United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Tennessee

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2020, 60.7% to 37.5%, a margin of 23.2 points and 708,764 votes.

Tennessee voted 27.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 92 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Shelby, cast 381,909 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.4 points. The closest was Haywood, where 667 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,852,475 60.7%
Joe Biden Democratic 1,143,711 37.5%
All other candidates 57,665 1.9%
Total3,053,851

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 246,111 64.4% 129,834 34.0% 5,964 381,909 D+30.4
Davidson 199,673 64.5% 100,198 32.4% 9,596 309,467 D+32.1
Knox 91,405 41.5% 124,517 56.5% 4,438 220,360 R+15.0
Hamilton 75,520 44.2% 92,104 53.9% 3,386 171,010 R+9.7
Rutherford 59,342 41.2% 81,479 56.6% 3,053 143,874 R+15.4
Williamson 50,174 36.1% 86,486 62.2% 2,303 138,963 R+26.1
Sumner 27,872 29.9% 63,808 68.5% 1,511 93,191 R+38.6
Montgomery 32,470 42.3% 42,180 55.0% 2,097 76,747 R+12.7
Sullivan 17,271 23.2% 55,857 75.1% 1,205 74,333 R+51.9
Wilson 22,081 29.9% 49,956 67.7% 1,741 73,778 R+37.8
Blount 17,944 26.9% 47,380 71.1% 1,281 66,605 R+44.2
Washington 18,639 31.0% 40,450 67.2% 1,109 60,198 R+36.2
Maury 14,408 30.9% 31,445 67.4% 768 46,621 R+36.5
Bradley 9,851 21.5% 35,201 76.8% 795 45,847 R+55.3
Sevier 8,720 20.0% 33,779 77.6% 1,030 43,529 R+57.6
Madison 18,390 42.8% 23,943 55.7% 615 42,948 R+12.9
Anderson 11,745 33.0% 23,196 65.2% 632 35,573 R+32.2
Robertson 8,694 25.8% 24,540 72.8% 487 33,721 R+47.0
Putnam 9,184 27.4% 23,755 70.8% 632 33,571 R+43.4
Cumberland 6,728 20.8% 25,167 78.0% 383 32,278 R+57.1
Loudon 6,948 23.7% 21,713 74.0% 679 29,340 R+50.3
Greene 5,199 18.5% 22,260 79.3% 628 28,087 R+60.7
Tipton 6,835 25.0% 20,065 73.5% 397 27,297 R+48.5
Roane 6,041 23.3% 19,224 74.2% 641 25,906 R+50.9
Hawkins 4,085 16.5% 20,411 82.2% 336 24,832 R+65.7
Hamblen 5,498 22.3% 18,804 76.4% 320 24,622 R+54.0
Carter 4,530 18.5% 19,587 80.0% 375 24,492 R+61.5
Dickson 6,107 25.1% 17,645 72.5% 574 24,326 R+47.4
Coffee 5,699 23.5% 17,870 73.7% 694 24,263 R+50.2
Jefferson 4,652 19.7% 18,647 79.0% 308 23,607 R+59.3
Fayette 7,021 30.6% 15,671 68.3% 267 22,959 R+37.7
McMinn 4,361 19.1% 18,199 79.7% 284 22,844 R+60.6
Gibson 5,770 25.8% 16,260 72.8% 299 22,329 R+47.0
Monroe 3,764 18.1% 16,784 80.7% 248 20,796 R+62.6
Cheatham 5,518 27.2% 14,440 71.3% 308 20,266 R+44.0
Franklin 4,866 25.4% 13,991 73.1% 276 19,133 R+47.7
Bedford 4,454 23.3% 14,355 75.2% 280 19,089 R+51.9
Lawrence 3,195 17.1% 15,334 81.9% 189 18,718 R+64.9
Warren 3,924 24.5% 11,849 74.0% 233 16,006 R+49.5
Lincoln 2,919 18.7% 12,282 78.7% 408 15,609 R+60.0
Dyer 3,158 20.9% 11,768 78.1% 151 15,077 R+57.1
Henry 3,548 23.6% 11,239 74.7% 257 15,044 R+51.1
Campbell 2,441 16.3% 12,333 82.6% 161 14,935 R+66.2
Marshall 3,605 24.2% 11,043 74.2% 230 14,878 R+50.0
Cocke 2,533 17.0% 12,163 81.9% 164 14,860 R+64.8
Weakley 3,020 22.0% 10,395 75.7% 319 13,734 R+53.7
Rhea 2,369 17.4% 11,050 81.0% 215 13,634 R+63.7
Obion 2,589 19.1% 10,791 79.8% 142 13,522 R+60.7
Marion 3,179 24.0% 9,914 74.8% 168 13,261 R+50.8
Giles 3,298 25.0% 9,784 74.1% 121 13,203 R+49.1
Claiborne 2,202 17.0% 10,603 81.9% 137 12,942 R+64.9
Henderson 2,092 17.4% 9,796 81.5% 131 12,019 R+64.1
Carroll 2,558 21.5% 9,202 77.3% 142 11,902 R+55.8
White 2,143 18.0% 9,606 80.8% 146 11,895 R+62.7
Hardin 1,775 15.4% 9,558 82.8% 204 11,537 R+67.5
McNairy 1,943 17.2% 9,093 80.6% 240 11,276 R+63.4
Grainger 1,470 14.5% 8,574 84.5% 102 10,146 R+70.0
Hardeman 4,180 41.6% 5,760 57.3% 119 10,059 R+15.7
Overton 2,033 20.3% 7,919 78.9% 86 10,038 R+58.6
Hickman 2,130 21.7% 7,576 77.1% 125 9,831 R+55.4
Macon 1,307 13.8% 8,094 85.3% 84 9,485 R+71.6
Scott 986 10.9% 8,004 88.4% 62 9,052 R+77.5
Smith 1,802 19.9% 7,135 78.8% 112 9,049 R+58.9
Lauderdale 3,194 35.6% 5,677 63.3% 98 8,969 R+27.7
Fentress 1,214 13.9% 7,441 85.2% 74 8,729 R+71.3
DeKalb 1,750 20.6% 6,673 78.4% 91 8,514 R+57.8
Polk 1,492 17.8% 6,793 81.2% 77 8,362 R+63.4
Unicoi 1,612 19.4% 6,588 79.5% 92 8,292 R+60.0
Morgan 1,169 14.2% 6,937 84.2% 131 8,237 R+70.0
Humphreys 2,017 24.5% 6,120 74.3% 99 8,236 R+49.8
Union 1,249 15.4% 6,803 83.7% 72 8,124 R+68.4
Johnson 1,246 16.0% 6,469 82.9% 85 7,800 R+67.0
Chester 1,412 18.6% 5,952 78.5% 216 7,580 R+59.9
Haywood 4,013 53.9% 3,346 45.0% 82 7,441 D+9.0
Benton 1,530 21.1% 5,671 78.1% 63 7,264 R+57.0
Sequatchie 1,299 17.9% 5,856 80.7% 98 7,253 R+62.8
Wayne 820 12.3% 5,795 86.9% 52 6,667 R+74.6
Cannon 1,261 19.2% 5,190 79.2% 105 6,556 R+59.9
Stewart 1,234 19.6% 4,957 78.7% 111 6,302 R+59.1
Crockett 1,383 22.6% 4,672 76.4% 58 6,113 R+53.8
Grundy 988 16.9% 4,801 82.0% 64 5,853 R+65.1
Bledsoe 971 16.9% 4,726 82.0% 63 5,760 R+65.2
Lewis 1,072 19.1% 4,474 79.8% 63 5,609 R+60.7
Meigs 1,008 18.2% 4,469 80.8% 57 5,534 R+62.5
Jackson 1,136 21.3% 4,122 77.4% 69 5,327 R+56.1
Decatur 904 17.2% 4,230 80.7% 108 5,242 R+63.4
Trousdale 1,012 25.3% 2,938 73.5% 50 4,000 R+48.2
Houston 871 23.6% 2,718 73.8% 96 3,685 R+50.1
Moore 577 16.2% 2,896 81.5% 79 3,552 R+65.3
Clay 735 21.0% 2,735 78.0% 38 3,508 R+57.0
Perry 615 17.9% 2,775 81.0% 38 3,428 R+63.0
Pickett 525 17.9% 2,381 81.2% 25 2,931 R+63.3
Van Buren 544 18.6% 2,343 80.2% 35 2,922 R+61.6
Hancock 362 13.2% 2,372 86.4% 10 2,744 R+73.3
Lake 526 25.9% 1,492 73.4% 16 2,034 R+47.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9