United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1928 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1928 presidential election in Tennessee

Herbert Hoover (Republican) beat Al Smith (Democrat) in Tennessee in 1928, 53.8% to 46.0%, a margin of 7.7 points and 28,045 votes.

Tennessee voted 9.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+17.4.

Tennessee changed party: in 1924 it went Democratic, for John W. Davis.

Democrats led in 49 of the 95 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 46. The largest, Shelby, cast 31,403 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.4 points. The closest was Overton, where 12 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Herbert Hoover won Republican 195,388 53.8%
Al Smith Democratic 167,343 46.0%
All other candidates 742 0.2%
Total363,473

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 19,331 61.6% 11,981 38.2% 91 31,403 D+23.4
Davidson 14,404 48.4% 15,337 51.5% 38 29,779 R+3.1
Hamilton 7,704 36.6% 13,257 62.9% 116 21,077 R+26.3
Knox 6,180 29.6% 14,641 70.1% 55 20,876 R+40.5
Sullivan 3,446 45.3% 4,153 54.7% 7,599 R+9.3
McMinn 2,155 32.7% 4,425 67.1% 16 6,596 R+34.4
Lawrence 2,978 45.3% 3,585 54.5% 10 6,573 R+9.2
Washington 1,653 25.3% 4,892 74.7% 6,545 R+49.5
Greene 2,459 40.6% 3,603 59.4% 6,062 R+18.9
Madison 3,830 66.9% 1,896 33.1% 5,726 D+33.8
Carter 549 10.0% 4,939 89.8% 13 5,501 R+79.8
Monroe 2,171 39.7% 3,300 60.3% 5,471 R+20.6
Maury 3,913 74.2% 1,363 25.8% 5,276 D+48.3
Blount 763 15.6% 4,129 84.3% 8 4,900 R+68.7
Carroll 1,868 38.3% 2,984 61.2% 26 4,878 R+22.9
Gibson 3,105 69.3% 1,366 30.5% 10 4,481 D+38.8
Hawkins 1,271 29.9% 2,968 69.9% 7 4,246 R+40.0
Sevier 330 7.9% 3,862 92.0% 6 4,198 R+84.1
Dekalb 1,811 44.5% 2,263 55.5% 4,074 R+11.1
Weakley 2,674 66.3% 1,359 33.7% 4,033 D+32.6
Putnam 2,298 58.7% 1,614 41.3% 3,912 D+17.5
Henry 2,858 73.2% 1,042 26.7% 6 3,906 D+46.5
Giles 2,851 73.4% 1,033 26.6% 3,884 D+46.8
Claiborne 1,313 33.8% 2,568 66.2% 3,881 R+32.3
Bradley 978 25.5% 2,857 74.4% 3 3,838 R+49.0
Roane 809 21.3% 2,958 78.0% 27 3,794 R+56.6
Sumner 2,723 72.2% 1,046 27.7% 2 3,771 D+44.5
Montgomery 2,000 53.4% 1,745 46.6% 3,745 D+6.8
Rutherford 2,266 61.3% 1,430 38.7% 3,696 D+22.6
Dyer 2,851 77.2% 843 22.8% 3,694 D+54.4
Cocke 774 21.0% 2,911 78.9% 6 3,691 R+57.9
Campbell 625 17.2% 3,010 82.7% 3 3,638 R+65.6
McNairy 1,296 35.8% 2,328 64.2% 3,624 R+28.5
Obion 2,670 77.2% 790 22.8% 3,460 D+54.3
Lauderdale 2,998 87.5% 430 12.5% 3,428 D+74.9
Lincoln 2,547 77.2% 744 22.6% 8 3,299 D+54.7
Johnson 210 6.4% 3,060 93.6% 3,270 R+87.2
Hamblen 1,353 41.5% 1,904 58.5% 3,257 R+16.9
Jefferson 467 15.3% 2,585 84.7% 3,052 R+69.4
Bedford 1,642 53.9% 1,406 46.1% 3,048 D+7.7
Scott 261 8.8% 2,703 91.1% 4 2,968 R+82.3
Marion 1,244 42.8% 1,661 57.2% 2,905 R+14.4
Anderson 569 19.8% 2,306 80.2% 2,875 R+60.4
Polk 1,084 37.9% 1,762 61.6% 13 2,859 R+23.7
Wilson 1,746 62.3% 1,050 37.4% 8 2,804 D+24.8
Henderson 763 27.5% 1,997 72.0% 13 2,773 R+44.5
Loudon 631 22.8% 2,129 77.1% 3 2,763 R+54.2
Franklin 1,819 66.0% 929 33.7% 7 2,755 D+32.3
Smith 1,549 56.9% 1,151 42.3% 24 2,724 D+14.6
Robertson 1,653 65.8% 849 33.8% 12 2,514 D+32.0
Rhea 902 36.2% 1,587 63.7% 3 2,492 R+27.5
Tipton 2,024 82.1% 425 17.2% 17 2,466 D+64.8
Unicoi 402 16.4% 2,045 83.3% 8 2,455 R+66.9
Dickson 1,530 63.2% 892 36.8% 2,422 D+26.3
Williamson 1,709 71.1% 694 28.9% 2,403 D+42.2
Coffee 1,259 52.5% 1,127 47.0% 11 2,397 D+5.5
Macon 449 18.8% 1,939 81.2% 2,388 R+62.4
Overton 1,184 49.6% 1,196 50.1% 8 2,388 R+0.5
Hardin 758 32.3% 1,582 67.4% 7 2,347 R+35.1
Haywood 2,169 92.4% 178 7.6% 2,347 D+84.8
Benton 1,330 58.0% 950 41.4% 15 2,295 D+16.6
Union 386 17.4% 1,828 82.3% 7 2,221 R+64.9
Wayne 409 18.7% 1,758 80.6% 15 2,182 R+61.8
Warren 1,190 56.0% 924 43.5% 10 2,124 D+12.5
Hardeman 1,557 75.3% 491 23.8% 19 2,067 D+51.6
Grainger 499 25.3% 1,458 74.0% 13 1,970 R+48.7
Morgan 478 24.4% 1,482 75.6% 1,960 R+51.2
White 1,091 58.4% 777 41.6% 1,868 D+16.8
Fentress 402 22.1% 1,399 76.7% 22 1,823 R+54.7
Stewart 1,345 77.0% 401 23.0% 1,746 D+54.1
Cumberland 541 31.3% 1,187 68.7% 1,728 R+37.4
Hickman 1,112 68.5% 511 31.5% 1,623 D+37.0
Decatur 867 53.7% 749 46.3% 1,616 D+7.3
Bledsoe 641 41.5% 902 58.5% 1,543 R+16.9
Marshall 788 51.7% 736 48.3% 1,524 D+3.4
Jackson 886 58.4% 615 40.5% 17 1,518 D+17.9
Crockett 803 53.0% 711 47.0% 1,514 D+6.1
Cheatham 978 66.6% 488 33.2% 2 1,468 D+33.4
Chester 788 57.5% 583 42.5% 1,371 D+15.0
Meigs 631 46.7% 720 53.3% 1,351 R+6.6
Fayette 1,179 90.7% 121 9.3% 1,300 D+81.4
Humphreys 826 64.8% 441 34.6% 7 1,274 D+30.2
Hancock 231 18.2% 1,040 81.8% 1,271 R+63.7
Cannon 667 53.1% 589 46.9% 1,256 D+6.2
Lake 1,029 86.1% 166 13.9% 1,195 D+72.2
Clay 617 52.4% 557 47.3% 3 1,177 D+5.1
Pickett 409 35.2% 746 64.1% 8 1,163 R+29.0
Grundy 652 62.9% 380 36.7% 4 1,036 D+26.3
Perry 660 64.8% 359 35.2% 1,019 D+29.5
Trousdale 650 78.3% 179 21.6% 1 830 D+56.7
Lewis 444 62.3% 269 37.7% 713 D+24.5
Sequatchie 410 57.9% 298 42.1% 708 D+15.8
Houston 276 42.5% 374 57.5% 650 R+15.1
Moore 462 76.6% 133 22.1% 8 603 D+54.6
Van Buren 279 52.1% 257 47.9% 536 D+4.1

Counties as they stood in 1928; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9