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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Arizona

Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in Arizona in 1948, 53.8% to 43.8%, a margin of 10.0 points and 17,654 votes.

Arizona voted 5.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.

Democrats led in 14 of the 14 counties as they stood then. The largest, Maricopa, cast 78,992 votes and went to the Democrat by 5.0 points. The closest was Yavapai, where 152 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harry S. Truman won Democratic 95,251 53.8%
Thomas E. Dewey Republican 77,597 43.8%
All other candidates 4,217 2.4%
Total177,065

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 40,498 51.3% 36,585 46.3% 1,909 78,992 D+5.0
Pima 17,692 49.7% 16,968 47.6% 965 35,625 D+2.0
Cochise 6,198 59.8% 3,854 37.2% 318 10,370 D+22.6
Yavapai 4,439 49.8% 4,287 48.0% 196 8,922 D+1.7
Gila 4,780 65.8% 2,329 32.1% 156 7,265 D+33.7
Yuma 4,483 64.4% 2,324 33.4% 157 6,964 D+31.0
Pinal 3,572 60.7% 2,232 37.9% 83 5,887 D+22.8
Navajo 2,669 58.5% 1,841 40.3% 56 4,566 D+18.1
Coconino 2,309 52.0% 2,093 47.1% 39 4,441 D+4.9
Graham 2,139 63.2% 1,209 35.7% 38 3,386 D+27.5
Greenlee 2,069 69.9% 680 23.0% 212 2,961 D+46.9
Mohave 1,499 55.3% 1,167 43.0% 46 2,712 D+12.2
Santa Cruz 1,424 56.5% 1,058 42.0% 37 2,519 D+14.5
Apache 1,480 60.3% 970 39.5% 5 2,455 D+20.8

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+5.5
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.3
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+3.5
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.1
2008 John McCain (R) R+8.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+10.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+6.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.2
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+21.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+33.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+32.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+16.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+31.3
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+19.8
1964 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+11.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.1
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.7
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+10.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.5
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+42.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+36.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+15.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.2
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+21.8
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+30.8