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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Kentucky

Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in Kentucky in 1948, 56.7% to 41.5%, a margin of 15.3 points and 125,546 votes.

Kentucky voted 10.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.

Democrats led in 89 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 31. The largest, Jefferson, cast 143,629 votes and went to the Democrat by 0.8 points. The closest was Metcalfe, where 43 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harry S. Truman won Democratic 466,756 56.7%
Thomas E. Dewey Republican 341,210 41.5%
All other candidates 14,692 1.8%
Total822,658

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 70,756 49.3% 69,645 48.5% 3,228 143,629 D+0.8
Kenton 18,918 62.6% 10,771 35.7% 511 30,200 D+27.0
Campbell 13,008 51.6% 11,851 47.0% 372 25,231 D+4.6
Fayette 13,202 52.5% 10,959 43.6% 994 25,155 D+8.9
Pike 11,423 58.2% 8,097 41.2% 122 19,642 D+16.9
Boyd 9,006 56.8% 6,707 42.3% 131 15,844 D+14.5
McCracken 11,183 75.8% 3,251 22.0% 320 14,754 D+53.8
Daviess 8,682 63.2% 4,873 35.5% 172 13,727 D+27.7
Harlan 9,158 66.8% 4,402 32.1% 150 13,710 D+34.7
Floyd 8,823 73.4% 3,127 26.0% 66 12,016 D+47.4
Pulaski 3,844 33.4% 7,549 65.6% 117 11,510 R+32.2
Warren 6,768 60.5% 3,919 35.0% 502 11,189 D+25.5
Graves 8,682 84.5% 1,442 14.0% 152 10,276 D+70.5
Madison 5,344 52.6% 4,619 45.5% 193 10,156 D+7.1
Bell 5,708 56.4% 4,327 42.7% 89 10,124 D+13.6
Christian 5,582 58.7% 3,242 34.1% 678 9,502 D+24.6
Perry 5,614 59.4% 3,755 39.7% 84 9,453 D+19.7
Hopkins 6,149 65.7% 2,608 27.8% 609 9,366 D+37.8
Franklin 6,679 75.7% 1,962 22.2% 181 8,822 D+53.5
Whitley 2,932 33.9% 5,611 64.8% 110 8,653 R+31.0
Letcher 4,741 57.0% 3,560 42.8% 23 8,324 D+14.2
Muhlenberg 4,426 55.1% 3,478 43.3% 127 8,031 D+11.8
Henderson 5,499 71.9% 1,904 24.9% 243 7,646 D+47.0
Greenup 4,186 56.5% 3,168 42.8% 52 7,406 D+13.7
Knox 2,814 39.5% 4,241 59.5% 68 7,123 R+20.0
Barren 4,095 61.0% 2,437 36.3% 183 6,715 D+24.7
Carter 3,082 46.9% 3,472 52.8% 23 6,577 R+5.9
Hardin 3,990 61.9% 2,297 35.6% 160 6,447 D+26.3
Johnson 2,378 37.2% 3,993 62.5% 21 6,392 R+25.3
Laurel 2,187 34.6% 4,107 64.9% 32 6,326 R+30.4
Mason 3,620 58.3% 2,519 40.6% 69 6,208 D+17.7
Ohio 2,721 44.6% 3,300 54.0% 85 6,106 R+9.5
Logan 4,355 74.3% 1,352 23.1% 158 5,865 D+51.2
Calloway 4,896 86.4% 681 12.0% 91 5,668 D+74.4
Shelby 3,840 68.3% 1,626 28.9% 156 5,622 D+39.4
Lincoln 2,920 52.0% 2,593 46.2% 101 5,614 D+5.8
Knott 4,660 86.1% 754 13.9% 5,414 D+72.1
Boyle 3,338 62.6% 1,897 35.6% 101 5,336 D+27.0
Nelson 3,556 66.6% 1,715 32.1% 65 5,336 D+34.5
Bourbon 3,562 67.2% 1,610 30.4% 130 5,302 D+36.8
Breckinridge 2,623 51.3% 2,407 47.1% 80 5,110 D+4.2
Grayson 2,174 42.7% 2,880 56.6% 38 5,092 R+13.9
Adair 2,144 42.6% 2,839 56.4% 53 5,036 R+13.8
Scott 3,548 70.8% 1,352 27.0% 114 5,014 D+43.8
Casey 1,495 30.4% 3,380 68.8% 36 4,911 R+38.4
Clark 3,292 67.1% 1,508 30.7% 108 4,908 D+36.3
Hart 2,495 51.3% 2,311 47.5% 59 4,865 D+3.8
Fleming 2,722 56.1% 2,088 43.0% 42 4,852 D+13.1
Harrison 3,494 72.8% 1,224 25.5% 84 4,802 D+47.3
Clay 1,468 31.4% 3,142 67.2% 66 4,676 R+35.8
Henry 3,398 73.2% 1,193 25.7% 49 4,640 D+47.5
Taylor 2,415 52.7% 2,087 45.6% 79 4,581 D+7.2
Rockcastle 1,309 28.7% 3,236 70.9% 19 4,564 R+42.2
Wayne 2,029 44.6% 2,480 54.5% 39 4,548 R+9.9
Lawrence 2,372 52.5% 2,117 46.8% 32 4,521 D+5.6
Morgan 3,488 77.7% 987 22.0% 12 4,487 D+55.7
Webster 3,288 73.7% 1,087 24.4% 84 4,459 D+49.4
Union 3,607 81.9% 744 16.9% 55 4,406 D+65.0
Mercer 2,682 61.5% 1,599 36.6% 82 4,363 D+24.8
Breathitt 3,295 77.3% 957 22.4% 12 4,264 D+54.8
Marion 3,008 71.2% 1,171 27.7% 46 4,225 D+43.5
Lewis 1,449 34.7% 2,708 64.9% 15 4,172 R+30.2
Magoffin 2,253 54.5% 1,882 45.5% 4,135 D+9.0
Monroe 1,249 30.5% 2,812 68.6% 36 4,097 R+38.1
Estill 1,937 47.9% 2,056 50.8% 52 4,045 R+2.9
Allen 1,605 40.3% 2,280 57.2% 100 3,985 R+16.9
Caldwell 2,210 55.5% 1,626 40.8% 149 3,985 D+14.7
McCreary 933 23.5% 3,031 76.2% 14 3,978 R+52.7
Washington 2,121 53.5% 1,813 45.8% 28 3,962 D+7.8
Montgomery 2,731 69.0% 1,083 27.3% 146 3,960 D+41.6
Todd 2,929 75.1% 827 21.2% 144 3,900 D+53.9
Jessamine 2,301 59.3% 1,414 36.5% 163 3,878 D+22.9
Green 1,628 42.2% 2,186 56.6% 46 3,860 R+14.5
Grant 2,633 69.2% 1,154 30.3% 16 3,803 D+38.9
Marshall 2,942 80.1% 711 19.4% 20 3,673 D+60.7
Butler 1,105 30.2% 2,494 68.2% 59 3,658 R+38.0
Garrard 1,725 47.2% 1,890 51.7% 41 3,656 R+4.5
Rowan 2,097 57.9% 1,502 41.5% 23 3,622 D+16.4
Simpson 2,752 76.0% 762 21.1% 105 3,619 D+55.0
Russell 1,191 33.0% 2,404 66.5% 18 3,613 R+33.6
Bath 2,287 63.7% 1,276 35.5% 28 3,591 D+28.2
Owen 3,056 85.3% 504 14.1% 23 3,583 D+71.2
Woodford 2,175 61.2% 1,229 34.6% 151 3,555 D+26.6
Boone 2,320 65.9% 1,151 32.7% 52 3,523 D+33.2
Crittenden 1,497 43.3% 1,927 55.7% 37 3,461 R+12.4
Trigg 2,485 73.5% 816 24.1% 82 3,383 D+49.3
Pendleton 1,958 58.0% 1,373 40.7% 43 3,374 D+17.3
Metcalfe 1,683 50.3% 1,640 49.0% 23 3,346 D+1.3
Carroll 2,626 78.5% 639 19.1% 80 3,345 D+59.4
McLean 2,104 64.3% 1,112 34.0% 56 3,272 D+30.3
Jackson 429 13.3% 2,781 86.3% 12 3,222 R+73.0
Leslie 783 24.4% 2,397 74.6% 31 3,211 R+50.3
Larue 1,864 58.1% 1,277 39.8% 65 3,206 D+18.3
Ballard 2,702 84.6% 454 14.2% 39 3,195 D+70.4
Anderson 2,135 67.7% 971 30.8% 48 3,154 D+36.9
Bracken 1,863 59.4% 1,239 39.5% 32 3,134 D+19.9
Fulton 2,497 80.3% 450 14.5% 163 3,110 D+65.8
Clinton 709 23.3% 2,295 75.3% 44 3,048 R+52.0
Edmonson 1,031 33.8% 1,984 65.1% 33 3,048 R+31.3
Martin 911 31.4% 1,964 67.8% 23 2,898 R+36.3
Oldham 1,703 60.2% 1,036 36.6% 90 2,829 D+23.6
Cumberland 794 28.6% 1,947 70.2% 34 2,775 R+41.5
Nicholas 1,885 68.7% 815 29.7% 42 2,742 D+39.0
Wolfe 1,918 70.2% 813 29.7% 2 2,733 D+40.4
Meade 1,915 70.3% 773 28.4% 37 2,725 D+41.9
Hickman 2,143 83.6% 326 12.7% 95 2,564 D+70.9
Elliott 2,095 83.4% 410 16.3% 7 2,512 D+67.1
Bullitt 1,681 70.5% 673 28.2% 31 2,385 D+42.3
Lee 1,058 45.7% 1,233 53.2% 26 2,317 R+7.6
Livingston 1,622 70.2% 671 29.0% 18 2,311 D+41.2
Carlisle 1,899 86.4% 279 12.7% 21 2,199 D+73.7
Owsley 437 20.2% 1,718 79.5% 6 2,161 R+59.3
Lyon 1,505 69.8% 582 27.0% 68 2,155 D+42.8
Hancock 1,146 53.4% 985 45.9% 16 2,147 D+7.5
Trimble 1,746 88.7% 194 9.9% 28 1,968 D+78.9
Spencer 1,298 71.6% 493 27.2% 21 1,812 D+44.4
Gallatin 1,381 79.8% 342 19.8% 8 1,731 D+60.0
Powell 975 56.9% 719 42.0% 19 1,713 D+14.9
Menifee 1,112 71.1% 435 27.8% 17 1,564 D+43.3
Robertson 864 65.8% 442 33.6% 8 1,314 D+32.1

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4