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United States · Election results history · 2024 president · Kentucky
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Kentucky

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2024, 64.5% to 33.9%, a margin of 30.5 points and 633,451 votes.

Kentucky voted 29.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 118 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Jefferson, cast 354,095 votes and went to the Democrat by 16.5 points. The closest was Robertson, where 700 votes separated the two parties.

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If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,337,494 64.5%
Kamala Harris Democratic 704,043 33.9%
All other candidates 32,993 1.6%
Total2,074,530

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 203,070 57.3% 144,553 40.8% 6,472 354,095 D+16.5
Fayette 83,387 57.9% 57,344 39.8% 3,201 143,932 D+18.1
Kenton 30,859 38.1% 48,444 59.8% 1,645 80,948 R+21.7
Boone 20,601 30.6% 45,650 67.7% 1,170 67,421 R+37.2
Warren 21,065 37.0% 34,862 61.3% 964 56,891 R+24.3
Campbell 18,952 39.2% 28,450 58.9% 932 48,334 R+19.7
Hardin 16,572 34.5% 30,672 63.8% 838 48,082 R+29.3
Daviess 15,673 33.3% 30,705 65.2% 719 47,097 R+31.9
Madison 15,180 33.6% 29,130 64.5% 878 45,188 R+30.9
Bullitt 10,280 23.8% 32,299 74.8% 630 43,209 R+51.0
Oldham 14,402 37.7% 23,025 60.3% 783 38,210 R+22.6
McCracken 10,191 31.9% 21,349 66.8% 407 31,947 R+34.9
Pulaski 5,351 16.9% 26,051 82.1% 333 31,735 R+65.2
Scott 10,501 35.3% 18,747 63.0% 521 29,769 R+27.7
Laurel 4,037 14.5% 23,516 84.3% 334 27,887 R+69.8
Jessamine 8,303 31.1% 17,854 66.9% 528 26,685 R+35.8
Franklin 11,996 46.6% 13,246 51.4% 521 25,763 R+4.9
Shelby 7,822 31.8% 16,356 66.4% 442 24,620 R+34.7
Pike 4,025 16.8% 19,684 82.2% 241 23,950 R+65.4
Nelson 6,515 28.5% 16,052 70.2% 285 22,852 R+41.7
Christian 7,055 32.6% 14,332 66.1% 284 21,671 R+33.6
Boyd 6,291 30.0% 14,363 68.6% 297 20,951 R+38.5
Hopkins 4,916 23.9% 15,361 74.8% 260 20,537 R+50.9
Barren 4,565 23.1% 15,019 75.8% 218 19,802 R+52.8
Henderson 6,837 34.7% 12,592 64.0% 259 19,688 R+29.2
Clark 5,639 31.5% 11,950 66.8% 296 17,885 R+35.3
Marshall 3,700 21.0% 13,677 77.7% 225 17,602 R+56.7
Greenup 4,181 24.1% 12,961 74.6% 232 17,374 R+50.5
Calloway 5,111 30.2% 11,539 68.1% 295 16,945 R+37.9
Graves 3,105 18.6% 13,378 80.2% 195 16,678 R+61.6
Floyd 3,061 19.6% 12,326 78.8% 265 15,652 R+59.2
Whitley 2,237 14.8% 12,687 84.2% 151 15,075 R+69.3
Woodford 6,282 41.9% 8,419 56.2% 292 14,993 R+14.3
Boyle 4,990 34.7% 9,159 63.7% 224 14,373 R+29.0
Meade 3,279 23.2% 10,630 75.3% 214 14,123 R+52.0
Muhlenberg 3,048 22.3% 10,491 76.6% 153 13,692 R+54.4
Knox 1,821 13.8% 11,178 85.0% 157 13,156 R+71.1
Anderson 3,226 24.6% 9,650 73.7% 219 13,095 R+49.1
Montgomery 3,329 26.0% 9,302 72.6% 190 12,821 R+46.6
Logan 2,734 21.9% 9,620 76.9% 157 12,511 R+55.0
Taylor 2,576 21.0% 9,523 77.7% 162 12,261 R+56.7
Grayson 2,235 18.5% 9,710 80.3% 150 12,095 R+61.8
Mercer 2,838 23.9% 8,826 74.5% 187 11,851 R+50.5
Spencer 2,415 21.0% 8,927 77.8% 138 11,480 R+56.7
Grant 1,944 17.0% 9,372 81.7% 153 11,469 R+64.8
Carter 2,305 20.2% 8,981 78.6% 136 11,422 R+58.4
Lincoln 2,080 18.9% 8,833 80.1% 121 11,034 R+61.2
Ohio 2,094 19.1% 8,679 79.4% 164 10,937 R+60.2
Harlan 1,199 11.5% 9,109 87.7% 80 10,388 R+76.1
Breckinridge 2,038 20.3% 7,882 78.4% 128 10,048 R+58.2
Perry 1,966 19.7% 7,913 79.2% 113 9,992 R+59.5
Rowan 3,484 35.3% 6,224 63.0% 165 9,873 R+27.8
Johnson 1,350 14.0% 8,150 84.7% 122 9,622 R+70.7
Bourbon 3,088 32.4% 6,284 65.9% 165 9,537 R+33.5
Allen 1,505 16.0% 7,824 83.1% 89 9,418 R+67.1
Bell 1,419 15.2% 7,831 83.8% 90 9,340 R+68.7
Marion 2,513 27.6% 6,473 71.1% 116 9,102 R+43.5
Harrison 2,265 25.1% 6,639 73.6% 114 9,018 R+48.5
Adair 1,257 14.0% 7,643 85.2% 74 8,974 R+71.2
Garrard 1,719 19.3% 7,086 79.5% 112 8,917 R+60.2
Russell 1,200 13.5% 7,622 85.7% 71 8,893 R+72.2
Simpson 2,403 27.4% 6,253 71.3% 120 8,776 R+43.9
Wayne 1,444 16.5% 7,203 82.5% 86 8,733 R+65.9
Letcher 1,457 17.3% 6,848 81.2% 126 8,431 R+63.9
Hart 1,642 19.5% 6,691 79.6% 76 8,409 R+60.0
Henry 1,857 23.0% 6,093 75.5% 124 8,074 R+52.5
Mason 2,170 27.5% 5,621 71.1% 110 7,901 R+43.7
Rockcastle 986 12.8% 6,635 85.9% 103 7,724 R+73.1
Clay 692 9.2% 6,729 89.5% 96 7,517 R+80.3
Larue 1,389 19.1% 5,773 79.5% 97 7,259 R+60.4
Trigg 1,667 23.2% 5,436 75.5% 93 7,196 R+52.4
Casey 804 11.4% 6,216 87.8% 60 7,080 R+76.4
Fleming 1,334 19.1% 5,578 79.7% 88 7,000 R+60.6
Pendleton 1,210 17.5% 5,593 81.1% 97 6,900 R+63.5
Lawrence 1,044 15.9% 5,464 83.1% 66 6,574 R+67.2
Washington 1,533 24.2% 4,720 74.4% 88 6,341 R+50.3
Estill 1,114 17.7% 5,091 80.9% 85 6,290 R+63.2
Edmonson 1,118 17.9% 5,048 80.8% 81 6,247 R+62.9
McCreary 641 10.3% 5,531 89.0% 40 6,212 R+78.7
Caldwell 1,256 20.3% 4,860 78.5% 72 6,188 R+58.2
Union 1,225 20.2% 4,758 78.5% 75 6,058 R+58.3
Knott 1,181 19.7% 4,732 78.8% 90 6,003 R+59.2
Butler 965 16.2% 4,905 82.5% 73 5,943 R+66.3
Jackson 506 8.5% 5,358 90.3% 70 5,934 R+81.8
Green 782 13.4% 5,033 85.9% 42 5,857 R+72.6
Lewis 666 11.6% 4,997 87.3% 58 5,721 R+75.7
Webster 1,153 20.8% 4,339 78.1% 64 5,556 R+57.3
Owen 988 18.0% 4,434 80.6% 78 5,500 R+62.7
Bath 1,278 23.7% 4,041 75.0% 70 5,389 R+51.3
Morgan 939 17.5% 4,353 81.0% 81 5,373 R+63.5
Powell 1,174 21.9% 4,092 76.3% 94 5,360 R+54.4
Monroe 576 10.9% 4,679 88.1% 53 5,308 R+77.3
Magoffin 909 17.2% 4,288 81.3% 77 5,274 R+64.1
Metcalfe 884 17.2% 4,197 81.9% 46 5,127 R+64.6
Breathitt 1,002 19.6% 4,036 78.9% 75 5,113 R+59.3
Todd 1,051 20.6% 4,009 78.4% 52 5,112 R+57.9
Livingston 886 17.8% 4,021 80.9% 65 4,972 R+63.1
Clinton 549 11.3% 4,276 87.6% 55 4,880 R+76.4
McLean 989 21.3% 3,578 77.2% 67 4,634 R+55.9
Hancock 1,173 25.3% 3,375 72.8% 85 4,633 R+47.5
Leslie 382 8.8% 3,908 89.7% 67 4,357 R+80.9
Trimble 923 21.7% 3,283 77.3% 43 4,249 R+55.5
Lyon 950 22.7% 3,187 76.1% 50 4,187 R+53.4
Bracken 702 16.9% 3,399 81.8% 52 4,153 R+64.9
Ballard 697 17.0% 3,331 81.5% 60 4,088 R+64.4
Carroll 963 23.9% 3,014 74.9% 48 4,025 R+51.0
Crittenden 608 15.2% 3,349 83.5% 53 4,010 R+68.4
Gallatin 761 19.4% 3,109 79.4% 47 3,917 R+59.9
Martin 287 7.9% 3,343 91.5% 25 3,655 R+83.6
Cumberland 483 14.0% 2,922 84.9% 37 3,442 R+70.9
Nicholas 824 24.8% 2,451 73.8% 44 3,319 R+49.0
Menifee 664 20.2% 2,563 77.8% 67 3,294 R+57.7
Wolfe 689 23.6% 2,163 74.2% 63 2,915 R+50.6
Elliott 532 18.3% 2,335 80.2% 44 2,911 R+61.9
Lee 406 15.1% 2,227 82.8% 57 2,690 R+67.7
Carlisle 408 15.6% 2,182 83.6% 20 2,610 R+68.0
Fulton 636 29.7% 1,491 69.5% 18 2,145 R+39.9
Hickman 394 19.0% 1,656 80.0% 19 2,069 R+61.0
Owsley 203 11.0% 1,625 88.4% 11 1,839 R+77.3
Robertson 215 18.8% 915 80.0% 14 1,144 R+61.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4