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Election 1988 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1988 presidential election in Florida

George H. W. Bush (Republican) beat Michael Dukakis (Democrat) in Florida in 1988, 60.9% to 38.5%, a margin of 22.4 points and 962,184 votes.

Florida voted 14.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+7.7.

The Republican hold continued from 1984, when Ronald Reagan won.

Republicans led in 66 of the 67 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 1. The largest, Dade, cast 490,265 votes and went to the Republican by 11.0 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 271 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George H. W. Bush won Republican 2,618,885 60.9%
Michael Dukakis Democratic 1,656,701 38.5%
All other candidates 26,727 0.6%
Total4,302,313

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Dade 216,970 44.3% 270,937 55.3% 2,358 490,265 R+11.0
Broward 218,274 49.5% 220,316 50.0% 2,015 440,605 R+0.5
Pinellas 152,420 41.7% 211,049 57.8% 1,901 365,370 R+16.0
Palm Beach 144,199 44.1% 181,495 55.5% 1,523 327,217 R+11.4
Hillsborough 99,014 39.5% 150,151 59.9% 1,551 250,716 R+20.4
Duval 74,894 36.7% 128,081 62.8% 1,004 203,979 R+26.1
Orange 54,023 31.3% 117,237 67.9% 1,510 172,770 R+36.6
Brevard 43,004 28.8% 104,854 70.3% 1,301 149,159 R+41.5
Volusia 55,469 42.3% 74,195 56.6% 1,518 131,182 R+14.3
Lee 40,725 31.6% 87,303 67.7% 908 128,936 R+36.1
Sarasota 42,099 33.0% 84,602 66.4% 708 127,409 R+33.4
Polk 38,249 33.0% 77,104 66.4% 687 116,040 R+33.5
Pasco 50,385 43.9% 63,820 55.6% 598 114,803 R+11.7
Escambia 29,977 31.4% 64,959 68.0% 524 95,460 R+36.6
Seminole 22,635 27.1% 60,401 72.2% 622 83,658 R+45.1
Manatee 26,624 34.1% 51,187 65.5% 302 78,113 R+31.4
Leon 33,472 47.7% 36,055 51.4% 631 70,158 R+3.7
Marion 20,685 33.1% 41,501 66.4% 334 62,520 R+33.3
Alachua 29,396 48.8% 30,153 50.1% 664 60,213 R+1.3
Lake 16,766 30.7% 37,327 68.4% 479 54,572 R+37.7
Collier 12,769 24.6% 38,920 74.9% 291 51,980 R+50.3
Okaloosa 9,753 19.3% 40,389 80.0% 320 50,462 R+60.7
St. Lucie 17,446 34.8% 32,319 64.5% 314 50,079 R+29.7
Charlotte 15,974 35.4% 28,893 64.0% 292 45,159 R+28.6
Bay 11,603 26.5% 31,796 72.5% 452 43,851 R+46.0
Martin 11,488 26.7% 31,279 72.6% 316 43,083 R+45.9
Hernando 15,437 41.9% 21,195 57.5% 231 36,863 R+15.6
Indian River 10,451 29.6% 24,630 69.7% 252 35,333 R+40.1
Clay 7,773 23.0% 25,942 76.7% 122 33,837 R+53.7
Citrus 12,184 36.4% 21,072 63.0% 218 33,474 R+26.6
Osceola 9,812 31.3% 21,355 68.1% 214 31,381 R+36.8
St. Johns 8,029 29.3% 19,228 70.1% 158 27,415 R+40.8
Monroe 10,157 38.5% 15,928 60.3% 320 26,405 R+21.9
Highlands 8,091 32.4% 16,723 67.1% 127 24,941 R+34.6
Santa Rosa 5,254 21.6% 18,973 77.9% 143 24,370 R+56.3
Putnam 8,575 42.2% 11,624 57.2% 108 20,307 R+15.0
Jackson 5,008 37.1% 8,405 62.2% 100 13,513 R+25.1
Gadsden 6,372 50.7% 5,992 47.6% 213 12,577 D+3.0
Nassau 4,143 32.9% 8,374 66.6% 58 12,575 R+33.6
Columbia 4,073 34.2% 7,761 65.1% 82 11,916 R+30.9
Walton 3,235 29.9% 7,490 69.3% 83 10,808 R+39.4
Flagler 4,244 39.4% 6,504 60.3% 34 10,782 R+21.0
Sumter 3,900 39.4% 5,936 60.0% 60 9,896 R+20.6
Suwannee 3,129 34.3% 5,863 64.3% 130 9,122 R+30.0
Levy 3,434 39.1% 5,253 59.8% 104 8,791 R+20.7
Okeechobee 3,007 38.6% 4,736 60.8% 48 7,791 R+22.2
Bradford 2,386 36.0% 4,221 63.6% 29 6,636 R+27.7
Washington 2,144 32.7% 4,374 66.6% 46 6,564 R+34.0
De Soto 2,181 33.7% 4,243 65.6% 40 6,464 R+31.9
Hendry 2,036 33.7% 3,965 65.7% 34 6,035 R+32.0
Holmes 1,639 27.8% 4,225 71.6% 36 5,900 R+43.8
Taylor 1,763 30.0% 4,057 69.1% 55 5,875 R+39.0
Hardee 1,688 31.1% 3,640 67.0% 108 5,436 R+35.9
Gulf 1,688 34.6% 3,042 62.4% 142 4,872 R+27.8
Wakulla 1,605 33.4% 3,158 65.7% 42 4,805 R+32.3
Baker 1,355 28.3% 3,418 71.5% 8 4,781 R+43.1
Madison 1,951 43.1% 2,563 56.6% 15 4,529 R+13.5
Jefferson 2,055 46.7% 2,326 52.9% 17 4,398 R+6.2
Calhoun 1,329 35.1% 2,422 64.0% 33 3,784 R+28.9
Dixie 1,366 40.2% 2,031 59.8% 3,397 R+19.6
Hamilton 1,318 38.8% 2,062 60.7% 16 3,396 R+21.9
Franklin 1,283 39.2% 1,913 58.5% 73 3,269 R+19.3
Gilchrist 1,137 37.7% 1,855 61.6% 20 3,012 R+23.8
Glades 1,034 39.9% 1,547 59.7% 12 2,593 R+19.8
Union 691 29.4% 1,644 70.0% 14 2,349 R+40.6
Lafayette 722 33.0% 1,451 66.4% 12 2,185 R+33.4
Liberty 709 32.6% 1,421 65.3% 47 2,177 R+32.7

Counties as they stood in 1988; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0