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Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US House elections in California

California elected 53 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 34 seats and Republicans 19.

The closest was the 11th district, decided by 1.1 points: Jerry McNerney (Democrat) beat David Harmer (Republican), 48.0% to 46.9%, a margin of 1.1 points and 2,658 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 33 of the 58 counties and Democrats in 25. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 2,209,111 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.8 points. The closest was Alpine, where 23 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Mike Thompson147,307 (62.8%) Loren Hanks72,803 (31.0%) 14,482 D+31.8
2 Jim Reed98,092 (42.8%) Wally Herger130,837 (57.1%) 11 R+14.3
3 Ami Bera113,128 (43.2%) Daniel E. Lungren131,169 (50.1%) 17,641 R+6.9
4 Clint Curtis95,653 (31.4%) Tom McClintock186,397 (61.3%) 22,179 R+29.8
5 Doris O. Matsui124,220 (72.0%) Paul A. Smith43,577 (25.3%) 4,613 D+46.8
6 Lynn C. Woolsey172,216 (65.9%) Jim Judd77,361 (29.6%) 11,575 D+36.3
7 George Miller122,435 (68.3%) Rick Tubbs56,764 (31.7%) D+36.7
8 Nancy Pelosi167,957 (80.1%) John Dennis31,711 (15.1%) 10,028 D+65.0
9 Barbara Lee180,400 (84.3%) Gerald Hashimoto23,054 (10.8%) 10,631 D+73.5
10 John Garamendi137,578 (58.8%) Gary Clift88,512 (37.9%) 7,716 D+21.0
11 Jerry McNerney115,361 (48.0%) David Harmer112,703 (46.9%) 12,439 D+1.1
12 Jackie Speier152,044 (75.6%) Mike Moloney44,475 (22.1%) 4,643 D+53.5
13 Fortney Pete Stark118,278 (72.0%) Forest Baker45,575 (27.7%) 525 D+44.2
14 Anna G. Eshoo151,217 (69.1%) Dave Chapman60,917 (27.8%) 6,735 D+41.3
15 Michael M. Honda126,147 (67.6%) Scott Kirkland60,468 (32.4%) D+35.2
16 Zoe Lofgren105,841 (67.8%) Daniel Sahagun37,913 (24.3%) 12,304 D+43.5
17 Sam Farr118,734 (66.7%) Jeff Taylor53,176 (29.9%) 6,229 D+36.8
18 Dennis A. Cardoza72,853 (58.5%) Michael Clare Berryhill, Sr.51,716 (41.5%) D+17.0
19 Loraine Goodwin69,912 (35.1%) Jeff Denham128,394 (64.6%) 596 R+29.4
20 Jim Costa46,247 (51.7%) Andy Vidak43,197 (48.3%) D+3.4
21 none Devin Nunes135,979 (100.0%) R+100.0
22 none Kevin McCarthy173,490 (98.8%) 2,173 R+98.8
23 Lois Capps111,768 (57.8%) Tom Watson72,744 (37.6%) 8,951 D+20.2
24 Timothy J. Allison96,279 (40.1%) Elton Gallegly144,055 (59.9%) R+19.9
25 Jackie Conaway73,028 (38.2%) Howard P. "Buck" McKeon118,308 (61.8%) R+23.7
26 Russ Warner76,093 (36.5%) David Dreier112,774 (54.1%) 19,480 R+17.6
27 Brad Sherman102,927 (65.2%) Mark Reed55,056 (34.8%) D+30.3
28 Howard L. Berman88,385 (69.5%) Merlin Floyd28,493 (22.4%) 10,229 D+47.1
29 Adam B. Schiff104,374 (64.8%) John P. Colbert51,534 (32.0%) 5,218 D+32.8
30 Henry A. Waxman153,663 (64.6%) Charles E. Wilkerson75,948 (31.9%) 8,136 D+32.7
31 Xavier Becerra76,363 (83.8%) Stephen C. Smith14,740 (16.2%) 3 D+67.6
32 Judy Chu77,759 (71.0%) Edward "Ed" Schmerling31,697 (29.0%) D+42.1
33 Karen Bass131,990 (86.1%) James L. Andion21,342 (13.9%) 1 D+72.2
34 Lucille Roybal-Allard69,382 (77.2%) Wayne Miller20,457 (22.8%) D+54.5
35 Maxine Waters98,131 (79.3%) K. Bruce Brown25,561 (20.7%) 2 D+58.7
36 Jane Harman114,489 (59.6%) Mattie Fein66,706 (34.7%) 10,840 D+24.9
37 Laura Richardson85,799 (68.4%) Star Parker29,159 (23.2%) 10,560 D+45.1
38 Grace F. Napolitano85,459 (73.5%) Robert Vaughn30,883 (26.5%) D+46.9
39 Linda T. Sanchez81,590 (63.3%) Larry S. Andre42,037 (32.6%) 5,334 D+30.7
40 Christina Avalos59,400 (33.2%) Edward R. Royce119,455 (66.8%) R+33.6
41 Pat Meagher74,394 (36.8%) Jerry Lewis127,857 (63.2%) 35 R+26.4
42 Michael Williamson65,122 (31.9%) Gary G. Miller127,161 (62.2%) 12,115 R+30.4
43 Joe Baca70,026 (65.5%) Scott Folkens36,890 (34.5%) D+31.0
44 Bill Hedrick85,784 (44.4%) Ken Calvert107,482 (55.6%) R+11.2
45 Steve Pougnet87,141 (42.1%) Mary Bono Mack106,472 (51.5%) 13,188 R+9.4
46 Ken Arnold84,940 (37.8%) Dana Rohrabacher139,822 (62.2%) 20 R+24.4
47 Loretta Sanchez50,832 (53.0%) Van Tran37,679 (39.3%) 7,443 D+13.7
48 Beth Krom88,465 (36.4%) John Campbell145,481 (59.9%) 8,773 R+23.5
49 Howard Katz59,714 (31.5%) Darrell E. Issa119,088 (62.8%) 10,875 R+31.3
50 Francine Busby97,818 (39.0%) Brian P. Bilbray142,247 (56.7%) 11,016 R+17.7
51 Bob Filner86,423 (60.1%) Nick Popaditch57,488 (39.9%) 5 D+20.1
52 Ray Lutz70,870 (32.1%) Duncan Hunter139,460 (63.1%) 10,732 R+31.0
53 Susan A. Davis104,800 (62.3%) Michael Crimmins57,230 (34.0%) 6,298 D+28.3

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Los Angeles 1,413,616 64.0% 732,206 33.1% 63,289 2,209,111 D+30.8
San Diego 378,340 43.5% 457,494 52.6% 34,170 870,004 R+9.1
Orange 305,686 36.0% 518,170 61.1% 24,391 848,247 R+25.0
Santa Clara 325,841 67.5% 140,590 29.1% 16,584 483,015 D+38.4
Riverside 200,891 42.6% 253,279 53.6% 17,941 472,111 R+11.1
Alameda 334,918 75.2% 97,539 21.9% 13,089 445,546 D+53.3
San Bernardino 186,196 44.1% 225,133 53.4% 10,485 421,814 R+9.2
Sacramento 224,935 55.6% 160,330 39.6% 19,117 404,382 D+16.0
Contra Costa 210,869 62.8% 117,637 35.0% 7,278 335,784 D+27.8
San Francisco 205,998 80.1% 40,006 15.6% 11,268 257,272 D+64.5
Ventura 114,067 45.1% 136,255 53.9% 2,498 252,820 R+8.8
San Mateo 159,217 73.5% 52,394 24.2% 5,136 216,747 D+49.3
Sonoma 113,911 63.7% 55,803 31.2% 9,015 178,729 D+32.5
Fresno 48,817 27.5% 128,943 72.5% 177,760 R+45.1
San Joaquin 77,568 49.9% 68,833 44.3% 8,970 155,371 D+5.6
Kern 15,098 10.3% 129,504 88.4% 1,958 146,560 R+78.1
Placer 42,632 31.2% 85,910 62.8% 8,308 136,850 R+31.6
Santa Barbara 65,596 50.8% 59,652 46.2% 3,876 129,124 D+4.6
Stanislaus 50,572 43.8% 64,785 56.2% 115,357 R+12.3
Solano 66,228 57.7% 46,779 40.8% 1,767 114,774 D+16.9
Marin 76,757 69.2% 30,129 27.2% 4,008 110,894 D+42.0
Monterey 61,706 62.3% 34,127 34.5% 3,184 99,017 D+27.9
Santa Cruz 68,023 72.7% 21,765 23.3% 3,797 93,585 D+49.4
San Luis Obispo 28,384 31.3% 59,375 65.6% 2,790 90,549 R+34.2
El Dorado 23,534 31.4% 46,590 62.2% 4,744 74,868 R+30.8
Butte 34,247 46.8% 37,875 51.7% 1,130 73,252 R+5.0
Tulare 0 0.0% 66,016 100.0% 66,016 R+100.0
Shasta 27,502 42.7% 36,883 57.3% 64,385 R+14.6
Yolo 36,165 62.7% 18,495 32.1% 3,021 57,681 D+30.6
Humboldt 30,788 62.2% 15,345 31.0% 3,347 49,480 D+31.2
Merced 24,192 51.3% 23,006 48.7% 47,198 D+2.5
Napa 29,012 62.5% 15,478 33.4% 1,909 46,399 D+29.2
Nevada 16,347 36.7% 22,864 51.3% 5,365 44,576 R+14.6
Madera 11,001 33.3% 22,040 66.7% 33,041 R+33.4
Mendocino 20,142 64.5% 8,101 25.9% 2,993 31,236 D+38.5
Imperial 15,752 58.9% 10,976 41.1% 3 26,731 D+17.9
Kings 7,890 30.2% 18,247 69.8% 26,137 R+39.6
Sutter 8,741 34.7% 16,414 65.3% 25,155 R+30.5
Tuolumne 7,921 37.0% 13,506 63.0% 21,427 R+26.1
Lake 11,632 56.6% 7,597 36.9% 1,340 20,569 D+19.6
Tehama 7,875 39.5% 12,059 60.5% 19,934 R+21.0
Calaveras 7,438 38.4% 10,036 51.8% 1,888 19,362 R+13.4
Siskiyou 7,613 42.4% 10,361 57.6% 17,974 R+15.3
Amador 5,965 37.3% 8,595 53.8% 1,412 15,972 R+16.5
San Benito 8,890 56.4% 6,295 39.9% 577 15,762 D+16.5
Yuba 5,788 36.9% 9,903 63.1% 15,691 R+26.2
Lassen 1,873 20.7% 6,476 71.5% 709 9,058 R+50.8
Plumas 2,596 28.9% 5,504 61.3% 878 8,978 R+32.4
Del Norte 3,949 48.3% 3,796 46.5% 424 8,169 D+1.9
Mariposa 2,773 34.9% 5,177 65.1% 7,950 R+30.2
Glenn 3,046 38.7% 4,818 61.3% 7,864 R+22.5
Inyo 2,873 42.9% 3,820 57.1% 6,693 R+14.1
Trinity 2,788 51.3% 2,645 48.7% 5,433 D+2.6
Colusa 1,656 32.4% 3,459 67.6% 5,115 R+35.2
Mono 1,833 43.5% 2,382 56.5% 4,215 R+13.0
Modoc 724 19.4% 2,747 73.6% 263 3,734 R+54.2
Sierra 445 24.9% 1,150 64.4% 190 1,785 R+39.5
Alpine 276 50.2% 253 46.0% 21 550 D+4.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

California in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 43, R 9 D+19.9
2022 D 40, R 12 D+23.3
2020 D 42, R 11 D+28.6
2018 D 46, R 7 D+32.7
2016 D 39, R 14 D+26.2
2014 D 39, R 14 D+15.3
2012 D 38, R 15 D+21.0
2010 D 34, R 19 D+9.9
2008 D 34, R 19 D+23.2
2006 D 34, R 19 D+16.9
2004 D 33, R 20 D+10.3
2002 D 33, R 20 D+7.0
2000 D 32, R 20 D+9.2
1998 D 28, R 24 D+6.6
1996 D 29, R 23 D+4.4
1994 D 27, R 25 R+1.3
1992 D 30, R 22 D+10.2
1990 D 26, R 19 D+3.0