United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2016 president · Michigan
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Michigan

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Michigan in 2016, 47.5% to 47.3%, a margin of 0.2 points and 10,704 votes.

Michigan voted 2.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Michigan changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 75 of the 83 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Wayne, cast 777,838 votes and went to the Democrat by 37.3 points. The closest was Keweenaw, where 287 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,279,543 47.5%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,268,839 47.3%
All other candidates 250,902 5.2%
Total4,799,284

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 519,444 66.8% 228,993 29.4% 29,401 777,838 D+37.3
Oakland 343,070 51.6% 289,203 43.5% 32,341 664,614 D+8.1
Macomb 176,317 42.0% 224,665 53.6% 18,330 419,312 R+11.5
Kent 138,683 45.0% 148,180 48.1% 21,321 308,184 R+3.1
Genesee 102,751 52.3% 84,175 42.9% 9,370 196,296 D+9.5
Washtenaw 128,483 68.1% 50,631 26.8% 9,464 188,578 D+41.3
Ottawa 44,973 31.5% 88,467 62.0% 9,294 142,734 R+30.5
Ingham 79,110 60.3% 43,868 33.5% 8,160 131,138 D+26.9
Kalamazoo 67,148 53.2% 51,034 40.4% 8,117 126,299 D+12.8
Livingston 34,384 32.5% 65,680 62.0% 5,802 105,866 R+29.6
Saginaw 44,396 47.1% 45,469 48.2% 4,455 94,320 R+1.1
Muskegon 37,304 47.8% 36,127 46.3% 4,657 78,088 D+1.5
St. Clair 24,553 31.5% 49,051 62.9% 4,399 78,003 R+31.4
Monroe 26,863 36.2% 43,261 58.3% 4,094 74,218 R+22.1
Berrien 29,495 40.9% 38,647 53.7% 3,889 72,031 R+12.7
Jackson 25,795 37.0% 39,793 57.1% 4,089 69,677 R+20.1
Calhoun 24,157 41.0% 31,494 53.5% 3,251 58,902 R+12.5
Eaton 24,938 44.4% 27,609 49.1% 3,674 56,221 R+4.8
Allegan 18,050 32.4% 34,183 61.3% 3,553 55,786 R+28.9
Bay 21,642 40.9% 28,328 53.5% 3,007 52,977 R+12.6
Grand Traverse 20,965 40.6% 27,413 53.1% 3,211 51,589 R+12.5
Lenawee 16,750 36.5% 26,430 57.5% 2,759 45,939 R+21.1
Lapeer 12,734 28.2% 30,037 66.5% 2,412 45,183 R+38.3
Midland 15,635 36.8% 23,846 56.1% 3,025 42,506 R+19.3
Clinton 16,492 40.6% 21,636 53.2% 2,527 40,655 R+12.7
Shiawassee 12,546 36.8% 19,230 56.4% 2,335 34,111 R+19.6
Van Buren 13,258 39.8% 17,890 53.8% 2,126 33,274 R+13.9
Marquette 16,042 48.6% 14,646 44.4% 2,288 32,976 D+4.2
Barry 9,114 30.1% 19,202 63.3% 2,013 30,329 R+33.3
Ionia 8,352 31.1% 16,635 61.9% 1,867 26,854 R+30.8
Montcalm 7,874 29.6% 16,907 63.5% 1,828 26,609 R+33.9
Tuscola 7,429 28.8% 17,102 66.3% 1,265 25,796 R+37.5
Isabella 11,404 44.9% 12,338 48.6% 1,650 25,392 R+3.7
St. Joseph 7,526 31.7% 14,884 62.7% 1,347 23,757 R+31.0
Newaygo 6,212 27.4% 15,173 67.0% 1,255 22,640 R+39.6
Cass 7,270 32.2% 14,243 63.0% 1,082 22,595 R+30.9
Hillsdale 4,799 24.1% 14,095 70.7% 1,046 19,940 R+46.6
Sanilac 4,873 25.3% 13,446 69.9% 930 19,249 R+44.5
Emmet 6,972 37.1% 10,616 56.5% 1,214 18,802 R+19.4
Delta 6,436 34.8% 11,121 60.1% 935 18,492 R+25.3
Branch 5,061 28.7% 11,786 66.7% 816 17,663 R+38.1
Mecosta 5,827 33.9% 10,305 60.0% 1,036 17,168 R+26.1
Gratiot 5,666 34.4% 9,880 60.0% 919 16,465 R+25.6
Huron 4,579 28.8% 10,692 67.2% 646 15,917 R+38.4
Houghton 6,018 38.5% 8,475 54.2% 1,131 15,624 R+15.7
Chippewa 5,379 34.8% 9,122 59.0% 955 15,456 R+24.2
Wexford 4,436 29.0% 10,000 65.4% 862 15,298 R+36.4
Leelanau 6,774 45.9% 7,239 49.1% 744 14,757 R+3.2
Alpena 4,877 33.2% 9,090 61.8% 731 14,698 R+28.7
Mason 5,281 36.0% 8,505 57.9% 899 14,685 R+22.0
Charlevoix 5,137 35.2% 8,674 59.5% 778 14,589 R+24.2
Cheboygan 4,302 31.5% 8,683 63.5% 687 13,672 R+32.0
Antrim 4,448 32.7% 8,469 62.4% 665 13,582 R+29.6
Clare 4,249 31.7% 8,505 63.5% 635 13,389 R+31.8
Iosco 4,345 32.5% 8,345 62.5% 671 13,361 R+29.9
Dickinson 3,923 29.8% 8,580 65.2% 662 13,165 R+35.4
Roscommon 4,287 32.9% 8,141 62.4% 613 13,041 R+29.6
Manistee 4,979 39.5% 6,915 54.9% 705 12,599 R+15.4
Otsego 3,556 28.4% 8,266 65.9% 716 12,538 R+37.6
Gladwin 3,794 30.4% 8,124 65.1% 554 12,472 R+34.7
Oceana 3,973 33.3% 7,228 60.6% 729 11,930 R+27.3
Menominee 3,539 32.9% 6,702 62.2% 527 10,768 R+29.4
Osceola 2,705 25.5% 7,336 69.1% 568 10,609 R+43.7
Ogemaw 3,030 29.2% 6,827 65.7% 530 10,387 R+36.6
Benzie 4,108 40.2% 5,539 54.2% 581 10,228 R+14.0
Kalkaska 2,280 25.8% 6,116 69.2% 437 8,833 R+43.4
Arenac 2,384 31.0% 4,950 64.3% 362 7,696 R+33.3
Gogebic 2,925 39.9% 4,018 54.8% 386 7,329 R+14.9
Missaukee 1,565 21.4% 5,386 73.6% 366 7,317 R+52.2
Presque Isle 2,400 33.3% 4,488 62.2% 330 7,218 R+28.9
Crawford 2,110 30.8% 4,354 63.6% 380 6,844 R+32.8
Alcona 1,732 27.9% 4,201 67.8% 265 6,198 R+39.8
Mackinac 2,085 34.2% 3,744 61.4% 268 6,097 R+27.2
Iron 2,004 33.9% 3,675 62.2% 231 5,910 R+28.3
Lake 1,939 36.4% 3,159 59.3% 230 5,328 R+22.9
Montmorency 1,287 25.7% 3,498 69.8% 224 5,009 R+44.1
Alger 1,663 36.8% 2,585 57.2% 270 4,518 R+20.4
Schoolcraft 1,369 33.0% 2,556 61.5% 229 4,154 R+28.6
Oscoda 1,044 25.6% 2,843 69.8% 186 4,073 R+44.2
Baraga 1,156 33.1% 2,158 61.8% 176 3,490 R+28.7
Ontonagon 1,176 34.3% 2,066 60.3% 184 3,426 R+26.0
Luce 681 26.4% 1,756 68.1% 142 2,579 R+41.7
Keweenaw 527 36.8% 814 56.8% 93 1,434 R+20.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0