United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Minnesota

Kamala Harris (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Minnesota in 2024, 50.9% to 46.7%, a margin of 4.2 points and 137,947 votes.

Minnesota voted 5.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2020, when Joe Biden won.

Republicans led in 78 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Hennepin, cast 720,173 votes and went to the Democrat by 42.4 points. The closest was Nicollet, where 99 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Kamala Harris won Democratic 1,656,979 50.9%
Donald Trump Republican 1,519,032 46.7%
All other candidates 77,909 2.4%
Total3,253,920

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 502,710 69.8% 197,244 27.4% 20,219 720,173 D+42.4
Ramsey 195,168 70.2% 75,284 27.1% 7,573 278,025 D+43.1
Dakota 143,267 55.1% 109,995 42.3% 6,543 259,805 D+12.8
Anoka 97,667 46.4% 106,974 50.8% 5,840 210,481 R+4.4
Washington 90,324 53.3% 75,271 44.4% 3,941 169,536 D+8.9
Saint Louis 66,335 55.7% 50,065 42.1% 2,609 119,009 D+13.7
Olmsted 49,121 54.0% 39,467 43.4% 2,336 90,924 D+10.6
Scott 40,214 44.6% 47,837 53.1% 2,090 90,141 R+8.5
Wright 30,883 34.3% 57,211 63.5% 1,947 90,041 R+29.2
Stearns 30,829 35.6% 53,932 62.3% 1,871 86,632 R+26.7
Carver 31,869 46.1% 35,586 51.5% 1,705 69,160 R+5.4
Sherburne 18,329 31.6% 38,491 66.4% 1,140 57,960 R+34.8
Crow Wing 14,173 33.5% 27,423 64.7% 770 42,366 R+31.3
Otter Tail 11,752 32.0% 24,276 66.1% 708 36,736 R+34.1
Blue Earth 17,558 48.2% 18,001 49.4% 883 36,442 R+1.2
Rice 17,353 47.7% 18,264 50.2% 795 36,412 R+2.5
Chisago 11,894 33.4% 23,047 64.7% 660 35,601 R+31.3
Clay 16,121 49.0% 15,965 48.6% 788 32,874 D+0.5
Goodhue 11,731 40.7% 16,461 57.1% 625 28,817 R+16.4
Winona 12,929 46.5% 14,288 51.4% 580 27,797 R+4.9
Itasca 10,467 39.0% 15,863 59.1% 510 26,840 R+20.1
Isanti 7,384 28.5% 18,027 69.6% 507 25,918 R+41.1
Douglas 7,938 31.6% 16,726 66.6% 442 25,106 R+35.0
Beltrami 11,493 46.2% 12,898 51.9% 483 24,874 R+5.6
Kandiyohi 7,814 33.6% 15,014 64.5% 455 23,283 R+30.9
Benton 7,084 31.0% 15,260 66.9% 480 22,824 R+35.8
McLeod 6,374 30.1% 14,394 67.9% 431 21,199 R+37.8
Steele 7,650 36.7% 12,742 61.0% 480 20,872 R+24.4
Carlton 9,905 47.6% 10,435 50.1% 475 20,815 R+2.5
Morrison 4,306 21.2% 15,666 77.1% 341 20,313 R+55.9
Becker 6,435 32.6% 12,961 65.7% 343 19,739 R+33.1
Nicollet 9,441 48.6% 9,540 49.1% 436 19,417 R+0.5
Cass 6,300 32.5% 12,759 65.9% 304 19,363 R+33.4
Mower 8,312 43.8% 10,297 54.3% 360 18,969 R+10.5
Le Sueur 5,636 32.3% 11,503 65.8% 330 17,469 R+33.6
Pine 5,339 31.6% 11,274 66.7% 298 16,911 R+35.1
Freeborn 6,448 38.6% 10,003 59.9% 253 16,704 R+21.3
Polk 4,967 32.2% 10,162 65.9% 290 15,419 R+33.7
Mille Lacs 4,374 28.8% 10,570 69.6% 246 15,190 R+40.8
Brown 4,576 31.3% 9,692 66.4% 330 14,598 R+35.0
Todd 3,072 22.4% 10,392 75.8% 254 13,718 R+53.4
Meeker 3,802 27.8% 9,645 70.4% 247 13,694 R+42.7
Hubbard 4,536 33.3% 8,809 64.7% 272 13,617 R+31.4
Wabasha 4,721 34.9% 8,523 63.1% 265 13,509 R+28.1
Lyon 4,284 33.0% 8,400 64.7% 306 12,990 R+31.7
Dodge 4,108 32.9% 8,095 64.8% 281 12,484 R+31.9
Fillmore 4,491 36.3% 7,638 61.7% 256 12,385 R+25.4
Houston 4,667 40.8% 6,547 57.3% 214 11,428 R+16.5
Martin 3,171 29.4% 7,442 68.9% 183 10,796 R+39.6
Aitkin 3,524 33.7% 6,741 64.5% 181 10,446 R+30.8
Waseca 3,402 32.8% 6,770 65.2% 215 10,387 R+32.4
Kanabec 2,718 28.0% 6,818 70.3% 167 9,703 R+42.3
Sibley 2,351 27.5% 6,014 70.4% 172 8,537 R+42.9
Roseau 2,093 24.6% 6,279 73.9% 127 8,499 R+49.3
Redwood 2,300 27.6% 5,895 70.8% 131 8,326 R+43.2
Nobles 2,599 31.4% 5,541 67.0% 135 8,275 R+35.6
Renville 2,280 28.3% 5,610 69.6% 168 8,058 R+41.3
Wadena 1,898 23.6% 6,028 74.9% 121 8,047 R+51.3
Faribault 2,352 30.3% 5,247 67.6% 162 7,761 R+37.3
Pennington 2,439 33.0% 4,756 64.4% 186 7,381 R+31.4
Pope 2,398 33.2% 4,677 64.8% 143 7,218 R+31.6
Lake 3,534 50.8% 3,265 47.0% 155 6,954 D+3.9
Koochiching 2,465 36.3% 4,204 61.9% 120 6,789 R+25.6
Chippewa 2,026 32.1% 4,175 66.1% 117 6,318 R+34.0
Cottonwood 1,705 28.5% 4,157 69.4% 126 5,988 R+40.9
Jackson 1,581 28.0% 3,949 70.0% 114 5,644 R+42.0
Yellow Medicine 1,548 28.6% 3,738 69.1% 124 5,410 R+40.5
Rock 1,585 29.5% 3,690 68.7% 98 5,373 R+39.2
Stevens 1,827 35.6% 3,213 62.5% 99 5,139 R+27.0
Swift 1,618 32.0% 3,340 66.1% 96 5,054 R+34.1
Marshall 1,177 23.4% 3,774 75.0% 80 5,031 R+51.6
Watonwan 1,723 34.9% 3,087 62.6% 123 4,933 R+27.7
Pipestone 1,215 25.1% 3,537 73.1% 85 4,837 R+48.0
Clearwater 1,169 24.3% 3,575 74.3% 70 4,814 R+50.0
Murray 1,329 27.9% 3,346 70.2% 94 4,769 R+42.3
Lac Qui Parle 1,314 32.9% 2,600 65.1% 82 3,996 R+32.2
Cook 2,416 66.0% 1,142 31.2% 102 3,660 D+34.8
Grant 1,187 33.5% 2,266 64.0% 90 3,543 R+30.5
Wilkin 986 29.4% 2,290 68.3% 77 3,353 R+38.9
Norman 1,233 37.4% 1,963 59.6% 98 3,294 R+22.2
Lincoln 972 30.0% 2,190 67.7% 73 3,235 R+37.7
Big Stone 964 34.1% 1,796 63.6% 64 2,824 R+29.5
Kittson 911 36.4% 1,535 61.4% 54 2,500 R+25.0
Lake of the Woods 604 25.7% 1,710 72.9% 33 2,347 R+47.1
Mahnomen 975 44.7% 1,165 53.4% 43 2,183 R+8.7
Red Lake 642 30.3% 1,425 67.3% 49 2,116 R+37.0
Traverse 597 33.1% 1,165 64.7% 40 1,802 R+31.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+4.2
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+7.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+1.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+7.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.2
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+2.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.6
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+7.0
1984 Walter Mondale (D) D+0.2
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+12.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+12.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+27.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+1.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+7.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+17.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+30.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+23.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+44.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+51.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+0.1
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+55.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.5
1896 William McKinley (R) R+15.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.2
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+14.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+21.9
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+26.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+19.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+22.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+21.8