Kings | 12,538 39.4% | 19,251 60.6% | 31,789 | R+21.1 | |
| Sutter | 8,440 28.7% | 20,975 71.3% | 29,415 | R+42.6 | |
| Tuolumne | 7,318 29.2% | 15,861 63.2% | 1,910 | 25,089 | R+34.1 |
| Lake | 15,572 64.1% | 7,875 32.4% | 839 | 24,286 | D+31.7 |
| Tehama | 6,555 28.9% | 16,123 71.1% | 22,678 | R+42.2 | |
| Calaveras | 6,861 31.4% | 14,000 64.1% | 967 | 21,828 | R+32.7 |
| Siskiyou | 6,387 31.5% | 13,920 68.5% | 20,307 | R+37.1 | |
| San Benito | 11,055 59.7% | 6,911 37.3% | 567 | 18,533 | D+22.4 |
| Yuba | 5,410 30.8% | 12,163 69.2% | 17,573 | R+38.4 | |
| Amador | 5,516 31.9% | 11,212 64.8% | 583 | 17,311 | R+32.9 |
| Lassen | 2,838 25.5% | 8,312 74.5% | 11,150 | R+49.1 | |
| Plumas | 3,429 32.1% | 7,253 67.9% | 10,682 | R+35.8 | |
| Glenn | 2,611 28.4% | 6,586 71.6% | 9,197 | R+43.2 | |
| Del Norte | 5,261 57.4% | 3,657 39.9% | 241 | 9,159 | D+17.5 |
| Mariposa | 2,012 23.9% | 5,622 66.7% | 792 | 8,426 | R+42.8 |
| Inyo | 3,117 37.3% | 5,250 62.7% | 8,367 | R+25.5 | |
| Trinity | 2,324 36.7% | 4,006 63.3% | 6,330 | R+26.6 | |
| Colusa | 1,670 28.4% | 4,206 71.6% | 5,876 | R+43.2 | |
| Mono | 2,388 47.6% | 2,624 52.4% | 5,012 | R+4.7 | |
| Modoc | 1,055 24.6% | 3,237 75.4% | 4,292 | R+50.8 | |
| Sierra | 591 31.1% | 1,312 68.9% | 1,903 | R+37.9 | |
| Alpine | 300 44.8% | 335 50.1% | 34 | 669 | R+5.2 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
California in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 43, R 9 | D+19.9 |
| 2022 | D 40, R 12 | D+23.3 |
| 2020 | D 42, R 11 | D+28.6 |
| 2018 | D 46, R 7 | D+32.7 |
| 2016 | D 39, R 14 | D+26.2 |
| 2014 | D 39, R 14 | D+15.3 |
| 2012 | D 38, R 15 | D+21.0 |
| 2010 | D 34, R 19 | D+9.9 |
| 2008 | D 34, R 19 | D+23.2 |
| 2006 | D 34, R 19 | D+16.9 |
| 2004 | D 33, R 20 | D+10.3 |
| 2002 | D 33, R 20 | D+7.0 |
| 2000 | D 32, R 20 | D+9.2 |
| 1998 | D 28, R 24 | D+6.6 |
| 1996 | D 29, R 23 | D+4.4 |
| 1994 | D 27, R 25 | R+1.3 |
| 1992 | D 30, R 22 | D+10.2 |
| 1990 | D 26, R 19 | D+3.0 |