Election 2024 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
- 2028 President, Senate, House and governors Forecast
- 2026 midterms Senate, House and governors Live count
- 2025 governors Results
- 2024 President, Senate, House and governors Results
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2024 presidential election in Arizona
Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Arizona in 2024, 52.2% to 46.7%, a margin of 5.5 points and 187,382 votes.
Arizona voted 4.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.
Arizona changed party: in 2020 it went Democratic, for Joe Biden.
Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 2,055,576 votes and went to the Republican by 3.5 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 1,355 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump won | Republican | 1,770,242 | 52.2% |
| Kamala Harris | Democratic | 1,582,860 | 46.7% |
| All other candidates | 37,059 | 1.1% | |
| Total | 3,390,161 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | 980,130 47.7% | 1,052,036 51.2% | 23,410 | 2,055,576 | R+3.5 |
| Pima | 292,484 57.0% | 214,772 41.8% | 6,156 | 513,412 | D+15.1 |
| Pinal | 80,665 38.5% | 126,987 60.6% | 1,862 | 209,514 | R+22.1 |
| Yavapai | 48,559 32.8% | 98,577 66.6% | 827 | 147,963 | R+33.8 |
| Mohave | 24,075 21.8% | 85,694 77.7% | 544 | 110,313 | R+55.9 |
| Coconino | 41,509 59.2% | 27,589 39.3% | 1,055 | 70,153 | D+19.8 |
| Yuma | 26,826 39.5% | 40,765 60.0% | 390 | 67,981 | R+20.5 |
| Cochise | 22,299 37.8% | 35,953 61.0% | 698 | 58,950 | R+23.2 |
| Navajo | 20,756 40.9% | 29,494 58.2% | 438 | 50,688 | R+17.2 |
| Apache | 18,874 59.0% | 12,801 40.0% | 325 | 32,000 | D+19.0 |
| Gila | 8,505 30.8% | 18,910 68.5% | 196 | 27,611 | R+37.7 |
| Santa Cruz | 11,255 58.9% | 7,700 40.3% | 138 | 19,093 | D+18.6 |
| Graham | 3,867 25.5% | 11,182 73.7% | 118 | 15,167 | R+48.2 |
| La Paz | 2,101 27.6% | 5,473 72.0% | 26 | 7,600 | R+44.4 |
| Greenlee | 954 28.9% | 2,309 70.0% | 35 | 3,298 | R+41.1 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Arizona in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+9.1 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+8.5 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+10.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+2.0 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+21.2 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+33.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+32.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+16.6 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+31.3 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+19.8 |
| 1964 | Barry Goldwater (R) | R+1.0 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+22.1 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+17.9 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.5 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+42.9 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+36.5 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+15.3 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+21.8 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+30.8 |