United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Florida

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Florida in 2020, 51.2% to 47.9%, a margin of 3.4 points and 371,686 votes.

Florida voted 7.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 55 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 12. The largest, Miami-Dade, cast 1,159,098 votes and went to the Democrat by 7.3 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 582 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 5,668,731 51.2%
Joe Biden Democratic 5,297,045 47.9%
All other candidates 101,680 0.9%
Total11,067,456

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Miami-Dade 617,978 53.3% 532,898 46.0% 8,222 1,159,098 D+7.3
Broward 618,601 64.5% 333,316 34.7% 7,477 959,394 D+29.7
Palm Beach 433,607 56.0% 334,735 43.2% 6,315 774,657 D+12.8
Hillsborough 376,384 52.7% 327,424 45.9% 10,304 714,112 D+6.9
Orange 395,039 60.8% 245,444 37.8% 8,746 649,229 D+23.0
Pinellas 277,456 49.4% 276,213 49.2% 7,502 561,171 D+0.2
Duval 252,556 51.1% 233,779 47.3% 7,844 494,179 D+3.8
Lee 157,691 40.0% 233,241 59.2% 2,957 393,889 R+19.2
Brevard 148,546 41.1% 207,876 57.5% 5,221 361,643 R+16.4
Polk 145,037 42.2% 194,574 56.6% 4,390 344,001 R+14.4
Volusia 130,567 42.4% 173,795 56.4% 3,713 308,075 R+14.0
Pasco 119,053 39.3% 179,598 59.4% 3,926 302,577 R+20.0
Sarasota 120,116 44.3% 148,380 54.7% 2,688 271,184 R+10.4
Seminole 132,515 50.7% 125,233 47.9% 3,764 261,512 D+2.8
Manatee 90,163 41.5% 124,982 57.5% 2,319 217,464 R+16.0
Lake 83,505 39.5% 125,858 59.6% 1,950 211,313 R+20.0
Collier 77,623 37.3% 128,955 61.9% 1,714 208,292 R+24.6
Marion 74,833 36.6% 127,783 62.4% 2,031 204,647 R+25.9
St. Johns 63,863 36.1% 110,961 62.7% 2,251 177,075 R+26.6
Osceola 97,304 56.3% 73,485 42.5% 2,008 172,797 D+13.8
St. Lucie 84,169 48.8% 86,882 50.4% 1,382 172,433 R+1.6
Escambia 70,926 41.5% 96,672 56.6% 3,253 170,851 R+15.1
Leon 103,498 63.3% 57,432 35.1% 2,506 163,436 D+28.2
Alachua 89,711 62.7% 50,987 35.6% 2,371 143,069 D+27.1
Clay 38,305 30.7% 84,462 67.8% 1,862 124,629 R+37.0
Okaloosa 34,249 29.3% 79,797 68.4% 2,697 116,743 R+39.0
Charlotte 42,271 36.3% 73,239 62.8% 1,042 116,552 R+26.6
Hernando 37,518 34.4% 70,410 64.5% 1,219 109,147 R+30.1
Santa Rosa 27,614 25.8% 77,386 72.2% 2,201 107,201 R+46.4
Martin 36,898 37.3% 61,178 61.8% 882 98,958 R+24.5
Indian River 37,810 38.7% 58,818 60.2% 1,022 97,650 R+21.5
Citrus 27,089 29.0% 65,345 70.0% 943 93,377 R+41.0
Bay 25,615 27.5% 66,099 70.9% 1,501 93,215 R+43.4
Sumter 29,344 31.7% 62,764 67.8% 522 92,630 R+36.1
Flagler 28,165 39.2% 43,053 59.9% 659 71,877 R+20.7
Nassau 15,568 26.4% 42,567 72.2% 786 58,921 R+45.8
Highlands 16,937 32.4% 34,870 66.7% 433 52,240 R+34.3
Monroe 21,881 45.5% 25,694 53.4% 561 48,136 R+7.9
Walton 10,338 23.6% 32,947 75.2% 510 43,795 R+51.6
Putnam 10,522 28.9% 25,497 70.0% 381 36,400 R+41.1
Columbia 8,915 26.9% 23,836 72.0% 342 33,093 R+45.1
Gadsden 16,162 68.0% 7,474 31.4% 145 23,781 D+36.5
Levy 6,221 26.8% 16,783 72.2% 231 23,235 R+45.5
Jackson 6,765 30.1% 15,486 69.0% 202 22,453 R+38.8
Suwannee 4,485 21.3% 16,408 77.9% 162 21,055 R+56.6
Wakulla 5,354 29.0% 12,878 69.8% 223 18,455 R+40.8
Okeechobee 4,388 27.5% 11,464 71.8% 125 15,977 R+44.3
Baker 2,035 14.5% 11,905 84.6% 134 14,074 R+70.1
Bradford 3,160 23.2% 10,333 75.7% 155 13,648 R+52.6
Hendry 4,929 38.0% 7,905 61.0% 121 12,955 R+23.0
Desoto 4,259 33.6% 8,312 65.6% 104 12,675 R+32.0
Washington 2,347 19.0% 9,876 80.1% 112 12,335 R+61.0
Taylor 2,299 22.7% 7,749 76.5% 88 10,136 R+53.8
Gilchrist 1,700 17.5% 7,894 81.4% 107 9,701 R+63.8
Madison 3,747 39.9% 5,578 59.4% 70 9,395 R+19.5
Holmes 924 10.2% 8,080 89.0% 74 9,078 R+78.8
Hardee 2,299 27.0% 6,123 72.0% 82 8,504 R+45.0
Jefferson 3,901 46.0% 4,483 52.9% 92 8,476 R+6.9
Dixie 1,365 16.7% 6,758 82.7% 49 8,172 R+66.0
Gulf 1,984 24.3% 6,110 74.8% 74 8,168 R+50.5
Franklin 2,120 30.9% 4,676 68.2% 64 6,860 R+37.3
Calhoun 1,210 18.5% 5,276 80.7% 54 6,540 R+62.2
Union 1,054 16.9% 5,134 82.1% 65 6,253 R+65.2
Hamilton 1,963 33.6% 3,816 65.3% 62 5,841 R+31.7
Glades 1,386 26.6% 3,784 72.7% 36 5,206 R+46.1
Lafayette 510 13.9% 3,129 85.5% 20 3,659 R+71.6
Liberty 697 19.5% 2,852 79.8% 25 3,574 R+60.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0