Election 2010 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2010 US House elections in California
California elected 53 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 34 seats and Republicans 19.
The closest was the 11th district, decided by 1.1 points: Jerry McNerney (Democrat) beat David Harmer (Republican), 48.0% to 46.9%, a margin of 1.1 points and 2,658 votes.
In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 33 of the 58 counties and Democrats in 25. The largest, Los Angeles, cast 2,209,111 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.8 points. The closest was Alpine, where 23 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thompson | 147,307 (62.8%) | Loren Hanks | 72,803 (31.0%) | 14,482 | D+31.8 |
| 2 | Jim Reed | 98,092 (42.8%) | Wally Herger | 130,837 (57.1%) | 11 | R+14.3 |
| 3 | Ami Bera | 113,128 (43.2%) | Daniel E. Lungren | 131,169 (50.1%) | 17,641 | R+6.9 |
| 4 | Clint Curtis | 95,653 (31.4%) | Tom McClintock | 186,397 (61.3%) | 22,179 | R+29.8 |
| 5 | Doris O. Matsui | 124,220 (72.0%) | Paul A. Smith | 43,577 (25.3%) | 4,613 | D+46.8 |
| 6 | Lynn C. Woolsey | 172,216 (65.9%) | Jim Judd | 77,361 (29.6%) | 11,575 | D+36.3 |
| 7 | George Miller | 122,435 (68.3%) | Rick Tubbs | 56,764 (31.7%) | D+36.7 | |
| 8 | Nancy Pelosi | 167,957 (80.1%) | John Dennis | 31,711 (15.1%) | 10,028 | D+65.0 |
| 9 | Barbara Lee | 180,400 (84.3%) | Gerald Hashimoto | 23,054 (10.8%) | 10,631 | D+73.5 |
| 10 | John Garamendi | 137,578 (58.8%) | Gary Clift | 88,512 (37.9%) | 7,716 | D+21.0 |
| 11 | Jerry McNerney | 115,361 (48.0%) | David Harmer | 112,703 (46.9%) | 12,439 | D+1.1 |
| 12 | Jackie Speier | 152,044 (75.6%) | Mike Moloney | 44,475 (22.1%) | 4,643 | D+53.5 |
| 13 | Fortney Pete Stark | 118,278 (72.0%) | Forest Baker | 45,575 (27.7%) | 525 | D+44.2 |
| 14 | Anna G. Eshoo | 151,217 (69.1%) | Dave Chapman | 60,917 (27.8%) | 6,735 | D+41.3 |
| 15 | Michael M. Honda | 126,147 (67.6%) | Scott Kirkland | 60,468 (32.4%) | D+35.2 | |
| 16 | Zoe Lofgren | 105,841 (67.8%) | Daniel Sahagun | 37,913 (24.3%) | 12,304 | D+43.5 |
| 17 | Sam Farr | 118,734 (66.7%) | Jeff Taylor | 53,176 (29.9%) | 6,229 | D+36.8 |
| 18 | Dennis A. Cardoza | 72,853 (58.5%) | Michael Clare Berryhill, Sr. | 51,716 (41.5%) | D+17.0 | |
| 19 | Loraine Goodwin | 69,912 (35.1%) | Jeff Denham | 128,394 (64.6%) | 596 | R+29.4 |
| 20 | Jim Costa | 46,247 (51.7%) | Andy Vidak | 43,197 (48.3%) | D+3.4 | |
| 21 | none | Devin Nunes | 135,979 (100.0%) | R+100.0 | ||
| 22 | none | Kevin McCarthy | 173,490 (98.8%) | 2,173 | R+98.8 | |
| 23 | Lois Capps | 111,768 (57.8%) | Tom Watson | 72,744 (37.6%) | 8,951 | D+20.2 |
| 24 | Timothy J. Allison | 96,279 (40.1%) | Elton Gallegly | 144,055 (59.9%) | R+19.9 | |
| 25 | Jackie Conaway | 73,028 (38.2%) | Howard P. "Buck" McKeon | 118,308 (61.8%) | R+23.7 | |
| 26 | Russ Warner | 76,093 (36.5%) | David Dreier | 112,774 (54.1%) | 19,480 | R+17.6 |
| 27 | Brad Sherman | 102,927 (65.2%) | Mark Reed | 55,056 (34.8%) | D+30.3 | |
| 28 | Howard L. Berman | 88,385 (69.5%) | Merlin Floyd | 28,493 (22.4%) | 10,229 | D+47.1 |
| 29 | Adam B. Schiff | 104,374 (64.8%) | John P. Colbert | 51,534 (32.0%) | 5,218 | D+32.8 |
| 30 | Henry A. Waxman | 153,663 (64.6%) | Charles E. Wilkerson | 75,948 (31.9%) | 8,136 | D+32.7 |
| 31 | Xavier Becerra | 76,363 (83.8%) | Stephen C. Smith | 14,740 (16.2%) | 3 | D+67.6 |
| 32 | Judy Chu | 77,759 (71.0%) | Edward "Ed" Schmerling | 31,697 (29.0%) | D+42.1 | |
| 33 | Karen Bass | 131,990 (86.1%) | James L. Andion | 21,342 (13.9%) | 1 | D+72.2 |
| 34 | Lucille Roybal-Allard | 69,382 (77.2%) | Wayne Miller | 20,457 (22.8%) | D+54.5 | |
| 35 | Maxine Waters | 98,131 (79.3%) | K. Bruce Brown | 25,561 (20.7%) | 2 | D+58.7 |
| 36 | Jane Harman | 114,489 (59.6%) | Mattie Fein | 66,706 (34.7%) | 10,840 | D+24.9 |
| 37 | Laura Richardson | 85,799 (68.4%) | Star Parker | 29,159 (23.2%) | 10,560 | D+45.1 |
| 38 | Grace F. Napolitano | 85,459 (73.5%) | Robert Vaughn | 30,883 (26.5%) | D+46.9 | |
| 39 | Linda T. Sanchez | 81,590 (63.3%) | Larry S. Andre | 42,037 (32.6%) | 5,334 | D+30.7 |
| 40 | Christina Avalos | 59,400 (33.2%) | Edward R. Royce | 119,455 (66.8%) | R+33.6 | |
| 41 | Pat Meagher | 74,394 (36.8%) | Jerry Lewis | 127,857 (63.2%) | 35 | R+26.4 |
| 42 | Michael Williamson | 65,122 (31.9%) | Gary G. Miller | 127,161 (62.2%) | 12,115 | R+30.4 |
| 43 | Joe Baca | 70,026 (65.5%) | Scott Folkens | 36,890 (34.5%) | D+31.0 | |
| 44 | Bill Hedrick | 85,784 (44.4%) | Ken Calvert | 107,482 (55.6%) | R+11.2 | |
| 45 | Steve Pougnet | 87,141 (42.1%) | Mary Bono Mack | 106,472 (51.5%) | 13,188 | R+9.4 |
| 46 | Ken Arnold | 84,940 (37.8%) | Dana Rohrabacher | 139,822 (62.2%) | 20 | R+24.4 |
| 47 | Loretta Sanchez | 50,832 (53.0%) | Van Tran | 37,679 (39.3%) | 7,443 | D+13.7 |
| 48 | Beth Krom | 88,465 (36.4%) | John Campbell | 145,481 (59.9%) | 8,773 | R+23.5 |
| 49 | Howard Katz | 59,714 (31.5%) | Darrell E. Issa | 119,088 (62.8%) | 10,875 | R+31.3 |
| 50 | Francine Busby | 97,818 (39.0%) | Brian P. Bilbray | 142,247 (56.7%) | 11,016 | R+17.7 |
| 51 | Bob Filner | 86,423 (60.1%) | Nick Popaditch | 57,488 (39.9%) | 5 | D+20.1 |
| 52 | Ray Lutz | 70,870 (32.1%) | Duncan Hunter | 139,460 (63.1%) | 10,732 | R+31.0 |
| 53 | Susan A. Davis | 104,800 (62.3%) | Michael Crimmins | 57,230 (34.0%) | 6,298 | D+28.3 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 1,413,616 64.0% | 732,206 33.1% | 63,289 | 2,209,111 | D+30.8 |
| San Diego | 378,340 43.5% | 457,494 52.6% | 34,170 | 870,004 | R+9.1 |
| Orange | 305,686 36.0% | 518,170 61.1% | 24,391 | 848,247 | R+25.0 |
| Santa Clara | 325,841 67.5% | 140,590 29.1% | 16,584 | 483,015 | D+38.4 |
| Riverside | 200,891 42.6% | 253,279 53.6% | 17,941 | 472,111 | R+11.1 |
| Alameda | 334,918 75.2% | 97,539 21.9% | 13,089 | 445,546 | D+53.3 |
| San Bernardino | 186,196 44.1% | 225,133 53.4% | 10,485 | 421,814 | R+9.2 |
| Sacramento | 224,935 55.6% | 160,330 39.6% | 19,117 | 404,382 | D+16.0 |
| Contra Costa | 210,869 62.8% | 117,637 35.0% | 7,278 | 335,784 | D+27.8 |
| San Francisco | 205,998 80.1% | 40,006 15.6% | 11,268 | 257,272 | D+64.5 |
| Ventura | 114,067 45.1% | 136,255 53.9% | 2,498 | 252,820 | R+8.8 |
| San Mateo | 159,217 73.5% | 52,394 24.2% | 5,136 | 216,747 | D+49.3 |
| Sonoma | 113,911 63.7% | 55,803 31.2% | 9,015 | 178,729 | D+32.5 |
| Fresno | 48,817 27.5% | 128,943 72.5% | 177,760 | R+45.1 | |
| San Joaquin | 77,568 49.9% | 68,833 44.3% | 8,970 | 155,371 | D+5.6 |
| Kern | 15,098 10.3% | 129,504 88.4% | 1,958 | 146,560 | R+78.1 |
| Placer | 42,632 31.2% | 85,910 62.8% | 8,308 | 136,850 | R+31.6 |
| Santa Barbara | 65,596 50.8% | 59,652 46.2% | 3,876 | 129,124 | D+4.6 |
| Stanislaus | 50,572 43.8% | 64,785 56.2% | 115,357 | R+12.3 | |
| Solano | 66,228 57.7% | 46,779 40.8% | 1,767 | 114,774 | D+16.9 |
| Marin | 76,757 69.2% | 30,129 27.2% | 4,008 | 110,894 | D+42.0 |
| Monterey | 61,706 62.3% | 34,127 34.5% | 3,184 | 99,017 | D+27.9 |
| Santa Cruz | 68,023 72.7% | 21,765 23.3% | 3,797 | 93,585 | D+49.4 |
| San Luis Obispo | 28,384 31.3% | 59,375 65.6% | 2,790 | 90,549 | R+34.2 |
| El Dorado | 23,534 31.4% | 46,590 62.2% | 4,744 | 74,868 | R+30.8 |
| Butte | 34,247 46.8% | 37,875 51.7% | 1,130 | 73,252 | R+5.0 |
| Tulare | 0 0.0% | 66,016 100.0% | 66,016 | R+100.0 | |
| Shasta | 27,502 42.7% | 36,883 57.3% | 64,385 | R+14.6 | |
| Yolo | 36,165 62.7% | 18,495 32.1% | 3,021 | 57,681 | D+30.6 |
| Humboldt | 30,788 62.2% | 15,345 31.0% | 3,347 | 49,480 | D+31.2 |
| Merced | 24,192 51.3% | 23,006 48.7% | 47,198 | D+2.5 | |
| Napa | 29,012 62.5% | 15,478 33.4% | 1,909 | 46,399 | D+29.2 |
| Nevada | 16,347 36.7% | 22,864 51.3% | 5,365 | 44,576 | R+14.6 |
| Madera | 11,001 33.3% | 22,040 66.7% | 33,041 | R+33.4 | |
| Mendocino | 20,142 64.5% | 8,101 25.9% | 2,993 | 31,236 | D+38.5 |
| Imperial | 15,752 58.9% | 10,976 41.1% | 3 | 26,731 | D+17.9 |
| Kings | 7,890 30.2% | 18,247 69.8% | 26,137 | R+39.6 | |
| Sutter | 8,741 34.7% | 16,414 65.3% | 25,155 | R+30.5 | |
| Tuolumne | 7,921 37.0% | 13,506 63.0% | 21,427 | R+26.1 | |
| Lake | 11,632 56.6% | 7,597 36.9% | 1,340 | 20,569 | D+19.6 |
| Tehama | 7,875 39.5% | 12,059 60.5% | 19,934 | R+21.0 | |
| Calaveras | 7,438 38.4% | 10,036 51.8% | 1,888 | 19,362 | R+13.4 |
| Siskiyou | 7,613 42.4% | 10,361 57.6% | 17,974 | R+15.3 | |
| Amador | 5,965 37.3% | 8,595 53.8% | 1,412 | 15,972 | R+16.5 |
| San Benito | 8,890 56.4% | 6,295 39.9% | 577 | 15,762 | D+16.5 |
| Yuba | 5,788 36.9% | 9,903 63.1% | 15,691 | R+26.2 | |
| Lassen | 1,873 20.7% | 6,476 71.5% | 709 | 9,058 | R+50.8 |
| Plumas | 2,596 28.9% | 5,504 61.3% | 878 | 8,978 | R+32.4 |
| Del Norte | 3,949 48.3% | 3,796 46.5% | 424 | 8,169 | D+1.9 |
| Mariposa | 2,773 34.9% | 5,177 65.1% | 7,950 | R+30.2 | |
| Glenn | 3,046 38.7% | 4,818 61.3% | 7,864 | R+22.5 | |
| Inyo | 2,873 42.9% | 3,820 57.1% | 6,693 | R+14.1 | |
| Trinity | 2,788 51.3% | 2,645 48.7% | 5,433 | D+2.6 | |
| Colusa | 1,656 32.4% | 3,459 67.6% | 5,115 | R+35.2 | |
| Mono | 1,833 43.5% | 2,382 56.5% | 4,215 | R+13.0 | |
| Modoc | 724 19.4% | 2,747 73.6% | 263 | 3,734 | R+54.2 |
| Sierra | 445 24.9% | 1,150 64.4% | 190 | 1,785 | R+39.5 |
| Alpine | 276 50.2% | 253 46.0% | 21 | 550 | D+4.2 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
California in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 43, R 9 | D+19.9 |
| 2022 | D 40, R 12 | D+23.3 |
| 2020 | D 42, R 11 | D+28.6 |
| 2018 | D 46, R 7 | D+32.7 |
| 2016 | D 39, R 14 | D+26.2 |
| 2014 | D 39, R 14 | D+15.3 |
| 2012 | D 38, R 15 | D+21.0 |
| 2010 | D 34, R 19 | D+9.9 |
| 2008 | D 34, R 19 | D+23.2 |
| 2006 | D 34, R 19 | D+16.9 |
| 2004 | D 33, R 20 | D+10.3 |
| 2002 | D 33, R 20 | D+7.0 |
| 2000 | D 32, R 20 | D+9.2 |
| 1998 | D 28, R 24 | D+6.6 |
| 1996 | D 29, R 23 | D+4.4 |
| 1994 | D 27, R 25 | R+1.3 |
| 1992 | D 30, R 22 | D+10.2 |
| 1990 | D 26, R 19 | D+3.0 |