United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Minnesota

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Minnesota in 2016, 46.4% to 44.9%, a margin of 1.5 points and 44,765 votes.

Minnesota voted 0.6 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Republicans led in 78 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Hennepin, cast 679,977 votes and went to the Democrat by 34.9 points. The closest was Mahnomen, where 61 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 1,367,716 46.4%
Donald Trump Republican 1,322,951 44.9%
All other candidates 254,146 8.6%
Total2,944,813

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 429,288 63.1% 191,770 28.2% 58,919 679,977 D+34.9
Ramsey 177,738 65.1% 70,894 26.0% 24,511 273,143 D+39.1
Dakota 110,483 47.7% 99,583 43.0% 21,374 231,440 D+4.7
Anoka 75,500 40.6% 93,339 50.2% 16,919 185,758 R+9.6
Washington 67,086 46.5% 64,428 44.7% 12,721 144,235 D+1.8
Saint Louis 57,771 51.4% 44,630 39.7% 10,021 112,422 D+11.7
Olmsted 36,268 45.3% 35,668 44.5% 8,193 80,129 D+0.7
Stearns 25,576 32.1% 47,617 59.8% 6,399 79,592 R+27.7
Scott 28,502 38.0% 39,948 53.2% 6,579 75,029 R+15.3
Wright 20,334 29.2% 43,274 62.2% 6,010 69,618 R+33.0
Carver 21,508 38.6% 29,056 52.2% 5,132 55,696 R+13.6
Sherburne 13,293 27.5% 31,053 64.3% 3,937 48,283 R+36.8
Crow Wing 10,982 30.6% 22,287 62.2% 2,573 35,842 R+31.5
Blue Earth 14,428 42.9% 15,667 46.6% 3,498 33,593 R+3.7
Otter Tail 9,340 28.7% 20,939 64.4% 2,221 32,500 R+35.7
Rice 14,437 44.5% 15,429 47.6% 2,577 32,443 R+3.1
Chisago 9,278 30.7% 18,441 61.0% 2,509 30,228 R+30.3
Clay 12,971 44.1% 13,543 46.1% 2,884 29,398 R+1.9
Winona 11,366 43.6% 12,122 46.5% 2,586 26,074 R+2.9
Goodhue 9,446 36.7% 14,041 54.6% 2,230 25,717 R+17.9
Itasca 9,015 37.8% 12,920 54.1% 1,945 23,880 R+16.4
Douglas 6,227 28.6% 13,966 64.1% 1,592 21,785 R+35.5
Kandiyohi 7,266 33.4% 12,785 58.7% 1,721 21,772 R+25.3
Beltrami 8,688 40.3% 10,783 50.0% 2,093 21,564 R+9.7
Isanti 5,657 26.9% 13,635 64.9% 1,724 21,016 R+38.0
Benton 5,640 28.1% 12,872 64.2% 1,546 20,058 R+36.1
Steele 6,241 32.5% 11,198 58.4% 1,740 19,179 R+25.8
McLeod 4,978 26.5% 12,155 64.6% 1,674 18,807 R+38.2
Carlton 8,460 46.5% 8,160 44.8% 1,591 18,211 D+1.6
Nicollet 7,886 43.6% 8,437 46.6% 1,774 18,097 R+3.0
Mower 7,437 42.0% 8,823 49.8% 1,455 17,715 R+7.8
Morrison 3,637 20.6% 12,925 73.4% 1,052 17,614 R+52.7
Becker 5,208 30.2% 10,880 63.2% 1,134 17,222 R+32.9
Freeborn 6,041 37.6% 8,808 54.9% 1,202 16,051 R+17.2
Cass 4,949 30.9% 9,982 62.4% 1,068 15,999 R+31.5
Le Sueur 4,623 30.9% 9,182 61.3% 1,166 14,971 R+30.5
Polk 4,712 31.8% 8,979 60.7% 1,105 14,796 R+28.8
Pine 4,580 33.2% 8,191 59.3% 1,040 13,811 R+26.1
Brown 3,763 27.3% 8,708 63.2% 1,308 13,779 R+35.9
Mille Lacs 3,710 28.5% 8,340 64.1% 967 13,017 R+35.6
Meeker 3,191 26.0% 8,104 66.0% 987 12,282 R+40.0
Lyon 3,825 31.3% 7,256 59.4% 1,134 12,215 R+28.1
Todd 2,783 23.2% 8,485 70.7% 725 11,993 R+47.5
Wabasha 3,866 32.7% 6,989 59.1% 977 11,832 R+26.4
Hubbard 3,423 29.8% 7,261 63.1% 821 11,505 R+33.4
Fillmore 3,872 35.0% 6,271 56.7% 912 11,055 R+21.7
Dodge 3,102 29.1% 6,527 61.3% 1,025 10,654 R+32.1
Houston 4,145 39.1% 5,616 53.0% 843 10,604 R+13.9
Martin 2,733 26.0% 7,062 67.1% 736 10,531 R+41.1
Waseca 2,838 29.4% 5,967 61.8% 848 9,653 R+32.4
Aitkin 3,134 34.0% 5,516 59.8% 581 9,231 R+25.8
Nobles 2,733 31.7% 5,299 61.4% 600 8,632 R+29.7
Kanabec 2,327 28.5% 5,230 64.0% 620 8,177 R+35.5
Roseau 1,856 23.8% 5,451 69.8% 497 7,804 R+46.1
Sibley 1,954 25.1% 5,193 66.8% 627 7,774 R+41.7
Redwood 1,887 24.8% 5,137 67.5% 587 7,611 R+42.7
Renville 2,117 27.8% 4,890 64.3% 599 7,606 R+36.5
Faribault 2,153 29.0% 4,659 62.9% 600 7,412 R+33.8
Wadena 1,684 24.3% 4,837 69.8% 413 6,934 R+45.5
Pennington 2,147 32.0% 4,000 59.6% 568 6,715 R+27.6
Lake 3,077 47.2% 2,932 45.0% 512 6,521 D+2.2
Koochiching 2,306 36.2% 3,569 56.1% 488 6,363 R+19.8
Pope 2,106 33.3% 3,793 60.0% 420 6,319 R+26.7
Chippewa 1,978 31.8% 3,764 60.5% 480 6,222 R+28.7
Cottonwood 1,678 29.3% 3,679 64.3% 364 5,721 R+35.0
Jackson 1,492 27.2% 3,609 65.8% 383 5,484 R+38.6
Stevens 2,116 39.2% 2,799 51.9% 483 5,398 R+12.7
Yellow Medicine 1,524 28.9% 3,382 64.1% 370 5,276 R+35.2
Watonwan 1,814 36.3% 2,768 55.4% 416 4,998 R+19.1
Swift 1,686 33.8% 2,963 59.3% 345 4,994 R+25.6
Rock 1,373 28.4% 3,091 63.9% 375 4,839 R+35.5
Marshall 1,225 25.4% 3,208 66.6% 384 4,817 R+41.2
Pipestone 1,127 23.4% 3,338 69.4% 343 4,808 R+46.0
Murray 1,295 27.7% 2,974 63.7% 399 4,668 R+36.0
Clearwater 1,100 25.9% 2,925 68.9% 220 4,245 R+43.0
Lac Qui Parle 1,305 33.8% 2,293 59.4% 262 3,860 R+25.6
Grant 1,105 31.8% 2,063 59.4% 305 3,473 R+27.6
Cook 1,912 56.3% 1,156 34.1% 327 3,395 D+22.3
Wilkin 893 27.0% 2,129 64.5% 280 3,302 R+37.4
Norman 1,264 38.8% 1,699 52.1% 298 3,261 R+13.3
Lincoln 860 28.5% 1,931 64.0% 228 3,019 R+35.5
Big Stone 921 33.4% 1,608 58.4% 226 2,755 R+24.9
Kittson 823 34.5% 1,349 56.6% 213 2,385 R+22.1
Lake of the Woods 553 24.7% 1,540 68.7% 149 2,242 R+44.0
Mahnomen 930 44.5% 991 47.5% 167 2,088 R+2.9
Red Lake 540 28.7% 1,141 60.7% 200 1,881 R+32.0
Traverse 630 35.0% 1,049 58.3% 119 1,798 R+23.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+4.2
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+7.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+1.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+7.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.2
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+2.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.6
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+7.0
1984 Walter Mondale (D) D+0.2
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+12.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+12.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+27.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+1.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+7.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+17.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+30.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+23.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+44.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+51.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+0.1
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+55.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.5
1896 William McKinley (R) R+15.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.2
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+14.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+21.9
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+26.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+19.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+22.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+21.8