United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election results by state and county

Donald Trump won a second, non-consecutive term, beating Vice President Kamala Harris by 312 electoral votes to 226 and sweeping all seven battleground states.

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris in 2024, winning 312 electoral votes to 226. Kamala Harris carried 20 states and Donald Trump 31. Across the states, the Democratic and Republican vote came to 75,019,230 and 77,303,568 (R+1.5 of all votes cast).

The closest states were Wisconsin (R+0.9), Michigan (R+1.4) and Pennsylvania (R+1.7). 6 states changed party from 2020: Arizona to the Republicans, Georgia to the Republicans, Michigan to the Republicans, Nevada to the Republicans, Pennsylvania to the Republicans and Wisconsin to the Republicans.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2024 presidential election

Biden began the campaign as the Democratic candidate, but after a poor debate performance in June he withdrew in July and endorsed Kamala Harris, who became the nominee without a primary. Trump, who had been convicted on state charges in New York in May and survived an assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania, in July, ran on inflation, immigration and the economy. Trump won the national popular vote, becoming the first Republican to do so since 2004, and carried 31 states. He flipped six states Biden had won in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and held North Carolina. The three industrial Midwestern states were again the closest: Wisconsin by 0.9 points, Michigan by 1.4 and Pennsylvania by 1.7. He took Georgia by 2.2. Harris won 19 states and the District of Columbia, and her narrowest hold was New Hampshire, by 2.8 points. Trump gained ground with Hispanic voters and in large Democratic cities, and Republicans won the Senate and kept a narrow House majority. He became the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms.

Every state

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin EV
Alabama Kamala Harris772,412 (34.1%) Donald Trump1,462,616 (64.6%) 30,062 R+30.5 9
Alaska Kamala Harris140,026 (41.4%) Donald Trump184,458 (54.5%) 13,693 R+13.1 3
Arizona flip Kamala Harris1,582,860 (46.7%) Donald Trump1,770,242 (52.2%) 37,059 R+5.5 11
Arkansas Kamala Harris396,905 (33.6%) Donald Trump759,241 (64.2%) 26,530 R+30.6 6
California Kamala Harris9,276,179 (58.5%) Donald Trump6,081,697 (38.3%) 507,599 D+20.1 54
Colorado Kamala Harris1,728,159 (54.1%) Donald Trump1,377,441 (43.1%) 87,145 D+11.0 10
Connecticut Kamala Harris992,053 (56.4%) Donald Trump736,918 (41.9%) 30,039 D+14.5 7
Delaware Kamala Harris289,758 (56.5%) Donald Trump214,351 (41.8%) 8,803 D+14.7 3
District of Columbia Kamala Harris294,185 (90.3%) Donald Trump21,076 (6.5%) 10,608 D+83.8 3
Florida Kamala Harris4,683,038 (43.0%) Donald Trump6,110,125 (56.1%) 100,589 R+13.1 30
Georgia flip Kamala Harris2,548,017 (48.5%) Donald Trump2,663,117 (50.7%) 39,771 R+2.2 16
Hawaii Kamala Harris313,044 (60.6%) Donald Trump193,661 (37.5%) 9,996 D+23.1 4
Idaho Kamala Harris274,972 (30.4%) Donald Trump605,246 (66.9%) 24,839 R+36.5 4
Illinois Kamala Harris3,062,863 (54.4%) Donald Trump2,449,079 (43.5%) 121,368 D+10.9 19
Indiana Kamala Harris1,163,603 (39.6%) Donald Trump1,720,347 (58.6%) 52,727 R+19.0 11
Iowa Kamala Harris707,278 (42.5%) Donald Trump927,019 (55.7%) 29,209 R+13.2 6
Kansas Kamala Harris544,853 (41.0%) Donald Trump758,802 (57.2%) 23,936 R+16.1 6
Kentucky Kamala Harris704,043 (33.9%) Donald Trump1,337,494 (64.5%) 32,993 R+30.5 8
Louisiana Kamala Harris766,870 (38.2%) Donald Trump1,208,505 (60.2%) 31,600 R+22.0 8
Maine Kamala Harris435,652 (52.4%) Donald Trump377,977 (45.5%) 17,746 D+6.9 4
Maryland Kamala Harris1,902,577 (62.6%) Donald Trump1,035,550 (34.1%) 100,207 D+28.5 10
Massachusetts Kamala Harris2,126,518 (61.2%) Donald Trump1,251,303 (36.0%) 95,847 D+25.2 11
Michigan flip Kamala Harris2,736,533 (48.3%) Donald Trump2,816,636 (49.7%) 111,017 R+1.4 15
Minnesota Kamala Harris1,656,979 (50.9%) Donald Trump1,519,032 (46.7%) 77,909 D+4.2 10
Mississippi Kamala Harris466,668 (38.0%) Donald Trump747,744 (60.9%) 13,596 R+22.9 6
Missouri Kamala Harris1,200,599 (40.1%) Donald Trump1,751,986 (58.5%) 42,742 R+18.4 10
Montana Kamala Harris231,906 (38.5%) Donald Trump352,079 (58.4%) 19,005 R+19.9 4
Nebraska Kamala Harris369,995 (38.9%) Donald Trump564,816 (59.3%) 17,371 R+20.5 5
Nevada flip Kamala Harris705,197 (47.5%) Donald Trump751,205 (50.6%) 28,438 R+3.1 6
New Hampshire Kamala Harris418,488 (50.7%) Donald Trump395,523 (47.9%) 12,178 D+2.8 4
New Jersey Kamala Harris2,220,713 (52.0%) Donald Trump1,968,215 (46.1%) 83,797 D+5.9 14
New Mexico Kamala Harris478,802 (51.9%) Donald Trump423,391 (45.9%) 21,210 D+6.0 5
New York Kamala Harris4,619,195 (55.9%) Donald Trump3,578,899 (43.3%) 64,401 D+12.6 28
North Carolina Kamala Harris2,715,375 (47.6%) Donald Trump2,898,423 (50.9%) 85,343 R+3.2 16
North Dakota Kamala Harris112,327 (30.5%) Donald Trump246,505 (67.0%) 9,323 R+36.5 3
Ohio Kamala Harris2,533,699 (43.9%) Donald Trump3,180,116 (55.1%) 53,973 R+11.2 17
Oklahoma Kamala Harris499,599 (31.9%) Donald Trump1,036,213 (66.2%) 30,361 R+34.3 7
Oregon Kamala Harris1,240,600 (55.3%) Donald Trump919,480 (41.0%) 84,413 D+14.3 8
Pennsylvania flip Kamala Harris3,423,042 (48.5%) Donald Trump3,543,308 (50.2%) 92,382 R+1.7 19
Rhode Island Kamala Harris285,156 (55.5%) Donald Trump214,406 (41.8%) 13,824 D+13.8 4
South Carolina Kamala Harris1,028,452 (40.4%) Donald Trump1,483,747 (58.2%) 35,941 R+17.9 9
South Dakota Kamala Harris146,859 (34.2%) Donald Trump272,081 (63.4%) 9,982 R+29.2 3
Tennessee Kamala Harris1,056,265 (34.5%) Donald Trump1,966,865 (64.2%) 40,812 R+29.7 11
Texas Kamala Harris4,835,250 (42.5%) Donald Trump6,393,597 (56.1%) 159,827 R+13.7 40
Utah Kamala Harris562,566 (37.8%) Donald Trump883,818 (59.4%) 42,110 R+21.6 6
Vermont Kamala Harris235,791 (63.8%) Donald Trump119,395 (32.3%) 14,236 D+31.5 3
Virginia Kamala Harris2,335,395 (51.8%) Donald Trump2,075,085 (46.1%) 95,461 D+5.8 13
Washington Kamala Harris2,245,849 (57.2%) Donald Trump1,530,923 (39.0%) 147,471 D+18.2 12
West Virginia Kamala Harris214,309 (28.1%) Donald Trump533,556 (70.0%) 14,717 R+41.9 4
Wisconsin flip Kamala Harris1,668,229 (48.7%) Donald Trump1,697,626 (49.6%) 57,063 R+0.9 10
Wyoming Kamala Harris69,527 (25.8%) Donald Trump192,633 (71.6%) 6,888 R+45.8 3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). Maine and Nebraska are shown whole, without their district votes. How these results were checked.

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