United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Florida

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Florida in 2016, 49.0% to 47.8%, a margin of 1.2 points and 112,911 votes.

Florida voted 3.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Florida changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 58 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 980,204 votes and went to the Democrat by 29.6 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 389 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 4,617,886 49.0%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 4,504,975 47.8%
All other candidates 297,178 3.2%
Total9,420,039

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 624,146 63.7% 333,999 34.1% 22,059 980,204 D+29.6
Broward 553,320 66.5% 260,951 31.4% 17,680 831,951 D+35.1
Palm Beach 374,673 56.6% 272,402 41.1% 15,257 662,332 D+15.4
Hillsborough 307,896 51.5% 266,870 44.7% 22,894 597,660 D+6.9
Orange 329,894 60.4% 195,216 35.7% 21,165 546,275 D+24.7
Pinellas 233,701 47.5% 239,201 48.6% 19,501 492,403 R+1.1
Duval 205,704 47.5% 211,672 48.9% 15,319 432,695 R+1.4
Lee 124,908 38.3% 191,551 58.7% 9,961 326,420 R+20.4
Brevard 119,679 38.0% 181,848 57.8% 13,225 314,752 R+19.8
Polk 117,433 41.3% 157,430 55.4% 9,451 284,314 R+14.1
Volusia 109,091 41.8% 143,007 54.8% 8,771 260,869 R+13.0
Pasco 90,142 37.4% 142,101 58.9% 8,896 241,139 R+21.5
Sarasota 97,870 42.7% 124,438 54.3% 6,755 229,063 R+11.6
Seminole 105,914 47.1% 109,443 48.7% 9,539 224,896 R+1.6
Manatee 71,224 39.8% 101,944 57.0% 5,790 178,958 R+17.2
Marion 62,041 35.5% 107,833 61.7% 4,826 174,700 R+26.2
Collier 61,085 35.8% 105,423 61.7% 4,281 170,789 R+26.0
Lake 62,838 36.9% 102,188 59.9% 5,436 170,462 R+23.1
Escambia 57,461 37.7% 88,808 58.2% 6,200 152,469 R+20.6
Leon 92,068 60.5% 53,821 35.4% 6,243 152,132 D+25.1
St. Lucie 66,881 47.5% 70,289 49.9% 3,677 140,847 R+2.4
Osceola 85,458 61.0% 50,301 35.9% 4,447 140,206 D+25.1
St. Johns 43,099 31.6% 88,684 65.0% 4,731 136,514 R+33.4
Alachua 75,820 59.0% 46,834 36.4% 5,917 128,571 D+22.5
Clay 27,822 26.1% 74,963 70.4% 3,698 106,483 R+44.3
Okaloosa 23,780 23.6% 71,893 71.3% 5,182 100,855 R+47.7
Charlotte 33,445 34.7% 60,218 62.5% 2,711 96,374 R+27.8
Hernando 31,795 33.9% 58,970 62.9% 3,031 93,796 R+29.0
Santa Rosa 18,464 21.0% 65,339 74.5% 3,942 87,745 R+53.4
Bay 21,797 24.9% 62,194 71.1% 3,462 87,453 R+46.2
Martin 30,185 35.2% 53,204 62.0% 2,403 85,792 R+26.8
Indian River 29,043 36.3% 48,620 60.8% 2,346 80,009 R+24.5
Citrus 22,789 28.6% 54,456 68.3% 2,455 79,700 R+39.7
Sumter 22,638 29.5% 52,730 68.8% 1,297 76,665 R+39.3
Flagler 22,026 38.3% 33,850 58.9% 1,627 57,503 R+20.6
Nassau 10,869 23.3% 34,266 73.5% 1,472 46,607 R+50.2
Highlands 14,937 32.7% 29,565 64.7% 1,184 45,686 R+32.0
Monroe 18,971 44.7% 21,904 51.6% 1,603 42,478 R+6.9
Walton 6,876 20.4% 25,756 76.6% 1,005 33,637 R+56.1
Putnam 10,094 30.5% 22,138 66.8% 885 33,117 R+36.4
Columbia 7,601 26.5% 20,368 71.0% 738 28,707 R+44.5
Gadsden 15,020 67.9% 6,728 30.4% 365 22,113 D+37.5
Jackson 6,397 30.4% 14,257 67.8% 387 21,041 R+37.4
Levy 5,101 26.3% 13,775 71.0% 519 19,395 R+44.7
Suwannee 3,964 21.2% 14,287 76.4% 443 18,694 R+55.2
Wakulla 4,348 28.3% 10,512 68.5% 491 15,351 R+40.2
Okeechobee 3,959 29.0% 9,356 68.5% 338 13,653 R+39.5
Baker 2,112 16.7% 10,294 81.5% 228 12,634 R+64.8
Bradford 2,924 24.2% 8,913 73.7% 261 12,098 R+49.5
Washington 2,264 20.3% 8,637 77.4% 255 11,156 R+57.1
Hendry 4,615 41.5% 6,195 55.7% 305 11,115 R+14.2
Desoto 3,781 35.0% 6,778 62.7% 259 10,818 R+27.7
Taylor 2,152 23.2% 6,930 74.6% 208 9,290 R+51.4
Holmes 853 10.0% 7,483 87.9% 178 8,514 R+77.9
Madison 3,526 41.5% 4,851 57.0% 128 8,505 R+15.6
Gilchrist 1,458 17.3% 6,740 80.0% 222 8,420 R+62.7
Jefferson 3,541 46.3% 3,930 51.4% 174 7,645 R+5.1
Hardee 2,149 28.3% 5,242 69.1% 192 7,583 R+40.8
Gulf 1,720 23.6% 5,329 73.1% 244 7,293 R+49.5
Dixie 1,270 17.6% 5,822 80.8% 110 7,202 R+63.2
Calhoun 1,241 20.4% 4,655 76.5% 185 6,081 R+56.1
Franklin 1,744 29.0% 4,125 68.6% 146 6,015 R+39.6
Union 1,014 17.8% 4,568 80.2% 112 5,694 R+62.4
Hamilton 1,904 34.9% 3,443 63.1% 113 5,460 R+28.2
Glades 1,271 29.2% 2,996 68.8% 86 4,353 R+39.6
Lafayette 518 15.3% 2,809 82.8% 65 3,392 R+67.5
Liberty 651 19.8% 2,543 77.2% 102 3,296 R+57.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0