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Election 1980 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1980 presidential election in Tennessee

Ronald Reagan (Republican) beat Jimmy Carter (Democrat) in Tennessee in 1980, 48.7% to 48.4%, a margin of 0.3 points and 4,710 votes.

Tennessee voted 9.4 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+9.7.

Tennessee changed party: in 1976 it went Democratic, for Jimmy Carter.

Democrats led in 51 of the 95 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 44. The largest, Shelby, cast 308,517 votes and went to the Democrat by 6.2 points. The closest was Sequatchie, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ronald Reagan won Republican 787,761 48.7%
Jimmy Carter Democratic 783,051 48.4%
All other candidates 46,804 2.9%
Total1,617,616

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 159,240 51.6% 140,157 45.4% 9,120 308,517 D+6.2
Davidson 103,741 59.1% 65,772 37.5% 6,093 175,606 D+21.6
Knox 45,634 38.8% 66,153 56.3% 5,798 117,585 R+17.5
Hamilton 41,913 41.1% 57,575 56.4% 2,604 102,092 R+15.3
Sullivan 22,341 44.3% 25,963 51.4% 2,166 50,470 R+7.2
Washington 11,599 38.3% 17,457 57.7% 1,193 30,249 R+19.4
Blount 9,412 33.4% 17,959 63.8% 773 28,144 R+30.4
Rutherford 15,213 55.6% 11,208 41.0% 929 27,350 D+14.6
Madison 12,986 47.8% 13,667 50.3% 534 27,187 R+2.5
Sumner 14,150 52.9% 11,876 44.4% 709 26,735 D+8.5
Anderson 10,194 39.6% 14,235 55.3% 1,307 25,736 R+15.7
Williamson 8,815 41.8% 11,597 55.0% 683 21,095 R+13.2
Montgomery 11,573 55.9% 8,503 41.1% 622 20,698 D+14.8
Bradley 7,638 38.4% 11,869 59.6% 398 19,905 R+21.3
Wilson 11,248 58.4% 7,535 39.1% 491 19,274 D+19.3
Roane 6,473 35.6% 11,096 61.0% 613 18,182 R+25.4
Carter 6,006 33.2% 11,648 64.4% 423 18,077 R+31.2
Greene 5,822 34.3% 10,704 63.1% 430 16,956 R+28.8
Gibson 9,829 58.1% 6,792 40.1% 302 16,923 D+17.9
Hamblen 5,890 36.6% 9,741 60.6% 442 16,073 R+24.0
Maury 7,957 52.9% 6,637 44.2% 436 15,030 D+8.8
Putnam 8,084 54.8% 6,235 42.3% 434 14,753 D+12.5
Sevier 3,450 23.9% 10,576 73.2% 413 14,439 R+49.4
McMinn 5,460 40.3% 7,825 57.8% 262 13,547 R+17.5
Hawkins 5,283 39.0% 7,836 57.9% 410 13,529 R+18.9
Lawrence 6,082 45.1% 6,532 48.5% 863 13,477 R+3.3
Coffee 7,612 56.8% 5,454 40.7% 327 13,393 D+16.1
Weakley 5,910 50.2% 5,668 48.2% 193 11,771 D+2.1
Dyer 5,713 50.1% 5,475 48.0% 219 11,407 D+2.1
Obion 5,766 50.7% 5,397 47.5% 202 11,365 D+3.2
Henry 6,601 59.1% 4,299 38.5% 268 11,168 D+20.6
Carroll 5,277 47.4% 5,681 51.0% 185 11,143 R+3.6
Robertson 7,381 66.3% 3,560 32.0% 185 11,126 D+34.3
Franklin 6,760 61.0% 3,995 36.0% 335 11,090 D+24.9
Monroe 4,612 41.7% 6,246 56.4% 207 11,065 R+14.8
Dickson 6,622 63.3% 3,636 34.7% 209 10,467 D+28.5
Campbell 4,752 45.5% 5,537 53.0% 161 10,450 R+7.5
Cumberland 3,775 36.2% 6,354 60.9% 307 10,436 R+24.7
Jefferson 3,180 30.6% 6,944 66.8% 268 10,392 R+36.2
Loudon 3,699 35.6% 6,382 61.5% 295 10,376 R+25.9
Warren 6,021 60.8% 3,680 37.2% 203 9,904 D+23.6
Bedford 5,987 62.5% 3,377 35.2% 219 9,583 D+27.2
Tipton 4,934 52.5% 4,339 46.2% 128 9,401 D+6.3
Cocke 2,139 23.4% 6,802 74.4% 203 9,144 R+51.0
Marion 4,623 53.4% 3,902 45.1% 126 8,651 D+8.3
McNairy 3,801 44.6% 4,603 54.1% 110 8,514 R+9.4
Lincoln 5,387 64.1% 2,856 34.0% 166 8,409 D+30.1
Henderson 2,702 34.1% 5,108 64.4% 116 7,926 R+30.4
Rhea 3,070 38.9% 4,689 59.4% 130 7,889 R+20.5
Giles 4,653 61.7% 2,757 36.6% 127 7,537 D+25.2
Hardin 3,164 42.6% 4,152 55.8% 119 7,435 R+13.3
Claiborne 2,844 39.2% 4,289 59.1% 130 7,263 R+19.9
Lauderdale 4,318 59.7% 2,818 38.9% 99 7,235 D+20.7
Hardeman 4,153 57.6% 2,931 40.7% 121 7,205 D+17.0
Fayette 4,141 57.6% 2,944 40.9% 110 7,195 D+16.6
Marshall 4,277 64.2% 2,282 34.2% 107 6,666 D+29.9
Cheatham 3,771 60.8% 2,296 37.0% 134 6,201 D+23.8
Benton 3,811 61.5% 2,281 36.8% 101 6,193 D+24.7
Humphreys 3,974 66.6% 1,897 31.8% 95 5,966 D+34.8
Haywood 3,445 58.0% 2,435 41.0% 63 5,943 D+17.0
Unicoi 1,880 32.2% 3,828 65.5% 136 5,844 R+33.3
White 3,415 60.8% 2,100 37.4% 98 5,613 D+23.4
Smith 3,674 66.4% 1,755 31.7% 102 5,531 D+34.7
Wayne 1,633 30.8% 3,418 64.5% 246 5,297 R+33.7
Overton 3,343 63.5% 1,869 35.5% 55 5,267 D+28.0
Hickman 3,225 61.7% 1,903 36.4% 102 5,230 D+25.3
Morgan 2,094 41.8% 2,823 56.3% 98 5,015 R+14.5
Macon 1,947 39.2% 2,925 59.0% 89 4,961 R+19.7
Polk 2,470 49.8% 2,414 48.7% 76 4,960 D+1.1
Johnson 1,141 23.0% 3,716 75.0% 98 4,955 R+52.0
Chester 2,123 43.0% 2,751 55.7% 66 4,940 R+12.7
Dekalb 2,948 60.6% 1,841 37.8% 79 4,868 D+22.7
Grainger 1,495 30.8% 3,254 67.1% 99 4,848 R+36.3
Scott 1,724 35.7% 3,014 62.4% 94 4,832 R+26.7
Crockett 2,422 52.8% 2,117 46.1% 49 4,588 D+6.6
Decatur 2,139 50.0% 2,095 48.9% 46 4,280 D+1.0
Fentress 1,543 37.6% 2,493 60.8% 67 4,103 R+23.2
Grundy 2,837 70.6% 1,139 28.3% 43 4,019 D+42.2
Union 1,435 36.3% 2,453 62.1% 63 3,951 R+25.8
Cannon 2,351 61.6% 1,403 36.8% 63 3,817 D+24.8
Bledsoe 1,585 44.2% 1,970 54.9% 31 3,586 R+10.7
Jackson 2,480 70.2% 995 28.1% 60 3,535 D+42.0
Stewart 2,274 68.5% 985 29.7% 59 3,318 D+38.8
Lewis 2,190 66.2% 1,076 32.5% 43 3,309 D+33.7
Sequatchie 1,509 49.4% 1,512 49.5% 31 3,052 R+0.1
Clay 1,376 49.8% 1,344 48.6% 45 2,765 D+1.2
Lake 1,718 67.0% 823 32.1% 22 2,563 D+34.9
Houston 1,757 69.1% 738 29.0% 46 2,541 D+40.1
Hancock 704 28.3% 1,734 69.7% 49 2,487 R+41.4
Trousdale 1,674 71.1% 629 26.7% 51 2,354 D+44.4
Meigs 999 43.1% 1,278 55.2% 39 2,316 R+12.0
Perry 1,401 62.8% 783 35.1% 48 2,232 D+27.7
Pickett 758 36.1% 1,319 62.7% 25 2,102 R+26.7
Moore 993 62.3% 551 34.5% 51 1,595 D+27.7
Van Buren 886 63.1% 499 35.5% 19 1,404 D+27.6

Counties as they stood in 1980; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9